V-Varen Nagasaki vs Tokyo Verdy, J. League 2026-27 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
V-Varen Nagasaki vs Tokyo Verdy — J. League at Peace Stadium.
- V-Varen Nagasaki 18 games · 21 pts (2026/27)
- Tokyo Verdy 18 games · 28 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct | Urawa Red Diamonds | A | 0–1 | L |
| 21 Oct | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 4–0 | W |
| 17 Oct | Kashima Antlers | A | 0–2 | L |
| 11 Oct | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | A | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Sep | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 12 Sep | Nagoya Grampus | H | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 3–1 | W |
| 21 Oct | Yokohama F.Marinos | A | 2–2 | D |
| 17 Oct | FC Tokyo | H | 0–4 | L |
| 11 Oct | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 0–2 | L |
| 19 Sep | Urawa Red Diamonds | A | 1–3 | L |
| 13 Sep | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | H | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| V-Varen Nagasaki | Tokyo Verdy | |
|---|---|---|
| #9 | Position | #15 |
| 21 | Points | 28 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 7 / 0 / 11 | W / D / L | 10 / 0 / 8 |
| 25 | Scored | 29 |
| 33 | Conceded | 32 |
| -8 | GD | -3 |
| 1.17 | PPG | 1.56 |
| 39% | Win % | 56% |
Key Stats
18%
Clean Sheets
V-Varen Nagasaki this season
V-Varen Nagasaki this season
18%
Clean Sheets
Tokyo Verdy this season
Tokyo Verdy this season
V-Varen Nagasaki are 9th (21 pts). Tokyo Verdy are 15th (28 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
V-Varen Nagasaki
0-15
–/5
16-30
–/–
31-45
4/3
46-60
4/4
61-75
1/2
76+
5/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Tokyo Verdy
0-15
2/1
16-30
–/3
31-45
–/4
46-60
–/8
61-75
3/2
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
V-Varen Nagasaki
| Matheus Jesus | 4 G | 2 A |
| Kenshin Yasuda | 4 G | |
| Tenmu Matsumoto | 2 G |
Tokyo Verdy
| Naoki Hayashi | 2 G |
| Shuhei Mizoguchi | 1 G |
H2H
V-Varen Nagasaki Form
2026-10-25
Urawa Red Diamonds
1–0
V-Varen Nagasaki
L
2026-10-21
V-Varen Nagasaki
4–0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
2026-10-17
Kashima Antlers
2–0
V-Varen Nagasaki
L
2026-10-11
JEF United Ichihara Chiba
1–1
V-Varen Nagasaki
D
2026-09-19
V-Varen Nagasaki
2–1
Cerezo Osaka FC
W
2026-09-12
V-Varen Nagasaki
2–0
Nagoya Grampus
W
Predictions
1.88
V-Varen Nagasaki xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.19
Tokyo Verdy xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 59% + Over 2.5 goals 58%
Match Result
Both Teams to Score
Avg goals/match: 3.07
Over / Under Goals
| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 2.5 | 58% |
|
42% |
| ± 3.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
| ± 4.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
Double Chance
V-Varen Nagasaki or Draw
77%
Draw or Tokyo Verdy
47%
V-Varen Nagasaki or Tokyo Verdy
76%
Half-Time Result
Correct Score
1 – 1
11.3%
2 – 1
9.4%
2 – 0
8.1%
1 – 0
8%
0 – 0
6.3%
1 – 2
6%
3 – 1
5.9%
2 – 2
5.6%
3 – 0
4.9%
0 – 1
4.7%
3 – 2
3.6%
0 – 2
3.3%
Asian Handicap — V-Varen Nagasaki
| Handicap | V-Varen Nagasaki covers | Push | Tokyo Verdy covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -2 | 14% | 16% | 70% |
| -1.5 | 30% | — | 70% |
| -1 | 30% | 22% | 48% |
| -0.5 | 52% | — | 48% |
| +0.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +1 | 77% | 14% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
V-Varen Nagasaki keeps clean sheet
31%
Tokyo Verdy keeps clean sheet
16%
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

