AFC Bournemouth vs Leeds United FC, Premier League 2026-27 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
AFC Bournemouth vs Leeds United FC — Premier League at Vitality Stadium.
- AFC Bournemouth 8 games · 9 pts (2026/27)
- Leeds United FC 8 games · 11 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City FC | 8 | 21 |
| 2 | Arsenal FC | 8 | 21 |
| 3 | Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 8 | 16 |
| 4 | Liverpool FC | 8 | 15 |
| 5 | Chelsea FC | 8 | 13 |
| 6 | Brentford FC | 8 | 11 |
| 7 | Leeds United FC | 8 | 11 |
| 8 | Newcastle United FC | 8 | 11 |
| 9 | Aston Villa FC | 8 | 11 |
| 10 | Hull City AFC | 8 | 10 |
| 11 | Everton FC | 8 | 10 |
| 12 | Ipswich Town FC | 8 | 10 |
| 13 | AFC Bournemouth | 8 | 9 |
| 14 | Tottenham Hotspur FC | 8 | 9 |
| 15 | Fulham FC | 8 | 8 |
| 16 | Manchester United FC | 8 | 7 |
| 17 | Crystal Palace FC | 8 | 7 |
| 18 | Nottingham Forest FC | 8 | 6 |
| 19 | Coventry City FC | 8 | 6 |
| 20 | Sunderland AFC | 8 | 5 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct | Manchester United FC | A | 3–0 | W |
| 22 Oct | AC Milan | H | 3–0 | W |
| 18 Oct | Sunderland AFC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 15 Oct | SK Sturm Graz | H | 3–0 | W |
| 10 Oct | Chelsea FC | A | 1–5 | L |
| 20 Sep | Liverpool FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct | Sunderland AFC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 18 Oct | Manchester United FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 10 Oct | Arsenal FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Sep | Crystal Palace FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 14 Sep | Newcastle United FC | H | 4–1 | W |
| 05 Sep | Brighton & Hove Albion FC | A | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| AFC Bournemouth | Leeds United FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #13 | Position | #7 |
| 9 | Points | 11 |
| 8 | Played | 8 |
| 2 / 3 / 3 | W / D / L | 2 / 5 / 1 |
| 12 | Scored | 9 |
| 13 | Conceded | 6 |
| -1 | GD | +3 |
| 1.13 | PPG | 1.38 |
| 25% | Win % | 25% |
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
25%
Clean Sheets
AFC Bournemouth this season
AFC Bournemouth this season
38%
Clean Sheets
Leeds United FC this season
Leeds United FC this season
AFC Bournemouth are 13th (9 pts). Leeds United FC are 7th (11 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
AFC Bournemouth
0-15
2/2
16-30
1/–
31-45
4/2
46-60
3/3
61-75
1/2
76+
–/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Leeds United FC
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
2/2
46-60
3/–
61-75
–/3
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
AFC Bournemouth
| Marcus Tavernier | 5 G | |
| Evanilson | 3 G | 4 A |
| Alex Scott | 1 G |
Leeds United FC
| Dominic Calvert-Lewin | 3 G | 1 A |
| Jayden Bogle | 2 G | |
| Anton Stach | 1 G |
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Jefferson Lerma | 2 |
| Dominic Solanke | 2 |
| Philip Billing | 1 |
| Marcus Tavernier | 1 |
| Patrick Bamford | 1 |
| Antoine Semenyo | 1 |
| Sean Longstaff | 1 |
| Liam Cooper | 1 |
Head to Head
AFC Bournemouth Form
Leeds United FC Form
2026-10-25
Sunderland AFC
0–0
Leeds United FC
D
2026-10-18
Leeds United FC
1–1
Manchester United FC
D
2026-10-10
Arsenal FC
2–1
Leeds United FC
L
2026-09-20
Leeds United FC
0–0
Crystal Palace FC
D
2026-09-14
Leeds United FC
4–1
Newcastle United FC
W
2026-09-05
Brighton & Hove Albion FC
1–1
Leeds United FC
D
Predictions
1.51
AFC Bournemouth xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.2
Leeds United FC xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
Both Teams to Score
Avg goals/match: 2.71
Over / Under Goals
| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 2.5 | 50% |
|
50% |
| ± 3.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
| ± 4.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
Double Chance
AFC Bournemouth or Draw
72%
Draw or Leeds United FC
54%
AFC Bournemouth or Leeds United FC
73%
Half-Time Result
Correct Score
1 – 1
13%
1 – 0
9.1%
2 – 1
8.8%
0 – 0
8.6%
2 – 0
7.4%
0 – 1
7%
1 – 2
6.9%
2 – 2
5.3%
0 – 2
4.7%
3 – 1
4.4%
3 – 0
3.7%
1 – 3
2.8%
Asian Handicap — AFC Bournemouth
| Handicap | AFC Bournemouth covers | Push | Leeds United FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 13% | 78% |
| -1.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| -1 | 22% | 21% | 57% |
| -0.5 | 43% | — | 57% |
| +0.5 | 71% | — | 29% |
| +1 | 71% | 17% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 8% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
AFC Bournemouth keeps clean sheet
31%
Leeds United FC keeps clean sheet
23%
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

