FC Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union — MLS at TQL Stadium.
- FC Cincinnati 28 games · 36 pts (2026/26)
- Philadelphia Union 29 games · 45 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 29 | 66 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 29 | 52 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 29 | 49 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 29 | 48 |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 29 | 46 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 29 | 45 |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 29 | 38 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 28 | 36 |
| 9 | New York Red Bulls | 29 | 36 |
| 10 | New York City FC | 29 | 33 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 29 | 33 |
| 12 | D.C. United SC | 28 | 33 |
| 13 | Columbus Crew SC | 29 | 32 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 29 | 30 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 29 | 24 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 29 | 52 |
| 17 | St. Louis City | 29 | 51 |
| 18 | FC Dallas | 29 | 50 |
| 19 | San Jose Earthquakes | 29 | 47 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 29 | 46 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 30 | 45 |
| 22 | Seattle Sounders FC | 29 | 41 |
| 23 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 30 | 39 |
| 24 | Colorado Rapids SC | 29 | 38 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 29 | 33 |
| 26 | Portland Timbers | 29 | 33 |
| 27 | Real Salt Lake | 29 | 33 |
| 28 | Minnesota United FC | 29 | 31 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 29 | 31 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 29 | 22 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct | New England Revolution | H | 2–3 | L |
| 10 Oct | Atlanta United FC | A | 3–1 | W |
| 26 Sep | Montreal Impact FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 20 Sep | Houston Dynamo | A | 2–2 | D |
| 12 Sep | Charlotte FC | H | 3–3 | D |
| 09 Sep | Philadelphia Union | A | 0–5 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct | Chicago Fire FC | A | 3–1 | W |
| 10 Oct | Real Salt Lake | H | 2–1 | W |
| 26 Sep | Orlando City SC | H | 4–2 | W |
| 20 Sep | Sporting Kansas City | A | 4–3 | W |
| 14 Sep | San Diego FC | A | 5–0 | W |
| 09 Sep | FC Cincinnati | H | 5–0 | W |
Season Stats
| FC Cincinnati | Philadelphia Union | |
|---|---|---|
| #8 | Position | #6 |
| 36 | Points | 45 |
| 28 | Played | 29 |
| 9 / 9 / 10 | W / D / L | 13 / 6 / 10 |
| 60 | Scored | 59 |
| 68 | Conceded | 46 |
| -8 | GD | +13 |
| 1.29 | PPG | 1.55 |
| 32% | Win % | 45% |
Key Stats
44%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
14%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
24%
Clean Sheets
Philadelphia Union this season
Philadelphia Union this season
FC Cincinnati are 8th (36 pts). Philadelphia Union are 6th (45 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
0-15
5/3
16-30
5/10
31-45
9/10
46-60
6/12
61-75
5/5
76+
15/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Philadelphia Union
0-15
4/6
16-30
4/7
31-45
7/5
46-60
11/1
61-75
15/3
76+
7/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
| Kevin Denkey | 17 G | 1 A |
| Evander | 13 G | 7 A |
| Tom Barlow | 9 G | 3 A |
| Pavel Bucha | 6 G | 3 A |
Philadelphia Union
| Milan Iloski | 18 G | 2 A |
| Bruno Damiani | 11 G | 3 A |
| Cavan Sullivan | 7 G | 5 A |
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Bruno Damiani | 5 |
| Tai Baribo | 5 |
| Brandon Vazquez | 4 |
| Luciano Acosta | 3 |
| Paxten Aaronson | 3 |
| Alejandro Bedoya | 2 |
| Quinn Sullivan | 2 |
| Daniel Gazdag | 1 |
Head to Head
FC Cincinnati Form
Philadelphia Union Form
2026-10-15
Chicago Fire FC
1–3
Philadelphia Union
W
2026-10-10
Philadelphia Union
2–1
Real Salt Lake
W
2026-09-26
Philadelphia Union
4–2
Orlando City SC
W
2026-09-20
Sporting Kansas City
3–4
Philadelphia Union
W
2026-09-14
San Diego FC
0–5
Philadelphia Union
W
2026-09-09
Philadelphia Union
5–0
FC Cincinnati
W
Predictions
2.07
FC Cincinnati xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
3.1
Philadelphia Union xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 88% + Both teams to score 82%
Match Result
Both Teams to Score
Avg goals/match: 5.17
Over / Under Goals
| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 99% |
|
1% |
| ± 1.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 2.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 3.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 4.5 | 57% |
|
43% |
Double Chance
FC Cincinnati or Draw
47%
Draw or Philadelphia Union
73%
FC Cincinnati or Philadelphia Union
80%
Half-Time Result
Correct Score
2 – 3
5.8%
1 – 3
5.7%
2 – 2
5.7%
1 – 2
5.7%
2 – 4
4.5%
1 – 4
4.4%
1 – 1
4.3%
3 – 3
4%
3 – 2
3.9%
2 – 1
3.9%
3 – 4
3.1%
0 – 2
3%
Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati
| Handicap | FC Cincinnati covers | Push | Philadelphia Union covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 7% | 87% |
| -1.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -1 | 13% | 12% | 75% |
| -0.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| +0.5 | 42% | — | 58% |
| +1 | 42% | 18% | 40% |
| +1.5 | 60% | — | 40% |
| +2 | 60% | 16% | 24% |
| +2.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
Clean Sheet
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
5%
Philadelphia Union keeps clean sheet
13%
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

