Thursday , 2 July 2026

1. FC Union Berlin vs SV Werder Bremen, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sun 8 Mar 2026 · 16:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

1. FC Union Berlin vs SV Werder BremenBundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Timo Gerach
15 games this season 🟨 1.1/game 5.7 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Mar SV Werder Bremen H 1–4 L
28 Feb Borussia Monchengladbach A 0–1 L
21 Feb Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 1–0 W
14 Feb Hamburger SV A 2–3 L
06 Feb Eintracht Frankfurt H 1–1 D
31 Jan TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Mar 1. FC Union Berlin A 4–1 W
28 Feb 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 2–0 W
22 Feb FC St. Pauli 1910 A 1–2 L
14 Feb FC Bayern München H 0–3 L
07 Feb SC Freiburg A 0–1 L
31 Jan Borussia Monchengladbach H 1–1 D

Season Stats

1. FC Union Berlin SV Werder Bremen
#11 Position #15
39 Points 32
34 Played 34
10 / 9 / 15 W / D / L 8 / 8 / 18
44 Scored 37
58 Conceded 60
-14 GD -23
1.15 PPG 0.94
29% Win % 24%

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
21% Clean Sheets
1. FC Union Berlin this season
18% Clean Sheets
SV Werder Bremen this season

1. FC Union Berlin are 11th (39 pts). SV Werder Bremen are 15th (32 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FC Union Berlin
0-15
1/2
16-30
/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/2
76+
6/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SV Werder Bremen
0-15
/2
16-30
1/2
31-45
1/2
46-60
1/2
61-75
1/3
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

1. FC Union Berlin Lineups

SV Werder Bremen Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.42 1. FC Union Berlin xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.68 SV Werder Bremen xG
I would bet for: 1. FC Union Berlin or SV Werder Bremen 73% + Both teams to score 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
1. FC Union Berlin32% Draw27% SV Werder Bremen41%
Actual: SV Werder Bremen win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes62% 0% No38%
Avg goals/match: 3.1
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 59%
41%
± 3.5 37%
63%
± 4.5 21%
79%

Double Chance

1. FC Union Berlin or Draw
59%
Draw or SV Werder Bremen
68%
1. FC Union Berlin or SV Werder Bremen
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
1. FC Union Berlin25% Draw43% SV Werder Bremen32%
Actual: SV Werder Bremen win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 1–4 not predicted
1 – 4
Actual
1 – 1
11.6%
1 – 2
8.7%
2 – 1
7.4%
0 – 1
6.8%
0 – 2
6.3%
2 – 2
6.2%
0 – 0
6.2%
1 – 0
5.6%
1 – 3
4.8%
2 – 0
4.5%
2 – 3
3.5%
3 – 1
3.5%

Asian Handicap — 1. FC Union Berlin

Handicap 1. FC Union Berlin covers Push SV Werder Bremen covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 9% 85%
-1.5 15% 85%
-1 15% 17% 68%
-0.5 32% 68%
+0.5 58% 42%
+1 58% 20% 23%
+1.5 77% 23%
+2 77% 13% 10%
+2.5 90% 10%

Clean Sheet

1. FC Union Berlin keeps clean sheet
19%
SV Werder Bremen keeps clean sheet
25%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.