Millwall FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
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Overview
Match Preview
Millwall FC vs Derby County FC — Championship .
- Millwall FC 46 games · 83 pts (2025/26)
- Derby County FC 46 games · 69 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Matt Donohue
30 games this season 🟨 0.5/game ⚽ 2.7 goals/gameStandings
# Team P Pts 1 Coventry City FC 46 95 2 Ipswich Town FC 46 84 3 Millwall FC 46 83 4 Southampton FC 46 80 5 Middlesbrough FC 46 80 6 Hull City AFC 46 73 7 Wrexham AFC 46 71 8 Derby County FC 46 69 9 Norwich City FC 46 65 10 Birmingham City FC 46 64 11 Swansea City AFC 46 64 12 Bristol City FC 46 62 13 Sheffield United FC 46 60 14 Preston North End FC 46 60 15 Queens Park Rangers FC 46 58 16 Watford FC 46 57 17 Stoke City FC 46 55 18 Portsmouth FC 46 55 19 Charlton Athletic FC 46 53 20 Blackburn Rovers FC 46 52 21 West Bromwich Albion FC 46 51 22 Oxford United FC 46 47 23 Leicester City FC 46 46 24 Sheffield Wednesday FC 46 0 Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Date Opponent H/A Score Result 10 Mar Derby County FC H 1–0 W 07 Mar Hull City AFC A 3–1 W 28 Feb Preston North End FC A 2–0 W 25 Feb Birmingham City FC H 3–0 W 21 Feb Portsmouth FC H 1–3 L 14 Feb Sheffield Wednesday FC A 2–1 W Date Opponent H/A Score Result 10 Mar Millwall FC A 0–1 L 07 Mar Sheffield Wednesday FC H 2–1 W 28 Feb Blackburn Rovers FC H 3–1 W 24 Feb Hull City AFC A 2–4 L 21 Feb Watford FC A 0–2 L 14 Feb Swansea City AFC H 2–0 W Season Stats
Millwall FC Derby County FC #3 Position #8 83 Points 69 46 Played 46 24 / 11 / 11 W / D / L 20 / 9 / 17 64 Scored 67 49 Conceded 59 +15 GD +8 1.80 PPG 1.50 52% Win % 43% Key Stats
50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history40% Clean Sheets
Millwall FC this season26% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this seasonMillwall FC are 3rd (83 pts). Derby County FC are 8th (69 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Millwall FC0-151/–16-302/131-451/–46-604/–61-751/276+2/3■ Scored ■ ConcededDerby County FC0-151/216-302/–31-452/146-602/261-75–/576+4/1■ Scored ■ Conceded -
Events
Match Events
- 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Millwall FC is hosting Derby County FC for another epic battle.
- The final score is 1-0.
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Lineups
Millwall FC Lineups
Derby County FC Lineups
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H2H
H2H Top Scorers
Player Goals Louie Sibley 3 Jed Wallace 2 Jerry Yates 1 Tom Bradshaw 1 Mihailo Ivanovic 1 Josh Coburn 1 Connor Mahoney 1 Matt Smith 1 Head to Head
Millwall FC Form
Derby County FC Form
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Predictions
Prediction accuracy3 / 41.62 Millwall FC xGExpected GoalsDixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo0.91 Derby County FC xGI would bet for: Millwall FC to win 56%Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Millwall FC winBoth Teams to Score
✓ CorrectAvg goals/match: 2.53Actual: No — clean sheetOver / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5Line Over Under ± 0.5 90% 10% ± 1.5 72% 28% ± 2.5 46% 54% ± 3.5 25% 75% ± 4.5 12% 88% Double Chance
Millwall FC or Draw 81%Draw or Derby County FC 44%Millwall FC or Derby County FC 75%Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Millwall FC win at HTCorrect Score
✓ In top 121 – 1 12.6%1 – 0 Actual2 – 0 10.2%0 – 0 10%2 – 1 9.2%0 – 1 6.2%3 – 0 5.4%1 – 2 5.1%3 – 1 5%2 – 2 4.2%0 – 2 3.2%3 – 2 2.4%Asian Handicap — Millwall FC
Handicap Millwall FC covers Push Derby County FC covers -2.5 12% — 88% -2 12% 16% 71% -1.5 29% — 71% -1 29% 24% 47% -0.5 53% — 47% +0.5 80% — 20% +1 80% 13% 7% +1.5 93% — 7% +2 93% 5% 2% +2.5 98% — 2% Clean Sheet
Millwall FC keeps clean sheet 41% ✗Derby County FC keeps clean sheet 21% ✓Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.