Millwall FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Championship · 2025-26

Millwall FC

1 – 0

Full Time

Derby County FC

Tue 10 Mar 2026 · 19:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Millwall FC vs Derby County FC — Championship .

Millwall FC 12 games · 15 pts (2026/27)
Derby County FC 12 games · 7 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Matt Donohue

6 games this season 🟨 4.0/game ⚽ 9.0 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Middlesbrough FC	12	25
2	Swansea City AFC	12	23
3	West Ham United FC	12	22
4	Wolverhampton Wanderers FC	12	21
5	Southampton FC	12	20
6	Birmingham City FC	12	20
7	Queens Park Rangers FC	12	20
8	West Bromwich Albion FC	11	20
9	Stoke City FC	12	20
10	Blackburn Rovers FC	12	18
11	Portsmouth FC	12	18
12	Sheffield United FC	12	16
13	Millwall FC	12	15
14	Bristol City FC	12	15
15	Lincoln City FC	12	15
16	Cardiff City FC	12	14
17	Wrexham AFC	12	14
18	Charlton Athletic FC	12	14
19	Bolton Wanderers FC	12	14
20	Norwich City FC	12	12
21	Watford FC	12	11
22	Burnley FC	12	8
23	Derby County FC	12	7
24	Preston North End FC	11	4

Head-to-Head

Millwall FC 12 games · Avg 1.9 goals Derby County FC

Last 5 meetings

2026-03-10 Millwall FC 1–0 Derby County FC 2025-12-10 Derby County FC 1–1 Millwall FC 2025-02-22 Derby County FC 0–1 Millwall FC 2024-10-19 Millwall FC 1–1 Derby County FC 2022-02-23 Derby County FC 1–2 Millwall FC

Recent Form

Millwall FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
10 Mar	Derby County FC	H	1–0	W
07 Mar	Hull City AFC	A	3–1	W
28 Feb	Preston North End FC	A	2–0	W
25 Feb	Birmingham City FC	H	3–0	W
21 Feb	Portsmouth FC	H	1–3	L
14 Feb	Sheffield Wednesday FC	A	2–1	W

Derby County FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
10 Mar	Millwall FC	A	0–1	L
07 Mar	Sheffield Wednesday FC	H	2–1	W
28 Feb	Blackburn Rovers FC	H	3–1	W
24 Feb	Hull City AFC	A	2–4	L
21 Feb	Watford FC	A	0–2	L
14 Feb	Swansea City AFC	H	2–0	W

Season Stats

Millwall FC		Derby County FC
#13	Position	#23
15	Points	7
12	Played	12
4 / 3 / 5	W / D / L	1 / 4 / 7
19	Scored	10
20	Conceded	21
-1	GD	-11
1.25	PPG	0.58
33%	Win %	8%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)

25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

36% Clean Sheets
Millwall FC this season

9% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

Millwall FC are 13th (15 pts). Derby County FC are 23rd (7 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Millwall FC

0-15

2/1

16-30

2/1

31-45

4/3

46-60

3/4

61-75

1/4

76+

6/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Derby County FC

0-15

1/2

16-30

3/4

31-45

1/5

46-60

1/1

61-75

1/3

76+

2/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Millwall FC

Lyndon Dykes	4 G	1 A
Camiel Neghli	3 G	2 A
Tairyk Arconte	3 G
Josh Coburn	2 G
Luke Cundle	1 G

Derby County FC

Samuel Szmodics	3 G	1 A
Bobby Clark	2 G	2 A
Carlton Morris	1 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' The wait is over. Millwall FC get us underway at .
Another three points for Millwall FC.

Lineups

Millwall FC Lineups

Derby County FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Louie Sibley	3
Jed Wallace	2
Josh Coburn	1
Connor Mahoney	1
Matt Smith	1
David Nugent	1
Jason Knight	1
Shaun Williams	1

Head to Head

Millwall FC Form

2026-03-10 Millwall FC 1–0 Derby County FC W 2026-03-07 Hull City AFC 1–3 Millwall FC W 2026-02-28 Preston North End FC 0–2 Millwall FC W 2026-02-25 Millwall FC 3–0 Birmingham City FC W 2026-02-21 Millwall FC 1–3 Portsmouth FC L 2026-02-14 Sheffield Wednesday FC 1–2 Millwall FC W

Derby County FC Form

2026-03-10 Millwall FC 1–0 Derby County FC L 2026-03-07 Derby County FC 2–1 Sheffield Wednesday FC W 2026-02-28 Derby County FC 3–1 Blackburn Rovers FC W 2026-02-24 Hull City AFC 4–2 Derby County FC L 2026-02-21 Watford FC 2–0 Derby County FC L 2026-02-14 Derby County FC 2–0 Swansea City AFC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.94 Millwall FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.79 Derby County FC xG

I would bet for: Millwall FC to win 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Millwall FC63% Draw22% Derby County FC15%

Actual: Millwall FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes47% 0% No53%

Avg goals/match: 2.73

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	92%	8%
± 1.5	75%	25%
± 2.5	51%	49%
± 3.5	29%	71%
± 4.5	15%	85%

Double Chance

Millwall FC or Draw

86%

Draw or Derby County FC

37%

Millwall FC or Derby County FC

78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Millwall FC44% Draw44% Derby County FC12%

Actual: Millwall FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 0

Actual

2 – 0

12%

1 – 1

10.8%

2 – 1

9.4%

0 – 0

8.3%

3 – 0

7.6%

3 – 1

6.1%

0 – 1

4.3%

1 – 2

3.8%

2 – 2

3.7%

4 – 0

3.7%

4 – 1

Asian Handicap — Millwall FC

Handicap	Millwall FC covers	Push	Derby County FC covers
-2.5	19%	—	81%
-2	19%	20%	61%
-1.5	39%	—	61%
-1	39%	24%	37%
-0.5	63%	—	37%
+0.5	86%	—	14%
+1	86%	9%	4%
+1.5	96%	—	4%
+2	96%	3%	1%
+2.5	99%	—	1%

Clean Sheet

Millwall FC keeps clean sheet

46% ✗

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet

15% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.