Olympique de Marseille vs Toulouse FC, Ligue 1 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
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Overview
Match Preview
Olympique de Marseille vs Toulouse FC — Ligue 1 .
- Olympique de Marseille 34 games · 59 pts (2025/26)
- Toulouse FC 33 games · 44 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Eric Wattellier
16 games this season 🟨 0.6/game ⚽ 5.2 goals/game 🟥 1 totalStandings
# Team P Pts 1 Paris Saint-Germain FC 34 76 2 Racing Club de Lens 34 70 3 Lille OSC 34 61 4 Olympique Lyonnais 34 60 5 Olympique de Marseille 34 59 6 Stade Rennais FC 1901 34 59 7 AS Monaco FC 34 54 8 RC Strasbourg Alsace 34 53 9 FC Lorient 34 45 10 Toulouse FC 33 44 11 Paris FC 34 44 12 Stade Brestois 29 34 39 13 Angers SCO 34 36 14 Le Havre AC 34 35 15 AJ Auxerre 34 34 16 OGC Nice 34 32 17 FC Nantes 33 23 18 FC Metz 34 17 Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Date Opponent H/A Score Result 29 Nov Toulouse FC H 2–2 D 25 Nov Newcastle United FC H 2–1 W 21 Nov OGC Nice A 5–1 W 08 Nov Stade Brestois 29 H 3–0 W 05 Nov Atalanta BC H 0–1 L 01 Nov AJ Auxerre A 1–0 W Date Opponent H/A Score Result 29 Nov Olympique de Marseille A 2–2 D 23 Nov Angers SCO H 0–1 L 09 Nov FC Lorient A 1–1 D 02 Nov Le Havre AC H 0–0 D 29 Oct Stade Rennais FC 1901 H 2–2 D 25 Oct AS Monaco FC A 0–1 L Season Stats
Olympique de Marseille Toulouse FC #5 Position #10 59 Points 44 34 Played 33 18 / 5 / 11 W / D / L 12 / 8 / 13 63 Scored 47 45 Conceded 46 +18 GD +1 1.74 PPG 1.33 53% Win % 36% Key Stats
55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)55% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history27% Clean Sheets
Olympique de Marseille this season27% Clean Sheets
Toulouse FC this seasonOlympique de Marseille are 5th (59 pts). Toulouse FC are 10th (44 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Olympique de Marseille0-153/–16-30–/131-45–/–46-603/661-751/176+2/2■ Scored ■ ConcededToulouse FC0-153/116-301/431-451/146-60–/261-751/376+3/3■ Scored ■ Conceded -
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Olympique de Marseille to score. At the same time, Toulouse FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.
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Lineups
Olympique de Marseille Lineups
Toulouse FC Lineups
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H2H
H2H Top Scorers
Player Goals Dimitri Payet 4 Nuno Tavares 4 Cengiz Under 3 Mason Greenwood 3 Branco van den Boomen 2 Florian Thauvin 2 Valentin Rongier 2 Dimitri Payet 2 Head to Head
Olympique de Marseille Form
2025-11-29 Olympique de Marseille 2–2 Toulouse FC D 2025-11-25 Olympique de Marseille 2–1 Newcastle United FC W 2025-11-21 OGC Nice 1–5 Olympique de Marseille W 2025-11-08 Olympique de Marseille 3–0 Stade Brestois 29 W 2025-11-05 Olympique de Marseille 0–1 Atalanta BC L 2025-11-01 AJ Auxerre 0–1 Olympique de Marseille W -
Predictions
Prediction accuracy2 / 41.98 Olympique de Marseille xGExpected GoalsDixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo1.3 Toulouse FC xGI would bet for: Both teams to score 63% + Over 2.5 goals 63%Match Result
✗ WrongActual: DrawBoth Teams to Score
✓ CorrectAvg goals/match: 3.28Actual: Yes — both scoredOver / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5Line Over Under ± 0.5 95% 5% ± 1.5 84% 16% ± 2.5 63% 37% ± 3.5 41% 59% ± 4.5 24% 76% Double Chance
Olympique de Marseille or Draw 77%Draw or Toulouse FC 47%Olympique de Marseille or Toulouse FC 77%Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Toulouse FC win at HTCorrect Score
✓ In top 121 – 1 10.6%2 – 1 9.2%2 – 0 7.4%1 – 0 6.8%1 – 2 6.1%3 – 1 6.1%2 – 2 Actual0 – 0 5.3%3 – 0 4.8%0 – 1 4.2%3 – 2 4%0 – 2 3.2%Asian Handicap — Olympique de Marseille
Handicap Olympique de Marseille covers Push Toulouse FC covers -2.5 15% — 85% -2 15% 16% 69% -1.5 31% — 69% -1 31% 21% 48% -0.5 52% — 48% +0.5 76% — 24% +1 76% 14% 10% +1.5 90% — 10% +2 90% 7% 4% +2.5 96% — 4% Clean Sheet
Olympique de Marseille keeps clean sheet 28% ✓Toulouse FC keeps clean sheet 15% ✓Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.