Wednesday , 30 September 2026

FC Arouca vs CD Nacional, Primeira Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Primeira Liga · 2025-26
FC Arouca
3 – 0
Full Time
CD Nacional
Sat 21 Feb 2026 · 15:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FC Arouca vs CD Nacional — Primeira Liga .

Match Details

  • Referee Lui-s Carlos Mateus Filipe (Portugal)

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 FC Porto 7 21
2 Sport Lisboa e Benfica 7 16
3 Sporting Clube de Portugal 7 15
4 CD Santa Clara 7 15
5 FC Arouca 7 11
6 Sporting Clube de Braga 6 11
7 Académico de Viseu FC 7 11
8 CF Estrela da Amadora 7 10
9 Moreirense FC 7 8
10 Gil Vicente FC 6 8
11 CS Marítimo 7 8
12 FC Alverca 7 8
13 FC Famalicão 7 7
14 Vitória SC 7 5
15 CD Nacional 7 4
16 Rio Ave FC 7 4
17 Casa Pia AC 7 4
18 GD Estoril Praia 7 2

Head-to-Head

4
FC Arouca 4 games · Avg 2.5 goals CD Nacional
Last 5 meetings
2026-02-21 FC Arouca 3–0 CD Nacional 2025-09-20 CD Nacional 1–2 FC Arouca 2025-02-01 CD Nacional 1–2 FC Arouca 2024-08-25 FC Arouca 1–0 CD Nacional

Recent Form

FC Arouca
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Feb CD Nacional H 3–0 W
14 Feb Casa Pia AC A 2–3 L
07 Feb Vitória SC H 3–2 W
31 Jan Rio Ave FC A 3–0 W
24 Jan Sporting Clube de Portugal H 1–2 L
17 Jan AVS A 1–0 W
CD Nacional
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Feb FC Arouca A 0–3 L
15 Feb FC Porto H 0–1 L
08 Feb Casa Pia AC H 0–0 D
01 Feb Sporting Clube de Portugal A 1–2 L
25 Jan Rio Ave FC H 4–0 W
17 Jan Gil Vicente FC A 1–2 L

Season Stats

FC Arouca CD Nacional
#5 Position #15
11 Points 4
7 Played 7
3 / 2 / 2 W / D / L 1 / 1 / 5
10 Scored 7
7 Conceded 15
+3 GD -8
1.57 PPG 0.57
43% Win % 14%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
43% Clean Sheets
FC Arouca this season
14% Clean Sheets
CD Nacional this season

FC Arouca are 5th (11 pts). CD Nacional are 15th (4 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Arouca
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/3
31-45
2/1
46-60
3/–
61-75
–/1
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CD Nacional
0-15
1/3
16-30
–/2
31-45
2/6
46-60
–/1
61-75
2/2
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Arouca
Barbero 4 G
Jose Fontan 2 G
Dylan Nandin 2 G
CD Nacional
Liziero 1 G 1 A
Leo Santos 1 G
Miguel Baeza 1 G
Ze Vitor 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. FC Arouca get us underway at .
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 3-0 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

FC Arouca Lineups

CD Nacional Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Henrique Araujo 2
Ulisses 1
Pablo Gozalbez 1

Head to Head

2026-02-21 FC Arouca 3–0 CD Nacional 2025-09-20 CD Nacional 1–2 FC Arouca 2025-02-01 CD Nacional 1–2 FC Arouca 2024-08-25 FC Arouca 1–0 CD Nacional

FC Arouca Form

2026-02-21 FC Arouca 3–0 CD Nacional W 2026-02-14 Casa Pia AC 3–2 FC Arouca L 2026-02-07 FC Arouca 3–2 Vitória SC W 2026-01-31 Rio Ave FC 0–3 FC Arouca W 2026-01-24 FC Arouca 1–2 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 2026-01-17 AVS 0–1 FC Arouca W

CD Nacional Form

2026-02-21 FC Arouca 3–0 CD Nacional L 2026-02-15 CD Nacional 0–1 FC Porto L 2026-02-08 CD Nacional 0–0 Casa Pia AC D 2026-02-01 Sporting Clube de Portugal 2–1 CD Nacional L 2026-01-25 CD Nacional 4–0 Rio Ave FC W 2026-01-17 Gil Vicente FC 2–1 CD Nacional L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.49 FC Arouca xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.71 CD Nacional xG
I would bet for: FC Arouca to win 72% + Over 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Arouca72% Draw18% CD Nacional10%
Actual: FC Arouca win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 3.2
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 61%
39%
± 3.5 39%
61%
± 4.5 22%
78%

Double Chance

FC Arouca or Draw
90%
Draw or CD Nacional
28%
FC Arouca or CD Nacional
82%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FC Arouca54% Draw37% CD Nacional9%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
12.5%
3 – 0
Actual
1 – 0
9.9%
2 – 1
8.7%
1 – 1
7.9%
3 – 1
7.2%
4 – 0
6.2%
0 – 0
5.5%
4 – 1
4.5%
5 – 0
3.1%
2 – 2
3.1%
3 – 2
2.6%

Asian Handicap — FC Arouca

Handicap FC Arouca covers Push CD Nacional covers
-2.5 31% — 69%
-2 31% 22% 47%
-1.5 53% — 47%
-1 53% 22% 25%
-0.5 75% — 25%
+0.5 92% — 8%
+1 92% 6% 2%
+1.5 98% — 2%
+2 98% 2% 0%
+2.5 100% — 0%

Clean Sheet

FC Arouca keeps clean sheet
49% ✗
CD Nacional keeps clean sheet
9% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.