FC Arouca vs CD Nacional, Primeira Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
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Overview
Match Preview
FC Arouca vs CD Nacional — Primeira Liga .
- FC Arouca 34 games · 42 pts (2025/26)
- CD Nacional 34 games · 34 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Lui-s Carlos Mateus Filipe (Portugal)
5 games this season 🟨 0.6/game ⚽ 4.4 goals/gameStandings
# Team P Pts 1 FC Porto 34 88 2 Sporting Clube de Portugal 34 82 3 Sport Lisboa e Benfica 34 80 4 Sporting Clube de Braga 34 59 5 FC Famalicão 34 56 6 Gil Vicente FC 34 50 7 Moreirense FC 34 43 8 FC Arouca 34 42 9 Vitória SC 34 42 10 GD Estoril Praia 34 39 11 FC Alverca 34 39 12 Rio Ave FC 34 36 13 CD Santa Clara 34 36 14 CD Nacional 34 34 15 CF Estrela da Amadora 34 30 16 Casa Pia AC 34 30 17 CD Tondela 34 28 18 AVS 34 21 Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Date Opponent H/A Score Result 21 Feb CD Nacional H 3–0 W 14 Feb Casa Pia AC A 2–3 L 07 Feb Vitória SC H 3–2 W 31 Jan Rio Ave FC A 3–0 W 24 Jan Sporting Clube de Portugal H 1–2 L 17 Jan AVS A 1–0 W Date Opponent H/A Score Result 21 Feb FC Arouca A 0–3 L 15 Feb FC Porto H 0–1 L 08 Feb Casa Pia AC H 0–0 D 01 Feb Sporting Clube de Portugal A 1–2 L 25 Jan Rio Ave FC H 4–0 W 17 Jan Gil Vicente FC A 1–2 L Season Stats
FC Arouca CD Nacional #8 Position #14 42 Points 34 34 Played 34 12 / 6 / 16 W / D / L 9 / 7 / 18 47 Scored 37 64 Conceded 45 -17 GD -8 1.24 PPG 1.00 35% Win % 26% Key Stats
50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history21% Clean Sheets
FC Arouca this season24% Clean Sheets
CD Nacional this seasonFC Arouca are 8th (42 pts). CD Nacional are 14th (34 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Arouca0-152/316-301/–31-451/146-603/–61-752/476+4/1■ Scored ■ ConcededCD Nacional0-152/216-301/131-45–/146-60–/–61-753/176+1/1■ Scored ■ Conceded -
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: CD Nacional gets underway.
- With this win, FC Arouca is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
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Lineups
FC Arouca Lineups
CD Nacional Lineups
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H2H
H2H Top Scorers
Player Goals Henrique Araujo 2 Ulisses 1 Pablo Gozalbez 1 Head to Head
FC Arouca Form
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Predictions
Prediction accuracy3 / 41.98 FC Arouca xGExpected GoalsDixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo1.1 CD Nacional xGI would bet for: FC Arouca to win 60% + Over 2.5 goals 59%Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Arouca winBoth Teams to Score
✗ WrongAvg goals/match: 3.08Actual: No — clean sheetOver / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5Line Over Under ± 0.5 94% 6% ± 1.5 81% 19% ± 2.5 59% 41% ± 3.5 37% 63% ± 4.5 20% 80% Double Chance
FC Arouca or Draw 82%Draw or CD Nacional 40%FC Arouca or CD Nacional 78%Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HTCorrect Score
✓ In top 121 – 1 10.8%2 – 1 9.5%2 – 0 8.9%1 – 0 8.5%3 – 1 6.3%0 – 0 6.2%3 – 0 Actual1 – 2 5.3%2 – 2 5.2%0 – 1 4.3%3 – 2 3.5%4 – 1 3.2%Asian Handicap — FC Arouca
Handicap FC Arouca covers Push CD Nacional covers -2.5 17% — 83% -2 17% 17% 66% -1.5 34% — 66% -1 34% 22% 43% -0.5 57% — 43% +0.5 80% — 20% +1 80% 12% 8% +1.5 92% — 8% +2 92% 5% 2% +2.5 98% — 2% Clean Sheet
FC Arouca keeps clean sheet 34% ✗CD Nacional keeps clean sheet 15% ✓Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

