Melbourne Victory FC vs Central Coast Mariners FC, A League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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A League · 2025-26

Melbourne Victory FC

4 – 1

Full Time

Central Coast Mariners FC

Sat 21 Mar 2026 · 06:10 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Melbourne Victory FC vs Central Coast Mariners FC — A League .

Melbourne Victory FC 26 games · 40 pts (2026/27)
Central Coast Mariners FC 26 games · 32 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Alex King
Referee Isabella Cooper (Australia)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Newcastle United Jets FC	26	48
2	Adelaide United FC	26	43
3	Auckland FC	26	42
4	Melbourne Victory FC	26	40
5	Sydney FC	26	39
6	Melbourne City FC	26	38
7	Macarthur FC	26	34
8	Wellington Phoenix FC	26	33
9	Central Coast Mariners FC	26	32
10	Perth Glory FC	26	31
11	Brisbane Roar FC	26	26
12	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	26	21

Head-to-Head

Melbourne Victory FC 19 games · Avg 2.9 goals Central Coast Mariners FC

Last 5 meetings

2026-03-21 Melbourne Victory FC 4–1 Central Coast Mariners FC 2026-02-01 Central Coast Mariners FC 1–0 Melbourne Victory FC 2025-03-08 Melbourne Victory FC 3–0 Central Coast Mariners FC 2024-10-18 Central Coast Mariners FC 0–0 Melbourne Victory FC 2024-05-25 Central Coast Mariners FC 3–1 Melbourne Victory FC

Recent Form

Melbourne Victory FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
21 Mar	Central Coast Mariners FC	H	4–1	W
15 Mar	Macarthur FC	H	4–1	W
07 Mar	Sydney FC	A	2–2	D
27 Feb	Adelaide United FC	H	1–1	D
21 Feb	Melbourne City FC	A	3–1	W
14 Feb	Brisbane Roar FC	H	1–1	D

Central Coast Mariners FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
21 Mar	Melbourne Victory FC	A	1–4	L
14 Mar	Adelaide United FC	H	1–1	D
04 Mar	Macarthur FC	A	3–1	W
28 Feb	Newcastle United Jets FC	H	0–0	D
22 Feb	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	H	3–2	W
07 Feb	Brisbane Roar FC	A	2–1	W

Season Stats

Melbourne Victory FC		Central Coast Mariners FC
#4	Position	#9
40	Points	32
26	Played	26
11 / 7 / 8	W / D / L	8 / 8 / 10
44	Scored	35
33	Conceded	42
+11	GD	-7
1.54	PPG	1.23
42%	Win %	31%

Key Stats

68% Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)

53% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts). Central Coast Mariners FC are 9th (32 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' In just a few seconds will turn into a battlefield for Melbourne Victory FC and Central Coast Mariners FC.
Full Time. Melbourne Victory FC beats Central Coast Mariners FC

Lineups

Melbourne Victory FC Lineups

Central Coast Mariners FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Nishan Velupillay	3
Matt Simon	3
Jason Cummings	3
Bruno Fornaroli	3
Ben Kennedy	2
Callum McManaman	2
Andrew Hoole	2
Ryan Edmondson	2

Head to Head

Melbourne Victory FC Form

2026-03-21 Melbourne Victory FC 4–1 Central Coast Mariners FC W 2026-03-15 Melbourne Victory FC 4–1 Macarthur FC W 2026-03-07 Sydney FC 2–2 Melbourne Victory FC D 2026-02-27 Melbourne Victory FC 1–1 Adelaide United FC D 2026-02-21 Melbourne City FC 1–3 Melbourne Victory FC W 2026-02-14 Melbourne Victory FC 1–1 Brisbane Roar FC D

Central Coast Mariners FC Form

2026-03-21 Melbourne Victory FC 4–1 Central Coast Mariners FC L 2026-03-14 Central Coast Mariners FC 1–1 Adelaide United FC D 2026-03-04 Macarthur FC 1–3 Central Coast Mariners FC W 2026-02-28 Central Coast Mariners FC 0–0 Newcastle United Jets FC D 2026-02-22 Central Coast Mariners FC 3–2 Western Sydney Wanderers FC W 2026-02-07 Brisbane Roar FC 1–2 Central Coast Mariners FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

2.26 Melbourne Victory FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.23 Central Coast Mariners FC xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 67% + Both teams to score 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Melbourne Victory FC57% Draw22% Central Coast Mariners FC21%

Actual: Melbourne Victory FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes63% 0% No37%

Avg goals/match: 3.49

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	86%	14%
± 2.5	67%	33%
± 3.5	45%	55%
± 4.5	27%	73%

Double Chance

Melbourne Victory FC or Draw

79%

Draw or Central Coast Mariners FC

43%

Melbourne Victory FC or Central Coast Mariners FC

78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Melbourne Victory FC44% Draw39% Central Coast Mariners FC17%

Actual: Central Coast Mariners FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

9.3%

2 – 1

9.3%

2 – 0

7.8%

3 – 1

6.9%

1 – 0

6.4%

3 – 0

5.7%

2 – 2

5.7%

1 – 2

5.1%

0 – 0

4.4%

3 – 2

4.3%

4 – 1

Actual

4 – 0

3.2%

Asian Handicap — Melbourne Victory FC

Handicap	Melbourne Victory FC covers	Push	Central Coast Mariners FC covers
-2.5	20%	—	80%
-2	20%	18%	62%
-1.5	38%	—	62%
-1	38%	21%	41%
-0.5	59%	—	41%
+0.5	81%	—	19%
+1	81%	11%	8%
+1.5	92%	—	8%
+2	92%	5%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet

30% ✓

Central Coast Mariners FC keeps clean sheet

11% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.