Thursday , 2 July 2026

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs SV Werder Bremen, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sat 1 Nov 2025 · 14:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs SV Werder BremenBundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Florian Badstubner
18 games this season 🟨 0.8/game 4.5 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Nov SV Werder Bremen H 1–1 D
29 Oct VfB Stuttgart H 0–2 L
26 Oct VfB Stuttgart A 1–2 L
18 Oct Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 3–4 L
05 Oct Hamburger SV A 0–4 L
27 Sep Borussia Dortmund H 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Nov 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 1–1 D
24 Oct 1. FC Union Berlin H 1–0 W
18 Oct 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 2–2 D
04 Oct FC St. Pauli 1910 H 1–0 W
26 Sep FC Bayern München A 0–4 L
20 Sep SC Freiburg H 0–3 L

Season Stats

1. FSV Mainz 05 SV Werder Bremen
#10 Position #15
40 Points 32
34 Played 34
10 / 10 / 14 W / D / L 8 / 8 / 18
44 Scored 37
53 Conceded 60
-9 GD -23
1.18 PPG 0.94
29% Win % 24%

Key Stats

43% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
12% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
18% Clean Sheets
SV Werder Bremen this season

1. FSV Mainz 05 are 10th (40 pts). SV Werder Bremen are 15th (32 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
4/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
/1
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SV Werder Bremen
0-15
/2
16-30
1/2
31-45
1/2
46-60
1/2
61-75
1/3
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

SV Werder Bremen Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.38 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.37 SV Werder Bremen xG
I would bet for: 1. FSV Mainz 05 or SV Werder Bremen 72% + Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
1. FSV Mainz 0534% Draw28% SV Werder Bremen38%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.75
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
63%
Draw or SV Werder Bremen
66%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or SV Werder Bremen
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
1. FSV Mainz 0527% Draw47% SV Werder Bremen26%
Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
8.3%
2 – 1
8%
1 – 2
8%
1 – 0
7.8%
0 – 1
7.8%
2 – 0
6%
0 – 2
5.9%
2 – 2
5.5%
3 – 1
3.7%
1 – 3
3.7%
3 – 0
2.7%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers Push SV Werder Bremen covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 11% 83%
-1.5 17% 83%
-1 17% 19% 64%
-0.5 36% 64%
+0.5 64% 36%
+1 64% 19% 17%
+1.5 83% 17%
+2 83% 11% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
26%
SV Werder Bremen keeps clean sheet
26%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.