Birmingham City FC vs Watford FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Championship · 2025-26

Birmingham City FC

2 – 1

Full Time

Watford FC

Mon 1 Dec 2025 · 20:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Birmingham City FC vs Watford FC — Championship .

Birmingham City FC 7 games · 10 pts (2026/27)
Watford FC 7 games · 8 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Adam Herczeg

4 games this season 🟨 2.8/game ⚽ 14.8 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	West Ham United FC	7	14
2	Swansea City AFC	7	14
3	West Bromwich Albion FC	7	14
4	Middlesbrough FC	6	13
5	Queens Park Rangers FC	7	12
6	Charlton Athletic FC	7	12
7	Wolverhampton Wanderers FC	6	11
8	Southampton FC	7	10
9	Birmingham City FC	7	10
10	Stoke City FC	7	10
11	Bristol City FC	6	10
12	Norwich City FC	7	9
13	Millwall FC	6	9
14	Sheffield United FC	7	9
15	Blackburn Rovers FC	7	8
16	Lincoln City FC	6	8
17	Watford FC	7	8
18	Portsmouth FC	6	7
19	Wrexham AFC	7	7
20	Bolton Wanderers FC	7	7
21	Cardiff City FC	7	4
22	Derby County FC	7	4
23	Preston North End FC	7	3
24	Burnley FC	7	3

Head-to-Head

Birmingham City FC 8 games · Avg 2.3 goals Watford FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-12-01 Birmingham City FC 2–1 Watford FC 2024-03-16 Birmingham City FC 0–1 Watford FC 2023-09-16 Watford FC 2–0 Birmingham City FC 2023-03-14 Watford FC 3–0 Birmingham City FC 2022-08-16 Birmingham City FC 1–1 Watford FC

Recent Form

Birmingham City FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
01 Dec	Watford FC	H	2–1	W
26 Nov	West Bromwich Albion FC	A	1–1	D
22 Nov	Norwich City FC	H	4–1	W
08 Nov	Middlesbrough FC	A	1–2	L
04 Nov	Millwall FC	H	4–0	W
01 Nov	Portsmouth FC	H	4–0	W

Watford FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
01 Dec	Birmingham City FC	A	1–2	L
25 Nov	Preston North End FC	H	1–1	D
22 Nov	Derby County FC	A	3–2	W
07 Nov	Bristol City FC	H	1–1	D
04 Nov	Ipswich Town FC	A	1–1	D
01 Nov	Middlesbrough FC	H	3–0	W

Season Stats

Birmingham City FC		Watford FC
#9	Position	#17
10	Points	8
7	Played	7
2 / 4 / 1	W / D / L	2 / 2 / 3
10	Scored	7
9	Conceded	9
+1	GD	-2
1.43	PPG	1.14
29%	Win %	29%

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

14% Clean Sheets
Birmingham City FC this season

0% Clean Sheets
Watford FC this season

Birmingham City FC are 9th (10 pts). Watford FC are 17th (8 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Birmingham City FC

0-15

1/1

16-30

1/1

31-45

1/5

46-60

1/1

61-75

3/–

76+

1/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Watford FC

0-15

2/2

16-30

2/2

31-45

–/2

46-60

–/2

61-75

1/–

76+

2/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Birmingham City FC

Phil Neumann	2 G
Demarai Gray	1 G

Watford FC

Amin Nabizada	3 G
Iker Bravo	1 G
Luca Kjerrumgaard	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' Three points are at stake. Birmingham City FC host Watford FC — let the battle begin!
The final score is 2-1.

Lineups

Birmingham City FC Lineups

Watford FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Ken Sema	2
Andre Gray	1
George Hall	1
Britt Assombalonga	1
Keinan Davis	1
Imran Louza	1
Ryan Andrews	1
Mileta Rajovic	1

Head to Head

Birmingham City FC Form

2025-12-01 Birmingham City FC 2–1 Watford FC W 2025-11-26 West Bromwich Albion FC 1–1 Birmingham City FC D 2025-11-22 Birmingham City FC 4–1 Norwich City FC W 2025-11-08 Middlesbrough FC 2–1 Birmingham City FC L 2025-11-04 Birmingham City FC 4–0 Millwall FC W 2025-11-01 Birmingham City FC 4–0 Portsmouth FC W

Watford FC Form

2025-12-01 Birmingham City FC 2–1 Watford FC L 2025-11-25 Watford FC 1–1 Preston North End FC D 2025-11-22 Derby County FC 2–3 Watford FC W 2025-11-07 Watford FC 1–1 Bristol City FC D 2025-11-04 Ipswich Town FC 1–1 Watford FC D 2025-11-01 Watford FC 3–0 Middlesbrough FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.66 Birmingham City FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.12 Watford FC xG

I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct

Birmingham City FC49% Draw26% Watford FC25%

Actual: Birmingham City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes55% 0% No45%

Avg goals/match: 2.78

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	92%	8%
± 1.5	76%	24%
± 2.5	52%	48%
± 3.5	30%	70%
± 4.5	16%	84%

Double Chance

Birmingham City FC or Draw

75%

Draw or Watford FC

51%

Birmingham City FC or Watford FC

74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Birmingham City FC35% Draw46% Watford FC19%

Actual: Birmingham City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.4%

1 – 0

9.5%

2 – 1

Actual

2 – 0

8.4%

0 – 0

8.1%

1 – 2

6.2%

0 – 1

2 – 2

5.2%

3 – 1

5.1%

3 – 0

4.6%

0 – 2

3.8%

3 – 2

Asian Handicap — Birmingham City FC

Handicap	Birmingham City FC covers	Push	Watford FC covers
-2.5	11%	—	89%
-2	11%	15%	73%
-1.5	27%	—	73%
-1	27%	22%	51%
-0.5	49%	—	51%
+0.5	76%	—	24%
+1	76%	15%	10%
+1.5	90%	—	10%
+2	90%	7%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

Birmingham City FC keeps clean sheet

33% ✓

Watford FC keeps clean sheet

20% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.