Watford FC vs Birmingham City FC, Championship 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Watford FC vs Birmingham City FC — Championship at Vicarage Road Stadium.
- Watford FC 8 games · 8 pts (2026/27)
- Birmingham City FC 8 games · 11 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea City AFC | 8 | 17 |
| 2 | West Ham United FC | 8 | 15 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough FC | 8 | 15 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 7 | 14 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 8 | 14 |
| 6 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 8 | 13 |
| 7 | Stoke City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 8 | Bristol City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 9 | Charlton Athletic FC | 8 | 12 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 11 | Millwall FC | 8 | 11 |
| 12 | Lincoln City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 13 | Southampton FC | 8 | 10 |
| 14 | Wrexham AFC | 8 | 10 |
| 15 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 8 | 10 |
| 16 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 8 | 9 |
| 17 | Norwich City FC | 8 | 9 |
| 18 | Sheffield United FC | 8 | 9 |
| 19 | Portsmouth FC | 7 | 8 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 8 | 8 |
| 21 | Cardiff City FC | 8 | 7 |
| 22 | Derby County FC | 8 | 5 |
| 23 | Preston North End FC | 8 | 4 |
| 24 | Burnley FC | 8 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar | Birmingham City FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 11 Mar | Queens Park Rangers FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 04 Mar | Preston North End FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 25 Feb | Sheffield United FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 20 Feb | West Bromwich Albion FC | H | 3–2 | W |
| 14 Feb | Burnley FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar | Watford FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 11 Mar | Rotherham United FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 04 Mar | Wigan Athletic FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Feb | Luton Town FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 21 Feb | Norwich City FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 18 Feb | Huddersfield Town AFC | A | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Watford FC | Birmingham City FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #20 | Position | #10 |
| 8 | Points | 11 |
| 8 | Played | 8 |
| 2 / 2 / 4 | W / D / L | 2 / 5 / 1 |
| 7 | Scored | 12 |
| 10 | Conceded | 11 |
| -3 | GD | +1 |
| 1.00 | PPG | 1.38 |
| 25% | Win % | 25% |
Key Stats
25%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
H2H (8 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Watford FC this season
Watford FC this season
13%
Clean Sheets
Birmingham City FC this season
Birmingham City FC this season
Watford FC are 20th (8 pts). Birmingham City FC are 10th (11 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Watford FC
0-15
2/2
16-30
2/2
31-45
–/3
46-60
–/2
61-75
1/–
76+
2/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Birmingham City FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
1/6
46-60
2/1
61-75
3/–
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Watford FC
| Amin Nabizada | 3 G |
| Iker Bravo | 1 G |
| Luca Kjerrumgaard | 1 G |
Birmingham City FC
| Phil Neumann | 2 G |
| Demarai Gray | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Three points are at stake. Watford FC host Birmingham City FC — let the battle begin!
- 5' The travelling Birmingham City FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 6' Imran Louza makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and Watford FC are in front.
- 11' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 16' The England Keinan Davis breaks the deadlock on 16 minutes. 2-0!
- 21' Sweden international Ken Sema has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 26' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 31' Lukas Jutkiewicz has been relatively quiet despite scoring 57 goals in his last 387 appearances.
- 36' Auston Trusty is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Watford FC so far.
- 41' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Watford FC and Birmingham City FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 46' Scott Hogan is ready to make an impact after coming on for Reda Khadra at the 46 minute mark.
- 51' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 52' Watford FC receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 52.
- 57' Ryan Porteous has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 1 goals to his name this season.
- 61' Poor challenge from Lukas Jutkiewicz. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
- 66' The referee has no hesitation. Kevin Long is booked for Birmingham City FC — Yellow card on 66.
- 66' Fresh legs for Watford FC! Britt Assombalonga comes on to replace Keinan Davis.
- 71' Watford FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Birmingham City FC backline.
- 74' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Britt Assombalonga makes no mistake. 3-0!
- 79' It is a cagey affair so far. Watford FC in their trying to find a way past Birmingham City FC's compact .
- 80' Marc Roberts gets the nod from Birmingham City FC. He replaces Harlee Dean and will look to change the dynamic.
- 80' Birmingham City FC receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 80.
- 81' The Birmingham City FC manager makes a substitution. Hannibal Mejbri departs to be replaced by Jordan James.
- 86' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Watford FC players.
Lineups
Watford FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 25
- 12
- 15
- 44
- 7
- 1
- 22
- 6
-
10
Joao Pedro ↓ Yaser Asprilla 81'
-
2
Jeremy Ngakia ↓ Mario Gaspar 66'
- 11
Bench
- 27
- 26
-
34
Britt Assombalonga ↑ 66'
-
3
Mario Gaspar ↑ 66'
- 42
-
18
Yaser Asprilla ↑ 81'
- 21
Coach
Chris Wilder
Birmingham City FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 26
- 11
- 2
-
12
Harlee Dean ↓ Marc Roberts 80'
-
10
Lukas Jutkiewicz ↓ Alfie Chang 80'
- 21
- 31
- 5
-
18
Tahith Chong ↓ George Hall 46'
-
17
Reda Khadra ↓ Scott Hogan 46'
-
6
Hannibal Mejbri ↓ Jordan James 81'
Bench
- 1
-
4
Marc Roberts ↑ 80'
-
9
Scott Hogan ↑ 46'
- 23
-
42
Alfie Chang ↑ 80'
-
19
Jordan James ↑ 81'
-
35
George Hall ↑ 46'
Coach
John Eustace
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Ken Sema | 2 |
| Andre Gray | 1 |
| George Hall | 1 |
| Britt Assombalonga | 1 |
| Keinan Davis | 1 |
| Imran Louza | 1 |
| Ryan Andrews | 1 |
| Mileta Rajovic | 1 |
Head to Head
Watford FC Form
Birmingham City FC Form
2023-03-14
Watford FC
3–0
Birmingham City FC
L
2023-03-11
Birmingham City FC
2–0
Rotherham United FC
W
2023-03-04
Wigan Athletic FC
1–1
Birmingham City FC
D
2023-02-25
Birmingham City FC
0–1
Luton Town FC
L
2023-02-21
Norwich City FC
3–1
Birmingham City FC
L
2023-02-18
Huddersfield Town AFC
2–1
Birmingham City FC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.57
Watford FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.85
Birmingham City FC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 57% + Watford FC to win 55%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Watford FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.42
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 69% |
|
31% |
| ± 2.5 | 43% |
|
57% |
| ± 3.5 | 23% |
|
77% |
| ± 4.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
Double Chance
Watford FC or Draw
81%
Draw or Birmingham City FC
45%
Watford FC or Birmingham City FC
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Watford FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
13.1%
1 – 1
12.7%
0 – 0
11%
2 – 0
10.7%
2 – 1
9%
0 – 1
6.5%
3 – 0
Actual
1 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
4.8%
2 – 2
3.9%
0 – 2
3.1%
4 – 0
2.2%
Asian Handicap — Watford FC
| Handicap | Watford FC covers | Push | Birmingham City FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -2 | 12% | 16% | 72% |
| -1.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| -1 | 28% | 24% | 47% |
| -0.5 | 53% | — | 47% |
| +0.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +1 | 81% | 13% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +2 | 94% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
43%
✗
Birmingham City FC keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

