Watford FC vs Birmingham City FC, Championship 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Watford FC vs Birmingham City FC — Championship at Vicarage Road Stadium.
- Watford FC 46 games · 57 pts (2026/27)
- Birmingham City FC 46 games · 64 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry City FC | 46 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich Town FC | 46 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall FC | 46 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton FC | 46 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough FC | 46 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull City AFC | 46 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham AFC | 46 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby County FC | 46 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich City FC | 46 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 46 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea City AFC | 46 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City FC | 46 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield United FC | 46 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston North End FC | 46 | 60 |
| 15 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 46 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford FC | 46 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke City FC | 46 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth FC | 46 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 46 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 46 | 52 |
| 21 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 46 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford United FC | 46 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester City FC | 46 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 46 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar | Birmingham City FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 11 Mar | Queens Park Rangers FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 04 Mar | Preston North End FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 25 Feb | Sheffield United FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 20 Feb | West Bromwich Albion FC | H | 3–2 | W |
| 14 Feb | Burnley FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar | Watford FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 11 Mar | Rotherham United FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 04 Mar | Wigan Athletic FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Feb | Luton Town FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 21 Feb | Norwich City FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 18 Feb | Huddersfield Town AFC | A | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Watford FC | Birmingham City FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #16 | Position | #10 |
| 57 | Points | 64 |
| 46 | Played | 46 |
| 14 / 15 / 17 | W / D / L | 17 / 13 / 16 |
| 53 | Scored | 57 |
| 65 | Conceded | 56 |
| -12 | GD | +1 |
| 1.24 | PPG | 1.39 |
| 30% | Win % | 37% |
Key Stats
25%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
H2H (8 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Watford FC are 16th (57 pts). Birmingham City FC are 10th (64 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Vicarage Road Stadium!
- 5' Harlee Dean has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 6' Imran Louza puts Watford FC on the lead.
- 11' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 16' What a moment for Keinan Davis! That strike on 16 puts his side firmly in control.
- 21' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 26' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 31' Reda Khadra, a Germany , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 36' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 41' England international Marc Roberts has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 46' Another substitution for Birmingham City FC to replace Reda Khadra by Scott Hogan on 46 minute.
- 51' Watford FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 52' The referee calls foul for Keinan Davis. He receives a Yellow card.
- 57' Daniel Bachmann is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Birmingham City FC tonight.
- 61' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Lukas Jutkiewicz on 61 minutes.
- 66' The referee shows Birmingham City FC player a Yellow card on 66.
- 66' The crowd applauds Keinan Davis as he leaves the pitch. Britt Assombalonga steps in for Watford FC.
- 71' It’s high time John Eustace made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 74' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Britt Assombalonga makes no mistake. 3-0!
- 79' It looks surprising Birmingham City FC does not make any changes. Jordan James has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 80' Harlee Dean makes way for Marc Roberts at the 80 minute mark. A tactical switch from Birmingham City FC.
- 80' Poor challenge from Harlee Dean. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
- 81' Jordan James gets the nod from Birmingham City FC. He replaces Hannibal Mejbri and will look to change the dynamic.
- 86' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Watford FC to claim maximum points.
Lineups
Watford FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 25
- 12
- 15
- 44
- 7
- 1
- 22
- 6
-
10
Joao Pedro ↓ Yaser Asprilla 81'
-
2
Jeremy Ngakia ↓ Mario Gaspar 66'
- 11
Bench
- 27
- 26
-
34
Britt Assombalonga ↑ 66'
-
3
Mario Gaspar ↑ 66'
- 42
-
18
Yaser Asprilla ↑ 81'
- 21
Coach
Chris Wilder
Birmingham City FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 26
- 11
- 2
-
12
Harlee Dean ↓ Marc Roberts 80'
-
10
Lukas Jutkiewicz ↓ Alfie Chang 80'
- 21
- 31
- 5
-
18
Tahith Chong ↓ George Hall 46'
-
17
Reda Khadra ↓ Scott Hogan 46'
-
6
Hannibal Mejbri ↓ Jordan James 81'
Bench
- 1
-
4
Marc Roberts ↑ 80'
-
9
Scott Hogan ↑ 46'
- 23
-
42
Alfie Chang ↑ 80'
-
19
Jordan James ↑ 81'
-
35
George Hall ↑ 46'
Coach
John Eustace
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Ken Sema | 2 |
| Mileta Rajovic | 1 |
| Emmanuel Dennis | 1 |
| Troy Deeney | 1 |
| Nathaniel Chalobah | 1 |
| Andre Gray | 1 |
| George Hall | 1 |
| Britt Assombalonga | 1 |
Head to Head
Watford FC Form
Birmingham City FC Form
2023-03-14
Watford FC
3–0
Birmingham City FC
L
2023-03-11
Birmingham City FC
2–0
Rotherham United FC
W
2023-03-04
Wigan Athletic FC
1–1
Birmingham City FC
D
2023-02-25
Birmingham City FC
0–1
Luton Town FC
L
2023-02-21
Norwich City FC
3–1
Birmingham City FC
L
2023-02-18
Huddersfield Town AFC
2–1
Birmingham City FC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.71
Watford FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.87
Birmingham City FC xG
I would bet for:
Watford FC to win 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Watford FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.58
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 2.5 | 47% |
|
53% |
| ± 3.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
| ± 4.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
Double Chance
Watford FC or Draw
82%
Draw or Birmingham City FC
43%
Watford FC or Birmingham City FC
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Watford FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.1%
1 – 0
12%
2 – 0
10.8%
0 – 0
9.5%
2 – 1
9.3%
3 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
5.6%
3 – 1
5.4%
1 – 2
4.7%
2 – 2
4.1%
0 – 2
2.8%
4 – 0
2.6%
Asian Handicap — Watford FC
| Handicap | Watford FC covers | Push | Birmingham City FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -2 | 14% | 17% | 68% |
| -1.5 | 32% | — | 68% |
| -1 | 32% | 24% | 44% |
| -0.5 | 56% | — | 44% |
| +0.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
| +1 | 82% | 12% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +2 | 94% | 5% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
42%
✗
Birmingham City FC keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.