Watford FC vs Birmingham City FC, Championship 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Watford FC vs Birmingham City FC — Championship at Vicarage Road Stadium.
- Watford FC 15 games · 15 pts (2026/27)
- Birmingham City FC 15 games · 29 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Birmingham City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough FC | 15 | 29 |
| 3 | Stoke City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 15 | 28 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 15 | 28 |
| 6 | Swansea City AFC | 15 | 26 |
| 7 | Southampton FC | 15 | 24 |
| 8 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 15 | 24 |
| 9 | West Ham United FC | 15 | 23 |
| 10 | Sheffield United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 11 | Portsmouth FC | 15 | 22 |
| 12 | Norwich City FC | 15 | 21 |
| 13 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 15 | 21 |
| 14 | Cardiff City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 15 | Wrexham AFC | 15 | 18 |
| 16 | Millwall FC | 15 | 18 |
| 17 | Bristol City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 18 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 15 | 17 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 15 | 17 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 15 | 15 |
| 21 | Lincoln City FC | 15 | 15 |
| 22 | Burnley FC | 15 | 10 |
| 23 | Derby County FC | 15 | 10 |
| 24 | Preston North End FC | 15 | 8 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar | Birmingham City FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 11 Mar | Queens Park Rangers FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 04 Mar | Preston North End FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 25 Feb | Sheffield United FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 20 Feb | West Bromwich Albion FC | H | 3–2 | W |
| 14 Feb | Burnley FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar | Watford FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 11 Mar | Rotherham United FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 04 Mar | Wigan Athletic FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Feb | Luton Town FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 21 Feb | Norwich City FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 18 Feb | Huddersfield Town AFC | A | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Watford FC | Birmingham City FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #20 | Position | #1 |
| 15 | Points | 29 |
| 15 | Played | 15 |
| 4 / 3 / 8 | W / D / L | 8 / 5 / 2 |
| 13 | Scored | 28 |
| 23 | Conceded | 14 |
| -10 | GD | +14 |
| 1.00 | PPG | 1.93 |
| 27% | Win % | 53% |
Key Stats
25%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
H2H (8 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
20%
Clean Sheets
Watford FC this season
Watford FC this season
33%
Clean Sheets
Birmingham City FC this season
Birmingham City FC this season
Watford FC are 20th (15 pts). Birmingham City FC are 1st (29 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Watford FC
0-15
3/4
16-30
3/4
31-45
–/6
46-60
2/3
61-75
1/2
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Birmingham City FC
0-15
2/1
16-30
6/1
31-45
4/7
46-60
4/1
61-75
4/1
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Watford FC
| Amin Nabizada | 3 G |
| Iker Bravo | 1 G |
| Luca Kjerrumgaard | 1 G |
Birmingham City FC
| August Priske | 6 G | 1 A |
| Liam Millar | 4 G | 3 A |
| Jay Stansfield | 4 G | 1 A |
| Demarai Gray | 3 G | |
| Phil Neumann | 2 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Watford FC and Birmingham City FC has kicked off!
- 5' Watford FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Birmingham City FC backline.
- 6' GOAL! Imran Louza fires home to make it 1-0!
- 11' Birmingham City FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 16' What a moment for Keinan Davis! That strike on 16 puts his side firmly in control.
- 21' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 26' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 31' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 36' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 41' Harlee Dean is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Watford FC so far.
- 46' It is a substitution in Birmingham City FC team. Reda Khadra is replaced by Scott Hogan on 46 minute.
- 51' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 51 minutes.
- 52' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Keinan Davis.
- 57' Watford FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 61' Lukas Jutkiewicz catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 61.
- 66' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Kevin Long on 66 minutes.
- 66' The crowd applauds Keinan Davis as he leaves the pitch. Britt Assombalonga steps in for Watford FC.
- 71' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Lukas Jutkiewicz suffering a number of foals already.
- 74' Britt Assombalonga adds to his 0 season tally! Watford FC lead 3-0 — and this changes everything.
- 79' The home supporters are growing impatient. Watford FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 80' The whistle greets Harlee Dean as he departs to be replaced by Marc Roberts.
- 80' It’s a booking for Birmingham City FC player. Harlee Dean gets a Yellow card.
- 81' Time for substitution for Birmingham City FC. Hannibal Mejbri is replaced by Jordan James.
- 86' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Watford FC that had 373 games and scored 406 goals.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Watford FC players.
Lineups
Watford FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 25
- 12
- 15
- 44
- 7
- 1
- 22
- 6
-
10
Joao Pedro ↓ Yaser Asprilla 81'
-
2
Jeremy Ngakia ↓ Mario Gaspar 66'
- 11
Bench
- 27
- 26
-
34
Britt Assombalonga ↑ 66'
-
3
Mario Gaspar ↑ 66'
- 42
-
18
Yaser Asprilla ↑ 81'
- 21
Coach
Chris Wilder
Birmingham City FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 26
- 11
- 2
-
12
Harlee Dean ↓ Marc Roberts 80'
-
10
Lukas Jutkiewicz ↓ Alfie Chang 80'
- 21
- 31
- 5
-
18
Tahith Chong ↓ George Hall 46'
-
17
Reda Khadra ↓ Scott Hogan 46'
-
6
Hannibal Mejbri ↓ Jordan James 81'
Bench
- 1
-
4
Marc Roberts ↑ 80'
-
9
Scott Hogan ↑ 46'
- 23
-
42
Alfie Chang ↑ 80'
-
19
Jordan James ↑ 81'
-
35
George Hall ↑ 46'
Coach
John Eustace
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Ken Sema | 2 |
| Imran Louza | 1 |
| Ryan Andrews | 1 |
| Mileta Rajovic | 1 |
| Emmanuel Dennis | 1 |
| Troy Deeney | 1 |
| Nathaniel Chalobah | 1 |
| Andre Gray | 1 |
Head to Head
Watford FC Form
Birmingham City FC Form
2023-03-14
Watford FC
3–0
Birmingham City FC
L
2023-03-11
Birmingham City FC
2–0
Rotherham United FC
W
2023-03-04
Wigan Athletic FC
1–1
Birmingham City FC
D
2023-02-25
Birmingham City FC
0–1
Luton Town FC
L
2023-02-21
Norwich City FC
3–1
Birmingham City FC
L
2023-02-18
Huddersfield Town AFC
2–1
Birmingham City FC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.41
Watford FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.16
Birmingham City FC xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Watford FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.57
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 2.5 | 47% |
|
53% |
| ± 3.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
Watford FC or Draw
74%
Draw or Birmingham City FC
53%
Watford FC or Birmingham City FC
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Watford FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.5%
1 – 0
9.8%
0 – 0
9.7%
2 – 1
8.5%
0 – 1
7.8%
2 – 0
7.4%
1 – 2
7%
0 – 2
5%
2 – 2
5%
3 – 1
4%
3 – 0
Actual
1 – 3
2.7%
Asian Handicap — Watford FC
| Handicap | Watford FC covers | Push | Birmingham City FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 12% | 80% |
| -1.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -1 | 20% | 21% | 59% |
| -0.5 | 41% | — | 59% |
| +0.5 | 70% | — | 30% |
| +1 | 70% | 17% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 8% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
32%
✗
Birmingham City FC keeps clean sheet
25%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

