Birmingham City FC vs Watford FC, Championship 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

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Championship · 2023-24

Birmingham City FC

0 – 1

Full Time

Watford FC

Sat 16 Mar 2024 · 15:00 UTC St Andrew's Ground HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 44' Emmanuel Dennis

Y 68' Giorgi Chakvetadze

Y 88' Yaser Asprilla

Y 90' Daniel Bachmann

Overview

Match Preview

Birmingham City FC vs Watford FC — Championship at St Andrew's Ground.

Birmingham City FC 8 games · 11 pts (2026/27)
Watford FC 8 games · 8 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Matt Donohue
Assistant 1 Paul Hodskinson
Assistant 2 Andrew Fox

4 games this season 🟨 3.3/game ⚽ 11.0 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Swansea City AFC	8	17
2	West Ham United FC	8	15
3	Middlesbrough FC	8	15
4	Wolverhampton Wanderers FC	7	14
5	West Bromwich Albion FC	8	14
6	Queens Park Rangers FC	8	13
7	Stoke City FC	8	13
8	Bristol City FC	8	13
9	Charlton Athletic FC	8	12
10	Birmingham City FC	8	11
11	Millwall FC	8	11
12	Lincoln City FC	8	11
13	Southampton FC	8	10
14	Wrexham AFC	8	10
15	Bolton Wanderers FC	8	10
16	Blackburn Rovers FC	8	9
17	Norwich City FC	8	9
18	Sheffield United FC	8	9
19	Portsmouth FC	7	8
20	Watford FC	8	8
21	Cardiff City FC	8	7
22	Derby County FC	8	5
23	Preston North End FC	8	4
24	Burnley FC	8	4

Head-to-Head

Birmingham City FC 8 games · Avg 2.3 goals Watford FC

Last 5 meetings

2024-03-16 Birmingham City FC 0–1 Watford FC 2023-09-16 Watford FC 2–0 Birmingham City FC 2023-03-14 Watford FC 3–0 Birmingham City FC 2022-08-16 Birmingham City FC 1–1 Watford FC 2021-03-20 Watford FC 3–0 Birmingham City FC

Recent Form

Birmingham City FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
16 Mar	Watford FC	H	0–1	L
12 Mar	Middlesbrough FC	H	0–1	L
09 Mar	Millwall FC	A	0–1	L
05 Mar	Hull City AFC	A	1–1	D
02 Mar	Southampton FC	H	3–4	L
24 Feb	Ipswich Town FC	A	1–3	L

Watford FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
16 Mar	Birmingham City FC	A	1–0	W
09 Mar	Coventry City FC	H	1–2	L
06 Mar	Swansea City AFC	H	1–1	D
02 Mar	Millwall FC	A	0–1	L
24 Feb	Huddersfield Town AFC	H	1–2	L
17 Feb	Rotherham United FC	A	1–0	W

Season Stats

Birmingham City FC		Watford FC
#10	Position	#20
11	Points	8
8	Played	8
2 / 5 / 1	W / D / L	2 / 2 / 4
12	Scored	7
11	Conceded	10
+1	GD	-3
1.38	PPG	1.00
25%	Win %	25%

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

13% Clean Sheets
Birmingham City FC this season

0% Clean Sheets
Watford FC this season

Birmingham City FC are 10th (11 pts). Watford FC are 20th (8 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Birmingham City FC

0-15

1/1

16-30

1/1

31-45

1/6

46-60

2/1

61-75

3/–

76+

1/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Watford FC

0-15

2/2

16-30

2/2

31-45

–/3

46-60

–/2

61-75

1/–

76+

2/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Birmingham City FC

Phil Neumann	2 G
Demarai Gray	1 G

Watford FC

Amin Nabizada	3 G
Iker Bravo	1 G
Luca Kjerrumgaard	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' In just a few seconds St Andrew's Ground will turn into a battlefield for Birmingham City FC and Watford FC.
5' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
10' Emanuel Aiwu is a natural defender and has been asked to do a very specific job for Birmingham City FC tonight.
15' A quiet spell here at St Andrew's Ground. Birmingham City FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
20' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
25' The energy levels are beginning to show. Tony Mowbray might look to freshen things up shortly.
30' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
35' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Tony Mowbray will be considering his options from the bench.
40' Birmingham City FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
44' Watford FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Emmanuel Dennis on 44.
49' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Birmingham City FC and Watford FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
54' Watford FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
59' Birmingham City FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Watford FC backline.
63' Another change for Watford FC made on 63 minute. Emmanuel Dennis leaves to be changed by Vakoun Issouf Bayo.
68' Giorgi Chakvetadze is having his name booked by the referee on 68.
72' The Birmingham City FC manager makes a substitution. Koji Miyoshi departs to be replaced by Tyler Roberts.
77' Supporters expect more eagerness from Matheus Martins, as he is very good at scoring at St Andrew's Ground with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
79' The crowd applauds Giorgi Chakvetadze as he leaves the pitch. Tom Ince steps in for Watford FC.
83' George Hall is replacing Ethan Laird for the Birmingham City FC side.
88' Watford FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 88.
89' Time for substitution for Watford FC. Yaser Asprilla is replaced by Francisco Sierralta.
90' Daniel Bachmann picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
90' Scott Hogan is ready to make an impact after coming on for Lukas Jutkiewicz at the 90 minute mark.
Birmingham City FC will have plenty to reflect on. Watford FC were simply the better side today.

Lineups

Birmingham City FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Tony Mowbray

Watford FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

25
Emmanuel Dennis ↓ Vakoun Issouf Bayo 63'
1
Daniel Bachmann
5
Ryan Porteous
39
Edo Kayembe
16
Giorgi Chakvetadze ↓ Tom Ince 79'
15
Matthew Pollock
24
Tom Dele-Bashiru
11
Ismael Kone ↓ Matheus Martins 79'
42
James Morris
18
Yaser Asprilla ↓ Francisco Sierralta 89'
45
Ryan Andrews

Bench

Coach Valerien Ismael

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Ken Sema	2
Mileta Rajovic	1
Emmanuel Dennis	1
Troy Deeney	1
Nathaniel Chalobah	1
Andre Gray	1
George Hall	1
Britt Assombalonga	1

Head to Head

Birmingham City FC Form

2024-03-16 Birmingham City FC 0–1 Watford FC L 2024-03-12 Birmingham City FC 0–1 Middlesbrough FC L 2024-03-09 Millwall FC 1–0 Birmingham City FC L 2024-03-05 Hull City AFC 1–1 Birmingham City FC D 2024-03-02 Birmingham City FC 3–4 Southampton FC L 2024-02-24 Ipswich Town FC 3–1 Birmingham City FC L

Watford FC Form

2024-03-16 Birmingham City FC 0–1 Watford FC W 2024-03-09 Watford FC 1–2 Coventry City FC L 2024-03-06 Watford FC 1–1 Swansea City AFC D 2024-03-02 Millwall FC 1–0 Watford FC L 2024-02-24 Watford FC 1–2 Huddersfield Town AFC L 2024-02-17 Rotherham United FC 0–1 Watford FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

0.94 Birmingham City FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.18 Watford FC xG

I would bet for: Watford FC or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Birmingham City FC28% Draw31% Watford FC41%

Actual: Watford FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes43% 0% No57%

Avg goals/match: 2.12

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	86%	14%
± 1.5	63%	37%
± 2.5	35%	65%
± 3.5	17%	83%
± 4.5	7%	93%

Double Chance

Birmingham City FC or Draw

59%

Draw or Watford FC

72%

Birmingham City FC or Watford FC

69%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Birmingham City FC20% Draw53% Watford FC27%

Actual: Watford FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

0 – 0

14.4%

1 – 1

14.3%

0 – 1

Actual

1 – 0

10%

0 – 2

1 – 2

7.6%

2 – 1

2 – 0

5.1%

2 – 2

3.7%

0 – 3

3.1%

1 – 3

3 – 1

1.9%

Asian Handicap — Birmingham City FC

Handicap	Birmingham City FC covers	Push	Watford FC covers
-2.5	3%	—	97%
-2	3%	7%	90%
-1.5	10%	—	90%
-1	10%	17%	73%
-0.5	27%	—	73%
+0.5	60%	—	40%
+1	60%	22%	17%
+1.5	83%	—	17%
+2	83%	12%	6%
+2.5	94%	—	6%

Clean Sheet

Birmingham City FC keeps clean sheet

32% ✓

Watford FC keeps clean sheet

40% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.