Thursday , 2 July 2026

Birmingham City FC vs Watford FC, Championship 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2023-24
Sat 16 Mar 2024 · 15:00 UTC St Andrew's Ground HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 44' Emmanuel Dennis

Overview

Match Preview

Birmingham City FC vs Watford FCChampionship at St Andrew's Ground.

Match Details

  • Referee Matt Donohue
  • Assistant 1 Paul Hodskinson
  • Assistant 2 Andrew Fox

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Mar Watford FC H 0–1 L
12 Mar Middlesbrough FC H 0–1 L
09 Mar Millwall FC A 0–1 L
05 Mar Hull City AFC A 1–1 D
02 Mar Southampton FC H 3–4 L
24 Feb Ipswich Town FC A 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Mar Birmingham City FC A 1–0 W
09 Mar Coventry City FC H 1–2 L
06 Mar Swansea City AFC H 1–1 D
02 Mar Millwall FC A 0–1 L
24 Feb Huddersfield Town AFC H 1–2 L
17 Feb Rotherham United FC A 1–0 W

Season Stats

Birmingham City FC Watford FC
#10 Position #16
64 Points 57
46 Played 46
17 / 13 / 16 W / D / L 14 / 15 / 17
57 Scored 53
56 Conceded 65
+1 GD -12
1.39 PPG 1.24
37% Win % 30%

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Birmingham City FC are 10th (64 pts). Watford FC are 16th (57 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Temperatures are rising at St Andrew's Ground as Birmingham City FC face off against Watford FC in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
  • 5' It’s high time Valerien Ismael made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 10' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 15' Birmingham City FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 15.
  • 20' Jordan James is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Watford FC so far.
  • 25' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Tony Mowbray will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 30' Watford FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 35' Koji Miyoshi has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 1 cards already picked up this season.
  • 40' Birmingham City FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Watford FC backline.
  • 44' What a moment for Emmanuel Dennis! That strike on 44 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 49' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 54' Supporters expect more eagerness from Ivan Sunjic, as he is very good at scoring at St Andrew's Ground with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
  • 59' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 59 minutes.
  • 63' A tactical swap from Watford FCVakoun Issouf Bayo on, Emmanuel Dennis off on 63 minutes.
  • 68' Giorgi Chakvetadze is having his name booked by the referee on 68.
  • 72' Another substitution for Birmingham City FC to replace Koji Miyoshi by Tyler Roberts on 72 minute.
  • 77' It looks like no one’s ball. Watford FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 79' Tom Ince has so much to prove this time. He replaces Giorgi Chakvetadze on 79 minute.
  • 83' George Hall has so much to prove this time. He replaces Ethan Laird on 83 minute.
  • 88' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Yaser Asprilla.
  • 89' Fresh legs for Watford FC! Francisco Sierralta comes on to replace Yaser Asprilla.
  • 90' A moment of madness from Daniel Bachmann on 90 minutes earns him a card. Watford FC will be frustrated.
  • 90' The whistle greets Lukas Jutkiewicz as he departs to be replaced by Scott Hogan.
  • Another three points for Watford FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.97 Birmingham City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.3 Watford FC xG
I would bet for: Watford FC or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Birmingham City FC27% Draw30% Watford FC43%
Actual: Watford FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes46% 0% No54%
Avg goals/match: 2.27
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 66%
34%
± 2.5 39%
61%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Birmingham City FC or Draw
57%
Draw or Watford FC
73%
Birmingham City FC or Watford FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Birmingham City FC20% Draw51% Watford FC29%
Actual: Watford FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14%
0 – 0
12.6%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
8.8%
0 – 2
8.4%
1 – 2
8.2%
2 – 1
6.1%
2 – 0
4.7%
2 – 2
4.1%
1 – 3
3.6%
0 – 3
3.6%
3 – 1
2%

Asian Handicap — Birmingham City FC

Handicap Birmingham City FC covers Push Watford FC covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 7% 90%
-1.5 10% 90%
-1 10% 17% 74%
-0.5 26% 74%
+0.5 58% 42%
+1 58% 23% 20%
+1.5 80% 20%
+2 80% 13% 7%
+2.5 93% 7%

Clean Sheet

Birmingham City FC keeps clean sheet
28%
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
38%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.