Birmingham City FC vs Watford FC, Championship 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Birmingham City FC vs Watford FC — Championship at St Andrew's Ground.
- Birmingham City FC 15 games · 29 pts (2026/27)
- Watford FC 15 games · 15 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Matt Donohue
- Assistant 1 Paul Hodskinson
- Assistant 2 Andrew Fox
7 games this season
🟨 4.4/game
⚽ 10.3 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Birmingham City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough FC | 15 | 29 |
| 3 | Stoke City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 15 | 28 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 15 | 28 |
| 6 | Swansea City AFC | 15 | 26 |
| 7 | Southampton FC | 15 | 24 |
| 8 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 15 | 24 |
| 9 | West Ham United FC | 15 | 23 |
| 10 | Sheffield United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 11 | Portsmouth FC | 15 | 22 |
| 12 | Norwich City FC | 15 | 21 |
| 13 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 15 | 21 |
| 14 | Cardiff City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 15 | Wrexham AFC | 15 | 18 |
| 16 | Millwall FC | 15 | 18 |
| 17 | Bristol City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 18 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 15 | 17 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 15 | 17 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 15 | 15 |
| 21 | Lincoln City FC | 15 | 15 |
| 22 | Burnley FC | 15 | 10 |
| 23 | Derby County FC | 15 | 10 |
| 24 | Preston North End FC | 15 | 8 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar | Watford FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Mar | Middlesbrough FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 09 Mar | Millwall FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 05 Mar | Hull City AFC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 02 Mar | Southampton FC | H | 3–4 | L |
| 24 Feb | Ipswich Town FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar | Birmingham City FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 09 Mar | Coventry City FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 06 Mar | Swansea City AFC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 02 Mar | Millwall FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 24 Feb | Huddersfield Town AFC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 17 Feb | Rotherham United FC | A | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Birmingham City FC | Watford FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Position | #20 |
| 29 | Points | 15 |
| 15 | Played | 15 |
| 8 / 5 / 2 | W / D / L | 4 / 3 / 8 |
| 28 | Scored | 13 |
| 14 | Conceded | 23 |
| +14 | GD | -10 |
| 1.93 | PPG | 1.00 |
| 53% | Win % | 27% |
Key Stats
25%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
H2H (8 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
33%
Clean Sheets
Birmingham City FC this season
Birmingham City FC this season
20%
Clean Sheets
Watford FC this season
Watford FC this season
Birmingham City FC are 1st (29 pts). Watford FC are 20th (15 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Birmingham City FC
0-15
2/1
16-30
6/1
31-45
4/7
46-60
4/1
61-75
4/1
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Watford FC
0-15
3/4
16-30
3/4
31-45
–/6
46-60
2/3
61-75
1/2
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Birmingham City FC
| August Priske | 6 G | 1 A |
| Liam Millar | 4 G | 3 A |
| Jay Stansfield | 4 G | 1 A |
| Demarai Gray | 3 G | |
| Phil Neumann | 2 G |
Watford FC
| Amin Nabizada | 3 G |
| Iker Bravo | 1 G |
| Luca Kjerrumgaard | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Birmingham City FC and Watford FC is underway.
- 5' Birmingham City FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Watford FC backline.
- 10' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Tony Mowbray will be considering his options from the bench.
- 15' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Matthew Pollock suffering a number of foals already.
- 20' With 0 assists to his name this season, Giorgi Chakvetadze is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Watford FC.
- 25' Daniel Bachmann has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 30' Birmingham City FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 35' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Birmingham City FC and Watford FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 40' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 44' Emmanuel Dennis makes no mistake. The score reads 0-1 and Watford FC are in front.
- 49' The energy levels are beginning to show. Valerien Ismael might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 54' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 59' Watford FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 63' Fresh legs for Watford FC! Vakoun Issouf Bayo comes on to replace Emmanuel Dennis.
- 68' Giorgi Chakvetadze has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 68.
- 72' The Birmingham City FC manager makes a substitution. Koji Miyoshi departs to be replaced by Tyler Roberts.
- 77' Over 77 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 79' Another change for Watford FC made on 79 minute. Giorgi Chakvetadze leaves to be changed by Tom Ince.
- 83' It is a substitution in Birmingham City FC team. Ethan Laird is replaced by George Hall on 83 minute.
- 88' Yaser Asprilla catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 88.
- 89' Francisco Sierralta is ready to make an impact after coming on for Yaser Asprilla at the 89 minute mark.
- 90' Daniel Bachmann was booked on 90.
- 90' The Birmingham City FC manager makes a substitution. Lukas Jutkiewicz departs to be replaced by Scott Hogan.
- The final score is 0-1.
Lineups
Birmingham City FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 7
- 21
-
34
Ivan Sunjic ↓ Gary Gardner 83'
-
11
Koji Miyoshi ↓ Tyler Roberts 72'
- 44
- 3
- 28
-
2
Ethan Laird ↓ George Hall 83'
- 12
-
19
Jordan James ↓ Lukas Jutkiewicz 72'
- 13
Bench
- 1
- 16
-
10
Lukas Jutkiewicz ↑ 72'
-
20
Gary Gardner ↑ 83'
- 9
-
8
Tyler Roberts ↑ 72'
- 5
- 23
-
35
George Hall ↑ 83'
Coach
Tony Mowbray
Watford FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 25
- 1
- 5
- 39
-
16
Giorgi Chakvetadze ↓ Tom Ince 79'
- 15
- 24
-
11
Ismael Kone ↓ Matheus Martins 79'
- 42
- 18
- 45
Bench
- 26
- 8
-
7
Tom Ince ↑ 79'
-
3
Francisco Sierralta ↑ 89'
-
19
Vakoun Issouf Bayo ↑ 63'
-
37
Matheus Martins ↑ 79'
- 59
- 9
Coach
Valerien Ismael
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Ken Sema | 2 |
| Imran Louza | 1 |
| Ryan Andrews | 1 |
| Mileta Rajovic | 1 |
| Emmanuel Dennis | 1 |
| Troy Deeney | 1 |
| Nathaniel Chalobah | 1 |
| Andre Gray | 1 |
Head to Head
Birmingham City FC Form
2024-03-16
Birmingham City FC
0–1
Watford FC
L
2024-03-12
Birmingham City FC
0–1
Middlesbrough FC
L
2024-03-09
Millwall FC
1–0
Birmingham City FC
L
2024-03-05
Hull City AFC
1–1
Birmingham City FC
D
2024-03-02
Birmingham City FC
3–4
Southampton FC
L
2024-02-24
Ipswich Town FC
3–1
Birmingham City FC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.31
Birmingham City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.04
Watford FC xG
I would bet for:
Birmingham City FC or Watford FC 70% + Under 2.5 goals 58%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Watford FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.35
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 68% |
|
32% |
| ± 2.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
| ± 3.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
| ± 4.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
Double Chance
Birmingham City FC or Draw
67%
Draw or Watford FC
62%
Birmingham City FC or Watford FC
70%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Watford FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.9%
0 – 0
11.7%
1 – 0
11.3%
0 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
8.2%
2 – 0
7.9%
1 – 2
6.5%
0 – 2
5%
2 – 2
4.4%
3 – 1
3.7%
3 – 0
3.4%
1 – 3
2.3%
Asian Handicap — Birmingham City FC
| Handicap | Birmingham City FC covers | Push | Watford FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 12% | 81% |
| -1.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -1 | 19% | 22% | 59% |
| -0.5 | 41% | — | 59% |
| +0.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +1 | 72% | 17% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +2 | 89% | 8% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Birmingham City FC keeps clean sheet
36%
✓
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
28%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

