Birmingham City FC vs Watford FC, Championship 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Birmingham City FC vs Watford FC — Championship at St Andrew's Ground.
- Birmingham City FC 46 games · 64 pts (2026/27)
- Watford FC 46 games · 57 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Matt Donohue
- Assistant 1 Paul Hodskinson
- Assistant 2 Andrew Fox
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry City FC | 46 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich Town FC | 46 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall FC | 46 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton FC | 46 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough FC | 46 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull City AFC | 46 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham AFC | 46 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby County FC | 46 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich City FC | 46 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 46 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea City AFC | 46 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City FC | 46 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield United FC | 46 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston North End FC | 46 | 60 |
| 15 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 46 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford FC | 46 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke City FC | 46 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth FC | 46 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 46 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 46 | 52 |
| 21 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 46 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford United FC | 46 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester City FC | 46 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 46 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar | Watford FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Mar | Middlesbrough FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 09 Mar | Millwall FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 05 Mar | Hull City AFC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 02 Mar | Southampton FC | H | 3–4 | L |
| 24 Feb | Ipswich Town FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar | Birmingham City FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 09 Mar | Coventry City FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 06 Mar | Swansea City AFC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 02 Mar | Millwall FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 24 Feb | Huddersfield Town AFC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 17 Feb | Rotherham United FC | A | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Birmingham City FC | Watford FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #10 | Position | #16 |
| 64 | Points | 57 |
| 46 | Played | 46 |
| 17 / 13 / 16 | W / D / L | 14 / 15 / 17 |
| 57 | Scored | 53 |
| 56 | Conceded | 65 |
| +1 | GD | -12 |
| 1.39 | PPG | 1.24 |
| 37% | Win % | 30% |
Key Stats
25%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
H2H (8 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Birmingham City FC are 10th (64 pts). Watford FC are 16th (57 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' Temperatures are rising at St Andrew's Ground as Birmingham City FC face off against Watford FC in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
- 5' It’s high time Valerien Ismael made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 10' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 15' Birmingham City FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 15.
- 20' Jordan James is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Watford FC so far.
- 25' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Tony Mowbray will be considering his options from the bench.
- 30' Watford FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 35' Koji Miyoshi has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 1 cards already picked up this season.
- 40' Birmingham City FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Watford FC backline.
- 44' What a moment for Emmanuel Dennis! That strike on 44 puts his side firmly in control.
- 49' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 54' Supporters expect more eagerness from Ivan Sunjic, as he is very good at scoring at St Andrew's Ground with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
- 59' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 59 minutes.
- 63' A tactical swap from Watford FC — Vakoun Issouf Bayo on, Emmanuel Dennis off on 63 minutes.
- 68' Giorgi Chakvetadze is having his name booked by the referee on 68.
- 72' Another substitution for Birmingham City FC to replace Koji Miyoshi by Tyler Roberts on 72 minute.
- 77' It looks like no one’s ball. Watford FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 79' Tom Ince has so much to prove this time. He replaces Giorgi Chakvetadze on 79 minute.
- 83' George Hall has so much to prove this time. He replaces Ethan Laird on 83 minute.
- 88' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Yaser Asprilla.
- 89' Fresh legs for Watford FC! Francisco Sierralta comes on to replace Yaser Asprilla.
- 90' A moment of madness from Daniel Bachmann on 90 minutes earns him a card. Watford FC will be frustrated.
- 90' The whistle greets Lukas Jutkiewicz as he departs to be replaced by Scott Hogan.
- Another three points for Watford FC.
Lineups
Birmingham City FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 7
- 21
-
34
Ivan Sunjic ↓ Gary Gardner 83'
-
11
Koji Miyoshi ↓ Tyler Roberts 72'
- 44
- 3
- 28
-
2
Ethan Laird ↓ George Hall 83'
- 12
-
19
Jordan James ↓ Lukas Jutkiewicz 72'
- 13
Bench
- 1
- 16
-
10
Lukas Jutkiewicz ↑ 72'
-
20
Gary Gardner ↑ 83'
- 9
-
8
Tyler Roberts ↑ 72'
- 5
- 23
-
35
George Hall ↑ 83'
Coach
Tony Mowbray
Watford FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 25
- 1
- 5
- 39
-
16
Giorgi Chakvetadze ↓ Tom Ince 79'
- 15
- 24
-
11
Ismael Kone ↓ Matheus Martins 79'
- 42
- 18
- 45
Bench
- 26
- 8
-
7
Tom Ince ↑ 79'
-
3
Francisco Sierralta ↑ 89'
-
19
Vakoun Issouf Bayo ↑ 63'
-
37
Matheus Martins ↑ 79'
- 59
- 9
Coach
Valerien Ismael
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Ken Sema | 2 |
| Mileta Rajovic | 1 |
| Emmanuel Dennis | 1 |
| Troy Deeney | 1 |
| Nathaniel Chalobah | 1 |
| Andre Gray | 1 |
| George Hall | 1 |
| Britt Assombalonga | 1 |
Head to Head
Birmingham City FC Form
2024-03-16
Birmingham City FC
0–1
Watford FC
L
2024-03-12
Birmingham City FC
0–1
Middlesbrough FC
L
2024-03-09
Millwall FC
1–0
Birmingham City FC
L
2024-03-05
Hull City AFC
1–1
Birmingham City FC
D
2024-03-02
Birmingham City FC
3–4
Southampton FC
L
2024-02-24
Ipswich Town FC
3–1
Birmingham City FC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.97
Birmingham City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.3
Watford FC xG
I would bet for:
Watford FC or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 61%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Watford FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.27
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 1.5 | 66% |
|
34% |
| ± 2.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
| ± 3.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
| ± 4.5 | 9% |
|
91% |
Double Chance
Birmingham City FC or Draw
57%
Draw or Watford FC
73%
Birmingham City FC or Watford FC
70%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Watford FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14%
0 – 0
12.6%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
8.8%
0 – 2
8.4%
1 – 2
8.2%
2 – 1
6.1%
2 – 0
4.7%
2 – 2
4.1%
1 – 3
3.6%
0 – 3
3.6%
3 – 1
2%
Asian Handicap — Birmingham City FC
| Handicap | Birmingham City FC covers | Push | Watford FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 7% | 90% |
| -1.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -1 | 10% | 17% | 74% |
| -0.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| +0.5 | 58% | — | 42% |
| +1 | 58% | 23% | 20% |
| +1.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +2 | 80% | 13% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
Birmingham City FC keeps clean sheet
28%
✓
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
38%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

