Birmingham City FC vs Watford FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Championship · 2025-26

Birmingham City FC

2 – 1

Full Time

Watford FC

Mon 1 Dec 2025 · 20:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Birmingham City FC vs Watford FC — Championship .

Birmingham City FC 46 games · 64 pts (2026/27)
Watford FC 46 games · 57 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Adam Herczeg

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Coventry City FC	46	95
2	Ipswich Town FC	46	84
3	Millwall FC	46	83
4	Southampton FC	46	80
5	Middlesbrough FC	46	80
6	Hull City AFC	46	73
7	Wrexham AFC	46	71
8	Derby County FC	46	69
9	Norwich City FC	46	65
10	Birmingham City FC	46	64
11	Swansea City AFC	46	64
12	Bristol City FC	46	62
13	Sheffield United FC	46	60
14	Preston North End FC	46	60
15	Queens Park Rangers FC	46	58
16	Watford FC	46	57
17	Stoke City FC	46	55
18	Portsmouth FC	46	55
19	Charlton Athletic FC	46	53
20	Blackburn Rovers FC	46	52
21	West Bromwich Albion FC	46	51
22	Oxford United FC	46	47
23	Leicester City FC	46	46
24	Sheffield Wednesday FC	46	0

Head-to-Head

Birmingham City FC 8 games · Avg 2.3 goals Watford FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-12-01 Birmingham City FC 2–1 Watford FC 2024-03-16 Birmingham City FC 0–1 Watford FC 2023-09-16 Watford FC 2–0 Birmingham City FC 2023-03-14 Watford FC 3–0 Birmingham City FC 2022-08-16 Birmingham City FC 1–1 Watford FC

Recent Form

Birmingham City FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
01 Dec	Watford FC	H	2–1	W
26 Nov	West Bromwich Albion FC	A	1–1	D
22 Nov	Norwich City FC	H	4–1	W
08 Nov	Middlesbrough FC	A	1–2	L
04 Nov	Millwall FC	H	4–0	W
01 Nov	Portsmouth FC	H	4–0	W

Watford FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
01 Dec	Birmingham City FC	A	1–2	L
25 Nov	Preston North End FC	H	1–1	D
22 Nov	Derby County FC	A	3–2	W
07 Nov	Bristol City FC	H	1–1	D
04 Nov	Ipswich Town FC	A	1–1	D
01 Nov	Middlesbrough FC	H	3–0	W

Season Stats

Birmingham City FC		Watford FC
#10	Position	#16
64	Points	57
46	Played	46
17 / 13 / 16	W / D / L	14 / 15 / 17
57	Scored	53
56	Conceded	65
+1	GD	-12
1.39	PPG	1.24
37%	Win %	30%

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Birmingham City FC are 10th (64 pts). Watford FC are 16th (57 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' It’s Showtime! The match between Birmingham City FC and Watford FC is underway.
With this win, Birmingham City FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

Birmingham City FC Lineups

Watford FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Ken Sema	2
Mileta Rajovic	1
Emmanuel Dennis	1
Troy Deeney	1
Nathaniel Chalobah	1
Andre Gray	1
George Hall	1
Britt Assombalonga	1

Head to Head

Birmingham City FC Form

2025-12-01 Birmingham City FC 2–1 Watford FC W 2025-11-26 West Bromwich Albion FC 1–1 Birmingham City FC D 2025-11-22 Birmingham City FC 4–1 Norwich City FC W 2025-11-08 Middlesbrough FC 2–1 Birmingham City FC L 2025-11-04 Birmingham City FC 4–0 Millwall FC W 2025-11-01 Birmingham City FC 4–0 Portsmouth FC W

Watford FC Form

2025-12-01 Birmingham City FC 2–1 Watford FC L 2025-11-25 Watford FC 1–1 Preston North End FC D 2025-11-22 Derby County FC 2–3 Watford FC W 2025-11-07 Watford FC 1–1 Bristol City FC D 2025-11-04 Ipswich Town FC 1–1 Watford FC D 2025-11-01 Watford FC 3–0 Middlesbrough FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.7 Birmingham City FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.2 Watford FC xG

I would bet for: Both teams to score 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Birmingham City FC48% Draw26% Watford FC26%

Actual: Birmingham City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes57% 0% No43%

Avg goals/match: 2.9

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	93%	7%
± 1.5	78%	22%
± 2.5	55%	45%
± 3.5	33%	67%
± 4.5	17%	83%

Double Chance

Birmingham City FC or Draw

74%

Draw or Watford FC

52%

Birmingham City FC or Watford FC

74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Birmingham City FC35% Draw45% Watford FC20%

Actual: Birmingham City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.1%

2 – 1

Actual

1 – 0

8.5%

2 – 0

7.8%

0 – 0

7.3%

1 – 2

6.5%

0 – 1

5.7%

2 – 2

5.5%

3 – 1

5.2%

3 – 0

4.3%

0 – 2

3.9%

3 – 2

3.2%

Asian Handicap — Birmingham City FC

Handicap	Birmingham City FC covers	Push	Watford FC covers
-2.5	11%	—	89%
-2	11%	15%	74%
-1.5	26%	—	74%
-1	26%	22%	52%
-0.5	48%	—	52%
+0.5	74%	—	26%
+1	74%	15%	11%
+1.5	89%	—	11%
+2	89%	7%	4%
+2.5	96%	—	4%

Clean Sheet

Birmingham City FC keeps clean sheet

31% ✓

Watford FC keeps clean sheet

19% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.