Birmingham City FC vs Watford FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Championship · 2025-26

Birmingham City FC

2 – 1

Full Time

Watford FC

Mon 1 Dec 2025 · 20:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Birmingham City FC vs Watford FC — Championship .

Birmingham City FC 8 games · 11 pts (2026/27)
Watford FC 8 games · 8 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Adam Herczeg

5 games this season 🟨 3.2/game ⚽ 11.8 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Swansea City AFC	8	17
2	West Ham United FC	8	15
3	Middlesbrough FC	8	15
4	Wolverhampton Wanderers FC	7	14
5	West Bromwich Albion FC	8	14
6	Queens Park Rangers FC	8	13
7	Stoke City FC	8	13
8	Bristol City FC	8	13
9	Charlton Athletic FC	8	12
10	Birmingham City FC	8	11
11	Millwall FC	8	11
12	Lincoln City FC	8	11
13	Southampton FC	8	10
14	Wrexham AFC	8	10
15	Bolton Wanderers FC	8	10
16	Blackburn Rovers FC	8	9
17	Norwich City FC	8	9
18	Sheffield United FC	8	9
19	Portsmouth FC	7	8
20	Watford FC	8	8
21	Cardiff City FC	8	7
22	Derby County FC	8	5
23	Preston North End FC	8	4
24	Burnley FC	8	4

Head-to-Head

Birmingham City FC 8 games · Avg 2.3 goals Watford FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-12-01 Birmingham City FC 2–1 Watford FC 2024-03-16 Birmingham City FC 0–1 Watford FC 2023-09-16 Watford FC 2–0 Birmingham City FC 2023-03-14 Watford FC 3–0 Birmingham City FC 2022-08-16 Birmingham City FC 1–1 Watford FC

Recent Form

Birmingham City FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
01 Dec	Watford FC	H	2–1	W
26 Nov	West Bromwich Albion FC	A	1–1	D
22 Nov	Norwich City FC	H	4–1	W
08 Nov	Middlesbrough FC	A	1–2	L
04 Nov	Millwall FC	H	4–0	W
01 Nov	Portsmouth FC	H	4–0	W

Watford FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
01 Dec	Birmingham City FC	A	1–2	L
25 Nov	Preston North End FC	H	1–1	D
22 Nov	Derby County FC	A	3–2	W
07 Nov	Bristol City FC	H	1–1	D
04 Nov	Ipswich Town FC	A	1–1	D
01 Nov	Middlesbrough FC	H	3–0	W

Season Stats

Birmingham City FC		Watford FC
#10	Position	#20
11	Points	8
8	Played	8
2 / 5 / 1	W / D / L	2 / 2 / 4
12	Scored	7
11	Conceded	10
+1	GD	-3
1.38	PPG	1.00
25%	Win %	25%

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

13% Clean Sheets
Birmingham City FC this season

0% Clean Sheets
Watford FC this season

Birmingham City FC are 10th (11 pts). Watford FC are 20th (8 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Birmingham City FC

0-15

1/1

16-30

1/1

31-45

1/6

46-60

2/1

61-75

3/–

76+

1/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Watford FC

0-15

2/2

16-30

2/2

31-45

–/3

46-60

–/2

61-75

1/–

76+

2/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Birmingham City FC

Phil Neumann	2 G
Demarai Gray	1 G

Watford FC

Amin Nabizada	3 G
Iker Bravo	1 G
Luca Kjerrumgaard	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Birmingham City FC is hosting Watford FC for another epic battle.
Watford FC will have plenty to reflect on. Birmingham City FC were simply the better side today.

Lineups

Birmingham City FC Lineups

Watford FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Ken Sema	2
Mileta Rajovic	1
Emmanuel Dennis	1
Troy Deeney	1
Nathaniel Chalobah	1
Andre Gray	1
George Hall	1
Britt Assombalonga	1

Head to Head

Birmingham City FC Form

2025-12-01 Birmingham City FC 2–1 Watford FC W 2025-11-26 West Bromwich Albion FC 1–1 Birmingham City FC D 2025-11-22 Birmingham City FC 4–1 Norwich City FC W 2025-11-08 Middlesbrough FC 2–1 Birmingham City FC L 2025-11-04 Birmingham City FC 4–0 Millwall FC W 2025-11-01 Birmingham City FC 4–0 Portsmouth FC W

Watford FC Form

2025-12-01 Birmingham City FC 2–1 Watford FC L 2025-11-25 Watford FC 1–1 Preston North End FC D 2025-11-22 Derby County FC 2–3 Watford FC W 2025-11-07 Watford FC 1–1 Bristol City FC D 2025-11-04 Ipswich Town FC 1–1 Watford FC D 2025-11-01 Watford FC 3–0 Middlesbrough FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.67 Birmingham City FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.08 Watford FC xG

I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct

Birmingham City FC49% Draw26% Watford FC25%

Actual: Birmingham City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes54% 0% No46%

Avg goals/match: 2.75

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	92%	8%
± 1.5	76%	24%
± 2.5	51%	49%
± 3.5	30%	70%
± 4.5	15%	85%

Double Chance

Birmingham City FC or Draw

76%

Draw or Watford FC

51%

Birmingham City FC or Watford FC

74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Birmingham City FC35% Draw46% Watford FC19%

Actual: Birmingham City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.4%

1 – 0

9.8%

2 – 1

Actual

2 – 0

8.7%

0 – 0

8.3%

1 – 2

0 – 1

3 – 1

5.2%

2 – 2

3 – 0

4.8%

0 – 2

3.7%

3 – 2

2.9%

Asian Handicap — Birmingham City FC

Handicap	Birmingham City FC covers	Push	Watford FC covers
-2.5	12%	—	88%
-2	12%	15%	73%
-1.5	27%	—	73%
-1	27%	22%	50%
-0.5	50%	—	50%
+0.5	77%	—	23%
+1	77%	14%	9%
+1.5	91%	—	9%
+2	91%	6%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

Birmingham City FC keeps clean sheet

35% ✓

Watford FC keeps clean sheet

20% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.