Thursday , 2 July 2026

Middlesbrough FC vs Birmingham City FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2025-26
Sat 8 Nov 2025 · 15:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Nov Birmingham City FC H 2–1 W
04 Nov Leicester City FC A 1–1 D
01 Nov Watford FC A 0–3 L
25 Oct Wrexham AFC H 1–1 D
22 Oct Sheffield Wednesday FC A 1–0 W
17 Oct Ipswich Town FC H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Nov Middlesbrough FC A 1–2 L
04 Nov Millwall FC H 4–0 W
01 Nov Portsmouth FC H 4–0 W
25 Oct Bristol City FC A 0–1 L
21 Oct Preston North End FC A 1–0 W
18 Oct Hull City AFC H 2–3 L

Season Stats

Middlesbrough FC Birmingham City FC
#5 Position #10
80 Points 64
46 Played 46
22 / 14 / 10 W / D / L 17 / 13 / 16
72 Scored 57
47 Conceded 56
+25 GD +1
1.74 PPG 1.39
48% Win % 37%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
43% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Middlesbrough FC are 5th (80 pts). Birmingham City FC are 10th (64 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Middlesbrough FC Lineups

Birmingham City FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.63 Middlesbrough FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.82 Birmingham City FC xG
I would bet for: Middlesbrough FC to win 58% + Under 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Middlesbrough FC58% Draw25% Birmingham City FC17%
Actual: Middlesbrough FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes46% 0% No54%
Avg goals/match: 2.45
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 44%
56%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Middlesbrough FC or Draw
83%
Draw or Birmingham City FC
42%
Middlesbrough FC or Birmingham City FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Middlesbrough FC38% Draw48% Birmingham City FC14%
Actual: Middlesbrough FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
13.2%
1 – 1
12.4%
2 – 0
11.1%
0 – 0
10.7%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
6.1%
3 – 0
5.9%
3 – 1
5%
1 – 2
4.5%
2 – 2
3.8%
0 – 2
2.8%
4 – 0
2.4%

Asian Handicap — Middlesbrough FC

Handicap Middlesbrough FC covers Push Birmingham City FC covers
-2.5 13% 87%
-2 13% 17% 70%
-1.5 30% 70%
-1 30% 25% 45%
-0.5 55% 45%
+0.5 83% 17%
+1 83% 12% 6%
+1.5 94% 6%
+2 94% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet
45%
Birmingham City FC keeps clean sheet
21%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.