Middlesbrough FC vs Birmingham City FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Middlesbrough FC vs Birmingham City FC — Championship .
- Middlesbrough FC 46 games · 80 pts (2026/27)
- Birmingham City FC 46 games · 64 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Samuel Allison
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry City FC | 46 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich Town FC | 46 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall FC | 46 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton FC | 46 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough FC | 46 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull City AFC | 46 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham AFC | 46 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby County FC | 46 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich City FC | 46 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 46 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea City AFC | 46 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City FC | 46 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield United FC | 46 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston North End FC | 46 | 60 |
| 15 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 46 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford FC | 46 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke City FC | 46 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth FC | 46 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 46 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 46 | 52 |
| 21 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 46 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford United FC | 46 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester City FC | 46 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 46 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov | Birmingham City FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 04 Nov | Leicester City FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Nov | Watford FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 25 Oct | Wrexham AFC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 22 Oct | Sheffield Wednesday FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 17 Oct | Ipswich Town FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov | Middlesbrough FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 04 Nov | Millwall FC | H | 4–0 | W |
| 01 Nov | Portsmouth FC | H | 4–0 | W |
| 25 Oct | Bristol City FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 21 Oct | Preston North End FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Oct | Hull City AFC | H | 2–3 | L |
Season Stats
| Middlesbrough FC | Birmingham City FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #10 |
| 80 | Points | 64 |
| 46 | Played | 46 |
| 22 / 14 / 10 | W / D / L | 17 / 13 / 16 |
| 72 | Scored | 57 |
| 47 | Conceded | 56 |
| +25 | GD | +1 |
| 1.74 | PPG | 1.39 |
| 48% | Win % | 37% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
H2H (14 games)
43%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Middlesbrough FC are 5th (80 pts). Birmingham City FC are 10th (64 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. Middlesbrough FC kicks off things out of here…
- Another three points for Middlesbrough FC.
Lineups
Middlesbrough FC Lineups
Birmingham City FC Lineups
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Britt Assombalonga | 3 |
| Scott Hogan | 2 |
| Lewis Wing | 2 |
| Chuba Akpom | 2 |
| Matty Crooks | 2 |
| George Saville | 1 |
| Britt Assombalonga | 1 |
| Che Adams | 1 |
Head to Head
Middlesbrough FC Form
2025-11-08
Middlesbrough FC
2–1
Birmingham City FC
W
2025-11-04
Leicester City FC
1–1
Middlesbrough FC
D
2025-11-01
Watford FC
3–0
Middlesbrough FC
L
2025-10-25
Middlesbrough FC
1–1
Wrexham AFC
D
2025-10-22
Sheffield Wednesday FC
0–1
Middlesbrough FC
W
2025-10-17
Middlesbrough FC
2–1
Ipswich Town FC
W
Birmingham City FC Form
2025-11-08
Middlesbrough FC
2–1
Birmingham City FC
L
2025-11-04
Birmingham City FC
4–0
Millwall FC
W
2025-11-01
Birmingham City FC
4–0
Portsmouth FC
W
2025-10-25
Bristol City FC
1–0
Birmingham City FC
L
2025-10-21
Preston North End FC
0–1
Birmingham City FC
W
2025-10-18
Birmingham City FC
2–3
Hull City AFC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.63
Middlesbrough FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.82
Birmingham City FC xG
I would bet for:
Middlesbrough FC to win 58% + Under 2.5 goals 56%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Middlesbrough FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.45
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 70% |
|
30% |
| ± 2.5 | 44% |
|
56% |
| ± 3.5 | 23% |
|
77% |
| ± 4.5 | 11% |
|
89% |
Double Chance
Middlesbrough FC or Draw
83%
Draw or Birmingham City FC
42%
Middlesbrough FC or Birmingham City FC
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Middlesbrough FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
13.2%
1 – 1
12.4%
2 – 0
11.1%
0 – 0
10.7%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
6.1%
3 – 0
5.9%
3 – 1
5%
1 – 2
4.5%
2 – 2
3.8%
0 – 2
2.8%
4 – 0
2.4%
Asian Handicap — Middlesbrough FC
| Handicap | Middlesbrough FC covers | Push | Birmingham City FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -2 | 13% | 17% | 70% |
| -1.5 | 30% | — | 70% |
| -1 | 30% | 25% | 45% |
| -0.5 | 55% | — | 45% |
| +0.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +1 | 83% | 12% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +2 | 94% | 4% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet
45%
✓
Birmingham City FC keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

