Watford FC vs Birmingham City FC, Championship 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Watford FC vs Birmingham City FC — Championship at Vicarage Road.
- Watford FC 8 games · 8 pts (2026/27)
- Birmingham City FC 8 games · 11 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Keith Stroud
- Assistant 1 Matthew Smith
- Assistant 2 Richard Wild
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea City AFC | 8 | 17 |
| 2 | West Ham United FC | 8 | 15 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough FC | 8 | 15 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 7 | 14 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 8 | 14 |
| 6 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 8 | 13 |
| 7 | Stoke City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 8 | Bristol City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 9 | Charlton Athletic FC | 8 | 12 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 11 | Millwall FC | 8 | 11 |
| 12 | Lincoln City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 13 | Southampton FC | 8 | 10 |
| 14 | Wrexham AFC | 8 | 10 |
| 15 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 8 | 10 |
| 16 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 8 | 9 |
| 17 | Norwich City FC | 8 | 9 |
| 18 | Sheffield United FC | 8 | 9 |
| 19 | Portsmouth FC | 7 | 8 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 8 | 8 |
| 21 | Cardiff City FC | 8 | 7 |
| 22 | Derby County FC | 8 | 5 |
| 23 | Preston North End FC | 8 | 4 |
| 24 | Burnley FC | 8 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep | Birmingham City FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 02 Sep | Coventry City FC | A | 3–3 | D |
| 27 Aug | Blackburn Rovers FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 19 Aug | Stoke City FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Aug | Plymouth Argyle FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 05 Aug | Queens Park Rangers FC | H | 4–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep | Watford FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 02 Sep | Millwall FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Aug | Plymouth Argyle FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 19 Aug | Bristol City FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 12 Aug | Leeds United FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 05 Aug | Swansea City AFC | A | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| Watford FC | Birmingham City FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #20 | Position | #10 |
| 8 | Points | 11 |
| 8 | Played | 8 |
| 2 / 2 / 4 | W / D / L | 2 / 5 / 1 |
| 7 | Scored | 12 |
| 10 | Conceded | 11 |
| -3 | GD | +1 |
| 1.00 | PPG | 1.38 |
| 25% | Win % | 25% |
Key Stats
25%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
H2H (8 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Watford FC this season
Watford FC this season
13%
Clean Sheets
Birmingham City FC this season
Birmingham City FC this season
Watford FC are 20th (8 pts). Birmingham City FC are 10th (11 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Watford FC
0-15
2/2
16-30
2/2
31-45
–/3
46-60
–/2
61-75
1/–
76+
2/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Birmingham City FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
1/6
46-60
2/1
61-75
3/–
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Watford FC
| Amin Nabizada | 3 G |
| Iker Bravo | 1 G |
| Luca Kjerrumgaard | 1 G |
Birmingham City FC
| Phil Neumann | 2 G |
| Demarai Gray | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Watford FC and Birmingham City FC get this one started.
- 5' Birmingham City FC receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 5.
- 10' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 15' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Watford FC and Birmingham City FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 20' Watford FC are deployed in a 4-3-3 today, looking to exploit space against Birmingham City FC's 4-4-2 shape.
- 25' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 30' Birmingham City FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 35' The referee has no hesitation. Lee Buchanan is booked for Birmingham City FC — Yellow card on 35.
- 38' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Krystian Bielik.
- 43' Birmingham City FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 46' Watford FC make a change. James Morris trudges off to be replaced by Jamal Lewis on 46 minutes.
- 51' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Birmingham City FC that had 387 games and scored 421 goals.
- 55' Wesley Hoedt was booked on 55.
- 56' It is a substitution in Watford FC team. Tom Ince is replaced by Yaser Asprilla on 56 minute.
- 57' Poor challenge from Jay Stansfield. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
- 60' Ivan Sunjic catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 60.
- 65' The whistle greets Tom Dele-Bashiru as he departs to be replaced by Giorgi Chakvetadze.
- 68' The crowd applauds Keshi Anderson as he leaves the pitch. Koji Miyoshi steps in for Birmingham City FC.
- 71' A change in the Birmingham City FC ranks — Oliver Burke exits the field as Juninho Bacuna enters on 71.
- 76' Birmingham City FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 77' It is a substitution in Watford FC team. Jeremy Ngakia is replaced by Ryan Andrews on 77 minute.
- 82' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Jeremy Ngakia made 345 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 87' It is a substitution in Birmingham City FC team. Jay Stansfield is replaced by Emmanuel Longelo on 87 minute.
- 88' Birmingham City FC receives a Red card for a hard tackle on 88.
- That’s it! Another goalless match for Watford FC and Birmingham City FC (для сухой ничьи).
Lineups
Watford FC Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
-
7
Tom Ince ↓ Yaser Asprilla 56'
- 4
- 3
- 1
- 5
- 10
- 24
-
2
Jeremy Ngakia ↓ Ryan Andrews 77'
-
37
Matheus Martins ↓ Ismael Kone 65'
-
42
James Morris ↓ Jamal Lewis 46'
- 9
Bench
- 26
- 8
-
6
Jamal Lewis ↑ 46'
- 39
-
16
Giorgi Chakvetadze ↑ 65'
- 15
-
11
Ismael Kone ↑ 65'
-
18
Yaser Asprilla ↑ 56'
-
45
Ryan Andrews ↑ 77'
Coach
Valerien Ismael
Birmingham City FC Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
-
–
Oliver Burke ↓ Juninho Bacuna 71'
- 26
- 21
-
9
Scott Hogan ↓ Jordan James 87'
- 6
-
14
Keshi Anderson ↓ Koji Miyoshi 68'
- 34
- 3
- 5
- 28
- 12
Bench
-
7
Juninho Bacuna ↑ 71'
- 1
- 4
- 20
-
11
Koji Miyoshi ↑ 68'
- 44
-
23
Emmanuel Longelo ↑ 87'
-
19
Jordan James ↑ 87'
- 27
Coach
John Eustace
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Ken Sema | 2 |
| Nathaniel Chalobah | 1 |
| Andre Gray | 1 |
| George Hall | 1 |
| Britt Assombalonga | 1 |
| Keinan Davis | 1 |
| Imran Louza | 1 |
| Ryan Andrews | 1 |
Head to Head
Watford FC Form
Birmingham City FC Form
2023-09-16
Watford FC
2–0
Birmingham City FC
L
2023-09-02
Birmingham City FC
1–1
Millwall FC
D
2023-08-26
Birmingham City FC
2–1
Plymouth Argyle FC
W
2023-08-19
Bristol City FC
0–2
Birmingham City FC
W
2023-08-12
Birmingham City FC
1–0
Leeds United FC
W
2023-08-05
Swansea City AFC
1–1
Birmingham City FC
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.29
Watford FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.83
Birmingham City FC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 65% + Under — clean sheet likely 58%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Watford FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.12
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 1.5 | 63% |
|
37% |
| ± 2.5 | 35% |
|
65% |
| ± 3.5 | 17% |
|
83% |
| ± 4.5 | 7% |
|
93% |
Double Chance
Watford FC or Draw
78%
Draw or Birmingham City FC
51%
Watford FC or Birmingham City FC
71%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
14.3%
1 – 0
14.2%
1 – 1
13.8%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
8.7%
2 – 1
8.1%
1 – 2
5.2%
3 – 0
4%
0 – 2
3.9%
3 – 1
3.5%
2 – 2
3.5%
3 – 2
1.6%
Asian Handicap — Watford FC
| Handicap | Watford FC covers | Push | Birmingham City FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 14% | 79% |
| -1.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| -1 | 21% | 24% | 55% |
| -0.5 | 45% | — | 55% |
| +0.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +1 | 78% | 15% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
44%
✗
Birmingham City FC keeps clean sheet
28%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.