Watford FC vs Birmingham City FC, Championship 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Watford FC vs Birmingham City FC — Championship at Vicarage Road.
- Watford FC 15 games · 15 pts (2026/27)
- Birmingham City FC 15 games · 29 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Keith Stroud
- Assistant 1 Matthew Smith
- Assistant 2 Richard Wild
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Birmingham City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough FC | 15 | 29 |
| 3 | Stoke City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 15 | 28 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 15 | 28 |
| 6 | Swansea City AFC | 15 | 26 |
| 7 | Southampton FC | 15 | 24 |
| 8 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 15 | 24 |
| 9 | West Ham United FC | 15 | 23 |
| 10 | Sheffield United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 11 | Portsmouth FC | 15 | 22 |
| 12 | Norwich City FC | 15 | 21 |
| 13 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 15 | 21 |
| 14 | Cardiff City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 15 | Wrexham AFC | 15 | 18 |
| 16 | Millwall FC | 15 | 18 |
| 17 | Bristol City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 18 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 15 | 17 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 15 | 17 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 15 | 15 |
| 21 | Lincoln City FC | 15 | 15 |
| 22 | Burnley FC | 15 | 10 |
| 23 | Derby County FC | 15 | 10 |
| 24 | Preston North End FC | 15 | 8 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep | Birmingham City FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 02 Sep | Coventry City FC | A | 3–3 | D |
| 27 Aug | Blackburn Rovers FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 19 Aug | Stoke City FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Aug | Plymouth Argyle FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 05 Aug | Queens Park Rangers FC | H | 4–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep | Watford FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 02 Sep | Millwall FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Aug | Plymouth Argyle FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 19 Aug | Bristol City FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 12 Aug | Leeds United FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 05 Aug | Swansea City AFC | A | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| Watford FC | Birmingham City FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #20 | Position | #1 |
| 15 | Points | 29 |
| 15 | Played | 15 |
| 4 / 3 / 8 | W / D / L | 8 / 5 / 2 |
| 13 | Scored | 28 |
| 23 | Conceded | 14 |
| -10 | GD | +14 |
| 1.00 | PPG | 1.93 |
| 27% | Win % | 53% |
Key Stats
25%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
H2H (8 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
20%
Clean Sheets
Watford FC this season
Watford FC this season
33%
Clean Sheets
Birmingham City FC this season
Birmingham City FC this season
Watford FC are 20th (15 pts). Birmingham City FC are 1st (29 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Watford FC
0-15
3/4
16-30
3/4
31-45
–/6
46-60
2/3
61-75
1/2
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Birmingham City FC
0-15
2/1
16-30
6/1
31-45
4/7
46-60
4/1
61-75
4/1
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Watford FC
| Amin Nabizada | 3 G |
| Iker Bravo | 1 G |
| Luca Kjerrumgaard | 1 G |
Birmingham City FC
| August Priske | 6 G | 1 A |
| Liam Millar | 4 G | 3 A |
| Jay Stansfield | 4 G | 1 A |
| Demarai Gray | 3 G | |
| Phil Neumann | 2 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Watford FC have kicked off against Birmingham City FC. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
- 5' Cody Drameh has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 5.
- 10' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 15' Supporters expect more eagerness from Tom Dele-Bashiru, as he is very good at scoring at Vicarage Road with 5 goals in the last 5 games.
- 20' Over 20 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 25' Oliver Burke has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 30' The energy levels are beginning to show. John Eustace might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 35' Birmingham City FC player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
- 38' Krystian Bielik has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 38.
- 43' Scott Hogan, a Ireland forward, has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 46' Jamal Lewis has so much to prove this time. He replaces James Morris on 46 minute.
- 51' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Mileta Rajovic suffering a number of foals already.
- 55' Wesley Hoedt was booked on 55.
- 56' It is a substitution in Watford FC team. Tom Ince is replaced by Yaser Asprilla on 56 minute.
- 57' The referee shows Birmingham City FC player a Yellow card on 57.
- 60' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Ivan Sunjic.
- 65' It is a substitution in Watford FC team. Tom Dele-Bashiru is replaced by Giorgi Chakvetadze on 65 minute.
- 68' Another substitution for Birmingham City FC to replace Keshi Anderson by Koji Miyoshi on 68 minute.
- 71' Time for substitution for Birmingham City FC. Oliver Burke is replaced by Juninho Bacuna.
- 76' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 77' Time for substitution for Watford FC. Jeremy Ngakia is replaced by Ryan Andrews.
- 82' Francisco Sierralta has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 87' Birmingham City FC make a change. Jay Stansfield trudges off to be replaced by Emmanuel Longelo on 87 minutes.
- 88' The referee does not hesitate — a Red card for Lee Buchanan on 88 minutes.
- Birmingham City FC will have plenty to reflect on. Watford FC were simply the better side today.
Lineups
Watford FC Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
-
7
Tom Ince ↓ Yaser Asprilla 56'
- 4
- 3
- 1
- 5
- 10
- 24
-
2
Jeremy Ngakia ↓ Ryan Andrews 77'
-
37
Matheus Martins ↓ Ismael Kone 65'
-
42
James Morris ↓ Jamal Lewis 46'
- 9
Bench
- 26
- 8
-
6
Jamal Lewis ↑ 46'
- 39
-
16
Giorgi Chakvetadze ↑ 65'
- 15
-
11
Ismael Kone ↑ 65'
-
18
Yaser Asprilla ↑ 56'
-
45
Ryan Andrews ↑ 77'
Coach
Valerien Ismael
Birmingham City FC Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
-
–
Oliver Burke ↓ Juninho Bacuna 71'
- 26
- 21
-
9
Scott Hogan ↓ Jordan James 87'
- 6
-
14
Keshi Anderson ↓ Koji Miyoshi 68'
- 34
- 3
- 5
- 28
- 12
Bench
-
7
Juninho Bacuna ↑ 71'
- 1
- 4
- 20
-
11
Koji Miyoshi ↑ 68'
- 44
-
23
Emmanuel Longelo ↑ 87'
-
19
Jordan James ↑ 87'
- 27
Coach
John Eustace
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Ken Sema | 2 |
| Troy Deeney | 1 |
| Nathaniel Chalobah | 1 |
| Andre Gray | 1 |
| George Hall | 1 |
| Britt Assombalonga | 1 |
| Keinan Davis | 1 |
| Imran Louza | 1 |
Head to Head
Watford FC Form
Birmingham City FC Form
2023-09-16
Watford FC
2–0
Birmingham City FC
L
2023-09-02
Birmingham City FC
1–1
Millwall FC
D
2023-08-26
Birmingham City FC
2–1
Plymouth Argyle FC
W
2023-08-19
Bristol City FC
0–2
Birmingham City FC
W
2023-08-12
Birmingham City FC
1–0
Leeds United FC
W
2023-08-05
Swansea City AFC
1–1
Birmingham City FC
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.13
Watford FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.15
Birmingham City FC xG
I would bet for:
Watford FC or Birmingham City FC 71% + Under 2.5 goals 61%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Watford FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.28
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 1.5 | 66% |
|
34% |
| ± 2.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
| ± 3.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
| ± 4.5 | 9% |
|
91% |
Double Chance
Watford FC or Draw
69%
Draw or Birmingham City FC
59%
Watford FC or Birmingham City FC
71%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.3%
0 – 0
12.6%
0 – 1
10.6%
1 – 0
10.4%
1 – 2
7.4%
2 – 1
7.2%
0 – 2
6.5%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 2
4.3%
1 – 3
2.8%
3 – 1
2.8%
0 – 3
2.4%
Asian Handicap — Watford FC
| Handicap | Watford FC covers | Push | Birmingham City FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 10% | 86% |
| -1.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -1 | 14% | 20% | 66% |
| -0.5 | 34% | — | 66% |
| +0.5 | 66% | — | 34% |
| +1 | 66% | 20% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +2 | 85% | 10% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
32%
✗
Birmingham City FC keeps clean sheet
33%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

