Sunday , 15 November 2026

Watford FC vs Birmingham City FC, Championship 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2023-24
Sat 16 Sep 2023 · 14:00 UTC Vicarage Road 18,932 HT 45' · FT 45'
Mileta Rajovic 90+1' 1–0
Ryan Andrews 90+6' 2–0

Overview

Match Preview

Watford FC vs Birmingham City FC — Championship at Vicarage Road.

Match Details

  • Referee Keith Stroud
  • Assistant 1 Matthew Smith
  • Assistant 2 Richard Wild

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Sep Birmingham City FC H 2–0 W
02 Sep Coventry City FC A 3–3 D
27 Aug Blackburn Rovers FC H 0–1 L
19 Aug Stoke City FC A 0–1 L
12 Aug Plymouth Argyle FC H 0–0 D
05 Aug Queens Park Rangers FC H 4–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Sep Watford FC A 0–2 L
02 Sep Millwall FC H 1–1 D
26 Aug Plymouth Argyle FC H 2–1 W
19 Aug Bristol City FC A 2–0 W
12 Aug Leeds United FC H 1–0 W
05 Aug Swansea City AFC A 1–1 D

Season Stats

Watford FC Birmingham City FC
#20 Position #1
15 Points 29
15 Played 15
4 / 3 / 8 W / D / L 8 / 5 / 2
13 Scored 28
23 Conceded 14
-10 GD +14
1.00 PPG 1.93
27% Win % 53%

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Watford FC this season
33% Clean Sheets
Birmingham City FC this season

Watford FC are 20th (15 pts). Birmingham City FC are 1st (29 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Watford FC
0-15
3/4
16-30
3/4
31-45
–/6
46-60
2/3
61-75
1/2
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Birmingham City FC
0-15
2/1
16-30
6/1
31-45
4/7
46-60
4/1
61-75
4/1
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Watford FC
Amin Nabizada 3 G
Iker Bravo 1 G
Luca Kjerrumgaard 1 G
Birmingham City FC
August Priske 6 G 1 A
Liam Millar 4 G 3 A
Jay Stansfield 4 G 1 A
Demarai Gray 3 G
Phil Neumann 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Watford FC have kicked off against Birmingham City FC. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 5' Cody Drameh has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 5.
  • 10' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 15' Supporters expect more eagerness from Tom Dele-Bashiru, as he is very good at scoring at Vicarage Road with 5 goals in the last 5 games.
  • 20' Over 20 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 25' Oliver Burke has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 30' The energy levels are beginning to show. John Eustace might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 35' Birmingham City FC player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • 38' Krystian Bielik has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 38.
  • 43' Scott Hogan, a Ireland forward, has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 46' Jamal Lewis has so much to prove this time. He replaces James Morris on 46 minute.
  • 51' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Mileta Rajovic suffering a number of foals already.
  • 55' Wesley Hoedt was booked on 55.
  • 56' It is a substitution in Watford FC team. Tom Ince is replaced by Yaser Asprilla on 56 minute.
  • 57' The referee shows Birmingham City FC player a Yellow card on 57.
  • 60' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Ivan Sunjic.
  • 65' It is a substitution in Watford FC team. Tom Dele-Bashiru is replaced by Giorgi Chakvetadze on 65 minute.
  • 68' Another substitution for Birmingham City FC to replace Keshi Anderson by Koji Miyoshi on 68 minute.
  • 71' Time for substitution for Birmingham City FC. Oliver Burke is replaced by Juninho Bacuna.
  • 76' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 77' Time for substitution for Watford FC. Jeremy Ngakia is replaced by Ryan Andrews.
  • 82' Francisco Sierralta has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 87' Birmingham City FC make a change. Jay Stansfield trudges off to be replaced by Emmanuel Longelo on 87 minutes.
  • 88' The referee does not hesitate — a Red card for Lee Buchanan on 88 minutes.
  • Birmingham City FC will have plenty to reflect on. Watford FC were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.13 Watford FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.15 Birmingham City FC xG
I would bet for: Watford FC or Birmingham City FC 71% + Under 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Watford FC41% Draw29% Birmingham City FC30%
Actual: Watford FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.28
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 66%
34%
± 2.5 39%
61%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Watford FC or Draw
69%
Draw or Birmingham City FC
59%
Watford FC or Birmingham City FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Watford FC24% Draw51% Birmingham City FC25%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.3%
0 – 0
12.6%
0 – 1
10.6%
1 – 0
10.4%
1 – 2
7.4%
2 – 1
7.2%
0 – 2
6.5%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 2
4.3%
1 – 3
2.8%
3 – 1
2.8%
0 – 3
2.4%

Asian Handicap — Watford FC

Handicap Watford FC covers Push Birmingham City FC covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 10% 86%
-1.5 14% — 86%
-1 14% 20% 66%
-0.5 34% — 66%
+0.5 66% — 34%
+1 66% 20% 15%
+1.5 85% — 15%
+2 85% 10% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

Watford FC keeps clean sheet
32% ✗
Birmingham City FC keeps clean sheet
33% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.