Burnley FC vs Brentford FC, Premier League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Premier League · 2025-26

Burnley FC

3 – 4

Full Time

Brentford FC

Sat 28 Feb 2026 · 15:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Burnley FC vs Brentford FC — Premier League .

Burnley FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Brentford FC 4 games · 6 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Sam Barrott (England)

4 games this season 🟨 2.3/game ⚽ 9.8 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Arsenal FC	4	12
2	Manchester City FC	3	9
3	Hull City AFC	4	8
4	Chelsea FC	4	7
5	Brentford FC	4	6
6	Liverpool FC	4	6
7	Everton FC	4	6
8	Ipswich Town FC	4	6
9	Brighton & Hove Albion FC	4	5
10	Newcastle United FC	3	5
11	Leeds United FC	3	5
12	Nottingham Forest FC	4	5
13	Manchester United FC	3	4
14	Sunderland AFC	4	4
15	AFC Bournemouth	4	3
16	Crystal Palace FC	4	3
17	Tottenham Hotspur FC	4	2
18	Fulham FC	4	1
19	Coventry City FC	4	1
20	Aston Villa FC	4	1

Head-to-Head

Burnley FC 6 games · Avg 3.8 goals Brentford FC

Last 5 meetings

2026-02-28 Burnley FC 3–4 Brentford FC 2025-11-29 Brentford FC 3–1 Burnley FC 2024-03-16 Burnley FC 2–1 Brentford FC 2023-10-21 Brentford FC 3–0 Burnley FC 2022-03-12 Brentford FC 2–0 Burnley FC

Recent Form

Burnley FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
28 Feb	Brentford FC	H	3–4	L
21 Feb	Chelsea FC	A	1–1	D
14 Feb	Mansfield Town FC	H	1–2	L
11 Feb	Crystal Palace FC	A	3–2	W
07 Feb	West Ham United FC	H	0–2	L
02 Feb	Sunderland AFC	A	0–3	L

Brentford FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
28 Feb	Burnley FC	A	4–3	W
21 Feb	Brighton & Hove Albion FC	H	0–2	L
16 Feb	Macclesfield Town FC	A	1–0	W
12 Feb	Arsenal FC	H	1–1	D
07 Feb	Newcastle United FC	A	3–2	W
01 Feb	Aston Villa FC	A	1–0	W

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)

83% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

25% Clean Sheets
Brentford FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Brentford FC

0-15

1/–

16-30

–/–

31-45

3/1

46-60

3/1

61-75

–/–

76+

–/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Brentford FC

Kevin Schade	3 G
Vitaly Janelt	2 G
Keane Lewis-Potter	1 G	1 A
Michael Kayode	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' That's the starting whistle at . Ninety minutes of football awaits between Burnley FC and Brentford FC.
Burnley FC will have plenty to reflect on. Brentford FC were simply the better side today.

Lineups

Burnley FC Lineups

Brentford FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Ivan Toney	3
Maxwel Cornet	2
Jacob Bruun Larsen	1
David Fofana	1
Saman Ghoddoos	1
Matthew Lowton	1
Chris Wood	1
Bryan Mbeumo	1

Head to Head

Burnley FC Form

2026-02-28 Burnley FC 3–4 Brentford FC L 2026-02-21 Chelsea FC 1–1 Burnley FC D 2026-02-14 Burnley FC 1–2 Mansfield Town FC L 2026-02-11 Crystal Palace FC 2–3 Burnley FC W 2026-02-07 Burnley FC 0–2 West Ham United FC L 2026-02-02 Sunderland AFC 3–0 Burnley FC L

Brentford FC Form

2026-02-28 Burnley FC 3–4 Brentford FC W 2026-02-21 Brentford FC 0–2 Brighton & Hove Albion FC L 2026-02-16 Macclesfield Town FC 0–1 Brentford FC W 2026-02-12 Brentford FC 1–1 Arsenal FC D 2026-02-07 Newcastle United FC 2–3 Brentford FC W 2026-02-01 Aston Villa FC 0–1 Brentford FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.39 Burnley FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.91 Brentford FC xG

I would bet for: Both teams to score 64% + Over 2.5 goals 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Burnley FC28% Draw25% Brentford FC47%

Actual: Brentford FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes64% 0% No36%

Avg goals/match: 3.3

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	95%	5%
± 1.5	84%	16%
± 2.5	63%	37%
± 3.5	41%	59%
± 4.5	24%	76%

Double Chance

Burnley FC or Draw

53%

Draw or Brentford FC

72%

Burnley FC or Brentford FC

75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Burnley FC22% Draw42% Brentford FC36%

Actual: Brentford FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–4 not predicted

3 – 4

Actual

1 – 1

10.7%

1 – 2

0 – 2

6.7%

2 – 1

6.6%

0 – 1

6.4%

2 – 2

6.2%

1 – 3

5.7%

0 – 0

5.3%

1 – 0

4.4%

0 – 3

4.2%

2 – 3

2 – 0

3.6%

Asian Handicap — Burnley FC

Handicap	Burnley FC covers	Push	Brentford FC covers
-2.5	4%	—	96%
-2	4%	8%	88%
-1.5	12%	—	88%
-1	12%	15%	73%
-0.5	27%	—	73%
+0.5	52%	—	48%
+1	52%	21%	28%
+1.5	72%	—	28%
+2	72%	15%	13%
+2.5	87%	—	13%

Clean Sheet

Burnley FC keeps clean sheet

16% ✓

Brentford FC keeps clean sheet

26% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.