Saturday , 14 November 2026

Burnley FC vs Brentford FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2023-24
Sat 16 Mar 2024 · 15:00 UTC Turf Moor HT 45' · FT 45'
Jacob Bruun Larsen pen 10' 1–0
David Fofana 62' 2–0
2–1 83' Kristoffer Ajer

Overview

Match Preview

Burnley FC vs Brentford FC — Premier League at Turf Moor.

Match Details

  • Referee Darren Bond
  • Assistant 1 Scott Ledger
  • Assistant 2

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Mar Brentford FC H 2–1 W
10 Mar West Ham United FC A 2–2 D
03 Mar AFC Bournemouth H 0–2 L
24 Feb Crystal Palace FC A 0–3 L
17 Feb Arsenal FC H 0–5 L
10 Feb Liverpool FC A 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Mar Burnley FC A 1–2 L
09 Mar Arsenal FC A 1–2 L
02 Mar Chelsea FC H 2–2 D
26 Feb West Ham United FC A 2–4 L
20 Feb Manchester City FC A 0–1 L
17 Feb Liverpool FC H 1–4 L

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
83% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
30% Clean Sheets
Brentford FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Brentford FC
0-15
2/2
16-30
–/1
31-45
4/2
46-60
3/1
61-75
2/2
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Brentford FC
Kevin Schade 3 G
Thiago 2 G 2 A
Keane Lewis-Potter 2 G 1 A
Vitaly Janelt 2 G
Michael Kayode 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Turf Moor will turn into a battlefield for Burnley FC and Brentford FC.
  • 5' Both keepers have barely been tested. Burnley FC and Brentford FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 9' The referee calls foul for Reguilon. He receives a card.
  • 10' Jacob Bruun Larsen makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and Burnley FC are in front.
  • 15' The home supporters are growing impatient. Burnley FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 20' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Burnley FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 25' David Fofana is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Burnley FC so far.
  • 30' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 35' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 40' Burnley FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 45' The energy levels are beginning to show. Vincent Kompany might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 50' named a 4-4-2 earlier, and opted for a 3-5-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 55' Burnley FC are deployed in a 4-4-2 today, looking to exploit space against Brentford FC's 3-5-2 shape.
  • 59' Keane Lewis-Potter is replacing Mads Roerslev for the Brentford FC side.
  • 62' David Fofana is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the forward.
  • 67' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 68' It’s a booking for Brentford FC player. Vitaly Janelt gets a card.
  • 69' Burnley FC make a change. Jacob Bruun Larsen trudges off to be replaced by Zeki Amdouni on 69 minutes.
  • 74' Brentford FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 79' A tactical swap from Brentford FC — Bryan Mbeumo on, Yoane Wissa off on 79 minutes.
  • 80' The Brentford FC bench stirs into life. Mathias Jensen is withdrawn and Neal Maupay gets his opportunity.
  • 81' That looks like a foul for a card for Zeki Amdouni.
  • 83' The Norway Kristoffer Ajer breaks the deadlock on 83 minutes. 2-1!
  • 84' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Kristoffer Ajer.
  • 88' Burnley FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Lyle Foster is hanging David Fofana on the field on 88 minute.
  • 90' Controversy at the stadium! Charlie Taylor argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 90' The Burnley FC manager makes a substitution. Zeki Amdouni departs to be replaced by Josh Brownhill.
  • Full Time. Burnley FC beats Brentford FC

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.4 Burnley FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.41 Brentford FC xG
I would bet for: Burnley FC or Brentford FC 74% + Both teams to score 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Burnley FC41% Draw26% Brentford FC33%
Actual: Burnley FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 2.81
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

Burnley FC or Draw
68%
Draw or Brentford FC
59%
Burnley FC or Brentford FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Burnley FC27% Draw46% Brentford FC27%
Actual: Burnley FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.8%
1 – 2
8.1%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
8%
0 – 1
7.6%
1 – 0
7.5%
0 – 2
5.9%
2 – 0
5.8%
2 – 2
5.7%
1 – 3
3.8%
3 – 1
3.7%
0 – 3
2.7%

Asian Handicap — Burnley FC

Handicap Burnley FC covers Push Brentford FC covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 11% 83%
-1.5 17% — 83%
-1 17% 19% 64%
-0.5 36% — 64%
+0.5 64% — 36%
+1 64% 19% 17%
+1.5 83% — 17%
+2 83% 11% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
25% ✓
Brentford FC keeps clean sheet
26% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.