Thursday , 2 July 2026

Burnley FC vs Brentford FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2023-24
Sat 16 Mar 2024 · 15:00 UTC Turf Moor HT 45' · FT 45'
Jacob Bruun Larsen pen 10' 1–0
David Fofana 62' 2–0
2–1 83' Kristoffer Ajer

Overview

Match Preview

Burnley FC vs Brentford FCPremier League at Turf Moor.

Match Details

  • Referee Darren Bond
  • Assistant 1 Scott Ledger
  • Assistant 2

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Mar Brentford FC H 2–1 W
10 Mar West Ham United FC A 2–2 D
03 Mar AFC Bournemouth H 0–2 L
24 Feb Crystal Palace FC A 0–3 L
17 Feb Arsenal FC H 0–5 L
10 Feb Liverpool FC A 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Mar Burnley FC A 1–2 L
09 Mar Arsenal FC A 1–2 L
02 Mar Chelsea FC H 2–2 D
26 Feb West Ham United FC A 2–4 L
20 Feb Manchester City FC A 0–1 L
17 Feb Liverpool FC H 1–4 L

Season Stats

Burnley FC Brentford FC
#2 Position #16
22 Points 0
38 Played 0
4 / 10 / 24 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
38 Scored 0
75 Conceded 0
-37 GD +0
0.58 PPG
11% Win %

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
83% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Burnley FC are 2nd (22 pts). Brentford FC are 16th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Temperatures are rising at Turf Moor as Burnley FC face off against Brentford FC in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
  • 5' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Burnley FC and Brentford FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 9' It’s a booking for Brentford FC player. Reguilon gets a card.
  • 10' A stunning finish from Jacob Bruun Larsen — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 15' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 20' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 25' Brentford FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 30' Dara O'Shea has been relatively quiet despite scoring 13 goals in his last 198 appearances.
  • 35' Maxime Esteve has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 40' It is a cagey affair so far. Burnley FC in their 4-4-2 trying to find a way past Brentford FC's compact 3-5-2.
  • 45' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 50' Burnley FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 55' The 28-year-old Sander Berge has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 59' The whistle greets Mads Roerslev as he departs to be replaced by Keane Lewis-Potter.
  • 62' What composure from David Fofana! The Ivory Coast international strokes it home. 2-0.
  • 67' The energy levels are beginning to show. Vincent Kompany might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 68' Poor challenge from Vitaly Janelt. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 69' Zeki Amdouni is ready to make an impact after coming on for Jacob Bruun Larsen at the 69 minute mark.
  • 74' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 79' Brentford FC make a change. Yoane Wissa trudges off to be replaced by Bryan Mbeumo on 79 minutes.
  • 80' Neal Maupay has so much to prove this time. He replaces Mathias Jensen on 80 minute.
  • 81' That is a card for Burnley FC. Zeki Amdouni will be fuming at that decision.
  • 83' The Norway Kristoffer Ajer breaks the deadlock on 83 minutes. 2-1!
  • 84' Poor challenge from Kristoffer Ajer. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 88' Another substitution for Burnley FC to replace David Fofana by Lyle Foster on 88 minute.
  • 90' The referee calls foul for Charlie Taylor. He receives a card.
  • 90' It is a substitution in Burnley FC team. Zeki Amdouni is replaced by Josh Brownhill on 90 minute.
  • The points are shared — Burnley FC 2-1 Brentford FC. Honours even.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
0.75 Burnley FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.88 Brentford FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 77% + Burnley FC or Draw 69%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Burnley FC35% Draw34% Brentford FC31%
Actual: Burnley FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes32% 0% No68%
Avg goals/match: 1.63
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 78%
22%
± 1.5 49%
51%
± 2.5 23%
77%
± 3.5 9%
91%
± 4.5 3%
97%

Double Chance

Burnley FC or Draw
69%
Draw or Brentford FC
65%
Burnley FC or Brentford FC
66%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Burnley FC18% Draw60% Brentford FC22%
Actual: Burnley FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
22.3%
0 – 1
15.7%
1 – 1
13.9%
1 – 0
13.1%
0 – 2
7.1%
1 – 2
5.7%
2 – 0
5.1%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 2
2.3%
0 – 3
2.1%
1 – 3
1.7%
3 – 0
1.3%

Asian Handicap — Burnley FC

Handicap Burnley FC covers Push Brentford FC covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 6% 92%
-1.5 8% 92%
-1 8% 19% 73%
-0.5 27% 73%
+0.5 66% 34%
+1 66% 22% 12%
+1.5 88% 12%
+2 88% 9% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
42%
Brentford FC keeps clean sheet
48%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.