Sunday , 16 August 2026

Burnley FC vs Brentford FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2023-24
Sat 16 Mar 2024 · 15:00 UTC Turf Moor HT 45' · FT 45'
Jacob Bruun Larsen pen 10' 1–0
David Fofana 62' 2–0
2–1 83' Kristoffer Ajer

Overview

Match Preview

Burnley FC vs Brentford FCPremier League at Turf Moor.

Match Details

  • Referee Darren Bond
  • Assistant 1 Scott Ledger
  • Assistant 2

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Mar Brentford FC H 2–1 W
10 Mar West Ham United FC A 2–2 D
03 Mar AFC Bournemouth H 0–2 L
24 Feb Crystal Palace FC A 0–3 L
17 Feb Arsenal FC H 0–5 L
10 Feb Liverpool FC A 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Mar Burnley FC A 1–2 L
09 Mar Arsenal FC A 1–2 L
02 Mar Chelsea FC H 2–2 D
26 Feb West Ham United FC A 2–4 L
20 Feb Manchester City FC A 0–1 L
17 Feb Liverpool FC H 1–4 L

Season Stats

Burnley FC Brentford FC
#2 Position #16
22 Points 0
38 Played 0
4 / 10 / 24 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
38 Scored 0
75 Conceded 0
-37 GD +0
0.58 PPG
11% Win %

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
83% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Burnley FC are 2nd (22 pts). Brentford FC are 16th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! Burnley FC vs Brentford FC — let the football do the talking.
  • 5' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 9' Reguilon picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 10' The deadlock is broken! Jacob Bruun Larsen gets on the scoresheet on 10 minutes.
  • 15' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Burnley FC and Brentford FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 20' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 25' Burnley FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Brentford FC backline.
  • 30' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 35' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 40' Brentford FC have won 506 goals from 344 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 45' Both keepers have barely been tested. Burnley FC and Brentford FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 50' named a 4-4-2 earlier, and opted for a 3-5-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 55' Dara O'Shea has been relatively quiet despite scoring 13 goals in his last 198 appearances.
  • 59' The Brentford FC bench stirs into life. Mads Roerslev is withdrawn and Keane Lewis-Potter gets his opportunity.
  • 62' Brilliant from the forward! David Fofana makes it 2-0 with a superb finish on 62.
  • 67' Maxime Esteve has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 68' Brentford FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 69' Zeki Amdouni is replacing Jacob Bruun Larsen for the Burnley FC side.
  • 74' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 79' Another change for Brentford FC made on 79 minute. Yoane Wissa leaves to be changed by Bryan Mbeumo.
  • 80' The whistle greets Mathias Jensen as he departs to be replaced by Neal Maupay.
  • 81' Burnley FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 81.
  • 83' Kristoffer Ajer does the damage! The net is bulging and Brentford FC surge ahead!
  • 84' Brentford FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 84.
  • 88' Burnley FC make a change. David Fofana trudges off to be replaced by Lyle Foster on 88 minutes.
  • 90' A moment of madness from Charlie Taylor on 90 minutes earns him a card. Burnley FC will be frustrated.
  • 90' It is a substitution in Burnley FC team. Zeki Amdouni is replaced by Josh Brownhill on 90 minute.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Burnley FC to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
0.75 Burnley FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.88 Brentford FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 77% + Burnley FC or Draw 69%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Burnley FC35% Draw34% Brentford FC31%
Actual: Burnley FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes32% 0% No68%
Avg goals/match: 1.63
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 78%
22%
± 1.5 49%
51%
± 2.5 23%
77%
± 3.5 9%
91%
± 4.5 3%
97%

Double Chance

Burnley FC or Draw
69%
Draw or Brentford FC
65%
Burnley FC or Brentford FC
66%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Burnley FC18% Draw60% Brentford FC22%
Actual: Burnley FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
22.3%
0 – 1
15.7%
1 – 1
13.9%
1 – 0
13.1%
0 – 2
7.1%
1 – 2
5.7%
2 – 0
5.1%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 2
2.3%
0 – 3
2.1%
1 – 3
1.7%
3 – 0
1.3%

Asian Handicap — Burnley FC

Handicap Burnley FC covers Push Brentford FC covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 6% 92%
-1.5 8% 92%
-1 8% 19% 73%
-0.5 27% 73%
+0.5 66% 34%
+1 66% 22% 12%
+1.5 88% 12%
+2 88% 9% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
42%
Brentford FC keeps clean sheet
48%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.