Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Burnley FC vs Brentford FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2023-24
Sat 16 Mar 2024 · 15:00 UTC Turf Moor HT 45' · FT 45'
Jacob Bruun Larsen pen 10' 1–0
David Fofana 62' 2–0
2–1 83' Kristoffer Ajer

Overview

Match Preview

Burnley FC vs Brentford FC — Premier League at Turf Moor.

Match Details

  • Referee Darren Bond
  • Assistant 1 Scott Ledger
  • Assistant 2

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Mar Brentford FC H 2–1 W
10 Mar West Ham United FC A 2–2 D
03 Mar AFC Bournemouth H 0–2 L
24 Feb Crystal Palace FC A 0–3 L
17 Feb Arsenal FC H 0–5 L
10 Feb Liverpool FC A 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Mar Burnley FC A 1–2 L
09 Mar Arsenal FC A 1–2 L
02 Mar Chelsea FC H 2–2 D
26 Feb West Ham United FC A 2–4 L
20 Feb Manchester City FC A 0–1 L
17 Feb Liverpool FC H 1–4 L

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
83% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
40% Clean Sheets
Brentford FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Brentford FC
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
3/1
46-60
3/1
61-75
1/–
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Brentford FC
Kevin Schade 3 G
Vitaly Janelt 2 G
Keane Lewis-Potter 1 G 1 A
Michael Kayode 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Temperatures are rising at Turf Moor as Burnley FC face off against Brentford FC in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
  • 5' Both keepers have barely been tested. Burnley FC and Brentford FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 9' The referee has no hesitation. Reguilon is booked for Brentford FC — card on 9.
  • 10' Jacob Bruun Larsen does the damage! The net is bulging and Burnley FC surge ahead!
  • 15' Zanka, a Denmark , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 20' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Burnley FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 25' The energy levels are beginning to show. Thomas Frank might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 30' Yoane Wissa has been relatively quiet despite scoring 84 goals in his last 436 appearances.
  • 35' named a 4-4-2 earlier, and opted for a 3-5-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 40' Burnley FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Brentford FC backline.
  • 45' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Burnley FC and Brentford FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 50' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Burnley FC and Brentford FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 55' Burnley FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 59' Brentford FC ring the changes. Mads Roerslev has done his job and it is now time for Keane Lewis-Potter to step up.
  • 62' The deadlock is broken! David Fofana gets on the scoresheet on 62 minutes.
  • 67' Reguilon has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 68' Vitaly Janelt has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 68.
  • 69' The Burnley FC bench stirs into life. Jacob Bruun Larsen is withdrawn and Zeki Amdouni gets his opportunity.
  • 74' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 79' Another change for Brentford FC made on 79 minute. Yoane Wissa leaves to be changed by Bryan Mbeumo.
  • 80' Another substitution for Brentford FC to replace Mathias Jensen by Neal Maupay on 80 minute.
  • 81' The referee has no hesitation. Zeki Amdouni is booked for Burnley FC — card on 81.
  • 83' Against the run of play, Kristoffer Ajer has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 84' That is a card for Brentford FC. Kristoffer Ajer will be fuming at that decision.
  • 88' It is a substitution in Burnley FC team. David Fofana is replaced by Lyle Foster on 88 minute.
  • 90' Charlie Taylor is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
  • 90' Another substitution for Burnley FC to replace Zeki Amdouni by Josh Brownhill on 90 minute.
  • Another three points for Burnley FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.4 Burnley FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.41 Brentford FC xG
I would bet for: Burnley FC or Brentford FC 74% + Both teams to score 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Burnley FC41% Draw26% Brentford FC33%
Actual: Burnley FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 2.81
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

Burnley FC or Draw
68%
Draw or Brentford FC
59%
Burnley FC or Brentford FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Burnley FC27% Draw46% Brentford FC27%
Actual: Burnley FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.8%
1 – 2
8.1%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
8%
0 – 1
7.6%
1 – 0
7.5%
0 – 2
5.9%
2 – 0
5.8%
2 – 2
5.7%
1 – 3
3.8%
3 – 1
3.7%
0 – 3
2.7%

Asian Handicap — Burnley FC

Handicap Burnley FC covers Push Brentford FC covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 11% 83%
-1.5 17% — 83%
-1 17% 19% 64%
-0.5 36% — 64%
+0.5 64% — 36%
+1 64% 19% 17%
+1.5 83% — 17%
+2 83% 11% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
25% ✓
Brentford FC keeps clean sheet
26% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.