Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Aston Villa FC vs Brentford FC, Premier League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2025-26
Sun 1 Feb 2026 · 14:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Aston Villa FC vs Brentford FC — Premier League .

Match Details

  • Referee Tim Robinson
4 games this season 🟨 3.0/game ⚽ 9.3 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Feb Brentford FC H 0–1 L
29 Jan FC Red Bull Salzburg H 3–2 W
25 Jan Newcastle United FC A 2–0 W
22 Jan Fenerbahçe SK A 1–0 W
18 Jan Everton FC H 0–1 L
10 Jan Tottenham Hotspur FC A 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Feb Aston Villa FC A 1–0 W
25 Jan Nottingham Forest FC H 0–2 L
17 Jan Chelsea FC A 0–2 L
10 Jan Sheffield Wednesday FC A 2–0 W
07 Jan Sunderland AFC H 3–0 W
04 Jan Everton FC A 4–2 W

Season Stats

Aston Villa FC Brentford FC
#16 Position #4
4 Points 9
5 Played 5
1 / 1 / 3 W / D / L 2 / 3 / 0
4 Scored 10
9 Conceded 4
-5 GD +6
0.80 PPG 1.80
20% Win % 40%

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Aston Villa FC this season
40% Clean Sheets
Brentford FC this season

Aston Villa FC are 16th (4 pts). Brentford FC are 4th (9 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Aston Villa FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/2
31-45
1/1
46-60
–/2
61-75
2/–
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Brentford FC
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
3/1
46-60
3/1
61-75
1/–
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Brentford FC
Kevin Schade 3 G
Vitaly Janelt 2 G
Keane Lewis-Potter 1 G 1 A
Michael Kayode 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Aston Villa FC Lineups

Brentford FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.85 Aston Villa FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.92 Brentford FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Aston Villa FC22% Draw25% Brentford FC53%
Actual: Brentford FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.77
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Aston Villa FC or Draw
47%
Draw or Brentford FC
78%
Aston Villa FC or Brentford FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Aston Villa FC13% Draw44% Brentford FC43%
Actual: Brentford FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 1
Actual
0 – 2
11.3%
1 – 1
11%
1 – 2
9.5%
0 – 0
8.1%
0 – 3
7.1%
1 – 3
6.1%
1 – 0
4.5%
2 – 1
4.2%
2 – 2
4%
0 – 4
3.4%
1 – 4
3%

Asian Handicap — Aston Villa FC

Handicap Aston Villa FC covers Push Brentford FC covers
-2.5 1% — 99%
-2 1% 4% 95%
-1.5 5% — 95%
-1 5% 10% 85%
-0.5 15% — 85%
+0.5 39% — 61%
+1 39% 24% 37%
+1.5 63% — 37%
+2 63% 19% 18%
+2.5 82% — 18%

Clean Sheet

Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
16% ✓
Brentford FC keeps clean sheet
43% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.