Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Chelsea FC vs Burnley FC, Premier League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2025-26
1 – 1
Full Time
Sat 21 Feb 2026 · 15:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Chelsea FC vs Burnley FC — Premier League .

Match Details

  • Referee Lewis Smith
5 games this season 🟨 1.8/game ⚽ 5.8 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Feb Burnley FC H 1–1 D
13 Feb Hull City AFC A 4–0 W
10 Feb Leeds United FC H 2–2 D
07 Feb Wolverhampton Wanderers FC A 3–1 W
31 Jan West Ham United FC H 3–2 W
28 Jan SSC Napoli A 3–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Feb Chelsea FC A 1–1 D
14 Feb Mansfield Town FC H 1–2 L
11 Feb Crystal Palace FC A 3–2 W
07 Feb West Ham United FC H 0–2 L
02 Feb Sunderland AFC A 0–3 L
24 Jan Tottenham Hotspur FC H 2–2 D

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Chelsea FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Chelsea FC
0-15
5/–
16-30
–/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/1
76+
–/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Chelsea FC
Joao Pedro 3 G 3 A
Morgan Rogers 3 G 1 A
Cole Palmer 2 G 2 A
Pedro Neto 1 G
Romeo Lavia 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at . The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • The points are shared — Chelsea FC 1-1 Burnley FC. Honours even.

Lineups

Chelsea FC Lineups

Burnley FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.74 Chelsea FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.16 Burnley FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 57%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Chelsea FC53% Draw24% Burnley FC23%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 2.9
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 55%
45%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

Chelsea FC or Draw
78%
Draw or Burnley FC
47%
Chelsea FC or Burnley FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Chelsea FC36% Draw44% Burnley FC20%
Actual: Chelsea FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
9.3%
1 – 0
8.7%
2 – 0
8.2%
0 – 0
7.2%
1 – 2
6.2%
0 – 1
5.5%
2 – 2
5.4%
3 – 1
5.4%
3 – 0
4.7%
0 – 2
3.7%
3 – 2
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Chelsea FC

Handicap Chelsea FC covers Push Burnley FC covers
-2.5 12% — 88%
-2 12% 15% 72%
-1.5 28% — 72%
-1 28% 22% 50%
-0.5 50% — 50%
+0.5 76% — 24%
+1 76% 14% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Chelsea FC keeps clean sheet
32% ✓
Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
18% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.