Saturday , 17 October 2026

Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2026
Sat 7 Nov 2026 · 21:00 UTC Subaru Park

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Oct Chicago Fire FC A 3–1 W
10 Oct Real Salt Lake H 2–1 W
26 Sep Orlando City SC H 4–2 W
20 Sep Sporting Kansas City A 4–3 W
14 Sep San Diego FC A 5–0 W
09 Sep FC Cincinnati H 5–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Oct Orlando City SC H 3–3 D
10 Oct Montreal Impact FC H 2–1 W
27 Sep Nashville SC A 0–2 L
20 Sep St. Louis City A 1–3 L
12 Sep Orlando City SC A 0–3 L
09 Sep Nashville SC H 2–1 W

Season Stats

Philadelphia Union Toronto FC
#6 Position #11
45 Points 33
29 Played 29
13 / 6 / 10 W / D / L 7 / 12 / 10
59 Scored 44
46 Conceded 55
+13 GD -11
1.55 PPG 1.14
45% Win % 24%

Key Stats

65% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
82% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
24% Clean Sheets
Philadelphia Union this season
10% Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season

Philadelphia Union are 6th (45 pts). Toronto FC are 11th (33 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Philadelphia Union
0-15
4/6
16-30
4/7
31-45
7/5
46-60
11/1
61-75
15/3
76+
7/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Toronto FC
0-15
1/3
16-30
3/5
31-45
5/7
46-60
5/8
61-75
7/6
76+
12/12
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Philadelphia Union
Milan Iloski 18 G 2 A
Bruno Damiani 11 G 3 A
Cavan Sullivan 7 G 5 A
Toronto FC
Daniel Salloi 7 G 6 A
Josh Sargent 7 G 2 A

H2H

Predictions

2.61 Philadelphia Union xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.22 Toronto FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 72% + Both teams to score 65%

Match Result

Philadelphia Union64% Draw19% Toronto FC17%

Both Teams to Score

Yes65% 0% No35%
Avg goals/match: 3.83

Over / Under Goals

Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 89%
11%
± 2.5 72%
28%
± 3.5 52%
48%
± 4.5 33%
67%

Double Chance

Philadelphia Union or Draw
84%
Draw or Toronto FC
36%
Philadelphia Union or Toronto FC
81%

Half-Time Result

Philadelphia Union49% Draw36% Toronto FC15%

Correct Score

2 – 1
8.8%
1 – 1
7.7%
3 – 1
7.5%
2 – 0
7.5%
3 – 0
6.3%
1 – 0
5.4%
2 – 2
5.3%
4 – 1
4.9%
3 – 2
4.6%
1 – 2
4.2%
4 – 0
4.1%
0 – 0
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Philadelphia Union

Handicap Philadelphia Union covers Push Toronto FC covers
-2.5 26% — 74%
-2 26% 19% 55%
-1.5 45% — 55%
-1 45% 20% 34%
-0.5 66% — 34%
+0.5 84% — 16%
+1 84% 9% 6%
+1.5 94% — 6%
+2 94% 4% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Philadelphia Union keeps clean sheet
30%
Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
8%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.