Wednesday , 2 September 2026

Nashville SC vs Toronto FC, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2026
Sun 27 Sep 2026 · 00:30 UTC Fairgrounds Stadium

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Aug FC Cincinnati H 4–0 W
22 Aug Columbus Crew SC H 3–2 W
19 Aug New York Red Bulls A 1–0 W
16 Aug Internacional CF Miami H 4–1 W
01 Aug D.C. United SC A 2–2 D
25 Jul Orlando City SC A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Aug New York City FC H 1–1 D
22 Aug Internacional CF Miami A 2–1 W
19 Aug Charlotte FC H 3–3 D
15 Aug New England Revolution H 2–1 W
31 Jul New York City FC A 1–1 D
25 Jul D.C. United SC A 1–2 L

Season Stats

Nashville SC Toronto FC
#1 Position #9
52 Points 25
22 Played 22
16 / 4 / 2 W / D / L 5 / 10 / 7
47 Scored 32
17 Conceded 38
+30 GD -6
2.36 PPG 1.14
73% Win % 23%

Key Stats

64% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
45% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
45% Clean Sheets
Nashville SC this season
14% Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season

Nashville SC are 1st (52 pts). Toronto FC are 9th (25 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nashville SC
0-15
2/1
16-30
6/3
31-45
3/2
46-60
6/2
61-75
5/4
76+
8/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Toronto FC
0-15
1/2
16-30
1/4
31-45
4/3
46-60
3/5
61-75
6/4
76+
6/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Nashville SC
Sam Surridge 13 G
Hany Mukhtar 10 G 6 A
Warren Madrigal 5 G 2 A
Toronto FC
Daniel Salloi 6 G 4 A

H2H

Predictions

2.43 Nashville SC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.84 Toronto FC xG
I would bet for: Nashville SC to win 69% + Over 2.5 goals 62%

Match Result

Nashville SC69% Draw19% Toronto FC12%

Both Teams to Score

Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 3.27

Over / Under Goals

Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 62%
38%
± 3.5 41%
59%
± 4.5 23%
77%

Double Chance

Nashville SC or Draw
88%
Draw or Toronto FC
31%
Nashville SC or Toronto FC
81%

Half-Time Result

Nashville SC52% Draw38% Toronto FC10%

Correct Score

2 – 0
11.2%
2 – 1
9.1%
1 – 0
8.9%
3 – 0
8.8%
1 – 1
8.5%
3 – 1
7.4%
4 – 0
5.3%
0 – 0
5.2%
4 – 1
4.5%
2 – 2
3.8%
1 – 2
3.2%
3 – 2
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Nashville SC

Handicap Nashville SC covers Push Toronto FC covers
-2.5 28% 72%
-2 28% 21% 51%
-1.5 49% 51%
-1 49% 22% 29%
-0.5 71% 29%
+0.5 90% 10%
+1 90% 7% 3%
+1.5 97% 3%
+2 97% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Nashville SC keeps clean sheet
44%
Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
10%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.