Saturday , 17 October 2026

Nashville SC vs Toronto FC, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2026
Nashville SC
2 – 0
Full Time
Toronto FC
Sun 27 Sep 2026 · 00:30 UTC Fairgrounds Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Hany Mukhtar 16' 1–0
Hany Mukhtar 43' 2–0
Sam Surridge 81' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Nashville SC vs Toronto FC — MLS at Fairgrounds Stadium.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Nashville SC 29 66
2 Internacional CF Miami 29 52
3 New England Revolution 29 49
4 Chicago Fire FC 29 48
5 Charlotte FC 29 46
6 Philadelphia Union 29 45
7 Orlando City SC 29 38
8 FC Cincinnati 28 36
9 New York Red Bulls 29 36
10 New York City FC 29 33
11 Toronto FC 29 33
12 D.C. United SC 28 33
13 Columbus Crew SC 29 32
14 Atlanta United FC 29 30
15 Montreal Impact FC 29 24
16 Vancouver Whitecaps FC 29 52
17 St. Louis City 29 51
18 FC Dallas 29 50
19 San Jose Earthquakes 29 47
20 Houston Dynamo 29 46
21 Los Angeles FC 30 45
22 Seattle Sounders FC 29 41
23 Los Angeles Galaxy 30 39
24 Colorado Rapids SC 29 38
25 San Diego FC 29 33
26 Portland Timbers 29 33
27 Real Salt Lake 29 33
28 Minnesota United FC 29 31
29 Austin FC 29 31
30 Sporting Kansas City 29 22

Head-to-Head

7
3
3
Nashville SC 13 games · Avg 2.6 goals Toronto FC
Last 5 meetings
2026-09-27 Nashville SC 2–0 Toronto FC 2026-09-09 Toronto FC 2–1 Nashville SC 2025-07-20 Nashville SC 1–0 Toronto FC 2025-05-24 Toronto FC 1–2 Nashville SC 2024-06-19 Toronto FC 1–2 Nashville SC

Recent Form

Nashville SC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Sep Toronto FC H 2–0 W
20 Sep Chicago Fire FC H 3–0 W
12 Sep Internacional CF Miami A 2–2 D
09 Sep Toronto FC A 1–2 L
04 Sep New York City FC A 0–0 D
29 Aug FC Cincinnati H 4–0 W
Toronto FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Sep Nashville SC A 0–2 L
20 Sep St. Louis City A 1–3 L
12 Sep Orlando City SC A 0–3 L
09 Sep Nashville SC H 2–1 W
05 Sep Chicago Fire FC H 4–4 D
29 Aug New York City FC H 1–1 D

Season Stats

Nashville SC Toronto FC
#1 Position #11
66 Points 33
29 Played 29
20 / 6 / 3 W / D / L 7 / 12 / 10
63 Scored 44
22 Conceded 55
+41 GD -11
2.28 PPG 1.14
69% Win % 24%

Key Stats

62% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
46% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
48% Clean Sheets
Nashville SC this season
10% Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season

Nashville SC are 1st (66 pts). Toronto FC are 11th (33 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nashville SC
0-15
4/1
16-30
10/3
31-45
5/2
46-60
6/2
61-75
6/6
76+
14/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Toronto FC
0-15
1/3
16-30
3/5
31-45
5/7
46-60
5/8
61-75
7/6
76+
12/12
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Nashville SC
Sam Surridge 17 G 1 A
Hany Mukhtar 15 G 8 A
Warren Madrigal 5 G 2 A
Toronto FC
Daniel Salloi 7 G 6 A
Josh Sargent 7 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at Fairgrounds Stadium. Nashville SC are looking to make home advantage count against Toronto FC.
  • 5' Emilio Aristizabal is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Nashville SC tonight.
  • 10' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Nashville SC and Toronto FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 15' The 29-year-old Derrick Etienne has been sensational this season — 3 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 16' Goal! Hany Mukhtar scores his 100 goal in 17 matches.
  • 21' England international Zane Monlouis has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 26' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 31' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Nashville SC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 36' Nashville SC is showing some good football. However, Nashville SC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 41' Elias Saad, a Tunisia forward, has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 43' GOAL! Hany Mukhtar fires home to make it 2-0!
  • 46' Lewis Morgan makes way for Alonso Coello Camarero at the 46 minute mark. A tactical switch from Toronto FC.
  • 51' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with Toronto FC winning 50% of all matches.
  • 56' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 61' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Nashville SC that had 224 games and scored 328 goals.
  • 63' Toronto FC ring the changes. Nicksoen Gomis has done his job and it is now time for Kobe Franklin to step up.
  • 68' Maxwell Woledzi has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 4 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
  • 71' Nashville SC make a change. Elias Saad trudges off to be replaced by Shak Mohammed on 71 minutes.
  • 73' Toronto FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Emilio Aristizabal is hanging Daniel Salloi on the field on 73 minute.
  • 78' Alex Muyl is replacing Cristian Espinoza for the Nashville SC side.
  • 81' The referee shows Nashville SC player a card on 81.
  • 86' The crowd applauds Edvard Tagseth as he leaves the pitch. Bryan Acosta steps in for Nashville SC.
  • 87' Theo Corbeanu makes way for Derrick Etienne at the 87 minute mark. A tactical switch from Toronto FC.
  • Another three points for Nashville SC.

Lineups

Nashville SC Lineups

4-3-3

Starting XI

Bench

Coach B.J. Callaghan

Toronto FC Lineups

4-3-3

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Robin Fraser

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Sam Surridge 5
Jonathan Osorio 4
Hany Mukhtar 4
Luke Haakenson 2
Omar Gonzalez 2
Lorenzo Insigne 2
Teal Bunbury 2
Randall Leal 1

Head to Head

2026-09-27 Nashville SC 2–0 Toronto FC 2026-09-09 Toronto FC 2–1 Nashville SC 2025-07-20 Nashville SC 1–0 Toronto FC 2025-05-24 Toronto FC 1–2 Nashville SC 2024-06-19 Toronto FC 1–2 Nashville SC

Nashville SC Form

2026-09-27 Nashville SC 2–0 Toronto FC W 2026-09-20 Nashville SC 3–0 Chicago Fire FC W 2026-09-12 Internacional CF Miami 2–2 Nashville SC D 2026-09-09 Toronto FC 2–1 Nashville SC L 2026-09-04 New York City FC 0–0 Nashville SC D 2026-08-29 Nashville SC 4–0 FC Cincinnati W

Toronto FC Form

2026-09-27 Nashville SC 2–0 Toronto FC L 2026-09-20 St. Louis City 3–1 Toronto FC L 2026-09-12 Orlando City SC 3–0 Toronto FC L 2026-09-09 Toronto FC 2–1 Nashville SC W 2026-09-05 Toronto FC 4–4 Chicago Fire FC D 2026-08-29 Toronto FC 1–1 New York City FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.64 Nashville SC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.55 Toronto FC xG
I would bet for: Nashville SC to win 75% + Under — clean sheet likely 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Nashville SC75% Draw16% Toronto FC9%
Actual: Nashville SC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes40% 0% No60%
Avg goals/match: 3.19
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 60%
40%
± 3.5 39%
61%
± 4.5 22%
78%

Double Chance

Nashville SC or Draw
91%
Draw or Toronto FC
25%
Nashville SC or Toronto FC
84%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Nashville SC59% Draw35% Toronto FC6%
Actual: Nashville SC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
Actual
3 – 0
12.2%
1 – 0
10.9%
4 – 0
8%
2 – 1
7.6%
3 – 1
6.7%
1 – 1
6.5%
0 – 0
5.4%
4 – 1
4.5%
5 – 0
4.3%
5 – 1
2.5%
2 – 2
2.1%

Asian Handicap — Nashville SC

Handicap Nashville SC covers Push Toronto FC covers
-2.5 37% — 63%
-2 37% 23% 40%
-1.5 60% — 40%
-1 60% 21% 19%
-0.5 81% — 19%
+0.5 95% — 5%
+1 95% 4% 1%
+1.5 99% — 1%
+2 99% 1% 0%
+2.5 100% — 0%

Clean Sheet

Nashville SC keeps clean sheet
58% ✓
Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
8% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.