Thursday , 2 July 2026

Toronto FC vs Philadelphia Union, MLS 2024 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2024
Sat 13 Jul 2024 · 23:30 UTC BMO Field HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Jul Philadelphia Union H 2–1 W
06 Jul Columbus Crew SC A 0–4 L
03 Jul Orlando City SC H 1–2 L
29 Jun Atlanta United FC A 1–2 L
22 Jun New York Red Bulls A 0–3 L
19 Jun Nashville SC H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Jul Toronto FC A 1–2 L
06 Jul New York Red Bulls H 0–0 D
04 Jul Chicago Fire FC A 3–4 L
29 Jun Montreal Impact FC A 2–4 L
22 Jun Charlotte FC H 0–2 L
19 Jun FC Cincinnati A 3–4 L

Season Stats

Toronto FC Philadelphia Union
#11 Position #15
14 Points 7
14 Played 15
3 / 5 / 6 W / D / L 1 / 4 / 10
22 Scored 18
29 Conceded 30
-7 GD -12
1.00 PPG 0.47
21% Win % 7%

Key Stats

65% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
82% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
7% Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
20% Clean Sheets
Philadelphia Union this season

Toronto FC are 11th (14 pts). Philadelphia Union are 15th (7 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Toronto FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
2/5
61-75
4/4
76+
5/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Philadelphia Union
0-15
2/3
16-30
1/4
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/1
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to BMO Field that hosts another battle between Toronto FC and Philadelphia Union.
  • 5' Philadelphia Union looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Milan Iloski scoring 1 goals.
  • 10' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Toronto FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 15' Toronto FC have won 369 goals from 280 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 20' With 1 assists to his name this season, Jack Elliott is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Toronto FC.
  • 25' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Philadelphia Union that had 286 games and scored 477 goals.
  • 30' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 35' Philadelphia Union has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 1 meetings.
  • 39' The Israel Tai Baribo breaks the deadlock on 39 minutes. 0-1!
  • 44' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Deandre Kerr suffering a number of foals already.
  • 46' Toronto FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Nicksoen Gomis is hanging Shane O'Neill on the field on 46 minute.
  • 51' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 56' Derrick Etienne has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 15 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
  • 59' It is a substitution in Philadelphia Union team. Jesus Bueno is replaced by Alejandro Bedoya on 59 minute.
  • 61' A change in the Toronto FC ranks — Sigurd Rosted exits the field as Deybi Flores enters on 61.
  • 62' Prince-Osei Owusu makes way for Deandre Kerr at the 62 minute mark. A tactical switch from Toronto FC.
  • 67' Philadelphia Union come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 72' It is a cagey affair so far. Toronto FC in their trying to find a way past Philadelphia Union's compact .
  • 74' Brilliant from the ! Jack Elliott makes it 0-2 with a superb finish on 74.
  • 77' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Quinn Sullivan.
  • 78' A stunning finish from Deandre Kerr — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 83' The supporters are chanting for Chris Donovan. He replaces Jack Elliott on 83 minute.
  • 87' Another change for Toronto FC made on 87 minute. Derrick Etienne leaves to be changed by Aime Mabika.
  • 2-1 the final result. Philadelphia Union will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.14 Toronto FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.7 Philadelphia Union xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 72% + Both teams to score 72%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Toronto FC49% Draw23% Philadelphia Union28%
Actual: Toronto FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes72% 0% No28%
Avg goals/match: 3.84
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 89%
11%
± 2.5 72%
28%
± 3.5 53%
47%
± 4.5 34%
66%

Double Chance

Toronto FC or Draw
72%
Draw or Philadelphia Union
51%
Toronto FC or Philadelphia Union
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Toronto FC36% Draw39% Philadelphia Union25%
Actual: Philadelphia Union win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
8.7%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 2
6.8%
1 – 2
6.5%
3 – 1
5.7%
2 – 0
5%
3 – 2
4.8%
1 – 0
4.1%
2 – 3
3.9%
1 – 3
3.7%
3 – 0
3.5%
0 – 0
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Toronto FC

Handicap Toronto FC covers Push Philadelphia Union covers
-2.5 14% 86%
-2 14% 14% 72%
-1.5 28% 72%
-1 28% 19% 53%
-0.5 47% 53%
+0.5 69% 31%
+1 69% 15% 15%
+1.5 85% 15%
+2 85% 9% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
19%
Philadelphia Union keeps clean sheet
13%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.