Toronto FC vs Philadelphia Union, MLS 2024 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2024

Toronto FC

2 – 1

Full Time

Philadelphia Union

Sat 13 Jul 2024 · 23:30 UTC BMO Field HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 77' Quinn Sullivan

Overview

Match Preview

Toronto FC vs Philadelphia Union — MLS at BMO Field.

Toronto FC 27 games · 29 pts (2026/26)
Philadelphia Union 27 games · 39 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	27	60
2	Internacional CF Miami	27	46
3	New England Revolution	27	46
4	Charlotte FC	27	43
5	Chicago Fire FC	26	42
6	Philadelphia Union	27	39
7	Orlando City SC	27	34
8	New York City FC	27	33
9	FC Cincinnati	26	33
10	New York Red Bulls	26	33
11	D.C. United SC	26	30
12	Columbus Crew SC	27	29
13	Toronto FC	27	29
14	Atlanta United FC	27	27
15	Montreal Impact FC	27	24
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	26	50
17	FC Dallas	27	47
18	San Jose Earthquakes	27	45
19	St. Louis City	26	44
20	Houston Dynamo	27	44
21	Los Angeles FC	28	41
22	Colorado Rapids SC	27	36
23	Los Angeles Galaxy	28	36
24	Seattle Sounders FC	26	35
25	San Diego FC	27	32
26	Portland Timbers	27	32
27	Real Salt Lake	27	32
28	Austin FC	27	31
29	Minnesota United FC	27	29
30	Sporting Kansas City	26	21

Head-to-Head

Toronto FC 17 games · Avg 3.4 goals Philadelphia Union

Last 5 meetings

2024-07-13 Toronto FC 2–1 Philadelphia Union 2024-05-29 Philadelphia Union 0–0 Toronto FC 2023-08-30 Toronto FC 3–1 Philadelphia Union 2023-04-22 Philadelphia Union 4–2 Toronto FC 2022-10-09 Philadelphia Union 4–0 Toronto FC

Recent Form

Toronto FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
13 Jul	Philadelphia Union	H	2–1	W
06 Jul	Columbus Crew SC	A	0–4	L
03 Jul	Orlando City SC	H	1–2	L
29 Jun	Atlanta United FC	A	1–2	L
22 Jun	New York Red Bulls	A	0–3	L
19 Jun	Nashville SC	H	1–2	L

Philadelphia Union

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
13 Jul	Toronto FC	A	1–2	L
06 Jul	New York Red Bulls	H	0–0	D
04 Jul	Chicago Fire FC	A	3–4	L
29 Jun	Montreal Impact FC	A	2–4	L
22 Jun	Charlotte FC	H	0–2	L
19 Jun	FC Cincinnati	A	3–4	L

Season Stats

Toronto FC		Philadelphia Union
#13	Position	#6
29	Points	39
27	Played	27
6 / 11 / 10	W / D / L	11 / 6 / 10
39	Scored	54
51	Conceded	44
-12	GD	+10
1.07	PPG	1.44
22%	Win %	41%

Key Stats

65% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)

82% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

11% Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season

26% Clean Sheets
Philadelphia Union this season

Toronto FC are 13th (29 pts). Philadelphia Union are 6th (39 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Toronto FC

0-15

1/3

16-30

2/5

31-45

5/6

46-60

4/7

61-75

7/6

76+

9/10

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Philadelphia Union

0-15

4/6

16-30

4/7

31-45

6/4

46-60

9/1

61-75

14/3

76+

6/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Toronto FC

Daniel Salloi	7 G	5 A
Josh Sargent	7 G	2 A

Philadelphia Union

Milan Iloski	16 G	2 A
Bruno Damiani	8 G	1 A
Cavan Sullivan	7 G	4 A

Events

Match Events

0' The wait is over. Toronto FC get us underway at BMO Field.
5' A quiet spell here at BMO Field. Toronto FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
10' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
15' Philadelphia Union has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 1 meetings.
20' The energy levels are beginning to show. Jim Curtin might look to freshen things up shortly.
25' It’s high time Jim Curtin made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
30' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
35' Philadelphia Union come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
39' What a moment for Tai Baribo! That strike on 39 puts his side firmly in control.
44' Damion Lowe needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
46' Nicksoen Gomis is replacing Shane O'Neill for the Toronto FC side.
51' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
56' Philadelphia Union looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Milan Iloski scoring 1 goals.
59' The Philadelphia Union bench stirs into life. Jesus Bueno is withdrawn and Alejandro Bedoya gets his opportunity.
61' Sigurd Rosted makes way for Deybi Flores at the 61 minute mark. A tactical switch from Toronto FC.
62' Deandre Kerr gets the nod from Toronto FC. He replaces Prince-Osei Owusu and will look to change the dynamic.
67' Over 67 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
72' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
74' Magnificent from Jack Elliott! That is 19 goals in 293 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
77' Quinn Sullivan catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 77.
78' Brilliant from the ! Deandre Kerr makes it 1-2 with a superb finish on 78.
83' Chris Donovan has so much to prove this time. He replaces Jack Elliott on 83 minute.
87' The Toronto FC manager makes a substitution. Derrick Etienne departs to be replaced by Aime Mabika.
The points are shared — Toronto FC 2-1 Philadelphia Union. Honours even.

Lineups

Toronto FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

24
Lorenzo Insigne ↑ 46'
6
Aime Mabika ↑ 87'
29
Deandre Kerr ↑ 62'
90
Luka Gavran
19
Kobe Franklin
12
Cassius Mailula
20
Deybi Flores ↑ 61'
15
Nicksoen Gomis ↑ 46'

Coach John Herdman

Philadelphia Union Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Jim Curtin

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Sergio Santos	6
Daniel Gazdag	4
Mikael Uhre	4
Jonathan Osorio	3
Deandre Kerr	3
Pozuelo	3
Jonathan Osorio	2
Jakob Glesnes	2

Head to Head

Toronto FC Form

2024-07-13 Toronto FC 2–1 Philadelphia Union W 2024-07-06 Columbus Crew SC 4–0 Toronto FC L 2024-07-03 Toronto FC 1–2 Orlando City SC L 2024-06-29 Atlanta United FC 2–1 Toronto FC L 2024-06-22 New York Red Bulls 3–0 Toronto FC L 2024-06-19 Toronto FC 1–2 Nashville SC L

Philadelphia Union Form

2024-07-13 Toronto FC 2–1 Philadelphia Union L 2024-07-06 Philadelphia Union 0–0 New York Red Bulls D 2024-07-04 Chicago Fire FC 4–3 Philadelphia Union L 2024-06-29 Montreal Impact FC 4–2 Philadelphia Union L 2024-06-22 Philadelphia Union 0–2 Charlotte FC L 2024-06-19 FC Cincinnati 4–3 Philadelphia Union L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.88 Toronto FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.1 Philadelphia Union xG

I would bet for: Toronto FC or Philadelphia Union 78% + Over 2.5 goals 75%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Toronto FC40% Draw22% Philadelphia Union38%

Actual: Toronto FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes74% 0% No26%

Avg goals/match: 3.98

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	97%	3%
± 1.5	90%	10%
± 2.5	75%	25%
± 3.5	55%	45%
± 4.5	37%	63%

Double Chance

Toronto FC or Draw

63%

Draw or Philadelphia Union

60%

Toronto FC or Philadelphia Union

78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Toronto FC28% Draw38% Philadelphia Union34%

Actual: Philadelphia Union win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

8.2%

1 – 2

7.5%

2 – 2

6.9%

2 – 1

Actual

1 – 3

5.2%

2 – 3

4.9%

3 – 2

4.4%

0 – 2

4.2%

3 – 1

4.2%

0 – 1

3.5%

2 – 0

3.4%

3 – 3

3.1%

Asian Handicap — Toronto FC

Handicap	Toronto FC covers	Push	Philadelphia Union covers
-2.5	8%	—	92%
-2	8%	10%	81%
-1.5	19%	—	81%
-1	19%	16%	65%
-0.5	35%	—	65%
+0.5	57%	—	43%
+1	57%	18%	25%
+1.5	75%	—	25%
+2	75%	13%	12%
+2.5	88%	—	12%

Clean Sheet

Toronto FC keeps clean sheet

13% ✓

Philadelphia Union keeps clean sheet

16% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.