Toronto FC vs Philadelphia Union, MLS 2024 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2024

Toronto FC

2 – 1

Full Time

Philadelphia Union

Sat 13 Jul 2024 · 23:30 UTC BMO Field HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 77' Quinn Sullivan

Overview

Match Preview

Toronto FC vs Philadelphia Union — MLS at BMO Field.

Toronto FC 18 games · 17 pts (2026/26)
Philadelphia Union 18 games · 16 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	18	40
2	Internacional CF Miami	18	38
3	New England Revolution	18	30
4	Chicago Fire FC	17	29
5	New York City FC	18	26
6	FC Cincinnati	18	26
7	Charlotte FC	18	25
8	New York Red Bulls	18	25
9	D.C. United SC	18	23
10	Columbus Crew SC	18	20
11	Orlando City SC	18	20
12	Toronto FC	18	17
13	Philadelphia Union	18	16
14	Montreal Impact FC	18	16
15	Atlanta United FC	18	12
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	17	34
17	Los Angeles FC	19	34
18	San Jose Earthquakes	18	33
19	Houston Dynamo	18	32
20	FC Dallas	18	27
21	Real Salt Lake	17	27
22	St. Louis City	18	26
23	Portland Timbers	18	24
24	Seattle Sounders FC	17	24
25	Minnesota United FC	18	24
26	Colorado Rapids SC	18	22
27	Los Angeles Galaxy	19	22
28	San Diego FC	18	21
29	Austin FC	18	17
30	Sporting Kansas City	18	14

Head-to-Head

Toronto FC 17 games · Avg 3.4 goals Philadelphia Union

Last 5 meetings

2024-07-13 Toronto FC 2–1 Philadelphia Union 2024-05-29 Philadelphia Union 0–0 Toronto FC 2023-08-30 Toronto FC 3–1 Philadelphia Union 2023-04-22 Philadelphia Union 4–2 Toronto FC 2022-10-09 Philadelphia Union 4–0 Toronto FC

Recent Form

Toronto FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
13 Jul	Philadelphia Union	H	2–1	W
06 Jul	Columbus Crew SC	A	0–4	L
03 Jul	Orlando City SC	H	1–2	L
29 Jun	Atlanta United FC	A	1–2	L
22 Jun	New York Red Bulls	A	0–3	L
19 Jun	Nashville SC	H	1–2	L

Philadelphia Union

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
13 Jul	Toronto FC	A	1–2	L
06 Jul	New York Red Bulls	H	0–0	D
04 Jul	Chicago Fire FC	A	3–4	L
29 Jun	Montreal Impact FC	A	2–4	L
22 Jun	Charlotte FC	H	0–2	L
19 Jun	FC Cincinnati	A	3–4	L

Season Stats

Toronto FC		Philadelphia Union
#12	Position	#13
17	Points	16
18	Played	18
3 / 8 / 7	W / D / L	4 / 4 / 10
24	Scored	25
32	Conceded	33
-8	GD	-8
0.94	PPG	0.89
17%	Win %	22%

Key Stats

65% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)

82% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

16% Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season

22% Clean Sheets
Philadelphia Union this season

Toronto FC are 12th (17 pts). Philadelphia Union are 13th (16 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Toronto FC

0-15

1/2

16-30

1/3

31-45

4/3

46-60

2/5

61-75

4/4

76+

6/7

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Philadelphia Union

0-15

3/3

16-30

1/5

31-45

3/3

46-60

3/1

61-75

4/2

76+

4/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Philadelphia Union

Milan Iloski

8 G

1 A

Events

Match Events

0' And we are off! Toronto FC vs Philadelphia Union — let the football do the talking.
5' The 31-year-old Mikkel Uhre has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
10' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
15' It looks surprising Philadelphia Union does not make any changes. Leon Flach has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
20' Jack Elliott is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Philadelphia Union so far.
25' A quiet spell here at BMO Field. Toronto FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
30' Over 30 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
35' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
39' Assisted by Kai Wagner with the perfectly-timed delivery and Tai Baribo makes no mistake. 0-1!
44' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with Philadelphia Union winning 0% of all matches.
46' Another substitution for Toronto FC to replace Shane O'Neill by Nicksoen Gomis on 46 minute.
51' It’s high time John Herdman made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
56' Both keepers have barely been tested. Toronto FC and Philadelphia Union are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
59' Alejandro Bedoya is ready to make an impact after coming on for Jesus Bueno at the 59 minute mark.
61' It is a substitution in Toronto FC team. Sigurd Rosted is replaced by Deybi Flores on 61 minute.
62' Deandre Kerr is replacing Prince-Osei Owusu for the Toronto FC side.
67' Philadelphia Union have won 484 goals from 289 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
72' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Toronto FC and Philadelphia Union are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
74' The England Jack Elliott breaks the deadlock on 74 minutes. 0-2!
77' Controversy at the stadium! Quinn Sullivan argues furiously but the card stands.
78' What a strike from Deandre Kerr! The score is 1-2.
83' Fresh legs for Philadelphia Union! Chris Donovan comes on to replace Jack Elliott.
87' Toronto FC make a change. Derrick Etienne trudges off to be replaced by Aime Mabika on 87 minutes.
Full Time. Toronto FC beats Philadelphia Union

Lineups

Toronto FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

24
Lorenzo Insigne ↑ 46'
6
Aime Mabika ↑ 87'
29
Deandre Kerr ↑ 62'
90
Luka Gavran
19
Kobe Franklin
12
Cassius Mailula
20
Deybi Flores ↑ 61'
15
Nicksoen Gomis ↑ 46'

Coach John Herdman

Philadelphia Union Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Jim Curtin

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Sergio Santos	6
Mikael Uhre	4
Daniel Gazdag	4
Deandre Kerr	3
Pozuelo	3
Jonathan Osorio	3
Nathan Harriel	2
Julian Carranza	2

Head to Head

Toronto FC Form

2024-07-13 Toronto FC 2–1 Philadelphia Union W 2024-07-06 Columbus Crew SC 4–0 Toronto FC L 2024-07-03 Toronto FC 1–2 Orlando City SC L 2024-06-29 Atlanta United FC 2–1 Toronto FC L 2024-06-22 New York Red Bulls 3–0 Toronto FC L 2024-06-19 Toronto FC 1–2 Nashville SC L

Philadelphia Union Form

2024-07-13 Toronto FC 2–1 Philadelphia Union L 2024-07-06 Philadelphia Union 0–0 New York Red Bulls D 2024-07-04 Chicago Fire FC 4–3 Philadelphia Union L 2024-06-29 Montreal Impact FC 4–2 Philadelphia Union L 2024-06-22 Philadelphia Union 0–2 Charlotte FC L 2024-06-19 FC Cincinnati 4–3 Philadelphia Union L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.91 Toronto FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.72 Philadelphia Union xG

I would bet for: Both teams to score 70% + Over 2.5 goals 69%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Toronto FC46% Draw23% Philadelphia Union31%

Actual: Toronto FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes70% 0% No30%

Avg goals/match: 3.63

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	88%	12%
± 2.5	69%	31%
± 3.5	49%	51%
± 4.5	30%	70%

Double Chance

Toronto FC or Draw

69%

Draw or Philadelphia Union

54%

Toronto FC or Philadelphia Union

77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Toronto FC33% Draw40% Philadelphia Union27%

Actual: Philadelphia Union win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

9.6%

2 – 1

Actual

1 – 2

7.2%

2 – 2

6.8%

3 – 1

5.1%

2 – 0

4.9%

1 – 0

4.5%

3 – 2

4.4%

1 – 3

4.1%

0 – 1

0 – 0

0 – 2

Asian Handicap — Toronto FC

Handicap	Toronto FC covers	Push	Philadelphia Union covers
-2.5	11%	—	89%
-2	11%	13%	76%
-1.5	24%	—	76%
-1	24%	19%	58%
-0.5	42%	—	58%
+0.5	66%	—	34%
+1	66%	17%	18%
+1.5	82%	—	18%
+2	82%	10%	7%
+2.5	93%	—	7%

Clean Sheet

Toronto FC keeps clean sheet

19% ✓

Philadelphia Union keeps clean sheet

16% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.