Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2025

Philadelphia Union

1 – 1

Full Time

Toronto FC

Sat 9 Aug 2025 · 23:30 UTC Subaru Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Jacob Glesnes 29' Y

Y 55' Raoul Petretta

Kai Wagner 63' Y

Olwethu Makhanya 79' Y

Y 79' Deandre Kerr

Y 90' Kosi Thompson

Overview

Match Preview

Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC — MLS at Subaru Park.

Philadelphia Union 15 games · 7 pts (2026/26)
Toronto FC 14 games · 14 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	14	33
2	Internacional CF Miami	15	31
3	Chicago Fire FC	14	26
4	New England Revolution	14	25
5	New York Red Bulls	15	22
6	Charlotte FC	15	21
7	FC Cincinnati	15	20
8	New York City FC	15	19
9	D.C. United SC	15	18
10	Columbus Crew SC	15	16
11	Toronto FC	14	14
12	Montreal Impact FC	14	14
13	Orlando City SC	15	14
14	Atlanta United FC	14	11
15	Philadelphia Union	15	7
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	14	32
17	San Jose Earthquakes	15	32
18	Real Salt Lake	14	26
19	FC Dallas	15	25
20	Los Angeles FC	15	24
21	Seattle Sounders FC	13	24
22	Houston Dynamo	14	22
23	Minnesota United FC	15	22
24	Los Angeles Galaxy	15	20
25	San Diego FC	15	17
26	Colorado Rapids SC	15	16
27	St. Louis City	14	16
28	Portland Timbers	14	14
29	Austin FC	15	14
30	Sporting Kansas City	14	11

Head-to-Head

Philadelphia Union 17 games · Avg 3.4 goals Toronto FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-08-09 Philadelphia Union 1–1 Toronto FC 2025-05-28 Toronto FC 1–2 Philadelphia Union 2024-07-13 Toronto FC 2–1 Philadelphia Union 2024-05-29 Philadelphia Union 0–0 Toronto FC 2023-08-30 Toronto FC 3–1 Philadelphia Union

Recent Form

Philadelphia Union

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
09 Aug	Toronto FC	H	1–1	D
26 Jul	Colorado Rapids SC	H	3–1	W
20 Jul	Houston Dynamo	A	1–1	D
16 Jul	Montreal Impact FC	H	2–1	W
12 Jul	New York Red Bulls	H	2–0	W
06 Jul	Nashville SC	A	0–1	L

Toronto FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
09 Aug	Philadelphia Union	A	1–1	D
26 Jul	Charlotte FC	A	0–2	L
20 Jul	Nashville SC	A	0–1	L
17 Jul	San Diego FC	A	1–0	W
12 Jul	Atlanta United FC	H	1–1	D
03 Jul	New York City FC	A	1–3	L

Season Stats

Philadelphia Union		Toronto FC
#15	Position	#11
7	Points	14
15	Played	14
1 / 4 / 10	W / D / L	3 / 5 / 6
18	Scored	22
30	Conceded	29
-12	GD	-7
0.47	PPG	1.00
7%	Win %	21%

Key Stats

65% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)

82% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

20% Clean Sheets
Philadelphia Union this season

7% Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season

Philadelphia Union are 15th (7 pts). Toronto FC are 11th (14 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Philadelphia Union

0-15

2/3

16-30

1/4

31-45

2/2

46-60

2/1

61-75

2/1

76+

2/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Toronto FC

0-15

1/1

16-30

1/3

31-45

1/3

46-60

2/5

61-75

4/4

76+

5/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' What a night it is going to be! Philadelphia Union welcome Toronto FC for this crunch clash at Subaru Park.
4' GOAL! Indiana Vassilev scores on 4. Assisted by Tai Baribo
9' It looks surprising Toronto FC does not make any changes. Kai Wagner has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
14' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
19' Over 19 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
24' It looks like no one’s ball. Toronto FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
29' Jacob Glesnes picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
34' Toronto FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 1 meetings.
39' Jacob Glesnes has been relatively quiet despite scoring 6 goals in his last 286 appearances.
44' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
49' A quiet spell here at Subaru Park. Philadelphia Union seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
54' Alonso Coello Camarero has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
55' That is a card for Toronto FC. Raoul Petretta will be fuming at that decision.
59' Fresh legs for Toronto FC! Maxime Dominguez comes on to replace Alonso Coello Camarero.
63' Kai Wagner was booked on 63.
67' Bruno Damiani makes way for Mikkel Uhre at the 67 minute mark. A tactical switch from Philadelphia Union.
72' Bruno Damiani has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
76' A change in the Toronto FC ranks — Theo Corbeanu exits the field as Malik Henry enters on 76.
79' Olwethu Makhanya is having his name booked by the referee on 79.
81' Jovan Lukic gets the nod from Philadelphia Union. He replaces Jesus Bueno and will look to change the dynamic.
86' Toronto FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
88' Philadelphia Union manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Alejandro Bedoya is hanging Indiana Vassilev on the field on 88 minute.
90' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Kosi Thompson.
90' Derrick Etienne is replacing Djordje Mihailovic for the Toronto FC side.
What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Philadelphia Union 1-1 Toronto FC.

Lineups

Philadelphia Union Lineups

Starting XI

27
Kai Wagner
18
Andre Blake
19
Indiana Vassilev ↓ Alejandro Bedoya 88'
33
Quinn Sullivan ↓ Cavan Sullivan 88'
26
Nathan Harriel
8
Jesus Bueno ↓ Jovan Lukic 81'
21
Danley Jean Jacques
5
Jacob Glesnes
9
Tai Baribo ↓ Milan Iloski 67'
20
Bruno Damiani ↓ Mikkel Uhre 67'
29
Olwethu Makhanya

Bench

Toronto FC Lineups

Starting XI

5
Kevin Long
21
Jonathan Osorio
28
Raoul Petretta ↓ Kosi Thompson 90'
10
Djordje Mihailovic ↓ Derrick Etienne 90'
17
Sigurd Rosted
22
Richie Laryea
9
Ola Brynhildsen ↓ Deandre Kerr 76'
7
Theo Corbeanu ↓ Malik Henry 76'
90
Luka Gavran
14
Alonso Coello Camarero ↓ Maxime Dominguez 59'
20
Deybi Flores

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Sergio Santos	6
Mikael Uhre	4
Daniel Gazdag	4
Deandre Kerr	3
Pozuelo	3
Jonathan Osorio	3
Nathan Harriel	2
Julian Carranza	2

Head to Head

Philadelphia Union Form

2025-08-09 Philadelphia Union 1–1 Toronto FC D 2025-07-26 Philadelphia Union 3–1 Colorado Rapids SC W 2025-07-20 Houston Dynamo 1–1 Philadelphia Union D 2025-07-16 Philadelphia Union 2–1 Montreal Impact FC W 2025-07-12 Philadelphia Union 2–0 New York Red Bulls W 2025-07-06 Nashville SC 1–0 Philadelphia Union L

Toronto FC Form

2025-08-09 Philadelphia Union 1–1 Toronto FC D 2025-07-26 Charlotte FC 2–0 Toronto FC L 2025-07-20 Nashville SC 1–0 Toronto FC L 2025-07-17 San Diego FC 0–1 Toronto FC W 2025-07-12 Toronto FC 1–1 Atlanta United FC D 2025-07-03 New York City FC 3–1 Toronto FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

1 / 4

1.59 Philadelphia Union xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.42 Toronto FC xG

I would bet for: Philadelphia Union or Toronto FC 74% + Both teams to score 60%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Philadelphia Union43% Draw26% Toronto FC31%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes60% 0% No40%

Avg goals/match: 3.01

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	93%	7%
± 1.5	80%	20%
± 2.5	57%	43%
± 3.5	35%	65%
± 4.5	19%	81%

Double Chance

Philadelphia Union or Draw

69%

Draw or Toronto FC

57%

Philadelphia Union or Toronto FC

74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Philadelphia Union30% Draw44% Toronto FC26%

Actual: Philadelphia Union win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

Actual

2 – 1

8.5%

1 – 2

7.6%

1 – 0

0 – 0

6.7%

2 – 0

6.2%

0 – 1

6.2%

2 – 2

0 – 2

4.9%

3 – 1

4.5%

1 – 3

3.6%

3 – 2

3.3%

Asian Handicap — Philadelphia Union

Handicap	Philadelphia Union covers	Push	Toronto FC covers
-2.5	9%	—	91%
-2	9%	12%	79%
-1.5	21%	—	79%
-1	21%	20%	60%
-0.5	40%	—	60%
+0.5	67%	—	33%
+1	67%	17%	16%
+1.5	84%	—	16%
+2	84%	10%	6%
+2.5	94%	—	6%

Clean Sheet

Philadelphia Union keeps clean sheet

25% ✓

Toronto FC keeps clean sheet

21% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.