Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC — MLS at Subaru Park.
- Philadelphia Union 27 games · 39 pts (2026/26)
- Toronto FC 27 games · 29 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 27 | 60 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 27 | 46 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 27 | 46 |
| 4 | Charlotte FC | 27 | 43 |
| 5 | Chicago Fire FC | 26 | 42 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 27 | 39 |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 27 | 34 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 27 | 33 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 26 | 33 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 26 | 33 |
| 11 | D.C. United SC | 26 | 30 |
| 12 | Columbus Crew SC | 27 | 29 |
| 13 | Toronto FC | 27 | 29 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 27 | 27 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 27 | 24 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 26 | 50 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 27 | 47 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 27 | 45 |
| 19 | St. Louis City | 26 | 44 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 27 | 44 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 28 | 41 |
| 22 | Colorado Rapids SC | 27 | 36 |
| 23 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 28 | 36 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 26 | 35 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 27 | 32 |
| 26 | Portland Timbers | 27 | 32 |
| 27 | Real Salt Lake | 27 | 32 |
| 28 | Austin FC | 27 | 31 |
| 29 | Minnesota United FC | 27 | 29 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 26 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug | Toronto FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Jul | Colorado Rapids SC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 20 Jul | Houston Dynamo | A | 1–1 | D |
| 16 Jul | Montreal Impact FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 12 Jul | New York Red Bulls | H | 2–0 | W |
| 06 Jul | Nashville SC | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug | Philadelphia Union | A | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Jul | Charlotte FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 20 Jul | Nashville SC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 17 Jul | San Diego FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Jul | Atlanta United FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 03 Jul | New York City FC | A | 1–3 | L |
Season Stats
| Philadelphia Union | Toronto FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #13 |
| 39 | Points | 29 |
| 27 | Played | 27 |
| 11 / 6 / 10 | W / D / L | 6 / 11 / 10 |
| 54 | Scored | 39 |
| 44 | Conceded | 51 |
| +10 | GD | -12 |
| 1.44 | PPG | 1.07 |
| 41% | Win % | 22% |
Key Stats
65%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
H2H (17 games)
82%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
26%
Clean Sheets
Philadelphia Union this season
Philadelphia Union this season
11%
Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
Toronto FC this season
Philadelphia Union are 6th (39 pts). Toronto FC are 13th (29 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Philadelphia Union
0-15
4/6
16-30
4/7
31-45
6/4
46-60
9/1
61-75
14/3
76+
6/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Toronto FC
0-15
1/3
16-30
2/5
31-45
5/6
46-60
4/7
61-75
7/6
76+
9/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Philadelphia Union
| Milan Iloski | 16 G | 2 A |
| Bruno Damiani | 8 G | 1 A |
| Cavan Sullivan | 7 G | 4 A |
Toronto FC
| Daniel Salloi | 7 G | 5 A |
| Josh Sargent | 7 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Philadelphia Union launch into their encounter with Toronto FC.
- 4' Indiana Vassilev makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and Philadelphia Union are in front.
- 9' Supporters expect more eagerness from Luka Gavran, as he is very good at scoring at Subaru Park with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 14' The energy levels are beginning to show. might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 19' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 24' A quiet spell here at Subaru Park. Toronto FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 29' A moment of madness from Jacob Glesnes on 29 minutes earns him a card. Philadelphia Union will be frustrated.
- 34' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Philadelphia Union needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 39' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with Toronto FC winning 0% of all matches.
- 44' Philadelphia Union are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Toronto FC backline.
- 49' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 54' The travelling Toronto FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 55' The referee calls foul for Raoul Petretta. He receives a card.
- 59' The supporters are chanting for Maxime Dominguez. He replaces Alonso Coello Camarero on 59 minute.
- 63' That is a card for Philadelphia Union. Kai Wagner will be fuming at that decision.
- 67' Time for substitution for Philadelphia Union. Bruno Damiani is replaced by Mikkel Uhre.
- 72' The home supporters are growing impatient. Philadelphia Union must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 76' The whistle greets Theo Corbeanu as he departs to be replaced by Malik Henry.
- 79' The referee shows Philadelphia Union player a card on 79.
- 81' It is a substitution in Philadelphia Union team. Jesus Bueno is replaced by Jovan Lukic on 81 minute.
- 86' Philadelphia Union are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Toronto FC's shape.
- 88' The supporters are chanting for Alejandro Bedoya. He replaces Indiana Vassilev on 88 minute.
- 90' Toronto FC player sees a card in front of him.
- 90' It is a substitution in Toronto FC team. Djordje Mihailovic is replaced by Derrick Etienne on 90 minute.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-1 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
Philadelphia Union Lineups
Starting XI
- 27
- 18
- 19
-
33
Quinn Sullivan ↓ Cavan Sullivan 88'
- 26
-
8
Jesus Bueno ↓ Jovan Lukic 81'
- 21
- 5
-
9
Tai Baribo ↓ Milan Iloski 67'
-
20
Bruno Damiani ↓ Mikkel Uhre 67'
- 29
Bench
-
11
Alejandro Bedoya ↑ 88'
- 15
-
32
Milan Iloski ↑ 67'
-
7
Mikkel Uhre ↑ 67'
- 14
- 76
-
6
Cavan Sullivan ↑ 88'
- 39
-
4
Jovan Lukic ↑ 81'
Toronto FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 5
- 21
-
28
Raoul Petretta ↓ Kosi Thompson 90'
- 10
- 17
- 22
-
9
Ola Brynhildsen ↓ Deandre Kerr 76'
-
7
Theo Corbeanu ↓ Malik Henry 76'
- 90
- 14
- 20
Bench
-
11
Derrick Etienne ↑ 90'
- 8
-
29
Deandre Kerr ↑ 76'
-
6
Kosi Thompson ↑ 90'
- 19
-
23
Maxime Dominguez ↑ 59'
- 76
- 77
-
78
Malik Henry ↑ 76'
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Sergio Santos | 6 |
| Mikael Uhre | 4 |
| Daniel Gazdag | 4 |
| Deandre Kerr | 3 |
| Pozuelo | 3 |
| Jonathan Osorio | 3 |
| Nathan Harriel | 2 |
| Julian Carranza | 2 |
Head to Head
Philadelphia Union Form
2025-08-09
Philadelphia Union
1–1
Toronto FC
D
2025-07-26
Philadelphia Union
3–1
Colorado Rapids SC
W
2025-07-20
Houston Dynamo
1–1
Philadelphia Union
D
2025-07-16
Philadelphia Union
2–1
Montreal Impact FC
W
2025-07-12
Philadelphia Union
2–0
New York Red Bulls
W
2025-07-06
Nashville SC
1–0
Philadelphia Union
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.07
Philadelphia Union xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.2
Toronto FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 62% + Both teams to score 61%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.27
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 2.5 | 62% |
|
38% |
| ± 3.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
| ± 4.5 | 24% |
|
76% |
Double Chance
Philadelphia Union or Draw
77%
Draw or Toronto FC
46%
Philadelphia Union or Toronto FC
76%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Philadelphia Union win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
9.4%
2 – 0
8.1%
1 – 0
7.2%
3 – 1
6.5%
2 – 2
5.6%
1 – 2
5.5%
3 – 0
5.4%
0 – 0
5.3%
3 – 2
3.9%
0 – 1
3.9%
4 – 1
3.4%
Asian Handicap — Philadelphia Union
| Handicap | Philadelphia Union covers | Push | Toronto FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -2 | 17% | 17% | 66% |
| -1.5 | 34% | — | 66% |
| -1 | 34% | 22% | 44% |
| -0.5 | 56% | — | 44% |
| +0.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +1 | 79% | 12% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 6% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Philadelphia Union keeps clean sheet
31%
✓
Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
13%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

