Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC — MLS at Subaru Park.
- Philadelphia Union 34 games · 50 pts (2026/26)
- Toronto FC 34 games · 39 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 34 | 77 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 34 | 60 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 34 | 58 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 34 | 55 |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 34 | 50 |
| 7 | Columbus Crew SC | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 34 | 46 |
| 9 | Orlando City SC | 34 | 46 |
| 10 | New York City FC | 34 | 42 |
| 11 | New York Red Bulls | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 34 | 39 |
| 13 | Atlanta United FC | 34 | 33 |
| 14 | D.C. United SC | 34 | 33 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 34 | 26 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 34 | 64 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 34 | 58 |
| 18 | St. Louis City | 34 | 54 |
| 19 | San Jose Earthquakes | 34 | 52 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 34 | 51 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 34 | 47 |
| 22 | Portland Timbers | 34 | 46 |
| 23 | Seattle Sounders FC | 34 | 46 |
| 24 | Real Salt Lake | 34 | 45 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 34 | 44 |
| 26 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 34 | 44 |
| 27 | Colorado Rapids SC | 34 | 43 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 34 | 38 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 34 | 34 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug | Toronto FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Jul | Colorado Rapids SC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 20 Jul | Houston Dynamo | A | 1–1 | D |
| 16 Jul | Montreal Impact FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 12 Jul | New York Red Bulls | H | 2–0 | W |
| 06 Jul | Nashville SC | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug | Philadelphia Union | A | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Jul | Charlotte FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 20 Jul | Nashville SC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 17 Jul | San Diego FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Jul | Atlanta United FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 03 Jul | New York City FC | A | 1–3 | L |
Season Stats
| Philadelphia Union | Toronto FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #12 |
| 50 | Points | 39 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 14 / 8 / 12 | W / D / L | 9 / 12 / 13 |
| 66 | Scored | 52 |
| 52 | Conceded | 67 |
| +14 | GD | -15 |
| 1.47 | PPG | 1.15 |
| 41% | Win % | 26% |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
83%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
24%
Clean Sheets
Philadelphia Union this season
Philadelphia Union this season
12%
Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
Toronto FC this season
Philadelphia Union are 6th (50 pts). Toronto FC are 12th (39 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Philadelphia Union
0-15
4/6
16-30
6/7
31-45
8/7
46-60
12/2
61-75
17/5
76+
8/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Toronto FC
0-15
1/3
16-30
3/10
31-45
6/9
46-60
5/12
61-75
9/7
76+
16/12
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Philadelphia Union
| Milan Iloski | 19 G | 2 A |
| Bruno Damiani | 13 G | 3 A |
| Cavan Sullivan | 9 G | 6 A |
Toronto FC
| Josh Sargent | 10 G | 4 A |
| Daniel Salloi | 9 G | 6 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Philadelphia Union launch into their encounter with Toronto FC.
- 4' Assisted by Tai Baribo with the perfectly-timed delivery and Indiana Vassilev makes no mistake. 1-0!
- 9' Philadelphia Union looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Cavan Sullivan scoring 2 goals.
- 14' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 19' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 24' Kevin Long is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Philadelphia Union tonight.
- 29' Jacob Glesnes has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 29.
- 34' A quiet spell here at Subaru Park. Toronto FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 39' Philadelphia Union currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 44' The home supporters are growing impatient. Philadelphia Union must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 49' USA international Nathan Harriel has been a key figure this campaign — 2 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
- 54' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Toronto FC that had 300 games and scored 397 goals.
- 55' Raoul Petretta has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 55.
- 59' The supporters are chanting for Maxime Dominguez. He replaces Alonso Coello Camarero on 59 minute.
- 63' Kai Wagner was booked on 63.
- 67' Mikkel Uhre gets the nod from Philadelphia Union. He replaces Bruno Damiani and will look to change the dynamic.
- 72' Theo Corbeanu is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Philadelphia Union so far.
- 76' It is a substitution in Toronto FC team. Theo Corbeanu is replaced by Malik Henry on 76 minute.
- 79' Olwethu Makhanya was booked on 79.
- 81' Philadelphia Union manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Jovan Lukic is hanging Jesus Bueno on the field on 81 minute.
- 86' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 88' Alejandro Bedoya is ready to make an impact after coming on for Indiana Vassilev at the 88 minute mark.
- 90' A moment of madness from Kosi Thompson on 90 minutes earns him a card. Toronto FC will be frustrated.
- 90' The crowd applauds Djordje Mihailovic as he leaves the pitch. Derrick Etienne steps in for Toronto FC.
- The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.
Lineups
Philadelphia Union Lineups
Starting XI
- 27
- 18
- 19
-
33
Quinn Sullivan ↓ Cavan Sullivan 88'
- 26
-
8
Jesus Bueno ↓ Jovan Lukic 81'
- 21
- 5
-
9
Tai Baribo ↓ Milan Iloski 67'
-
20
Bruno Damiani ↓ Mikkel Uhre 67'
- 29
Bench
-
11
Alejandro Bedoya ↑ 88'
- 15
-
32
Milan Iloski ↑ 67'
-
7
Mikkel Uhre ↑ 67'
- 14
- 76
-
6
Cavan Sullivan ↑ 88'
- 39
-
4
Jovan Lukic ↑ 81'
Toronto FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 5
- 21
-
28
Raoul Petretta ↓ Kosi Thompson 90'
- 10
- 17
- 22
-
9
Ola Brynhildsen ↓ Deandre Kerr 76'
-
7
Theo Corbeanu ↓ Malik Henry 76'
- 90
- 14
- 20
Bench
-
11
Derrick Etienne ↑ 90'
- 8
-
29
Deandre Kerr ↑ 76'
-
6
Kosi Thompson ↑ 90'
- 19
-
23
Maxime Dominguez ↑ 59'
- 76
- 77
-
78
Malik Henry ↑ 76'
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Sergio Santos | 6 |
| Mikael Uhre | 4 |
| Daniel Gazdag | 4 |
| Pozuelo | 3 |
| Deandre Kerr | 3 |
| Jonathan Osorio | 3 |
| Julian Carranza | 2 |
| Jamiro | 2 |
Head to Head
Philadelphia Union Form
2025-08-09
Philadelphia Union
1–1
Toronto FC
D
2025-07-26
Philadelphia Union
3–1
Colorado Rapids SC
W
2025-07-20
Houston Dynamo
1–1
Philadelphia Union
D
2025-07-16
Philadelphia Union
2–1
Montreal Impact FC
W
2025-07-12
Philadelphia Union
2–0
New York Red Bulls
W
2025-07-06
Nashville SC
1–0
Philadelphia Union
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.08
Philadelphia Union xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.19
Toronto FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 62% + Both teams to score 61%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.27
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 2.5 | 62% |
|
38% |
| ± 3.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
| ± 4.5 | 24% |
|
76% |
Double Chance
Philadelphia Union or Draw
78%
Draw or Toronto FC
46%
Philadelphia Union or Toronto FC
76%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Philadelphia Union win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
9.4%
2 – 0
8.2%
1 – 0
7.3%
3 – 1
6.5%
2 – 2
5.6%
3 – 0
5.5%
1 – 2
5.4%
0 – 0
5.3%
3 – 2
3.9%
0 – 1
3.8%
4 – 1
3.4%
Asian Handicap — Philadelphia Union
| Handicap | Philadelphia Union covers | Push | Toronto FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -2 | 17% | 17% | 65% |
| -1.5 | 35% | — | 65% |
| -1 | 35% | 22% | 44% |
| -0.5 | 56% | — | 44% |
| +0.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +1 | 79% | 12% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 6% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Philadelphia Union keeps clean sheet
31%
✓
Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
13%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

