Monday , 12 October 2026

Orlando City SC vs Toronto FC, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2026
Sat 12 Sep 2026 · 23:30 UTC Exploria Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Antoine Griezmann 45+1' 1–0
Harvey Sarajian 82' 2–0
Ivan Angulo 90+6' 3–0

Overview

Match Preview

Orlando City SC vs Toronto FC — MLS at Exploria Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Jon Freemon
  • Assistant 1 Corey Rockwell
  • Assistant 2 Ben Pilgrim (USA)
10 games this season 🟨 3.1/game ⚽ 11.1 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Sep Toronto FC H 3–0 W
09 Sep Atlanta United FC A 3–2 W
05 Sep San Diego FC H 1–0 W
29 Aug Minnesota United FC A 3–3 D
22 Aug Real Salt Lake H 2–1 W
19 Aug Chicago Fire FC H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Sep Orlando City SC A 0–3 L
09 Sep Nashville SC H 2–1 W
05 Sep Chicago Fire FC H 4–4 D
29 Aug New York City FC H 1–1 D
22 Aug Internacional CF Miami A 2–1 W
19 Aug Charlotte FC H 3–3 D

Season Stats

Orlando City SC Toronto FC
#7 Position #11
37 Points 32
28 Played 28
11 / 4 / 13 W / D / L 7 / 11 / 10
51 Scored 41
66 Conceded 52
-15 GD -11
1.32 PPG 1.14
39% Win % 25%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
63% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
18% Clean Sheets
Orlando City SC this season
11% Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season

Orlando City SC are 7th (37 pts). Toronto FC are 11th (32 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Orlando City SC
0-15
3/4
16-30
9/8
31-45
1/7
46-60
8/7
61-75
7/4
76+
10/11
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Toronto FC
0-15
1/3
16-30
2/5
31-45
5/6
46-60
4/8
61-75
7/6
76+
11/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Orlando City SC
Martin Ojeda 13 G 2 A
Antoine Griezmann 9 G 5 A
Tyrese Spicer 6 G
Toronto FC
Daniel Salloi 7 G 5 A
Josh Sargent 7 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.35 Orlando City SC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.58 Toronto FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 74% + Both teams to score 71%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Orlando City SC55% Draw21% Toronto FC24%
Actual: Orlando City SC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes71% 0% No29%
Avg goals/match: 3.93
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 90%
10%
± 2.5 74%
26%
± 3.5 54%
46%
± 4.5 35%
65%

Double Chance

Orlando City SC or Draw
76%
Draw or Toronto FC
45%
Orlando City SC or Toronto FC
79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Orlando City SC41% Draw37% Toronto FC22%
Actual: Orlando City SC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 1
8.3%
1 – 1
8.1%
2 – 2
6.5%
3 – 1
6.4%
1 – 2
5.6%
2 – 0
5.5%
3 – 2
5.1%
1 – 0
4.2%
3 – 0
Actual
4 – 1
3.8%
2 – 3
3.4%
0 – 0
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Orlando City SC

Handicap Orlando City SC covers Push Toronto FC covers
-2.5 18% — 82%
-2 18% 16% 66%
-1.5 34% — 66%
-1 34% 20% 46%
-0.5 54% — 46%
+0.5 75% — 25%
+1 75% 13% 12%
+1.5 88% — 12%
+2 88% 7% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

Orlando City SC keeps clean sheet
21% ✗
Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
10% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.