St. Louis City vs Toronto FC, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
St. Louis City vs Toronto FC — MLS at Citypark.
- St. Louis City 28 games · 50 pts (2026/26)
- Toronto FC 28 games · 32 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 28 | 63 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 28 | 49 |
| 3 | Chicago Fire FC | 28 | 48 |
| 4 | Charlotte FC | 28 | 46 |
| 5 | New England Revolution | 28 | 46 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 28 | 42 |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 28 | 37 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 27 | 36 |
| 9 | New York Red Bulls | 28 | 36 |
| 10 | New York City FC | 28 | 33 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 28 | 32 |
| 12 | D.C. United SC | 27 | 30 |
| 13 | Columbus Crew SC | 28 | 29 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 28 | 27 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 28 | 24 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 28 | 51 |
| 17 | St. Louis City | 28 | 50 |
| 18 | FC Dallas | 28 | 47 |
| 19 | San Jose Earthquakes | 28 | 46 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 28 | 45 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 29 | 42 |
| 22 | Seattle Sounders FC | 28 | 41 |
| 23 | Colorado Rapids SC | 28 | 37 |
| 24 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 29 | 36 |
| 25 | Portland Timbers | 28 | 33 |
| 26 | San Diego FC | 28 | 32 |
| 27 | Real Salt Lake | 28 | 32 |
| 28 | Austin FC | 28 | 31 |
| 29 | Minnesota United FC | 28 | 30 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 28 | 22 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | Toronto FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 13 Sep | Minnesota United FC | H | 4–2 | W |
| 10 Sep | Portland Timbers | A | 2–2 | D |
| 06 Sep | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | A | 3–1 | W |
| 30 Aug | FC Dallas | H | 3–3 | D |
| 22 Aug | Houston Dynamo | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | St. Louis City | A | 1–3 | L |
| 12 Sep | Orlando City SC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 09 Sep | Nashville SC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 05 Sep | Chicago Fire FC | H | 4–4 | D |
| 29 Aug | New York City FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 22 Aug | Internacional CF Miami | A | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| St. Louis City | Toronto FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #17 | Position | #11 |
| 50 | Points | 32 |
| 28 | Played | 28 |
| 14 / 8 / 6 | W / D / L | 7 / 11 / 10 |
| 54 | Scored | 41 |
| 38 | Conceded | 52 |
| +16 | GD | -11 |
| 1.79 | PPG | 1.14 |
| 50% | Win % | 25% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
14%
Clean Sheets
St. Louis City this season
St. Louis City this season
11%
Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
Toronto FC this season
St. Louis City are 17th (50 pts). Toronto FC are 11th (32 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
St. Louis City
0-15
7/3
16-30
8/2
31-45
11/4
46-60
9/5
61-75
6/6
76+
8/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Toronto FC
0-15
1/3
16-30
2/5
31-45
5/6
46-60
4/8
61-75
7/6
76+
11/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
St. Louis City
| Rafael Navarro | 14 G | 3 A |
| Simon Becher | 9 G | 4 A |
| Marcel Hartel | 6 G | 3 A |
Toronto FC
| Daniel Salloi | 7 G | 5 A |
| Josh Sargent | 7 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against St. Louis City and Toronto FC has kicked off!
- 5' Derrick Etienne has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 26 appearances with only 3 goals this season.
- 10' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Yoann Damet will be considering his options from the bench.
- 15' A quiet spell here at Citypark. St. Louis City seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 20' St. Louis City looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Carlo Holse scoring 1 goals.
- 23' The referee calls foul for Walker Zimmerman. He receives a card.
- 28' Conrad Wallem catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 28.
- 33' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Toronto FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 38' Toronto FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 41' Magnificent from Carlo Holse! That is 5 goals in 105 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 46' St. Louis City make a change. Sang-bin Jeong trudges off to be replaced by Simon Becher on 46 minutes.
- 51' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 55' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Tomas Totland makes it 2-0.
- 57' Toronto FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Nicksoen Gomis is hanging Walker Zimmerman on the field on 57 minute.
- 62' Over 62 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 64' Another change for Toronto FC made on 64 minute. Markus Cimermancic leaves to be changed by Theo Corbeanu.
- 68' Brilliant from the ! Simon Becher makes it 3-0 with a superb finish on 68.
- 72' Fallou Fall catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 72.
- 73' That looks like a foul for a card for Fallou Fall.
- 74' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Alonso Coello Camarero on 74 minutes.
- 75' The supporters are chanting for Lewis Morgan. He replaces Josh Sargent on 75 minute.
- 78' The whistle greets Conrad Wallem as he departs to be replaced by Dante Polvara.
- 83' St. Louis City are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Toronto FC backline.
- 84' The St. Louis City bench stirs into life. Rafael Navarro is withdrawn and Damion Downs gets his opportunity.
- 89' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 89 minutes.
- 90' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Damion Downs makes no mistake. 4-0!
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 3-1 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
St. Louis City Lineups
3-4-3Starting XI
- 1
- 32
- 23
- 8
-
19
Carlo Holse ↓ Tomas Ostrak 90'
-
9
Rafael Navarro ↓ Damion Downs 84'
- 99
-
77
Sang-bin Jeong ↓ Simon Becher 46'
- 14
- 27
-
6
Conrad Wallem ↓ Dante Polvara 78'
Bench
- 20
-
7
Tomas Ostrak ↑ 90'
- 5
-
24
Daniel Edelman ↑ 78'
-
11
Simon Becher ↑ 46'
-
21
Dante Polvara ↑ 78'
-
42
Damion Downs ↑ 84'
- 39
- 59
Coach
Yoann Damet
Toronto FC Lineups
5-3-2Starting XI
-
6
Niklas Dorsch ↓ Jonathan Osorio 64'
- 20
-
11
Derrick Etienne ↓ Zane Monlouis 64'
- 25
- 22
-
9
Josh Sargent ↓ Lewis Morgan 75'
- 13
- 3
- 1
- 14
- 71
Bench
-
21
Jonathan Osorio ↑ 64'
-
90
Lewis Morgan ↑ 75'
- 23
-
7
Theo Corbeanu ↑ 64'
- 19
- 17
-
12
Zane Monlouis ↑ 64'
-
15
Nicksoen Gomis ↑ 57'
- 38
Coach
Robin Fraser
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Theo Corbeanu | 1 |
| Carlo Holse | 1 |
| Simon Becher | 1 |
| Tomas Totland | 1 |
| Aziel Jackson | 1 |
St. Louis City Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.58
St. Louis City xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.09
Toronto FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 70% + St. Louis City to win 66%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: St. Louis City win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.67
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 2.5 | 70% |
|
30% |
| ± 3.5 | 49% |
|
51% |
| ± 4.5 | 30% |
|
70% |
Double Chance
St. Louis City or Draw
85%
Draw or Toronto FC
34%
St. Louis City or Toronto FC
81%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: St. Louis City win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
9%
2 – 0
8.6%
1 – 1
7.9%
3 – 1
Actual
3 – 0
7.2%
1 – 0
6.3%
4 – 1
5%
2 – 2
4.8%
4 – 0
4.6%
3 – 2
4.2%
1 – 2
3.8%
0 – 0
3.8%
Asian Handicap — St. Louis City
| Handicap | St. Louis City covers | Push | Toronto FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| -2 | 28% | 20% | 53% |
| -1.5 | 47% | — | 53% |
| -1 | 47% | 21% | 32% |
| -0.5 | 68% | — | 32% |
| +0.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
| +1 | 87% | 8% | 5% |
| +1.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
| +2 | 95% | 4% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
St. Louis City keeps clean sheet
34%
✓
Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
8%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

