Monday , 12 October 2026

St. Louis City vs Toronto FC, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2026
Sun 20 Sep 2026 · 00:30 UTC Citypark HT 45' · FT 45'
Carlo Holse 41' 1–0
Tomas Totland 55' 2–0
Simon Becher 68' 3–0
3–1 90+7' Theo Corbeanu

Overview

Head-to-Head

2
St. Louis City 2 games · Avg 2.5 goals Toronto FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Sep Toronto FC H 3–1 W
13 Sep Minnesota United FC H 4–2 W
10 Sep Portland Timbers A 2–2 D
06 Sep Vancouver Whitecaps FC A 3–1 W
30 Aug FC Dallas H 3–3 D
22 Aug Houston Dynamo H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Sep St. Louis City A 1–3 L
12 Sep Orlando City SC A 0–3 L
09 Sep Nashville SC H 2–1 W
05 Sep Chicago Fire FC H 4–4 D
29 Aug New York City FC H 1–1 D
22 Aug Internacional CF Miami A 2–1 W

Season Stats

St. Louis City Toronto FC
#17 Position #11
50 Points 32
28 Played 28
14 / 8 / 6 W / D / L 7 / 11 / 10
54 Scored 41
38 Conceded 52
+16 GD -11
1.79 PPG 1.14
50% Win % 25%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
St. Louis City this season
11% Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season

St. Louis City are 17th (50 pts). Toronto FC are 11th (32 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

St. Louis City
0-15
7/3
16-30
8/2
31-45
11/4
46-60
9/5
61-75
6/6
76+
8/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Toronto FC
0-15
1/3
16-30
2/5
31-45
5/6
46-60
4/8
61-75
7/6
76+
11/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

St. Louis City
Rafael Navarro 14 G 3 A
Simon Becher 9 G 4 A
Marcel Hartel 6 G 3 A
Toronto FC
Daniel Salloi 7 G 5 A
Josh Sargent 7 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against St. Louis City and Toronto FC has kicked off!
  • 5' Derrick Etienne has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 26 appearances with only 3 goals this season.
  • 10' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Yoann Damet will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 15' A quiet spell here at Citypark. St. Louis City seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 20' St. Louis City looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Carlo Holse scoring 1 goals.
  • 23' The referee calls foul for Walker Zimmerman. He receives a card.
  • 28' Conrad Wallem catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 28.
  • 33' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Toronto FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 38' Toronto FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 41' Magnificent from Carlo Holse! That is 5 goals in 105 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 46' St. Louis City make a change. Sang-bin Jeong trudges off to be replaced by Simon Becher on 46 minutes.
  • 51' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 55' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Tomas Totland makes it 2-0.
  • 57' Toronto FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Nicksoen Gomis is hanging Walker Zimmerman on the field on 57 minute.
  • 62' Over 62 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 64' Another change for Toronto FC made on 64 minute. Markus Cimermancic leaves to be changed by Theo Corbeanu.
  • 68' Brilliant from the ! Simon Becher makes it 3-0 with a superb finish on 68.
  • 72' Fallou Fall catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 72.
  • 73' That looks like a foul for a card for Fallou Fall.
  • 74' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Alonso Coello Camarero on 74 minutes.
  • 75' The supporters are chanting for Lewis Morgan. He replaces Josh Sargent on 75 minute.
  • 78' The whistle greets Conrad Wallem as he departs to be replaced by Dante Polvara.
  • 83' St. Louis City are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Toronto FC backline.
  • 84' The St. Louis City bench stirs into life. Rafael Navarro is withdrawn and Damion Downs gets his opportunity.
  • 89' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 89 minutes.
  • 90' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Damion Downs makes no mistake. 4-0!
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 3-1 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.58 St. Louis City xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.09 Toronto FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 70% + St. Louis City to win 66%

Match Result

✓ Correct
St. Louis City66% Draw19% Toronto FC15%
Actual: St. Louis City win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.67
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 88%
12%
± 2.5 70%
30%
± 3.5 49%
51%
± 4.5 30%
70%

Double Chance

St. Louis City or Draw
85%
Draw or Toronto FC
34%
St. Louis City or Toronto FC
81%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
St. Louis City51% Draw36% Toronto FC13%
Actual: St. Louis City win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 1
9%
2 – 0
8.6%
1 – 1
7.9%
3 – 1
Actual
3 – 0
7.2%
1 – 0
6.3%
4 – 1
5%
2 – 2
4.8%
4 – 0
4.6%
3 – 2
4.2%
1 – 2
3.8%
0 – 0
3.8%

Asian Handicap — St. Louis City

Handicap St. Louis City covers Push Toronto FC covers
-2.5 28% — 72%
-2 28% 20% 53%
-1.5 47% — 53%
-1 47% 21% 32%
-0.5 68% — 32%
+0.5 87% — 13%
+1 87% 8% 5%
+1.5 95% — 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

St. Louis City keeps clean sheet
34% ✓
Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
8% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.