Philadelphia Union vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Philadelphia Union vs FC Cincinnati — MLS at Subaru Park.
- Philadelphia Union 29 games · 45 pts (2026/26)
- FC Cincinnati 28 games · 36 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 29 | 66 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 29 | 52 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 29 | 49 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 29 | 48 |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 29 | 46 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 29 | 45 |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 29 | 38 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 28 | 36 |
| 9 | New York Red Bulls | 29 | 36 |
| 10 | New York City FC | 29 | 33 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 29 | 33 |
| 12 | D.C. United SC | 28 | 33 |
| 13 | Columbus Crew SC | 29 | 32 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 29 | 30 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 29 | 24 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 29 | 52 |
| 17 | St. Louis City | 29 | 51 |
| 18 | FC Dallas | 29 | 50 |
| 19 | San Jose Earthquakes | 29 | 47 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 29 | 46 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 30 | 45 |
| 22 | Seattle Sounders FC | 29 | 41 |
| 23 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 30 | 39 |
| 24 | Colorado Rapids SC | 29 | 38 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 29 | 33 |
| 26 | Portland Timbers | 29 | 33 |
| 27 | Real Salt Lake | 29 | 33 |
| 28 | Minnesota United FC | 29 | 31 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 29 | 31 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 29 | 22 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep | FC Cincinnati | H | 5–0 | W |
| 05 Sep | Montreal Impact FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 29 Aug | New York Red Bulls | A | 3–1 | W |
| 22 Aug | Austin FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Aug | Internacional CF Miami | H | 2–2 | D |
| 16 Aug | New York City FC | A | 3–2 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep | Philadelphia Union | A | 0–5 | L |
| 29 Aug | Nashville SC | A | 0–4 | L |
| 22 Aug | Seattle Sounders FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Aug | New York City FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 15 Aug | Orlando City SC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Aug | San Jose Earthquakes | H | 4–2 | W |
Season Stats
| Philadelphia Union | FC Cincinnati | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #8 |
| 45 | Points | 36 |
| 29 | Played | 28 |
| 13 / 6 / 10 | W / D / L | 9 / 9 / 10 |
| 59 | Scored | 60 |
| 46 | Conceded | 68 |
| +13 | GD | -8 |
| 1.55 | PPG | 1.29 |
| 45% | Win % | 32% |
Key Stats
44%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
24%
Clean Sheets
Philadelphia Union this season
Philadelphia Union this season
14%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
Philadelphia Union are 6th (45 pts). FC Cincinnati are 8th (36 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Philadelphia Union
0-15
4/6
16-30
4/7
31-45
7/5
46-60
11/1
61-75
15/3
76+
7/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Cincinnati
0-15
5/3
16-30
5/10
31-45
9/10
46-60
6/12
61-75
5/5
76+
15/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Philadelphia Union
| Milan Iloski | 18 G | 2 A |
| Bruno Damiani | 11 G | 3 A |
| Cavan Sullivan | 7 G | 5 A |
FC Cincinnati
| Kevin Denkey | 17 G | 1 A |
| Evander | 13 G | 7 A |
| Tom Barlow | 9 G | 3 A |
| Pavel Bucha | 6 G | 3 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: FC Cincinnati gets underway.
- 16' FC Cincinnati player sees a card in front of him.
- 40' Poor challenge from Evander. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 43' What composure from Quinn Sullivan! The USA international strokes it home. 1-0.
- 46' A goal from the Uruguay international Bruno Damiani! He fires home on 45 to make it 2-0!
- 46' Tom Barlow has so much to prove this time. He replaces Kevin Denkey on 46 minute.
- 49' Bruno Damiani does the damage! The net is bulging and Philadelphia Union surge ahead!
- 61' What a strike from Bruno Damiani! The score is 4-0.
- 66' The crowd applauds Ezekiel Alladoh as he leaves the pitch. Milan Iloski steps in for Philadelphia Union.
- 88' It’s a booking for FC Cincinnati player. Brian Anunga gets a card.
- 89' The deadlock is broken! Milan Iloski gets on the scoresheet on 89 minutes.
- The points are shared — Philadelphia Union 5-0 FC Cincinnati. Honours even.
Lineups
Philadelphia Union Lineups
FC Cincinnati Lineups
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Bruno Damiani | 5 |
| Tai Baribo | 5 |
| Brandon Vazquez | 4 |
| Luciano Acosta | 3 |
| Paxten Aaronson | 3 |
| Alejandro Bedoya | 2 |
| Quinn Sullivan | 2 |
| David Accam | 1 |
Head to Head
Philadelphia Union Form
2026-09-09
Philadelphia Union
5–0
FC Cincinnati
W
2026-09-05
Philadelphia Union
2–0
Montreal Impact FC
W
2026-08-29
New York Red Bulls
1–3
Philadelphia Union
W
2026-08-22
Austin FC
1–1
Philadelphia Union
D
2026-08-19
Philadelphia Union
2–2
Internacional CF Miami
D
2026-08-16
New York City FC
2–3
Philadelphia Union
W
FC Cincinnati Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
3.42
Philadelphia Union xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.39
FC Cincinnati xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 84% + Both teams to score 72%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Philadelphia Union win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 4.81
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 99% |
|
1% |
| ± 1.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 2.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 3.5 | 69% |
|
31% |
| ± 4.5 | 50% |
|
50% |
Double Chance
Philadelphia Union or Draw
86%
Draw or FC Cincinnati
30%
Philadelphia Union or FC Cincinnati
84%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Philadelphia Union win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
3 – 1
7.4%
2 – 1
6.7%
4 – 1
6.3%
3 – 0
5.6%
2 – 0
5.1%
3 – 2
5.1%
4 – 0
4.7%
1 – 1
4.6%
2 – 2
4.6%
4 – 2
4.4%
5 – 1
4.3%
5 – 0
Actual
Asian Handicap — Philadelphia Union
| Handicap | Philadelphia Union covers | Push | FC Cincinnati covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 38% | — | 62% |
| -2 | 38% | 19% | 43% |
| -1.5 | 57% | — | 43% |
| -1 | 57% | 17% | 26% |
| -0.5 | 74% | — | 26% |
| +0.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +1 | 88% | 7% | 5% |
| +1.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
| +2 | 95% | 3% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Philadelphia Union keeps clean sheet
26%
✗
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
4%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

