Toronto FC vs Nashville SC, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Toronto FC vs Nashville SC — MLS at BMO Field.
- Toronto FC 18 games · 17 pts (2026/26)
- Nashville SC 18 games · 40 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 18 | 40 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 18 | 38 |
| 3 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 17 | 34 |
| 4 | Los Angeles FC | 19 | 34 |
| 5 | San Jose Earthquakes | 18 | 33 |
| 6 | Houston Dynamo | 18 | 32 |
| 7 | New England Revolution | 18 | 30 |
| 8 | Chicago Fire FC | 17 | 29 |
| 9 | FC Dallas | 18 | 27 |
| 10 | Real Salt Lake | 17 | 27 |
| 11 | New York City FC | 18 | 26 |
| 12 | FC Cincinnati | 18 | 26 |
| 13 | St. Louis City | 18 | 26 |
| 14 | Charlotte FC | 18 | 25 |
| 15 | New York Red Bulls | 18 | 25 |
| 16 | Portland Timbers | 18 | 24 |
| 17 | Seattle Sounders FC | 17 | 24 |
| 18 | Minnesota United FC | 18 | 24 |
| 19 | D.C. United SC | 18 | 23 |
| 20 | Colorado Rapids SC | 18 | 22 |
| 21 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 19 | 22 |
| 22 | San Diego FC | 18 | 21 |
| 23 | Columbus Crew SC | 18 | 20 |
| 24 | Orlando City SC | 18 | 20 |
| 25 | Toronto FC | 18 | 17 |
| 26 | Austin FC | 18 | 17 |
| 27 | Philadelphia Union | 18 | 16 |
| 28 | Montreal Impact FC | 18 | 16 |
| 29 | Sporting Kansas City | 18 | 14 |
| 30 | Atlanta United FC | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug | Internacional CF Miami | A | 2–1 | W |
| 19 Aug | Charlotte FC | H | 3–3 | D |
| 15 Aug | New England Revolution | H | 2–1 | W |
| 31 Jul | New York City FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Jul | D.C. United SC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Jul | New England Revolution | A | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug | Columbus Crew SC | H | 3–2 | W |
| 19 Aug | New York Red Bulls | A | 1–0 | W |
| 16 Aug | Internacional CF Miami | H | 4–1 | W |
| 01 Aug | D.C. United SC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 25 Jul | Orlando City SC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 23 Jul | Montreal Impact FC | H | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Toronto FC | Nashville SC | |
|---|---|---|
| #25 | Position | #1 |
| 17 | Points | 40 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 3 / 8 / 7 | W / D / L | 12 / 4 / 2 |
| 24 | Scored | 35 |
| 32 | Conceded | 14 |
| -8 | GD | +21 |
| 0.94 | PPG | 2.22 |
| 17% | Win % | 67% |
Key Stats
64%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
H2H (11 games)
45%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
14%
Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
Toronto FC this season
43%
Clean Sheets
Nashville SC this season
Nashville SC this season
Toronto FC are 25th (17 pts). Nashville SC are 1st (40 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Toronto FC
0-15
1/2
16-30
1/3
31-45
4/3
46-60
3/5
61-75
5/4
76+
6/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Nashville SC
0-15
2/1
16-30
6/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
5/2
61-75
5/4
76+
6/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Nashville SC
| Sam Surridge | 12 G | |
| Hany Mukhtar | 9 G | 5 A |
| Warren Madrigal | 5 G | 2 A |
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Sam Surridge | 5 |
| Jonathan Osorio | 4 |
| Teal Bunbury | 2 |
| Hany Mukhtar | 2 |
| Luke Haakenson | 2 |
| Omar Gonzalez | 2 |
| Lorenzo Insigne | 2 |
| Patrick Mullins | 1 |
Head to Head
Toronto FC Form
Nashville SC Form
Predictions
1.04
Toronto FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.85
Nashville SC xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
Both Teams to Score
Avg goals/match: 2.89
Over / Under Goals
| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 78% |
|
22% |
| ± 2.5 | 54% |
|
46% |
| ± 3.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
| ± 4.5 | 17% |
|
83% |
Double Chance
Toronto FC or Draw
51%
Draw or Nashville SC
76%
Toronto FC or Nashville SC
74%
Half-Time Result
Correct Score
1 – 1
11.5%
0 – 1
9.5%
1 – 2
9.5%
0 – 2
9.4%
0 – 0
7.3%
1 – 3
5.9%
0 – 3
5.6%
2 – 1
5.3%
2 – 2
5%
1 – 0
4.9%
2 – 3
3.1%
2 – 0
3%
Asian Handicap — Toronto FC
| Handicap | Toronto FC covers | Push | Nashville SC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 5% | 92% |
| -1.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -1 | 8% | 12% | 80% |
| -0.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| +0.5 | 45% | — | 55% |
| +1 | 45% | 23% | 32% |
| +1.5 | 68% | — | 32% |
| +2 | 68% | 17% | 15% |
| +2.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
Clean Sheet
Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
17%
Nashville SC keeps clean sheet
36%
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

