Wednesday , 26 August 2026

Toronto FC vs Nashville SC, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2026
Wed 9 Sep 2026 · 23:30 UTC BMO Field

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Aug Internacional CF Miami A 2–1 W
19 Aug Charlotte FC H 3–3 D
15 Aug New England Revolution H 2–1 W
31 Jul New York City FC A 1–1 D
25 Jul D.C. United SC A 1–2 L
22 Jul New England Revolution A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Aug Columbus Crew SC H 3–2 W
19 Aug New York Red Bulls A 1–0 W
16 Aug Internacional CF Miami H 4–1 W
01 Aug D.C. United SC A 2–2 D
25 Jul Orlando City SC A 0–1 L
23 Jul Montreal Impact FC H 1–0 W

Season Stats

Toronto FC Nashville SC
#25 Position #1
17 Points 40
18 Played 18
3 / 8 / 7 W / D / L 12 / 4 / 2
24 Scored 35
32 Conceded 14
-8 GD +21
0.94 PPG 2.22
17% Win % 67%

Key Stats

64% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
45% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
43% Clean Sheets
Nashville SC this season

Toronto FC are 25th (17 pts). Nashville SC are 1st (40 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Toronto FC
0-15
1/2
16-30
1/3
31-45
4/3
46-60
3/5
61-75
5/4
76+
6/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Nashville SC
0-15
2/1
16-30
6/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
5/2
61-75
5/4
76+
6/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Nashville SC
Sam Surridge 12 G
Hany Mukhtar 9 G 5 A
Warren Madrigal 5 G 2 A

H2H

Predictions

1.04 Toronto FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.85 Nashville SC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

Toronto FC24% Draw26% Nashville SC50%

Both Teams to Score

Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.89

Over / Under Goals

Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 54%
46%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

Toronto FC or Draw
51%
Draw or Nashville SC
76%
Toronto FC or Nashville SC
74%

Half-Time Result

Toronto FC17% Draw44% Nashville SC39%

Correct Score

1 – 1
11.5%
0 – 1
9.5%
1 – 2
9.5%
0 – 2
9.4%
0 – 0
7.3%
1 – 3
5.9%
0 – 3
5.6%
2 – 1
5.3%
2 – 2
5%
1 – 0
4.9%
2 – 3
3.1%
2 – 0
3%

Asian Handicap — Toronto FC

Handicap Toronto FC covers Push Nashville SC covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 5% 92%
-1.5 8% 92%
-1 8% 12% 80%
-0.5 20% 80%
+0.5 45% 55%
+1 45% 23% 32%
+1.5 68% 32%
+2 68% 17% 15%
+2.5 85% 15%

Clean Sheet

Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
17%
Nashville SC keeps clean sheet
36%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.