Toronto FC vs Philadelphia Union, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Toronto FC vs Philadelphia Union — MLS at BMO Field.
- Toronto FC 34 games · 39 pts (2026/26)
- Philadelphia Union 34 games · 50 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 34 | 77 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 34 | 60 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 34 | 58 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 34 | 55 |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 34 | 50 |
| 7 | Columbus Crew SC | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 34 | 46 |
| 9 | Orlando City SC | 34 | 46 |
| 10 | New York City FC | 34 | 42 |
| 11 | New York Red Bulls | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 34 | 39 |
| 13 | Atlanta United FC | 34 | 33 |
| 14 | D.C. United SC | 34 | 33 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 34 | 26 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 34 | 64 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 34 | 58 |
| 18 | St. Louis City | 34 | 54 |
| 19 | San Jose Earthquakes | 34 | 52 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 34 | 51 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 34 | 47 |
| 22 | Portland Timbers | 34 | 46 |
| 23 | Seattle Sounders FC | 34 | 46 |
| 24 | Real Salt Lake | 34 | 45 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 34 | 44 |
| 26 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 34 | 44 |
| 27 | Colorado Rapids SC | 34 | 43 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 34 | 38 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 34 | 34 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May | Philadelphia Union | H | 1–2 | L |
| 24 May | Nashville SC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 17 May | Montreal Impact FC | A | 6–1 | W |
| 14 May | FC Cincinnati | H | 0–1 | L |
| 10 May | D.C. United SC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 03 May | New England Revolution | H | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May | Toronto FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 24 May | Internacional CF Miami | H | 3–3 | D |
| 17 May | Atlanta United FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 14 May | Los Angeles Galaxy | H | 3–2 | W |
| 10 May | Columbus Crew SC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 03 May | Montreal Impact FC | A | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| Toronto FC | Philadelphia Union | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #6 |
| 39 | Points | 50 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 9 / 12 / 13 | W / D / L | 14 / 8 / 12 |
| 52 | Scored | 66 |
| 67 | Conceded | 52 |
| -15 | GD | +14 |
| 1.15 | PPG | 1.47 |
| 26% | Win % | 41% |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
83%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
12%
Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
Toronto FC this season
24%
Clean Sheets
Philadelphia Union this season
Philadelphia Union this season
Toronto FC are 12th (39 pts). Philadelphia Union are 6th (50 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Toronto FC
0-15
1/3
16-30
3/10
31-45
6/9
46-60
5/12
61-75
9/7
76+
16/12
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Philadelphia Union
0-15
4/6
16-30
6/7
31-45
8/7
46-60
12/2
61-75
17/5
76+
8/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Toronto FC
| Josh Sargent | 10 G | 4 A |
| Daniel Salloi | 9 G | 6 A |
Philadelphia Union
| Milan Iloski | 19 G | 2 A |
| Bruno Damiani | 13 G | 3 A |
| Cavan Sullivan | 9 G | 6 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' What a night it is going to be! Toronto FC welcome Philadelphia Union for this crunch clash at BMO Field.
- 5' Philadelphia Union fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 10' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 15' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Toronto FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 20' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Toronto FC and Philadelphia Union are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 25' Philadelphia Union come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 30' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 35' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Toronto FC that had 300 games and scored 397 goals.
- 40' Philadelphia Union looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Cavan Sullivan scoring 2 goals.
- 45' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 46' Another change for Toronto FC made on 46 minute. Henry Wingo leaves to be changed by Sigurd Rosted.
- 51' The 26-year-old Danley Jean Jacques has been sensational this season — 4 goals and 3 assists is a remarkable return.
- 56' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 61' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Toronto FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 66' Nathan Harriel needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 22 Yellow cards this season.
- 67' Danley Jean Jacques has so much to prove this time. He replaces Jesus Bueno on 67 minute.
- 72' Toronto FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Philadelphia Union backline.
- 76' A goal from the Norway international Ola Brynhildsen! He fires home on 76 to make it 1-0!
- 78' Philadelphia Union ring the changes. Indiana Vassilev has done his job and it is now time for Alejandro Bedoya to step up.
- 83' The supporters are chanting for Ben Bender. He replaces Quinn Sullivan on 83 minute.
- 86' Fresh legs for Toronto FC! Matthew Longstaff comes on to replace Alonso Coello Camarero.
- 87' What a strike from Nathan Harriel! The score is 1-1.
- 90' Controversy at the stadium! Tai Baribo argues furiously but the card stands.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-2 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
Toronto FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 11
- 21
- 28
-
2
Henry Wingo ↓ Sigurd Rosted 46'
- 1
-
9
Ola Brynhildsen ↓ Charles Sharp 86'
- 7
- 14
- 20
-
12
Zane Monlouis ↓ Kevin Long 78'
- 16
Bench
-
5
Kevin Long ↑ 78'
- 24
-
17
Sigurd Rosted ↑ 46'
-
8
Matthew Longstaff ↑ 86'
- 90
- 71
- 23
- 76
-
38
Charles Sharp ↑ 86'
Coach
Robin Fraser
Philadelphia Union Lineups
Starting XI
- 27
- 18
- 19
-
33
Quinn Sullivan ↓ Ben Bender 83'
- 26
- 8
- 5
- 9
-
20
Bruno Damiani ↓ Mikkel Uhre 67'
- 39
- 4
Bench
-
11
Alejandro Bedoya ↑ 78'
- 15
-
21
Danley Jean Jacques ↑ 67'
-
16
Ben Bender ↑ 83'
-
7
Mikkel Uhre ↑ 67'
- 14
- 29
- 76
- 6
Coach
Bradley Carnell
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Sergio Santos | 6 |
| Mikael Uhre | 4 |
| Daniel Gazdag | 4 |
| Pozuelo | 3 |
| Deandre Kerr | 3 |
| Jonathan Osorio | 3 |
| Julian Carranza | 2 |
| Jamiro | 2 |
Head to Head
Toronto FC Form
Philadelphia Union Form
2025-05-28
Toronto FC
1–2
Philadelphia Union
W
2025-05-24
Philadelphia Union
3–3
Internacional CF Miami
D
2025-05-17
Atlanta United FC
0–1
Philadelphia Union
W
2025-05-14
Philadelphia Union
3–2
Los Angeles Galaxy
W
2025-05-10
Philadelphia Union
2–2
Columbus Crew SC
D
2025-05-03
Montreal Impact FC
1–2
Philadelphia Union
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.39
Toronto FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.96
Philadelphia Union xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 64% + Over 2.5 goals 64%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Philadelphia Union win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.35
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 2.5 | 64% |
|
36% |
| ± 3.5 | 43% |
|
57% |
| ± 4.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
Double Chance
Toronto FC or Draw
53%
Draw or Philadelphia Union
72%
Toronto FC or Philadelphia Union
75%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.4%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
6.7%
2 – 1
6.4%
0 – 1
6.3%
2 – 2
6.2%
1 – 3
5.9%
0 – 0
5%
0 – 3
4.3%
1 – 0
4.2%
2 – 3
4.1%
2 – 0
3.4%
Asian Handicap — Toronto FC
| Handicap | Toronto FC covers | Push | Philadelphia Union covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 8% | 88% |
| -1.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -1 | 12% | 14% | 74% |
| -0.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| +0.5 | 50% | — | 50% |
| +1 | 50% | 21% | 29% |
| +1.5 | 71% | — | 29% |
| +2 | 71% | 15% | 14% |
| +2.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
Clean Sheet
Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
15%
✓
Philadelphia Union keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

