Sunday , 16 August 2026

Toronto FC vs Philadelphia Union, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2025
Wed 28 May 2025 · 23:30 UTC BMO Field HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 May Philadelphia Union H 1–2 L
24 May Nashville SC H 1–2 L
17 May Montreal Impact FC A 6–1 W
14 May FC Cincinnati H 0–1 L
10 May D.C. United SC H 2–0 W
03 May New England Revolution H 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 May Toronto FC A 2–1 W
24 May Internacional CF Miami H 3–3 D
17 May Atlanta United FC A 1–0 W
14 May Los Angeles Galaxy H 3–2 W
10 May Columbus Crew SC H 2–2 D
03 May Montreal Impact FC A 2–1 W

Season Stats

Toronto FC Philadelphia Union
#12 Position #13
17 Points 16
18 Played 18
3 / 8 / 7 W / D / L 4 / 4 / 10
24 Scored 25
32 Conceded 33
-8 GD -8
0.94 PPG 0.89
17% Win % 22%

Key Stats

65% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
82% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
16% Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
22% Clean Sheets
Philadelphia Union this season

Toronto FC are 12th (17 pts). Philadelphia Union are 13th (16 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Toronto FC
0-15
1/2
16-30
1/3
31-45
4/3
46-60
2/5
61-75
4/4
76+
6/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Philadelphia Union
0-15
3/3
16-30
1/5
31-45
3/3
46-60
3/1
61-75
4/2
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Philadelphia Union
Milan Iloski 8 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Toronto FC and Philadelphia Union is underway.
  • 5' Philadelphia Union has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 1 meetings.
  • 10' Kai Wagner has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 15' Philadelphia Union started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 15.
  • 20' Philadelphia Union fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 25' It’s high time Bradley Carnell made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 30' The home supporters are growing impatient. Toronto FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 35' Philadelphia Union have won 484 goals from 289 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 40' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Philadelphia Union needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 45' Supporters expect more eagerness from Raoul Petretta, as he is very good at scoring at BMO Field with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
  • 46' It is a substitution in Toronto FC team. Henry Wingo is replaced by Sigurd Rosted on 46 minute.
  • 51' Bruno Damiani has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 56' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 61' Toronto FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Philadelphia Union backline.
  • 66' It looks like no one’s ball. Toronto FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 67' The Philadelphia Union bench stirs into life. Jesus Bueno is withdrawn and Danley Jean Jacques gets his opportunity.
  • 72' Philadelphia Union are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 76' Against the run of play, Ola Brynhildsen has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 78' A tactical swap from Philadelphia UnionAlejandro Bedoya on, Indiana Vassilev off on 78 minutes.
  • 83' Fresh legs for Philadelphia Union! Ben Bender comes on to replace Quinn Sullivan.
  • 86' The supporters are chanting for Matthew Longstaff. He replaces Alonso Coello Camarero on 86 minute.
  • 87' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Nathan Harriel makes it 1-1.
  • 90' The referee calls foul for Tai Baribo. He receives a card.
  • Toronto FC will have plenty to reflect on. Philadelphia Union were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.44 Toronto FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.56 Philadelphia Union xG
I would bet for: Toronto FC or Philadelphia Union 73% + Both teams to score 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Toronto FC33% Draw27% Philadelphia Union40%
Actual: Philadelphia Union win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 3
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 57%
43%
± 3.5 35%
65%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

Toronto FC or Draw
60%
Draw or Philadelphia Union
67%
Toronto FC or Philadelphia Union
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Toronto FC26% Draw44% Philadelphia Union30%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.1%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
7.7%
0 – 1
6.9%
0 – 0
6.7%
1 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
6%
0 – 2
6%
2 – 0
5.1%
1 – 3
4.4%
3 – 1
3.7%
2 – 3
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Toronto FC

Handicap Toronto FC covers Push Philadelphia Union covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 10% 84%
-1.5 16% 84%
-1 16% 18% 66%
-0.5 34% 66%
+0.5 61% 39%
+1 61% 19% 20%
+1.5 80% 20%
+2 80% 12% 8%
+2.5 92% 8%

Clean Sheet

Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
22%
Philadelphia Union keeps clean sheet
25%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.