Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Toronto FC vs Philadelphia Union, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2025
Wed 28 May 2025 · 23:30 UTC BMO Field HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 May Philadelphia Union H 1–2 L
24 May Nashville SC H 1–2 L
17 May Montreal Impact FC A 6–1 W
14 May FC Cincinnati H 0–1 L
10 May D.C. United SC H 2–0 W
03 May New England Revolution H 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 May Toronto FC A 2–1 W
24 May Internacional CF Miami H 3–3 D
17 May Atlanta United FC A 1–0 W
14 May Los Angeles Galaxy H 3–2 W
10 May Columbus Crew SC H 2–2 D
03 May Montreal Impact FC A 2–1 W

Season Stats

Toronto FC Philadelphia Union
#13 Position #6
29 Points 39
27 Played 27
6 / 11 / 10 W / D / L 11 / 6 / 10
39 Scored 54
51 Conceded 44
-12 GD +10
1.07 PPG 1.44
22% Win % 41%

Key Stats

65% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
82% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
11% Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
26% Clean Sheets
Philadelphia Union this season

Toronto FC are 13th (29 pts). Philadelphia Union are 6th (39 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Toronto FC
0-15
1/3
16-30
2/5
31-45
5/6
46-60
4/7
61-75
7/6
76+
9/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Philadelphia Union
0-15
4/6
16-30
4/7
31-45
6/4
46-60
9/1
61-75
14/3
76+
6/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Toronto FC
Daniel Salloi 7 G 5 A
Josh Sargent 7 G 2 A
Philadelphia Union
Milan Iloski 16 G 2 A
Bruno Damiani 8 G 1 A
Cavan Sullivan 7 G 4 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Toronto FC have kicked off against Philadelphia Union. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 5' Philadelphia Union started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 5.
  • 10' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 15' Philadelphia Union looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Milan Iloski scoring 1 goals.
  • 20' Toronto FC is showing some good football. However, Toronto FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 25' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 30' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 35' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Philadelphia Union that had 293 games and scored 491 goals.
  • 40' Philadelphia Union fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 45' Toronto FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 46' Time for substitution for Toronto FC. Henry Wingo is replaced by Sigurd Rosted.
  • 51' Zane Monlouis is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Toronto FC so far.
  • 56' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 61' Toronto FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Philadelphia Union backline.
  • 66' Jovan Lukic needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 67' The Philadelphia Union bench stirs into life. Jesus Bueno is withdrawn and Danley Jean Jacques gets his opportunity.
  • 72' Derrick Etienne has been relatively quiet despite scoring 27 goals in his last 290 appearances.
  • 76' What a moment for Ola Brynhildsen! That strike on 76 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 78' A tactical swap from Philadelphia Union — Alejandro Bedoya on, Indiana Vassilev off on 78 minutes.
  • 83' It is a substitution in Philadelphia Union team. Quinn Sullivan is replaced by Ben Bender on 83 minute.
  • 86' The supporters are chanting for Matthew Longstaff. He replaces Alonso Coello Camarero on 86 minute.
  • 87' Nathan Harriel does the damage! The net is bulging and Philadelphia Union surge ahead!
  • 90' Tai Baribo has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 90.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-2 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.4 Toronto FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.95 Philadelphia Union xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 65% + Over 2.5 goals 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Toronto FC28% Draw25% Philadelphia Union47%
Actual: Philadelphia Union win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes65% 0% No35%
Avg goals/match: 3.35
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 64%
36%
± 3.5 43%
57%
± 4.5 25%
75%

Double Chance

Toronto FC or Draw
53%
Draw or Philadelphia Union
72%
Toronto FC or Philadelphia Union
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Toronto FC22% Draw41% Philadelphia Union37%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.4%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
6.6%
2 – 1
6.5%
2 – 2
6.3%
0 – 1
6.2%
1 – 3
5.8%
0 – 0
5%
0 – 3
4.2%
1 – 0
4.2%
2 – 3
4.1%
2 – 0
3.5%

Asian Handicap — Toronto FC

Handicap Toronto FC covers Push Philadelphia Union covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 8% 88%
-1.5 12% — 88%
-1 12% 15% 73%
-0.5 27% — 73%
+0.5 51% — 49%
+1 51% 21% 29%
+1.5 71% — 29%
+2 71% 15% 14%
+2.5 86% — 14%

Clean Sheet

Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
15% ✓
Philadelphia Union keeps clean sheet
25% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.