Toronto FC vs Philadelphia Union, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2025

Toronto FC

1 – 2

Full Time

Philadelphia Union

Wed 28 May 2025 · 23:30 UTC BMO Field HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 90' Tai Baribo

Y 90' Alejandro Bedoya

Overview

Match Preview

Toronto FC vs Philadelphia Union — MLS at BMO Field.

Toronto FC 14 games · 14 pts (2026/26)
Philadelphia Union 15 games · 7 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	14	33
2	Internacional CF Miami	15	31
3	Chicago Fire FC	14	26
4	New England Revolution	14	25
5	New York Red Bulls	15	22
6	Charlotte FC	15	21
7	FC Cincinnati	15	20
8	New York City FC	15	19
9	D.C. United SC	15	18
10	Columbus Crew SC	15	16
11	Toronto FC	14	14
12	Montreal Impact FC	14	14
13	Orlando City SC	15	14
14	Atlanta United FC	14	11
15	Philadelphia Union	15	7
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	14	32
17	San Jose Earthquakes	15	32
18	Real Salt Lake	14	26
19	FC Dallas	15	25
20	Los Angeles FC	15	24
21	Seattle Sounders FC	13	24
22	Houston Dynamo	14	22
23	Minnesota United FC	15	22
24	Los Angeles Galaxy	15	20
25	San Diego FC	15	17
26	Colorado Rapids SC	15	16
27	St. Louis City	14	16
28	Portland Timbers	14	14
29	Austin FC	15	14
30	Sporting Kansas City	14	11

Head-to-Head

Toronto FC 17 games · Avg 3.4 goals Philadelphia Union

Last 5 meetings

2025-05-28 Toronto FC 1–2 Philadelphia Union 2024-07-13 Toronto FC 2–1 Philadelphia Union 2024-05-29 Philadelphia Union 0–0 Toronto FC 2023-08-30 Toronto FC 3–1 Philadelphia Union 2023-04-22 Philadelphia Union 4–2 Toronto FC

Recent Form

Toronto FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
28 May	Philadelphia Union	H	1–2	L
24 May	Nashville SC	H	1–2	L
17 May	Montreal Impact FC	A	6–1	W
14 May	FC Cincinnati	H	0–1	L
10 May	D.C. United SC	H	2–0	W
03 May	New England Revolution	H	0–2	L

Philadelphia Union

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
28 May	Toronto FC	A	2–1	W
24 May	Internacional CF Miami	H	3–3	D
17 May	Atlanta United FC	A	1–0	W
14 May	Los Angeles Galaxy	H	3–2	W
10 May	Columbus Crew SC	H	2–2	D
03 May	Montreal Impact FC	A	2–1	W

Season Stats

Toronto FC		Philadelphia Union
#11	Position	#15
14	Points	7
14	Played	15
3 / 5 / 6	W / D / L	1 / 4 / 10
22	Scored	18
29	Conceded	30
-7	GD	-12
1.00	PPG	0.47
21%	Win %	7%

Key Stats

65% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)

82% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

7% Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season

20% Clean Sheets
Philadelphia Union this season

Toronto FC are 11th (14 pts). Philadelphia Union are 15th (7 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Toronto FC

0-15

1/1

16-30

1/3

31-45

1/3

46-60

2/5

61-75

4/4

76+

5/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Philadelphia Union

0-15

2/3

16-30

1/4

31-45

2/2

46-60

2/1

61-75

2/1

76+

2/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' In just a few seconds BMO Field will turn into a battlefield for Toronto FC and Philadelphia Union.
5' Deybi Flores needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
10' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
15' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Toronto FC and Philadelphia Union are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
20' Over 20 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
25' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
30' Philadelphia Union come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
35' Toronto FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
40' With 0 assists to his name this season, Ben Bender is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Toronto FC.
45' Indiana Vassilev has been relatively quiet despite scoring 15 goals in his last 355 appearances.
46' The Toronto FC bench stirs into life. Henry Wingo is withdrawn and Sigurd Rosted gets his opportunity.
51' The travelling Philadelphia Union supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
56' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Toronto FC and Philadelphia Union are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
61' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
66' Alejandro Bedoya has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 15 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
67' Philadelphia Union ring the changes. Jesus Bueno has done his job and it is now time for Danley Jean Jacques to step up.
72' Tai Baribo is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Toronto FC so far.
76' GOAL! Ola Brynhildsen fires home to make it 1-0!
78' Alejandro Bedoya is replacing Indiana Vassilev for the Philadelphia Union side.
83' The Philadelphia Union bench stirs into life. Quinn Sullivan is withdrawn and Ben Bender gets his opportunity.
86' The Toronto FC bench stirs into life. Alonso Coello Camarero is withdrawn and Matthew Longstaff gets his opportunity.
87' Nathan Harriel does the damage! The net is bulging and Philadelphia Union surge ahead!
90' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Tai Baribo.
It finishes all square. Toronto FC and Philadelphia Union share the spoils 1-2.

Lineups

Toronto FC Lineups

Starting XI

11
Derrick Etienne
21
Jonathan Osorio
28
Raoul Petretta
2
Henry Wingo ↓ Sigurd Rosted 46'
1
Sean Johnson
9
Ola Brynhildsen ↓ Charles Sharp 86'
7
Theo Corbeanu
14
Alonso Coello Camarero ↓ Matthew Longstaff 86'
20
Deybi Flores
12
Zane Monlouis ↓ Kevin Long 78'
16
Tyrese Spicer

Bench

Coach Robin Fraser

Philadelphia Union Lineups

Starting XI

27
Kai Wagner
18
Andre Blake
19
Indiana Vassilev ↓ Alejandro Bedoya 78'
33
Quinn Sullivan ↓ Ben Bender 83'
26
Nathan Harriel
8
Jesus Bueno ↓ Danley Jean Jacques 67'
5
Jacob Glesnes
9
Tai Baribo
20
Bruno Damiani ↓ Mikkel Uhre 67'
39
Frankie Westfield
4
Jovan Lukic

Bench

Coach Bradley Carnell

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Sergio Santos	6
Daniel Gazdag	4
Mikael Uhre	4
Jonathan Osorio	3
Deandre Kerr	3
Pozuelo	3
Jonathan Osorio	2
Jakob Glesnes	2

Head to Head

Toronto FC Form

2025-05-28 Toronto FC 1–2 Philadelphia Union L 2025-05-24 Toronto FC 1–2 Nashville SC L 2025-05-17 Montreal Impact FC 1–6 Toronto FC W 2025-05-14 Toronto FC 0–1 FC Cincinnati L 2025-05-10 Toronto FC 2–0 D.C. United SC W 2025-05-03 Toronto FC 0–2 New England Revolution L

Philadelphia Union Form

2025-05-28 Toronto FC 1–2 Philadelphia Union W 2025-05-24 Philadelphia Union 3–3 Internacional CF Miami D 2025-05-17 Atlanta United FC 0–1 Philadelphia Union W 2025-05-14 Philadelphia Union 3–2 Los Angeles Galaxy W 2025-05-10 Philadelphia Union 2–2 Columbus Crew SC D 2025-05-03 Montreal Impact FC 1–2 Philadelphia Union W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.66 Toronto FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.55 Philadelphia Union xG

I would bet for: Toronto FC or Philadelphia Union 74% + Both teams to score 64%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Toronto FC37% Draw26% Philadelphia Union37%

Actual: Philadelphia Union win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes64% 0% No36%

Avg goals/match: 3.21

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	94%	6%
± 1.5	83%	17%
± 2.5	61%	39%
± 3.5	40%	60%
± 4.5	22%	78%

Double Chance

Toronto FC or Draw

63%

Draw or Philadelphia Union

63%

Toronto FC or Philadelphia Union

74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Toronto FC30% Draw43% Philadelphia Union27%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

11.3%

2 – 1

8.3%

1 – 2

Actual

2 – 2

6.4%

1 – 0

0 – 0

5.7%

2 – 0

5.5%

0 – 1

5.5%

0 – 2

4.9%

3 – 1

4.6%

1 – 3

3 – 2

3.6%

Asian Handicap — Toronto FC

Handicap	Toronto FC covers	Push	Philadelphia Union covers
-2.5	9%	—	91%
-2	9%	12%	79%
-1.5	21%	—	79%
-1	21%	19%	61%
-0.5	39%	—	61%
+0.5	65%	—	35%
+1	65%	18%	17%
+1.5	83%	—	17%
+2	83%	11%	7%
+2.5	93%	—	7%

Clean Sheet

Toronto FC keeps clean sheet

22% ✓

Philadelphia Union keeps clean sheet

20% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.