Toronto FC vs Philadelphia Union, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Toronto FC vs Philadelphia Union — MLS at BMO Field.
- Toronto FC 18 games · 17 pts (2026/26)
- Philadelphia Union 18 games · 16 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 18 | 40 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 18 | 38 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 18 | 30 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 17 | 29 |
| 5 | New York City FC | 18 | 26 |
| 6 | FC Cincinnati | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Charlotte FC | 18 | 25 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 18 | 23 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 18 | 20 |
| 11 | Orlando City SC | 18 | 20 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 18 | 17 |
| 13 | Philadelphia Union | 18 | 16 |
| 14 | Montreal Impact FC | 18 | 16 |
| 15 | Atlanta United FC | 18 | 12 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 17 | 34 |
| 17 | Los Angeles FC | 19 | 34 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 18 | 33 |
| 19 | Houston Dynamo | 18 | 32 |
| 20 | FC Dallas | 18 | 27 |
| 21 | Real Salt Lake | 17 | 27 |
| 22 | St. Louis City | 18 | 26 |
| 23 | Portland Timbers | 18 | 24 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 17 | 24 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 18 | 24 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 18 | 22 |
| 27 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 19 | 22 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 18 | 21 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 18 | 17 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 18 | 14 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May | Philadelphia Union | H | 1–2 | L |
| 24 May | Nashville SC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 17 May | Montreal Impact FC | A | 6–1 | W |
| 14 May | FC Cincinnati | H | 0–1 | L |
| 10 May | D.C. United SC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 03 May | New England Revolution | H | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May | Toronto FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 24 May | Internacional CF Miami | H | 3–3 | D |
| 17 May | Atlanta United FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 14 May | Los Angeles Galaxy | H | 3–2 | W |
| 10 May | Columbus Crew SC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 03 May | Montreal Impact FC | A | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| Toronto FC | Philadelphia Union | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #13 |
| 17 | Points | 16 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 3 / 8 / 7 | W / D / L | 4 / 4 / 10 |
| 24 | Scored | 25 |
| 32 | Conceded | 33 |
| -8 | GD | -8 |
| 0.94 | PPG | 0.89 |
| 17% | Win % | 22% |
Key Stats
65%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
H2H (17 games)
82%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
16%
Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
Toronto FC this season
22%
Clean Sheets
Philadelphia Union this season
Philadelphia Union this season
Toronto FC are 12th (17 pts). Philadelphia Union are 13th (16 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Toronto FC
0-15
1/2
16-30
1/3
31-45
4/3
46-60
2/5
61-75
4/4
76+
6/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Philadelphia Union
0-15
3/3
16-30
1/5
31-45
3/3
46-60
3/1
61-75
4/2
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Philadelphia Union
| Milan Iloski | 8 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Toronto FC and Philadelphia Union is underway.
- 5' Philadelphia Union has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 1 meetings.
- 10' Kai Wagner has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 15' Philadelphia Union started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 15.
- 20' Philadelphia Union fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 25' It’s high time Bradley Carnell made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 30' The home supporters are growing impatient. Toronto FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 35' Philadelphia Union have won 484 goals from 289 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 40' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Philadelphia Union needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 45' Supporters expect more eagerness from Raoul Petretta, as he is very good at scoring at BMO Field with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
- 46' It is a substitution in Toronto FC team. Henry Wingo is replaced by Sigurd Rosted on 46 minute.
- 51' Bruno Damiani has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 56' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 61' Toronto FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Philadelphia Union backline.
- 66' It looks like no one’s ball. Toronto FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 67' The Philadelphia Union bench stirs into life. Jesus Bueno is withdrawn and Danley Jean Jacques gets his opportunity.
- 72' Philadelphia Union are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 76' Against the run of play, Ola Brynhildsen has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 78' A tactical swap from Philadelphia Union — Alejandro Bedoya on, Indiana Vassilev off on 78 minutes.
- 83' Fresh legs for Philadelphia Union! Ben Bender comes on to replace Quinn Sullivan.
- 86' The supporters are chanting for Matthew Longstaff. He replaces Alonso Coello Camarero on 86 minute.
- 87' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Nathan Harriel makes it 1-1.
- 90' The referee calls foul for Tai Baribo. He receives a card.
- Toronto FC will have plenty to reflect on. Philadelphia Union were simply the better side today.
Lineups
Toronto FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 11
- 21
- 28
-
2
Henry Wingo ↓ Sigurd Rosted 46'
- 1
-
9
Ola Brynhildsen ↓ Charles Sharp 86'
- 7
- 14
- 20
-
12
Zane Monlouis ↓ Kevin Long 78'
- 16
Bench
-
5
Kevin Long ↑ 78'
- 24
-
17
Sigurd Rosted ↑ 46'
-
8
Matthew Longstaff ↑ 86'
- 90
- 71
- 23
- 76
-
38
Charles Sharp ↑ 86'
Coach
Robin Fraser
Philadelphia Union Lineups
Starting XI
- 27
- 18
- 19
-
33
Quinn Sullivan ↓ Ben Bender 83'
- 26
- 8
- 5
- 9
-
20
Bruno Damiani ↓ Mikkel Uhre 67'
- 39
- 4
Bench
-
11
Alejandro Bedoya ↑ 78'
- 15
-
21
Danley Jean Jacques ↑ 67'
-
16
Ben Bender ↑ 83'
-
7
Mikkel Uhre ↑ 67'
- 14
- 29
- 76
- 6
Coach
Bradley Carnell
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Sergio Santos | 6 |
| Daniel Gazdag | 4 |
| Mikael Uhre | 4 |
| Jonathan Osorio | 3 |
| Deandre Kerr | 3 |
| Pozuelo | 3 |
| Lorenzo Insigne | 2 |
| Jonathan Osorio | 2 |
Head to Head
Toronto FC Form
Philadelphia Union Form
2025-05-28
Toronto FC
1–2
Philadelphia Union
W
2025-05-24
Philadelphia Union
3–3
Internacional CF Miami
D
2025-05-17
Atlanta United FC
0–1
Philadelphia Union
W
2025-05-14
Philadelphia Union
3–2
Los Angeles Galaxy
W
2025-05-10
Philadelphia Union
2–2
Columbus Crew SC
D
2025-05-03
Montreal Impact FC
1–2
Philadelphia Union
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.44
Toronto FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.56
Philadelphia Union xG
I would bet for:
Toronto FC or Philadelphia Union 73% + Both teams to score 60%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Philadelphia Union win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 80% |
|
20% |
| ± 2.5 | 57% |
|
43% |
| ± 3.5 | 35% |
|
65% |
| ± 4.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
Double Chance
Toronto FC or Draw
60%
Draw or Philadelphia Union
67%
Toronto FC or Philadelphia Union
73%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.1%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
7.7%
0 – 1
6.9%
0 – 0
6.7%
1 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
6%
0 – 2
6%
2 – 0
5.1%
1 – 3
4.4%
3 – 1
3.7%
2 – 3
3.2%
Asian Handicap — Toronto FC
| Handicap | Toronto FC covers | Push | Philadelphia Union covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 10% | 84% |
| -1.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| -1 | 16% | 18% | 66% |
| -0.5 | 34% | — | 66% |
| +0.5 | 61% | — | 39% |
| +1 | 61% | 19% | 20% |
| +1.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +2 | 80% | 12% | 8% |
| +2.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
Clean Sheet
Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
Philadelphia Union keeps clean sheet
25%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

