Watford FC vs Stoke City FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Watford FC vs Stoke City FC — Championship at Vicarage Road.
- Watford FC 11 games · 11 pts (2026/27)
- Stoke City FC 11 games · 19 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Tom Nield
- Assistant 1 Richard Wild
- Assistant 2 Nigel Lugg
6 games this season
🟨 1.7/game
⚽ 3.8 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea City AFC | 11 | 23 |
| 2 | West Ham United FC | 11 | 22 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough FC | 11 | 22 |
| 4 | Birmingham City FC | 11 | 20 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 11 | 20 |
| 6 | Stoke City FC | 11 | 19 |
| 7 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 11 | 18 |
| 8 | Southampton FC | 11 | 17 |
| 9 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 11 | 17 |
| 10 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 11 | 15 |
| 11 | Sheffield United FC | 11 | 15 |
| 12 | Millwall FC | 11 | 15 |
| 13 | Portsmouth FC | 11 | 15 |
| 14 | Wrexham AFC | 11 | 14 |
| 15 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 11 | 14 |
| 16 | Bristol City FC | 11 | 14 |
| 17 | Charlton Athletic FC | 11 | 14 |
| 18 | Lincoln City FC | 11 | 12 |
| 19 | Cardiff City FC | 11 | 11 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 11 | 11 |
| 21 | Norwich City FC | 11 | 9 |
| 22 | Burnley FC | 11 | 8 |
| 23 | Derby County FC | 11 | 6 |
| 24 | Preston North End FC | 11 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug | Stoke City FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 10 Aug | Millwall FC | A | 3–2 | W |
| 04 May | Middlesbrough FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 27 Apr | Sunderland AFC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Apr | Hull City AFC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 13 Apr | Southampton FC | A | 2–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug | Watford FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 10 Aug | Coventry City FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 04 May | Bristol City FC | H | 4–0 | W |
| 27 Apr | Southampton FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Apr | Plymouth Argyle FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 13 Apr | Sheffield Wednesday FC | A | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| Watford FC | Stoke City FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #20 | Position | #6 |
| 11 | Points | 19 |
| 11 | Played | 11 |
| 3 / 2 / 6 | W / D / L | 6 / 1 / 4 |
| 10 | Scored | 18 |
| 19 | Conceded | 16 |
| -9 | GD | +2 |
| 1.00 | PPG | 1.73 |
| 27% | Win % | 55% |
Key Stats
45%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
H2H (11 games)
55%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
9%
Clean Sheets
Watford FC this season
Watford FC this season
27%
Clean Sheets
Stoke City FC this season
Stoke City FC this season
Watford FC are 20th (11 pts). Stoke City FC are 6th (19 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Watford FC
0-15
2/4
16-30
2/4
31-45
–/5
46-60
1/2
61-75
1/–
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Stoke City FC
0-15
4/1
16-30
4/3
31-45
3/–
46-60
2/3
61-75
1/3
76+
3/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Watford FC
| Amin Nabizada | 3 G |
| Iker Bravo | 1 G |
| Luca Kjerrumgaard | 1 G |
Stoke City FC
| Ethan Galbraith | 4 G | 2 A |
| Eric Bocat | 2 G | 2 A |
| Sam Gallagher | 2 G | 1 A |
| Justin Devenny | 2 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' And we are off! Watford FC vs Stoke City FC — let the football do the talking.
- 5' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 10' Stoke City FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 15' Edo Kayembe needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 20' It looks like no one’s ball. Watford FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 25' Jaden Dixon is a natural defender and has been asked to do a very specific job for Watford FC tonight.
- 30' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 31' Watford FC player sees a card in front of him.
- 36' Watford FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 41' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Watford FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 46' The supporters are chanting for Yasser Larouci. He replaces Jeremy Ngakia on 46 minute.
- 47' The deadlock is broken! Edo Kayembe gets on the scoresheet on 47 minutes.
- 49' Ryan Andrews doubles the advantage! 2-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 54' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 55' The referee has no hesitation. Jordan Thompson is booked for Stoke City FC — card on 55.
- 60' Emre Tezgel has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 11 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 64' It is a substitution in Stoke City FC team. Wouter Burger is replaced by Andrew Moran on 64 minute.
- 67' Another change for Watford FC made on 67 minute. Vakoun Issouf Bayo leaves to be changed by Mileta Rajovic.
- 72' With 0 assists to his name this season, Giorgi Chakvetadze is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Watford FC.
- 73' The Congo DR Edo Kayembe breaks the deadlock on 73 minutes. 3-0!
- 74' Another change for Stoke City FC made on 74 minute. Jordan Thompson leaves to be changed by Ryan Mmaee.
- 79' The energy levels are beginning to show. Steven Schumacher might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 83' The supporters are chanting for Jaden Dixon. He replaces Million Manhoef on 83 minute.
- 84' Another substitution for Watford FC to replace Giorgi Chakvetadze by Kwadwo Baah on 84 minute.
- 88' A moment of madness from Francisco Sierralta on 88 minutes earns him a card. Watford FC will be frustrated.
- 90' Poor challenge from Josh Laurent. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 90' Watford FC make a change. Tom Dele-Bashiru trudges off to be replaced by Imran Louza on 90 minutes.
- Full Time. Watford FC beats Stoke City FC
Lineups
Watford FC Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 17
- 3
- 1
- 39
- 8
- 19
- 6
-
24
Tom Dele-Bashiru ↓ Imran Louza 90'
-
2
Jeremy Ngakia ↓ Yasser Larouci 46'
- 22
- 45
Bench
- 12
- 23
- 7
- 5
-
10
Imran Louza ↑ 90'
-
34
Kwadwo Baah ↑ 84'
-
37
Yasser Larouci ↑ 46'
- 11
-
9
Mileta Rajovic ↑ 67'
Coach
Tom Cleverley
Stoke City FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 16
- 23
-
2
Lynden Gooch ↓ Lewis Koumas 64'
-
15
Jordan Thompson ↓ Ryan Mmaee 74'
-
6
Wouter Burger ↓ Andrew Moran 64'
- 17
- 1
-
42
Million Manhoef ↓ Jaden Dixon 83'
- 22
-
37
Emre Tezgel ↓ Joon-ho Bae 64'
- 28
Bench
- 12
- 8
-
19
Ryan Mmaee ↑ 74'
-
24
Andrew Moran ↑ 64'
- 30
-
10
Joon-ho Bae ↑ 64'
- 34
-
41
Jaden Dixon ↑ 83'
-
11
Lewis Koumas ↑ 64'
Coach
Steven Schumacher
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Keinan Davis | 4 |
| Ismaila Sarr | 3 |
| Imran Louza | 2 |
| Steven Fletcher | 2 |
| Edo Kayembe | 2 |
| Andre Vidigal | 1 |
| Ryan Mmaee | 1 |
| Nick Powell | 1 |
Head to Head
Watford FC Form
Stoke City FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.46
Watford FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.11
Stoke City FC xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Watford FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.57
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 2.5 | 47% |
|
53% |
| ± 3.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
Watford FC or Draw
74%
Draw or Stoke City FC
54%
Watford FC or Stoke City FC
73%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.3%
1 – 0
10.2%
0 – 0
9.7%
2 – 1
8.7%
2 – 0
8%
0 – 1
7.4%
1 – 2
6.6%
2 – 2
4.9%
0 – 2
4.6%
3 – 1
4.3%
3 – 0
Actual
3 – 2
2.5%
Asian Handicap — Watford FC
| Handicap | Watford FC covers | Push | Stoke City FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 13% | 78% |
| -1.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| -1 | 22% | 22% | 56% |
| -0.5 | 44% | — | 56% |
| +0.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
| +1 | 73% | 16% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +2 | 89% | 8% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
34%
✗
Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

