Watford FC vs Stoke City FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Watford FC vs Stoke City FC — Championship at Vicarage Road.
- Watford FC 46 games · 57 pts (2026/27)
- Stoke City FC 46 games · 55 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Tom Nield
- Assistant 1 Richard Wild
- Assistant 2 Nigel Lugg
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry City FC | 46 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich Town FC | 46 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall FC | 46 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton FC | 46 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough FC | 46 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull City AFC | 46 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham AFC | 46 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby County FC | 46 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich City FC | 46 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 46 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea City AFC | 46 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City FC | 46 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield United FC | 46 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston North End FC | 46 | 60 |
| 15 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 46 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford FC | 46 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke City FC | 46 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth FC | 46 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 46 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 46 | 52 |
| 21 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 46 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford United FC | 46 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester City FC | 46 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 46 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug | Stoke City FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 10 Aug | Millwall FC | A | 3–2 | W |
| 04 May | Middlesbrough FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 27 Apr | Sunderland AFC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Apr | Hull City AFC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 13 Apr | Southampton FC | A | 2–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug | Watford FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 10 Aug | Coventry City FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 04 May | Bristol City FC | H | 4–0 | W |
| 27 Apr | Southampton FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Apr | Plymouth Argyle FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 13 Apr | Sheffield Wednesday FC | A | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| Watford FC | Stoke City FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #16 | Position | #17 |
| 57 | Points | 55 |
| 46 | Played | 46 |
| 14 / 15 / 17 | W / D / L | 15 / 10 / 21 |
| 53 | Scored | 51 |
| 65 | Conceded | 56 |
| -12 | GD | -5 |
| 1.24 | PPG | 1.20 |
| 30% | Win % | 33% |
Key Stats
40%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Watford FC are 16th (57 pts). Stoke City FC are 17th (55 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Watford FC and Stoke City FC get this one started.
- 5' Junior Tchamadeu has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 10' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 15' Josh Laurent, a England , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 20' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 25' Ryan Mmaee is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Stoke City FC so far.
- 30' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 31' It’s gonna be a card for Vakoun Issouf Bayo.
- 36' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 41' Stoke City FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 46' Time for substitution for Watford FC. Jeremy Ngakia is replaced by Yasser Larouci.
- 47' Edo Kayembe has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 47 minutes.
- 49' A stunning finish from Ryan Andrews — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 54' Watford FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 55' Jordan Thompson was booked on 55.
- 60' The travelling Stoke City FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 64' The crowd applauds Wouter Burger as he leaves the pitch. Andrew Moran steps in for Stoke City FC.
- 67' The whistle greets Vakoun Issouf Bayo as he departs to be replaced by Mileta Rajovic.
- 72' Supporters expect more eagerness from Emre Tezgel, as he is very good at scoring at Vicarage Road with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 73' Edo Kayembe adds to his 0 season tally! Watford FC lead 3-0 — and this changes everything.
- 74' The whistle greets Jordan Thompson as he departs to be replaced by Ryan Mmaee.
- 79' Stoke City FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 83' Another substitution for Stoke City FC to replace Million Manhoef by Jaden Dixon on 83 minute.
- 84' The whistle greets Giorgi Chakvetadze as he departs to be replaced by Kwadwo Baah.
- 88' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Francisco Sierralta.
- 90' Josh Laurent has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 90.
- 90' Another change for Watford FC made on 90 minute. Tom Dele-Bashiru leaves to be changed by Imran Louza.
- Full Time. Watford FC beats Stoke City FC
Lineups
Watford FC Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 17
- 3
- 1
- 39
- 8
- 19
- 6
-
24
Tom Dele-Bashiru ↓ Imran Louza 90'
-
2
Jeremy Ngakia ↓ Yasser Larouci 46'
- 22
- 45
Bench
- 12
- 23
- 7
- 5
-
10
Imran Louza ↑ 90'
-
34
Kwadwo Baah ↑ 84'
-
37
Yasser Larouci ↑ 46'
- 11
-
9
Mileta Rajovic ↑ 67'
Coach
Tom Cleverley
Stoke City FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 16
- 23
-
2
Lynden Gooch ↓ Lewis Koumas 64'
-
15
Jordan Thompson ↓ Ryan Mmaee 74'
-
6
Wouter Burger ↓ Andrew Moran 64'
- 17
- 1
-
42
Million Manhoef ↓ Jaden Dixon 83'
- 22
-
37
Emre Tezgel ↓ Joon-ho Bae 64'
- 28
Bench
- 12
- 8
-
19
Ryan Mmaee ↑ 74'
-
24
Andrew Moran ↑ 64'
- 30
-
10
Joon-ho Bae ↑ 64'
- 34
-
41
Jaden Dixon ↑ 83'
-
11
Lewis Koumas ↑ 64'
Coach
Steven Schumacher
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Keinan Davis | 4 |
| Ismaila Sarr | 3 |
| Steven Fletcher | 2 |
| Edo Kayembe | 2 |
| Imran Louza | 2 |
| Andre Vidigal | 1 |
| Ryan Mmaee | 1 |
| Nick Powell | 1 |
Head to Head
Watford FC Form
Stoke City FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.55
Watford FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.74
Stoke City FC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 60% + Under — clean sheet likely 58%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Watford FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.29
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 67% |
|
33% |
| ± 2.5 | 40% |
|
60% |
| ± 3.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
| ± 4.5 | 9% |
|
91% |
Double Chance
Watford FC or Draw
81%
Draw or Stoke City FC
46%
Watford FC or Stoke City FC
73%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
14.7%
1 – 1
12.4%
0 – 0
12.2%
2 – 0
11.8%
2 – 1
8.7%
0 – 1
6.4%
3 – 0
Actual
3 – 1
4.6%
1 – 2
4.1%
2 – 2
3.3%
0 – 2
2.6%
4 – 0
2.3%
Asian Handicap — Watford FC
| Handicap | Watford FC covers | Push | Stoke City FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -2 | 12% | 17% | 70% |
| -1.5 | 30% | — | 70% |
| -1 | 30% | 25% | 45% |
| -0.5 | 55% | — | 45% |
| +0.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +1 | 84% | 11% | 5% |
| +1.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
| +2 | 95% | 4% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
48%
✗
Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

