Thursday , 2 July 2026

Watford FC vs Stoke City FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Sat 17 Aug 2024 · 14:00 UTC Vicarage Road 18,789 HT 45' · FT 45'
Edo Kayembe 47' 1–0
Ryan Andrews 49' 2–0
Edo Kayembe 73' 3–0

Overview

Match Preview

Watford FC vs Stoke City FCChampionship at Vicarage Road.

Match Details

  • Referee Tom Nield
  • Assistant 1 Richard Wild
  • Assistant 2 Nigel Lugg

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Aug Stoke City FC H 3–0 W
10 Aug Millwall FC A 3–2 W
04 May Middlesbrough FC A 1–3 L
27 Apr Sunderland AFC H 1–0 W
20 Apr Hull City AFC H 0–0 D
13 Apr Southampton FC A 2–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Aug Watford FC A 0–3 L
10 Aug Coventry City FC H 1–0 W
04 May Bristol City FC H 4–0 W
27 Apr Southampton FC A 1–0 W
20 Apr Plymouth Argyle FC H 3–0 W
13 Apr Sheffield Wednesday FC A 1–1 D

Season Stats

Watford FC Stoke City FC
#16 Position #17
57 Points 55
46 Played 46
14 / 15 / 17 W / D / L 15 / 10 / 21
53 Scored 51
65 Conceded 56
-12 GD -5
1.24 PPG 1.20
30% Win % 33%

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Watford FC are 16th (57 pts). Stoke City FC are 17th (55 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Watford FC and Stoke City FC get this one started.
  • 5' Junior Tchamadeu has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 10' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 15' Josh Laurent, a England , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 20' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 25' Ryan Mmaee is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Stoke City FC so far.
  • 30' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 31' It’s gonna be a card for Vakoun Issouf Bayo.
  • 36' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 41' Stoke City FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 46' Time for substitution for Watford FC. Jeremy Ngakia is replaced by Yasser Larouci.
  • 47' Edo Kayembe has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 47 minutes.
  • 49' A stunning finish from Ryan Andrews — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 54' Watford FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 55' Jordan Thompson was booked on 55.
  • 60' The travelling Stoke City FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 64' The crowd applauds Wouter Burger as he leaves the pitch. Andrew Moran steps in for Stoke City FC.
  • 67' The whistle greets Vakoun Issouf Bayo as he departs to be replaced by Mileta Rajovic.
  • 72' Supporters expect more eagerness from Emre Tezgel, as he is very good at scoring at Vicarage Road with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 73' Edo Kayembe adds to his 0 season tally! Watford FC lead 3-0 — and this changes everything.
  • 74' The whistle greets Jordan Thompson as he departs to be replaced by Ryan Mmaee.
  • 79' Stoke City FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 83' Another substitution for Stoke City FC to replace Million Manhoef by Jaden Dixon on 83 minute.
  • 84' The whistle greets Giorgi Chakvetadze as he departs to be replaced by Kwadwo Baah.
  • 88' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Francisco Sierralta.
  • 90' Josh Laurent has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 90.
  • 90' Another change for Watford FC made on 90 minute. Tom Dele-Bashiru leaves to be changed by Imran Louza.
  • Full Time. Watford FC beats Stoke City FC

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.55 Watford FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.74 Stoke City FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 60% + Under — clean sheet likely 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Watford FC54% Draw27% Stoke City FC19%
Actual: Watford FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes42% 0% No58%
Avg goals/match: 2.29
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 67%
33%
± 2.5 40%
60%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Watford FC or Draw
81%
Draw or Stoke City FC
46%
Watford FC or Stoke City FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Watford FC37% Draw49% Stoke City FC14%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
14.7%
1 – 1
12.4%
0 – 0
12.2%
2 – 0
11.8%
2 – 1
8.7%
0 – 1
6.4%
3 – 0
Actual
3 – 1
4.6%
1 – 2
4.1%
2 – 2
3.3%
0 – 2
2.6%
4 – 0
2.3%

Asian Handicap — Watford FC

Handicap Watford FC covers Push Stoke City FC covers
-2.5 12% 88%
-2 12% 17% 70%
-1.5 30% 70%
-1 30% 25% 45%
-0.5 55% 45%
+0.5 84% 16%
+1 84% 11% 5%
+1.5 95% 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Watford FC keeps clean sheet
48%
Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
22%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.