Watford FC vs Stoke City FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Watford FC vs Stoke City FC — Championship at Vicarage Road.
- Watford FC 6 games · 8 pts (2026/27)
- Stoke City FC 6 games · 7 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Tom Nield
- Assistant 1 Richard Wild
- Assistant 2 Nigel Lugg
3 games this season
🟨 2.0/game
⚽ 0.3 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 6 | 13 |
| 2 | West Ham United FC | 6 | 11 |
| 3 | Swansea City AFC | 6 | 11 |
| 4 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 6 | 11 |
| 5 | Charlton Athletic FC | 6 | 11 |
| 6 | Middlesbrough FC | 5 | 10 |
| 7 | Bristol City FC | 5 | 10 |
| 8 | Millwall FC | 5 | 9 |
| 9 | Norwich City FC | 6 | 9 |
| 10 | Sheffield United FC | 6 | 9 |
| 11 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 5 | 8 |
| 12 | Watford FC | 6 | 8 |
| 13 | Southampton FC | 6 | 7 |
| 14 | Wrexham AFC | 6 | 7 |
| 15 | Birmingham City FC | 6 | 7 |
| 16 | Stoke City FC | 6 | 7 |
| 17 | Portsmouth FC | 5 | 6 |
| 18 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 6 | 5 |
| 19 | Lincoln City FC | 5 | 5 |
| 20 | Cardiff City FC | 6 | 4 |
| 21 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 6 | 4 |
| 22 | Derby County FC | 6 | 4 |
| 23 | Burnley FC | 6 | 3 |
| 24 | Preston North End FC | 6 | 3 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug | Stoke City FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 10 Aug | Millwall FC | A | 3–2 | W |
| 04 May | Middlesbrough FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 27 Apr | Sunderland AFC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Apr | Hull City AFC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 13 Apr | Southampton FC | A | 2–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug | Watford FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 10 Aug | Coventry City FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 04 May | Bristol City FC | H | 4–0 | W |
| 27 Apr | Southampton FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Apr | Plymouth Argyle FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 13 Apr | Sheffield Wednesday FC | A | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| Watford FC | Stoke City FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #16 |
| 8 | Points | 7 |
| 6 | Played | 6 |
| 2 / 2 / 2 | W / D / L | 2 / 1 / 3 |
| 6 | Scored | 9 |
| 7 | Conceded | 10 |
| -1 | GD | -1 |
| 1.33 | PPG | 1.17 |
| 33% | Win % | 33% |
Key Stats
40%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Watford FC this season
Watford FC this season
33%
Clean Sheets
Stoke City FC this season
Stoke City FC this season
Watford FC are 12th (8 pts). Stoke City FC are 16th (7 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Watford FC
0-15
2/2
16-30
2/2
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/1
61-75
1/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Stoke City FC
0-15
4/1
16-30
4/3
31-45
1/–
46-60
–/1
61-75
–/2
76+
–/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Watford FC
| Amin Nabizada | 2 G |
| Iker Bravo | 1 G |
| Luca Kjerrumgaard | 1 G |
Stoke City FC
| Ethan Galbraith | 4 G | |
| Justin Devenny | 2 G | |
| Eric Bocat | 1 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. Watford FC kicks off things out of here…
- 5' The energy levels are beginning to show. Steven Schumacher might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 10' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 15' named a 3-4-2-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 20' Watford FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 25' Wouter Burger, a Netherlands , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 30' Stoke City FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 31' Vakoun Issouf Bayo has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 31.
- 36' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 41' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 46' Another substitution for Watford FC to replace Jeremy Ngakia by Yasser Larouci on 46 minute.
- 47' A stunning finish from Edo Kayembe — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 49' Magnificent from Ryan Andrews! That is 7 goals in 363 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 54' Watford FC is showing some good football. However, Watford FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 55' Controversy at the stadium! Jordan Thompson argues furiously but the card stands.
- 60' Tom Dele-Bashiru has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 64' The crowd applauds Wouter Burger as he leaves the pitch. Andrew Moran steps in for Stoke City FC.
- 67' Watford FC make a change. Vakoun Issouf Bayo trudges off to be replaced by Mileta Rajovic on 67 minutes.
- 72' Stoke City FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 73' What composure from Edo Kayembe! The Congo DR international strokes it home. 3-0.
- 74' The whistle greets Jordan Thompson as he departs to be replaced by Ryan Mmaee.
- 79' Million Manhoef is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Watford FC tonight.
- 83' The supporters are chanting for Jaden Dixon. He replaces Million Manhoef on 83 minute.
- 84' Another change for Watford FC made on 84 minute. Giorgi Chakvetadze leaves to be changed by Kwadwo Baah.
- 88' A moment of madness from Francisco Sierralta on 88 minutes earns him a card. Watford FC will be frustrated.
- 90' Josh Laurent was booked on 90.
- 90' The crowd applauds Tom Dele-Bashiru as he leaves the pitch. Imran Louza steps in for Watford FC.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Watford FC to claim maximum points.
Lineups
Watford FC Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 17
- 3
- 1
- 39
- 8
- 19
- 6
-
24
Tom Dele-Bashiru ↓ Imran Louza 90'
-
2
Jeremy Ngakia ↓ Yasser Larouci 46'
- 22
- 45
Bench
- 12
- 23
- 7
- 5
-
10
Imran Louza ↑ 90'
-
34
Kwadwo Baah ↑ 84'
-
37
Yasser Larouci ↑ 46'
- 11
-
9
Mileta Rajovic ↑ 67'
Coach
Tom Cleverley
Stoke City FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 16
- 23
-
2
Lynden Gooch ↓ Lewis Koumas 64'
-
15
Jordan Thompson ↓ Ryan Mmaee 74'
-
6
Wouter Burger ↓ Andrew Moran 64'
- 17
- 1
-
42
Million Manhoef ↓ Jaden Dixon 83'
- 22
-
37
Emre Tezgel ↓ Joon-ho Bae 64'
- 28
Bench
- 12
- 8
-
19
Ryan Mmaee ↑ 74'
-
24
Andrew Moran ↑ 64'
- 30
-
10
Joon-ho Bae ↑ 64'
- 34
-
41
Jaden Dixon ↑ 83'
-
11
Lewis Koumas ↑ 64'
Coach
Steven Schumacher
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Keinan Davis | 4 |
| Ismaila Sarr | 3 |
| Edo Kayembe | 2 |
| Imran Louza | 2 |
| Steven Fletcher | 2 |
| Tom Cleverley | 1 |
| Ryan Andrews | 1 |
| Joao Pedro | 1 |
Head to Head
Watford FC Form
Stoke City FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.61
Watford FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.76
Stoke City FC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 58% + Under — clean sheet likely 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Watford FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.37
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 68% |
|
32% |
| ± 2.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
| ± 3.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
| ± 4.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
Double Chance
Watford FC or Draw
82%
Draw or Stoke City FC
45%
Watford FC or Stoke City FC
74%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
14.2%
1 – 1
12.2%
2 – 0
11.8%
0 – 0
11.5%
2 – 1
8.9%
3 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
6.1%
3 – 1
4.9%
1 – 2
4.1%
2 – 2
3.4%
0 – 2
2.6%
4 – 0
2.5%
Asian Handicap — Watford FC
| Handicap | Watford FC covers | Push | Stoke City FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -2 | 13% | 18% | 69% |
| -1.5 | 31% | — | 69% |
| -1 | 31% | 25% | 44% |
| -0.5 | 56% | — | 44% |
| +0.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +1 | 84% | 11% | 5% |
| +1.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
| +2 | 95% | 4% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
47%
✗
Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

