Stoke City FC vs Watford FC, Championship 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Stoke City FC vs Watford FC — Championship at Bet365 Stadium.
- Stoke City FC 46 games · 55 pts (2026/27)
- Watford FC 46 games · 57 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry City FC | 46 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich Town FC | 46 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall FC | 46 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton FC | 46 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough FC | 46 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull City AFC | 46 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham AFC | 46 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby County FC | 46 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich City FC | 46 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 46 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea City AFC | 46 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City FC | 46 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield United FC | 46 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston North End FC | 46 | 60 |
| 15 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 46 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford FC | 46 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke City FC | 46 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth FC | 46 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 46 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 46 | 52 |
| 21 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 46 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford United FC | 46 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester City FC | 46 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 46 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct | Watford FC | H | 0–4 | L |
| 17 Sep | Queens Park Rangers FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 13 Sep | Hull City AFC | A | 3–0 | W |
| 04 Sep | Reading FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 31 Aug | Swansea City AFC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Aug | Blackburn Rovers FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct | Stoke City FC | A | 4–0 | W |
| 17 Sep | Sunderland AFC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 13 Sep | Blackburn Rovers FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 03 Sep | Rotherham United FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 30 Aug | Middlesbrough FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 27 Aug | Queens Park Rangers FC | H | 2–3 | L |
Season Stats
| Stoke City FC | Watford FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #17 | Position | #16 |
| 55 | Points | 57 |
| 46 | Played | 46 |
| 15 / 10 / 21 | W / D / L | 14 / 15 / 17 |
| 51 | Scored | 53 |
| 56 | Conceded | 65 |
| -5 | GD | -12 |
| 1.20 | PPG | 1.24 |
| 33% | Win % | 30% |
Key Stats
40%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Stoke City FC are 17th (55 pts). Watford FC are 16th (57 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Stoke City FC is hosting Watford FC for another epic battle.
- 5' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Watford FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 10' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 12' Ismaila Sarr is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 4 goals this season for the .
- 14' Tariqe Fosu catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 14.
- 19' Yaser Asprilla is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Stoke City FC so far.
- 24' It’s high time Alex Neil made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 29' It is a cagey affair so far. Stoke City FC in their trying to find a way past Watford FC's compact .
- 32' Daniel Bachmann was booked on 32.
- 37' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 37 minutes.
- 42' The home supporters are growing impatient. Stoke City FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 47' Daniel Bachmann has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 48' Watford FC player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
- 52' Stoke City FC receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 52.
- 57' Ivory Coast international Hassane Kamara has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 59' Fresh legs for Watford FC! Imran Louza comes on to replace Yaser Asprilla.
- 64' Ken Sema has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 64 minutes.
- 69' A moment of madness from Francisco Sierralta on 69 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Watford FC will be frustrated.
- 72' The supporters are chanting for Tyrese Campbell. He replaces Dwight Gayle on 72 minute.
- 77' A change in the Stoke City FC ranks — Dujon Sterling exits the field as Harrison Clarke enters on 77.
- 78' Keinan Davis adds to his 0 season tally! Watford FC lead 0-3 — and this changes everything.
- 79' The England Keinan Davis breaks the deadlock on 79 minutes. 0-4!
- 81' Vakoun Issouf Bayo has so much to prove this time. He replaces Ismaila Sarr on 81 minute.
- 84' The Ivory Coast Vakoun Issouf Bayo breaks the deadlock on 84 minutes. 0-5!
- 87' Joseph Hungbo is ready to make an impact after coming on for Ken Sema at the 87 minute mark.
- With this win, Watford FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
Stoke City FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 16
-
11
Dwight Gayle ↓ Tyrese Campbell 72'
- 3
- 4
- 8
- 24
- 28
- 20
- 1
- 18
- 17
Bench
- 6
-
10
Tyrese Campbell ↑ 72'
- 13
-
2
Harrison Clarke ↑ 77'
- 32
- 29
- 39
Coach
Alex Neil
Watford FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 4
-
12
Ken Sema ↓ Joseph Hungbo 87'
- 27
-
7
Keinan Davis ↓ Dan Gosling 87'
- 23
- 14
- 3
- 31
- 1
- 39
-
18
Yaser Asprilla ↓ Imran Louza 59'
Bench
-
16
Dan Gosling ↑ 87'
- 30
-
19
Vakoun Issouf Bayo ↑ 81'
-
6
Imran Louza ↑ 59'
- 35
-
36
Joseph Hungbo ↑ 87'
- 42
Coach
Slaven Bilic
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Keinan Davis | 4 |
| Ismaila Sarr | 3 |
| Steven Fletcher | 2 |
| Edo Kayembe | 2 |
| Imran Louza | 2 |
| Andre Vidigal | 1 |
| Ryan Mmaee | 1 |
| Nick Powell | 1 |
Head to Head
Stoke City FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.09
Stoke City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.9
Watford FC xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 57% + Over 2.5 goals 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Watford FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.99
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 80% |
|
20% |
| ± 2.5 | 57% |
|
43% |
| ± 3.5 | 35% |
|
65% |
| ± 4.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
Double Chance
Stoke City FC or Draw
51%
Draw or Watford FC
75%
Stoke City FC or Watford FC
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Watford FC win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 0–4 not predicted0 – 4Actual
1 – 1
11.3%
1 – 2
9.5%
0 – 2
8.9%
0 – 1
8.8%
0 – 0
6.7%
1 – 3
6%
0 – 3
5.5%
2 – 1
5.5%
2 – 2
5.2%
1 – 0
4.7%
2 – 3
3.4%
2 – 0
3%
Asian Handicap — Stoke City FC
| Handicap | Stoke City FC covers | Push | Watford FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 6% | 92% |
| -1.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -1 | 8% | 13% | 79% |
| -0.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| +0.5 | 45% | — | 55% |
| +1 | 45% | 22% | 32% |
| +1.5 | 68% | — | 32% |
| +2 | 68% | 17% | 15% |
| +2.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
Clean Sheet
Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
34%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.