Stoke City FC vs Watford FC, Championship 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Stoke City FC vs Watford FC — Championship at Bet365 Stadium.
- Stoke City FC 8 games · 13 pts (2026/27)
- Watford FC 8 games · 8 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea City AFC | 8 | 17 |
| 2 | West Ham United FC | 8 | 15 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough FC | 8 | 15 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 7 | 14 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 8 | 14 |
| 6 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 8 | 13 |
| 7 | Stoke City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 8 | Bristol City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 9 | Charlton Athletic FC | 8 | 12 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 11 | Millwall FC | 8 | 11 |
| 12 | Lincoln City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 13 | Southampton FC | 8 | 10 |
| 14 | Wrexham AFC | 8 | 10 |
| 15 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 8 | 10 |
| 16 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 8 | 9 |
| 17 | Norwich City FC | 8 | 9 |
| 18 | Sheffield United FC | 8 | 9 |
| 19 | Portsmouth FC | 7 | 8 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 8 | 8 |
| 21 | Cardiff City FC | 8 | 7 |
| 22 | Derby County FC | 8 | 5 |
| 23 | Preston North End FC | 8 | 4 |
| 24 | Burnley FC | 8 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct | Watford FC | H | 0–4 | L |
| 17 Sep | Queens Park Rangers FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 13 Sep | Hull City AFC | A | 3–0 | W |
| 04 Sep | Reading FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 31 Aug | Swansea City AFC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Aug | Blackburn Rovers FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct | Stoke City FC | A | 4–0 | W |
| 17 Sep | Sunderland AFC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 13 Sep | Blackburn Rovers FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 03 Sep | Rotherham United FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 30 Aug | Middlesbrough FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 27 Aug | Queens Park Rangers FC | H | 2–3 | L |
Season Stats
| Stoke City FC | Watford FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #7 | Position | #20 |
| 13 | Points | 8 |
| 8 | Played | 8 |
| 4 / 1 / 3 | W / D / L | 2 / 2 / 4 |
| 13 | Scored | 7 |
| 12 | Conceded | 10 |
| +1 | GD | -3 |
| 1.63 | PPG | 1.00 |
| 50% | Win % | 25% |
Key Stats
45%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
H2H (11 games)
55%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
25%
Clean Sheets
Stoke City FC this season
Stoke City FC this season
0%
Clean Sheets
Watford FC this season
Watford FC this season
Stoke City FC are 7th (13 pts). Watford FC are 20th (8 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Stoke City FC
0-15
4/1
16-30
4/3
31-45
2/–
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/2
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Watford FC
0-15
2/2
16-30
2/2
31-45
–/3
46-60
–/2
61-75
1/–
76+
2/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Stoke City FC
| Ethan Galbraith | 4 G | 1 A |
| Eric Bocat | 2 G | 2 A |
| Sam Gallagher | 2 G | 1 A |
| Justin Devenny | 2 G |
Watford FC
| Amin Nabizada | 3 G |
| Iker Bravo | 1 G |
| Luca Kjerrumgaard | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Stoke City FC and Watford FC has kicked off!
- 5' Stoke City FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 10' The travelling Watford FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 12' Magnificent from Ismaila Sarr! That is 73 goals in 424 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 14' Controversy at the stadium! Tariqe Fosu argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
- 19' Stoke City FC have won 404 goals from 384 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 24' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Stoke City FC that had 384 games and scored 404 goals.
- 29' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 32' Controversy at the stadium! Daniel Bachmann argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
- 37' A quiet spell here at Bet365 Stadium. Watford FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 42' The energy levels are beginning to show. Alex Neil might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 47' The 28-year-old Hamza Choudhury has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 48' Yaser Asprilla was booked on 48.
- 52' A meaty challenge results in booking for Liam Delap on 52.
- 57' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 59' Imran Louza is ready to make an impact after coming on for Yaser Asprilla at the 59 minute mark.
- 64' Ken Sema adds to his 0 season tally! Watford FC lead 0-2 — and this changes everything.
- 69' A moment of madness from Francisco Sierralta on 69 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Watford FC will be frustrated.
- 72' It is a substitution in Stoke City FC team. Dwight Gayle is replaced by Tyrese Campbell on 72 minute.
- 77' The Stoke City FC bench stirs into life. Dujon Sterling is withdrawn and Harrison Clarke gets his opportunity.
- 78' GOAL! Keinan Davis fires home to make it 0-3!
- 79' Magnificent from Keinan Davis! That is 20 goals in 357 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 81' Time for substitution for Watford FC. Ismaila Sarr is replaced by Vakoun Issouf Bayo.
- 84' Goal! Vakoun Issouf Bayo scores his 48 goal in 11 matches.
- 87' Joseph Hungbo is replacing Ken Sema for the Watford FC side.
- Watford FC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
Stoke City FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 16
-
11
Dwight Gayle ↓ Tyrese Campbell 72'
- 3
- 4
- 8
- 24
- 28
- 20
- 1
- 18
- 17
Bench
- 6
-
10
Tyrese Campbell ↑ 72'
- 13
-
2
Harrison Clarke ↑ 77'
- 32
- 29
- 39
Coach
Alex Neil
Watford FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 4
-
12
Ken Sema ↓ Joseph Hungbo 87'
- 27
-
7
Keinan Davis ↓ Dan Gosling 87'
- 23
- 14
- 3
- 31
- 1
- 39
-
18
Yaser Asprilla ↓ Imran Louza 59'
Bench
-
16
Dan Gosling ↑ 87'
- 30
-
19
Vakoun Issouf Bayo ↑ 81'
-
6
Imran Louza ↑ 59'
- 35
-
36
Joseph Hungbo ↑ 87'
- 42
Coach
Slaven Bilic
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Keinan Davis | 4 |
| Ismaila Sarr | 3 |
| Imran Louza | 2 |
| Steven Fletcher | 2 |
| Edo Kayembe | 2 |
| Vakoun Issouf Bayo | 1 |
| Andre Vidigal | 1 |
| Ryan Mmaee | 1 |
Head to Head
Stoke City FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.2
Stoke City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.81
Watford FC xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 59% + Over 2.5 goals 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Watford FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.01
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 80% |
|
20% |
| ± 2.5 | 57% |
|
43% |
| ± 3.5 | 36% |
|
64% |
| ± 4.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
Double Chance
Stoke City FC or Draw
54%
Draw or Watford FC
73%
Stoke City FC or Watford FC
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Watford FC win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 0–4 not predicted0 – 4Actual
1 – 1
11.6%
1 – 2
9.3%
0 – 1
8.1%
0 – 2
8%
0 – 0
6.6%
2 – 1
6.2%
1 – 3
5.6%
2 – 2
5.6%
1 – 0
5.1%
0 – 3
4.7%
2 – 0
3.5%
2 – 3
3.5%
Asian Handicap — Stoke City FC
| Handicap | Stoke City FC covers | Push | Watford FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 7% | 90% |
| -1.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -1 | 10% | 14% | 76% |
| -0.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| +0.5 | 50% | — | 50% |
| +1 | 50% | 22% | 29% |
| +1.5 | 71% | — | 29% |
| +2 | 71% | 16% | 13% |
| +2.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
Clean Sheet
Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
31%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

