Saturday , 14 November 2026

Rio Ave FC vs Casa Pia AC, Primeira Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Primeira Liga · 2025-26
3 – 1
Full Time
Sun 4 Jan 2026 · 15:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Rio Ave FC vs Casa Pia AC — Primeira Liga .

Match Details

  • Referee Iancu Vasilica

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Jan Casa Pia AC H 3–1 W
28 Dec Sporting Clube de Portugal A 0–4 L
20 Dec Gil Vicente FC A 2–2 D
13 Dec Vitória SC H 0–1 L
06 Dec AVS A 2–1 W
30 Nov CD Santa Clara H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Jan Rio Ave FC A 1–3 L
28 Dec Vitória SC H 0–0 D
21 Dec CD Tondela A 2–1 W
13 Dec Gil Vicente FC H 1–1 D
06 Dec CD Santa Clara A 0–1 L
29 Nov FC Alverca H 0–2 L

Season Stats

Rio Ave FC Casa Pia AC
#17 Position #16
7 Points 8
11 Played 11
2 / 1 / 8 W / D / L 2 / 2 / 7
9 Scored 6
24 Conceded 20
-15 GD -14
0.64 PPG 0.73
18% Win % 18%

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
9% Clean Sheets
Rio Ave FC this season
18% Clean Sheets
Casa Pia AC this season

Rio Ave FC are 17th (7 pts). Casa Pia AC are 16th (8 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Rio Ave FC
0-15
1/4
16-30
–/3
31-45
3/2
46-60
2/5
61-75
2/3
76+
1/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Casa Pia AC
0-15
–/3
16-30
–/2
31-45
3/2
46-60
–/4
61-75
1/5
76+
2/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Rio Ave FC
Jalen Blesa 3 G 1 A
Tamble Monteiro 1 G
Casa Pia AC
Silvi 2 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Rio Ave FC Lineups

Casa Pia AC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.53 Rio Ave FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.01 Casa Pia AC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Rio Ave FC50% Draw27% Casa Pia AC23%
Actual: Rio Ave FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.54
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Rio Ave FC or Draw
77%
Draw or Casa Pia AC
50%
Rio Ave FC or Casa Pia AC
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Rio Ave FC34% Draw48% Casa Pia AC18%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.1%
1 – 0
11.1%
0 – 0
9.9%
2 – 0
9%
2 – 1
9%
0 – 1
6.9%
1 – 2
5.9%
3 – 1
Actual
2 – 2
4.6%
3 – 0
4.5%
0 – 2
3.9%
3 – 2
2.4%

Asian Handicap — Rio Ave FC

Handicap Rio Ave FC covers Push Casa Pia AC covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 15% 75%
-1.5 25% — 75%
-1 25% 23% 52%
-0.5 48% — 52%
+0.5 77% — 23%
+1 77% 15% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Rio Ave FC keeps clean sheet
37% ✓
Casa Pia AC keeps clean sheet
22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.