FC Machida Zelvia vs Fagiano Okayama FC, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
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Overview
Match Preview
FC Machida Zelvia vs Fagiano Okayama FC — J. League at Machida GION Stadium.
- FC Machida Zelvia 18 games · 37 pts (2026/26)
- Fagiano Okayama FC 18 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
Standings
# Team P Pts 1 Vissel Kobe 18 35 2 Cerezo Osaka FC 18 31 3 Nagoya Grampus 18 31 4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 30 5 Gamba Osaka 18 28 6 Fagiano Okayama FC 18 26 7 Shimizu S-Pulse 18 24 8 Kyoto Sanga FC 18 23 9 V-Varen Nagasaki 18 21 10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 21 11 Kashima Antlers 18 45 12 FC Tokyo 18 37 13 FC Machida Zelvia 18 37 14 Kawasaki Frontale 18 28 15 Tokyo Verdy 18 28 16 Urawa Red Diamonds 18 25 17 Kashiwa Reysol 18 20 18 Yokohama F.Marinos 18 20 19 FC Mito Holly Hock 18 18 20 JEF United Ichihara Chiba 18 12 Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Date Opponent H/A Score Result 27 Sep Fagiano Okayama FC H 1–0 W 23 Sep Kyoto Sanga FC A 1–1 D 12 Sep Yokohama FC H 1–1 D 31 Aug Kawasaki Frontale A 3–5 L 23 Aug Yokohama F.Marinos A 0–0 D 20 Aug Gamba Osaka H 3–1 W Date Opponent H/A Score Result 27 Sep FC Machida Zelvia A 0–1 L 23 Sep Yokohama FC H 0–0 D 20 Sep Tokyo Verdy A 2–4 L 13 Sep Nagoya Grampus H 0–1 L 30 Aug Kyoto Sanga FC A 0–5 L 23 Aug Shonan Bellmare H 1–0 W Season Stats
FC Machida Zelvia Fagiano Okayama FC #13 Position #6 37 Points 26 18 Played 18 13 / 0 / 5 W / D / L 8 / 0 / 10 42 Scored 41 33 Conceded 46 +9 GD -5 2.06 PPG 1.44 72% Win % 44% Key Stats
50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history44% Clean Sheets
FC Machida Zelvia this season28% Clean Sheets
Fagiano Okayama FC this seasonFC Machida Zelvia are 13th (37 pts). Fagiano Okayama FC are 6th (26 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Machida Zelvia0-152/–16-301/–31-452/146-603/161-752/176+–/3■ Scored ■ ConcededFagiano Okayama FC0-151/216-302/231-452/446-601/261-754/376+5/3■ Scored ■ Conceded -
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. FC Machida Zelvia kicks off things out of here…
- 5' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 10' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 15' Lucao has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 13 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 20' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FC Machida Zelvia that had 88 games and scored 108 goals.
- 25' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Gen Shoji suffering a number of foals already.
- 30' Fagiano Okayama FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 30.
- 31' Another substitution for Fagiano Okayama FC to replace Ryo Tabei by Yuta Kamiya on 31 minute.
- 36' Fagiano Okayama FC is showing some good football. However, Fagiano Okayama FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 41' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. FC Machida Zelvia needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 46' Time for substitution for Fagiano Okayama FC. Kazunari Ichimi is replaced by Lucao.
- 48' It’s a booking for Fagiano Okayama FC player. Yoshitake Suzuki gets a card.
- 53' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 58' Hiroki Mochizuki has so much to prove this time. He replaces Asahi Masuyama on 58 minute.
- 60' Another change for Fagiano Okayama FC made on 60 minute. Hiroto Iwabuchi leaves to be changed by Takaya Kimura.
- 65' Hokuto Shimoda needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 8 Yellow cards this season.
- 70' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 70 minutes.
- 75' FC Machida Zelvia seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 78' The Fagiano Okayama FC manager makes a substitution. Ataru Esaka departs to be replaced by Takahiro Yanagi.
- 81' Shota Fujio has so much to prove this time. He replaces Takuma Nishimura on 81 minute.
- 86' It looks surprising Fagiano Okayama FC does not make any changes. Takuma Nishimura has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 90' It is a substitution in FC Machida Zelvia team. Kotaro Hayashi is replaced by Kanji Kuwayama on 90 minute.
- The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Fagiano Okayama FC.
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Lineups
FC Machida Zelvia Lineups
Starting XI
- 18
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20
Takuma Nishimura ↓ Shota Fujio 81'
- 1
- 11
- 3
- 19
- 5
- 8
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15
Mitchell Duke ↓ Se-hun Oh 46'
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10
Sang-ho Na ↓ Yuki Soma 58'
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26
Kotaro Hayashi ↓ Kanji Kuwayama 90'
Bench
- 23
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7
Yuki Soma ↑ 58'
- 2
- 13
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9
Shota Fujio ↑ 81'
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6
Hiroki Mochizuki ↑ 58'
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49
Kanji Kuwayama ↑ 90'
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90
Se-hun Oh ↑ 46'
- 22
Coach Go KurodaFagiano Okayama FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 49
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43
Yoshitake Suzuki ↓ Kota Kudo 60'
- 18
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22
Kazunari Ichimi ↓ Lucao 46'
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8
Ataru Esaka ↓ Takahiro Yanagi 78'
- 26
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14
Ryo Tabei ↓ Yuta Kamiya 31'
- 4
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19
Hiroto Iwabuchi ↓ Takaya Kimura 60'
- 3
- 17
Bench
- 77
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88
Takahiro Yanagi ↑ 78'
- 28
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33
Yuta Kamiya ↑ 31'
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15
Kota Kudo ↑ 60'
- 98
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27
Takaya Kimura ↑ 60'
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99
Lucao ↑ 46'
- 16
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H2H
H2H Top Scorers
Player Goals Yuki Soma 1 Mitchell Duke 1 Kazunari Ichimi 1 Takaya Kimura 1 Gen Shoji 1 Head to Head
FC Machida Zelvia Form
2025-09-27 FC Machida Zelvia 1–0 Fagiano Okayama FC W 2025-09-23 Kyoto Sanga FC 1–1 FC Machida Zelvia D 2025-09-12 FC Machida Zelvia 1–1 Yokohama FC D 2025-08-31 Kawasaki Frontale 5–3 FC Machida Zelvia L 2025-08-23 Yokohama F.Marinos 0–0 FC Machida Zelvia D 2025-08-20 FC Machida Zelvia 3–1 Gamba Osaka WFagiano Okayama FC Form
2025-09-27 FC Machida Zelvia 1–0 Fagiano Okayama FC L 2025-09-23 Fagiano Okayama FC 0–0 Yokohama FC D 2025-09-20 Tokyo Verdy 4–2 Fagiano Okayama FC L 2025-09-13 Fagiano Okayama FC 0–1 Nagoya Grampus L 2025-08-30 Kyoto Sanga FC 5–0 Fagiano Okayama FC L 2025-08-23 Fagiano Okayama FC 1–0 Shonan Bellmare W -
Predictions
Prediction accuracy1 / 42.57 FC Machida Zelvia xGExpected GoalsDixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo1.31 Fagiano Okayama FC xGI would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 73% + Both teams to score 67%Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Machida Zelvia winBoth Teams to Score
✗ WrongAvg goals/match: 3.88Actual: No — clean sheetOver / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5Line Over Under ± 0.5 97% 3% ± 1.5 90% 10% ± 2.5 73% 27% ± 3.5 53% 47% ± 4.5 34% 66% Double Chance
FC Machida Zelvia or Draw 82%Draw or Fagiano Okayama FC 38%FC Machida Zelvia or Fagiano Okayama FC 80%Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HTCorrect Score
✓ In top 122 – 1 8.7%1 – 1 7.7%3 – 1 7.3%2 – 0 6.9%3 – 0 5.8%2 – 2 5.6%1 – 0 Actual3 – 2 4.8%4 – 1 4.7%1 – 2 4.5%4 – 0 3.7%0 – 0 3.2%Asian Handicap — FC Machida Zelvia
Handicap FC Machida Zelvia covers Push Fagiano Okayama FC covers -2.5 25% — 75% -2 25% 18% 57% -1.5 43% — 57% -1 43% 20% 37% -0.5 63% — 37% +0.5 83% — 17% +1 83% 10% 7% +1.5 93% — 7% +2 93% 5% 2% +2.5 98% — 2% Clean Sheet
FC Machida Zelvia keeps clean sheet 28% ✗Fagiano Okayama FC keeps clean sheet 8% ✓Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.