FC Machida Zelvia vs Fagiano Okayama FC, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Machida Zelvia vs Fagiano Okayama FC — J. League at Machida GION Stadium.
- FC Machida Zelvia 18 games · 37 pts (2026/27)
- Fagiano Okayama FC 18 games · 26 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep | Fagiano Okayama FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 23 Sep | Kyōto Sanga FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Sep | Yokohama FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 31 Aug | Kawasaki Frontale | A | 3–5 | L |
| 23 Aug | Yokohama F·Marinos | A | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Aug | Gamba Osaka | H | 3–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep | FC Machida Zelvia | A | 0–1 | L |
| 23 Sep | Yokohama FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Sep | Tōkyō Verdy | A | 2–4 | L |
| 13 Sep | Nagoya Grampus | H | 0–1 | L |
| 30 Aug | Kyōto Sanga FC | A | 0–5 | L |
| 23 Aug | Shonan Bellmare | H | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| FC Machida Zelvia | Fagiano Okayama FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #13 | Position | #6 |
| 37 | Points | 26 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 13 / 0 / 5 | W / D / L | 8 / 0 / 10 |
| 42 | Scored | 41 |
| 33 | Conceded | 46 |
| +9 | GD | -5 |
| 2.06 | PPG | 1.44 |
| 72% | Win % | 44% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
14%
Clean Sheets
FC Machida Zelvia this season
FC Machida Zelvia this season
29%
Clean Sheets
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
FC Machida Zelvia are 13th (37 pts). Fagiano Okayama FC are 6th (26 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Machida Zelvia
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
4/1
46-60
1/4
61-75
4/1
76+
5/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fagiano Okayama FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/1
31-45
3/3
46-60
2/–
61-75
–/1
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Machida Zelvia
| Yuki Soma | 3 G | 3 A |
| Koki Ogawa | 3 G | |
| Hotaka Nakamura | 2 G | 1 A |
| Tete Yengi | 2 G | 1 A |
| Takuma Nishimura | 2 G |
Fagiano Okayama FC
| Kota Kawano | 3 G | |
| Lucao | 1 G | 1 A |
| Noah Browne | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. FC Machida Zelvia is hosting Fagiano Okayama FC for another epic battle.
- 5' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Fagiano Okayama FC that had 59 games and scored 53 goals.
- 10' Fagiano Okayama FC have won 53 goals from 59 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 15' FC Machida Zelvia are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Fagiano Okayama FC's shape.
- 20' A quiet spell here at Machida GION Stadium. Fagiano Okayama FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 25' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both FC Machida Zelvia and Fagiano Okayama FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 30' It is a cagey affair so far. FC Machida Zelvia in their trying to find a way past Fagiano Okayama FC's compact .
- 31' The crowd applauds Ryo Tabei as he leaves the pitch. Yuta Kamiya steps in for Fagiano Okayama FC.
- 36' Fagiano Okayama FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 41' It’s high time Go Kuroda made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 46' The crowd applauds Kazunari Ichimi as he leaves the pitch. Lucao steps in for Fagiano Okayama FC.
- 48' It’s a booking for Fagiano Okayama FC player. Yoshitake Suzuki gets a card.
- 53' Mitchell Duke is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for FC Machida Zelvia so far.
- 58' The FC Machida Zelvia bench stirs into life. Asahi Masuyama is withdrawn and Hiroki Mochizuki gets his opportunity.
- 60' Fagiano Okayama FC ring the changes. Hiroto Iwabuchi has done his job and it is now time for Takaya Kimura to step up.
- 65' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Takuma Nishimura suffering a number of foals already.
- 70' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 75' The energy levels are beginning to show. might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 78' The whistle greets Ataru Esaka as he departs to be replaced by Takahiro Yanagi.
- 81' Shota Fujio is ready to make an impact after coming on for Takuma Nishimura at the 81 minute mark.
- 86' Ryo Tabei, a Japan , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 90' The crowd applauds Kotaro Hayashi as he leaves the pitch. Kanji Kuwayama steps in for FC Machida Zelvia.
- That’s it! Another goalless match for FC Machida Zelvia and Fagiano Okayama FC (для сухой ничьи).
Lineups
FC Machida Zelvia Lineups
Starting XI
- 18
-
20
Takuma Nishimura ↓ Shota Fujio 81'
- 1
- 11
- 3
- 19
- 5
- 8
-
15
Mitchell Duke ↓ Se-hun Oh 46'
-
10
Sang-ho Na ↓ Yuki Soma 58'
-
26
Kotaro Hayashi ↓ Kanji Kuwayama 90'
Bench
- 23
-
7
Yuki Soma ↑ 58'
- 2
- 13
-
9
Shota Fujio ↑ 81'
-
6
Hiroki Mochizuki ↑ 58'
-
49
Kanji Kuwayama ↑ 90'
-
90
Se-hun Oh ↑ 46'
- 22
Coach
Go Kuroda
Fagiano Okayama FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 49
-
43
Yoshitake Suzuki ↓ Kota Kudo 60'
- 18
-
22
Kazunari Ichimi ↓ Lucao 46'
-
8
Ataru Esaka ↓ Takahiro Yanagi 78'
- 26
-
14
Ryo Tabei ↓ Yuta Kamiya 31'
- 4
-
19
Hiroto Iwabuchi ↓ Takaya Kimura 60'
- 3
- 17
Bench
- 77
-
88
Takahiro Yanagi ↑ 78'
- 28
-
33
Yuta Kamiya ↑ 31'
-
15
Kota Kudo ↑ 60'
- 98
-
27
Takaya Kimura ↑ 60'
-
99
Lucao ↑ 46'
- 16
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kazunari Ichimi | 1 |
| Takaya Kimura | 1 |
| Gen Shoji | 1 |
| Yuki Soma | 1 |
| Mitchell Duke | 1 |
Head to Head
FC Machida Zelvia Form
2025-09-27
FC Machida Zelvia
1–0
Fagiano Okayama FC
W
2025-09-23
Kyōto Sanga FC
1–1
FC Machida Zelvia
D
2025-09-12
FC Machida Zelvia
1–1
Yokohama FC
D
2025-08-31
Kawasaki Frontale
5–3
FC Machida Zelvia
L
2025-08-23
Yokohama F·Marinos
0–0
FC Machida Zelvia
D
2025-08-20
FC Machida Zelvia
3–1
Gamba Osaka
W
Fagiano Okayama FC Form
2025-09-27
FC Machida Zelvia
1–0
Fagiano Okayama FC
L
2025-09-23
Fagiano Okayama FC
0–0
Yokohama FC
D
2025-09-20
Tōkyō Verdy
4–2
Fagiano Okayama FC
L
2025-09-13
Fagiano Okayama FC
0–1
Nagoya Grampus
L
2025-08-30
Kyōto Sanga FC
5–0
Fagiano Okayama FC
L
2025-08-23
Fagiano Okayama FC
1–0
Shonan Bellmare
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
2.57
FC Machida Zelvia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.31
Fagiano Okayama FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 73% + Both teams to score 67%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Machida Zelvia win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.88
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 2.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 3.5 | 53% |
|
47% |
| ± 4.5 | 34% |
|
66% |
Double Chance
FC Machida Zelvia or Draw
82%
Draw or Fagiano Okayama FC
38%
FC Machida Zelvia or Fagiano Okayama FC
80%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
8.7%
1 – 1
7.7%
3 – 1
7.3%
2 – 0
6.9%
3 – 0
5.8%
2 – 2
5.6%
1 – 0
Actual
3 – 2
4.8%
4 – 1
4.7%
1 – 2
4.5%
4 – 0
3.7%
0 – 0
3.2%
Asian Handicap — FC Machida Zelvia
| Handicap | FC Machida Zelvia covers | Push | Fagiano Okayama FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| -2 | 25% | 18% | 57% |
| -1.5 | 43% | — | 57% |
| -1 | 43% | 20% | 37% |
| -0.5 | 63% | — | 37% |
| +0.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +1 | 83% | 10% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
FC Machida Zelvia keeps clean sheet
28%
✗
Fagiano Okayama FC keeps clean sheet
8%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

