Sunday , 15 November 2026

Wellington Phoenix FC vs Adelaide United FC, A League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

A League · 2025-26
Sun 11 Jan 2026 · 02:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Wellington Phoenix FC vs Adelaide United FC — A League .

Match Details

  • Referee Lachlan Keevers
  • Referee

Recent Form

Season Stats

Wellington Phoenix FC Adelaide United FC
#1 Position #12
10 Points 1
4 Played 3
3 / 1 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 1 / 2
7 Scored 3
1 Conceded 8
+6 GD -5
2.50 PPG 0.33
75% Win % 0%

Key Stats

82% Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)
59% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
75% Clean Sheets
Wellington Phoenix FC this season
0% Clean Sheets
Adelaide United FC this season

Wellington Phoenix FC are 1st (10 pts). Adelaide United FC are 12th (1 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Wellington Phoenix FC
0-15
2/–
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/–
46-60
2/–
61-75
–/–
76+
3/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Adelaide United FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/2
31-45
1/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
–/4
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Wellington Phoenix FC
Corban Piper 3 G
Riley Bidois 2 G
Nathan Walker 1 G 1 A
Rafael Duran 1 G
Adelaide United FC
Brody Burkitt 2 G
Joey Garuccio 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Wellington Phoenix FC Lineups

Adelaide United FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.86 Wellington Phoenix FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.03 Adelaide United FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 73% + Wellington Phoenix FC to win 65%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Wellington Phoenix FC65% Draw19% Adelaide United FC16%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 3.89
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 89%
11%
± 2.5 73%
27%
± 3.5 53%
47%
± 4.5 34%
66%

Double Chance

Wellington Phoenix FC or Draw
84%
Draw or Adelaide United FC
35%
Wellington Phoenix FC or Adelaide United FC
81%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Wellington Phoenix FC55% Draw34% Adelaide United FC11%
Actual: Adelaide United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
8.5%
2 – 1
8.5%
3 – 1
7.9%
3 – 0
7.8%
1 – 1
6.8%
1 – 0
5.8%
4 – 1
5.7%
4 – 0
5.5%
2 – 2
Actual
3 – 2
4.1%
5 – 1
3.3%
5 – 0
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Wellington Phoenix FC

Handicap Wellington Phoenix FC covers Push Adelaide United FC covers
-2.5 34% — 66%
-2 34% 20% 46%
-1.5 54% — 46%
-1 54% 20% 27%
-0.5 73% — 27%
+0.5 89% — 11%
+1 89% 7% 4%
+1.5 96% — 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Wellington Phoenix FC keeps clean sheet
36% ✓
Adelaide United FC keeps clean sheet
7% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.