Middlesbrough FC vs Watford FC, Championship 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Middlesbrough FC vs Watford FC — Championship at Riverside.
- Middlesbrough FC 10 games · 21 pts (2026/27)
- Watford FC 10 games · 8 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee James Bell
- Referee Keith Stroud
- Assistant 1 Ian Cooper
- Assistant 2 Rob Hyde (England)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea City AFC | 10 | 23 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough FC | 10 | 21 |
| 3 | West Ham United FC | 10 | 19 |
| 4 | Birmingham City FC | 10 | 17 |
| 5 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 10 | 17 |
| 6 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 10 | 17 |
| 7 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 10 | 17 |
| 8 | Southampton FC | 10 | 16 |
| 9 | Stoke City FC | 10 | 16 |
| 10 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 10 | 15 |
| 11 | Millwall FC | 10 | 14 |
| 12 | Bristol City FC | 10 | 14 |
| 13 | Charlton Athletic FC | 10 | 14 |
| 14 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 10 | 13 |
| 15 | Sheffield United FC | 10 | 12 |
| 16 | Portsmouth FC | 9 | 11 |
| 17 | Wrexham AFC | 10 | 11 |
| 18 | Lincoln City FC | 10 | 11 |
| 19 | Cardiff City FC | 10 | 10 |
| 20 | Norwich City FC | 10 | 9 |
| 21 | Burnley FC | 11 | 8 |
| 22 | Watford FC | 10 | 8 |
| 23 | Derby County FC | 10 | 6 |
| 24 | Preston North End FC | 10 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May | Watford FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 27 Apr | Cardiff City FC | A | 4–1 | W |
| 22 Apr | Leeds United FC | H | 3–4 | L |
| 13 Apr | Ipswich Town FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 10 Apr | Hull City AFC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 06 Apr | Swansea City AFC | H | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May | Middlesbrough FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 27 Apr | Sunderland AFC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Apr | Hull City AFC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 13 Apr | Southampton FC | A | 2–3 | L |
| 10 Apr | Ipswich Town FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 06 Apr | Preston North End FC | H | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| Middlesbrough FC | Watford FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #2 | Position | #22 |
| 21 | Points | 8 |
| 10 | Played | 10 |
| 6 / 3 / 1 | W / D / L | 2 / 2 / 6 |
| 20 | Scored | 8 |
| 14 | Conceded | 19 |
| +6 | GD | -11 |
| 2.10 | PPG | 0.80 |
| 60% | Win % | 20% |
Key Stats
60%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
20%
Clean Sheets
Middlesbrough FC this season
Middlesbrough FC this season
0%
Clean Sheets
Watford FC this season
Watford FC this season
Middlesbrough FC are 2nd (21 pts). Watford FC are 22nd (8 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Middlesbrough FC
0-15
3/3
16-30
2/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
4/4
61-75
4/3
76+
5/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Watford FC
0-15
2/4
16-30
2/4
31-45
–/5
46-60
–/2
61-75
1/–
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Middlesbrough FC
| William Lankshear | 8 G |
Watford FC
| Amin Nabizada | 3 G |
| Iker Bravo | 1 G |
| Luca Kjerrumgaard | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' That's the starting whistle at Riverside. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Middlesbrough FC and Watford FC.
- 5' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 10' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 15' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 20' Matthew Pollock catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 20.
- 25' Supporters expect more eagerness from Matthew Pollock, as he is very good at scoring at Riverside with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 28' Magnificent from Emmanuel Latte Lath! That is 35 goals in 530 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 33' The referee calls foul for Finn Azaz. He receives a card.
- 38' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 43' Middlesbrough FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Watford FC backline.
- 46' James Morris is ready to make an impact after coming on for Ken Sema at the 46 minute mark.
- 51' Middlesbrough FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 55' The crowd applauds Mileta Rajovic as he leaves the pitch. Matheus Martins steps in for Watford FC.
- 60' Watford FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 65' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 66' Daniel Barlaser gets the nod from Middlesbrough FC. He replaces Jonny Howson and will look to change the dynamic.
- 71' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 72' Another change for Middlesbrough FC made on 72 minute. Alex Gilbert leaves to be changed by Sam Greenwood.
- 73' Goal! Wesley Hoedt scores his 12 goal in 356 matches.
- 78' What a strike from Alex Bangura! The score is 2-1.
- 79' It is a substitution in Watford FC team. Matthew Pollock is replaced by Jack Grieves on 79 minute.
- 84' Brilliant from the ! Isaiah Jones makes it 3-1 with a superb finish on 84.
- 89' Congo DR international Edo Kayembe has been a key figure this campaign — 1 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 90' The Middlesbrough FC bench stirs into life. Luke Ayling is withdrawn and James Wilson gets his opportunity.
- Game over. The scoreline of 3-1 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.
Lineups
Middlesbrough FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 5
-
12
Luke Ayling ↓ James Wilson 90'
- 1
- 9
- 11
-
33
Luke Thomas ↓ Alex Bangura 66'
- 20
- 3
-
14
Alex Gilbert ↓ Sam Greenwood 72'
-
16
Jonny Howson ↓ Daniel Barlaser 66'
-
49
Law McCabe ↓ Lewis O'Brien 72'
Bench
-
28
Lewis O'Brien ↑ 72'
- 15
-
4
Daniel Barlaser ↑ 66'
-
24
Alex Bangura ↑ 66'
-
29
Sam Greenwood ↑ 72'
- 19
- 18
- 51
-
56
James Wilson ↑ 90'
Coach
Michael Carrick
Watford FC Lineups
3-4-3Starting XI
-
12
Ken Sema ↓ James Morris 46'
- 4
- 3
- 1
- 39
- 19
-
15
Matthew Pollock ↓ Jack Grieves 79'
- 11
- 18
-
45
Ryan Andrews ↓ Albert Eames 90'
- 9
Bench
- 26
- 8
-
37
Matheus Martins ↑ 55'
-
42
James Morris ↑ 46'
-
59
Jack Grieves ↑ 79'
- –
-
–
Albert Eames ↑ 90'
-
58
Zavier Massiah-Edwards ↑ 90'
- –
Coach
Tom Cleverley
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Ismaila Sarr | 3 |
| Tommy Conway | 2 |
| Wesley Hoedt | 2 |
| Vakoun Issouf Bayo | 2 |
| Riley McGree | 2 |
| Morgan Whittaker | 2 |
| James Abankwah | 1 |
| Emmanuel Latte Lath | 1 |
Head to Head
Middlesbrough FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.7
Middlesbrough FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.06
Watford FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 71% + Middlesbrough FC to win 68%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Middlesbrough FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.76
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 2.5 | 71% |
|
29% |
| ± 3.5 | 51% |
|
49% |
| ± 4.5 | 32% |
|
68% |
Double Chance
Middlesbrough FC or Draw
86%
Draw or Watford FC
32%
Middlesbrough FC or Watford FC
82%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Middlesbrough FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
8.8%
2 – 0
8.6%
3 – 1
Actual
3 – 0
7.5%
1 – 1
7.4%
1 – 0
6.1%
4 – 1
5.3%
4 – 0
5%
2 – 2
4.6%
3 – 2
4.1%
1 – 2
3.5%
0 – 0
3.5%
Asian Handicap — Middlesbrough FC
| Handicap | Middlesbrough FC covers | Push | Watford FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 30% | — | 70% |
| -2 | 30% | 20% | 50% |
| -1.5 | 50% | — | 50% |
| -1 | 50% | 20% | 29% |
| -0.5 | 71% | — | 29% |
| +0.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +1 | 88% | 8% | 4% |
| +1.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
| +2 | 96% | 3% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet
35%
✓
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
8%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

