Middlesbrough FC vs Watford FC, Championship 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Middlesbrough FC vs Watford FC — Championship at Riverside.
- Middlesbrough FC 15 games · 29 pts (2026/27)
- Watford FC 15 games · 15 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee James Bell
- Referee Keith Stroud
- Assistant 1 Ian Cooper
- Assistant 2 Rob Hyde (England)
5 games this season
🟨 4.0/game
⚽ 8.2 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Birmingham City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough FC | 15 | 29 |
| 3 | Stoke City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 15 | 28 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 15 | 28 |
| 6 | Swansea City AFC | 15 | 26 |
| 7 | Southampton FC | 15 | 24 |
| 8 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 15 | 24 |
| 9 | West Ham United FC | 15 | 23 |
| 10 | Sheffield United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 11 | Portsmouth FC | 15 | 22 |
| 12 | Norwich City FC | 15 | 21 |
| 13 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 15 | 21 |
| 14 | Cardiff City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 15 | Wrexham AFC | 15 | 18 |
| 16 | Millwall FC | 15 | 18 |
| 17 | Bristol City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 18 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 15 | 17 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 15 | 17 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 15 | 15 |
| 21 | Lincoln City FC | 15 | 15 |
| 22 | Burnley FC | 15 | 10 |
| 23 | Derby County FC | 15 | 10 |
| 24 | Preston North End FC | 15 | 8 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May | Watford FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 27 Apr | Cardiff City FC | A | 4–1 | W |
| 22 Apr | Leeds United FC | H | 3–4 | L |
| 13 Apr | Ipswich Town FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 10 Apr | Hull City AFC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 06 Apr | Swansea City AFC | H | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May | Middlesbrough FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 27 Apr | Sunderland AFC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Apr | Hull City AFC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 13 Apr | Southampton FC | A | 2–3 | L |
| 10 Apr | Ipswich Town FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 06 Apr | Preston North End FC | H | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| Middlesbrough FC | Watford FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #2 | Position | #20 |
| 29 | Points | 15 |
| 15 | Played | 15 |
| 8 / 5 / 2 | W / D / L | 4 / 3 / 8 |
| 30 | Scored | 13 |
| 19 | Conceded | 23 |
| +11 | GD | -10 |
| 1.93 | PPG | 1.00 |
| 53% | Win % | 27% |
Key Stats
55%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
H2H (11 games)
55%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
27%
Clean Sheets
Middlesbrough FC this season
Middlesbrough FC this season
20%
Clean Sheets
Watford FC this season
Watford FC this season
Middlesbrough FC are 2nd (29 pts). Watford FC are 20th (15 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Middlesbrough FC
0-15
5/3
16-30
2/1
31-45
4/3
46-60
5/4
61-75
6/4
76+
7/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Watford FC
0-15
3/4
16-30
3/4
31-45
–/6
46-60
2/3
61-75
1/2
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Middlesbrough FC
| William Lankshear | 13 G | |
| Amario Cozier-Duberry | 3 G | 4 A |
Watford FC
| Amin Nabizada | 3 G |
| Iker Bravo | 1 G |
| Luca Kjerrumgaard | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Riverside. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 10' Middlesbrough FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 15' Finn Azaz has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 3 goals this season.
- 20' That is a card for Watford FC. Matthew Pollock will be fuming at that decision.
- 25' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 25 minutes.
- 28' Emmanuel Latte Lath doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 33' Controversy at the stadium! Finn Azaz argues furiously but the card stands.
- 38' Watford FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 43' Middlesbrough FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Watford FC backline.
- 46' Watford FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. James Morris is hanging Ken Sema on the field on 46 minute.
- 51' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Tom Cleverley will be considering his options from the bench.
- 55' Matheus Martins has so much to prove this time. He replaces Mileta Rajovic on 55 minute.
- 60' The home supporters are growing impatient. Middlesbrough FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 65' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 66' The whistle greets Jonny Howson as he departs to be replaced by Daniel Barlaser.
- 71' Watford FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 72' The Middlesbrough FC bench stirs into life. Alex Gilbert is withdrawn and Sam Greenwood gets his opportunity.
- 73' Wesley Hoedt doubles the advantage! 1-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 78' Against the run of play, Alex Bangura has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 79' It is a substitution in Watford FC team. Matthew Pollock is replaced by Jack Grieves on 79 minute.
- 84' What a strike from Isaiah Jones! The score is 3-1.
- 89' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 90' A tactical swap from Middlesbrough FC — James Wilson on, Luke Ayling off on 90 minutes.
- Watford FC will have plenty to reflect on. Middlesbrough FC were simply the better side today.
Lineups
Middlesbrough FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 5
-
12
Luke Ayling ↓ James Wilson 90'
- 1
- 9
- 11
-
33
Luke Thomas ↓ Alex Bangura 66'
- 20
- 3
-
14
Alex Gilbert ↓ Sam Greenwood 72'
-
16
Jonny Howson ↓ Daniel Barlaser 66'
-
49
Law McCabe ↓ Lewis O'Brien 72'
Bench
-
28
Lewis O'Brien ↑ 72'
- 15
-
4
Daniel Barlaser ↑ 66'
-
24
Alex Bangura ↑ 66'
-
29
Sam Greenwood ↑ 72'
- 19
- 18
- 51
-
56
James Wilson ↑ 90'
Coach
Michael Carrick
Watford FC Lineups
3-4-3Starting XI
-
12
Ken Sema ↓ James Morris 46'
- 4
- 3
- 1
- 39
- 19
-
15
Matthew Pollock ↓ Jack Grieves 79'
- 11
- 18
-
45
Ryan Andrews ↓ Albert Eames 90'
- 9
Bench
- 26
- 8
-
37
Matheus Martins ↑ 55'
-
42
James Morris ↑ 46'
-
59
Jack Grieves ↑ 79'
- –
-
–
Albert Eames ↑ 90'
-
58
Zavier Massiah-Edwards ↑ 90'
- –
Coach
Tom Cleverley
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Ismaila Sarr | 3 |
| Vakoun Issouf Bayo | 2 |
| Riley McGree | 2 |
| Morgan Whittaker | 2 |
| Tommy Conway | 2 |
| Wesley Hoedt | 2 |
| George Edmundson | 1 |
| Rodrigo Muniz | 1 |
Head to Head
Middlesbrough FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.4
Middlesbrough FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.05
Watford FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 66% + Middlesbrough FC to win 64%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Middlesbrough FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.45
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 2.5 | 66% |
|
34% |
| ± 3.5 | 45% |
|
55% |
| ± 4.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
Double Chance
Middlesbrough FC or Draw
84%
Draw or Watford FC
36%
Middlesbrough FC or Watford FC
80%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Middlesbrough FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
9.3%
2 – 0
9.2%
1 – 1
8.8%
3 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
7.3%
3 – 0
7.1%
2 – 2
4.8%
0 – 0
4.5%
4 – 1
4.5%
4 – 0
4.3%
1 – 2
4.1%
3 – 2
3.9%
Asian Handicap — Middlesbrough FC
| Handicap | Middlesbrough FC covers | Push | Watford FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| -2 | 25% | 19% | 56% |
| -1.5 | 44% | — | 56% |
| -1 | 44% | 21% | 34% |
| -0.5 | 66% | — | 34% |
| +0.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +1 | 86% | 9% | 5% |
| +1.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
| +2 | 95% | 4% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet
36%
✓
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
10%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

