Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Middlesbrough FC vs Watford FC, Championship 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2023-24
Sat 4 May 2024 · 11:30 UTC Riverside 28,289 HT 45' · FT 45'
1–1 73' Wesley Hoedt
Alex Bangura 78' 2–1
Isaiah Jones 84' 3–1

Overview

Match Preview

Middlesbrough FC vs Watford FC — Championship at Riverside.

Match Details

  • Referee James Bell
  • Referee Keith Stroud
  • Assistant 1 Ian Cooper
  • Assistant 2 Rob Hyde (England)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 May Watford FC H 3–1 W
27 Apr Cardiff City FC A 4–1 W
22 Apr Leeds United FC H 3–4 L
13 Apr Ipswich Town FC A 1–1 D
10 Apr Hull City AFC A 2–2 D
06 Apr Swansea City AFC H 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 May Middlesbrough FC A 1–3 L
27 Apr Sunderland AFC H 1–0 W
20 Apr Hull City AFC H 0–0 D
13 Apr Southampton FC A 2–3 L
10 Apr Ipswich Town FC A 0–0 D
06 Apr Preston North End FC H 0–0 D

Season Stats

Middlesbrough FC Watford FC
#3 Position #20
15 Points 8
8 Played 8
4 / 3 / 1 W / D / L 2 / 2 / 4
16 Scored 7
12 Conceded 10
+4 GD -3
1.88 PPG 1.00
50% Win % 25%

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
13% Clean Sheets
Middlesbrough FC this season
0% Clean Sheets
Watford FC this season

Middlesbrough FC are 3rd (15 pts). Watford FC are 20th (8 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Middlesbrough FC
0-15
3/3
16-30
2/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
2/4
61-75
3/3
76+
4/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Watford FC
0-15
2/2
16-30
2/2
31-45
–/3
46-60
–/2
61-75
1/–
76+
2/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Middlesbrough FC
William Lankshear 6 G
Watford FC
Amin Nabizada 3 G
Iker Bravo 1 G
Luca Kjerrumgaard 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at Riverside. Middlesbrough FC are looking to make home advantage count against Watford FC.
  • 5' Law McCabe has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 10' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 15' Jonny Howson has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 20' Watford FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 20.
  • 25' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Middlesbrough FC and Watford FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 28' Magnificent from Emmanuel Latte Lath! That is 35 goals in 527 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 33' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Finn Azaz.
  • 38' It looks surprising Watford FC does not make any changes. Yaser Asprilla has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 43' Jack Grieves needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 46' The supporters are chanting for James Morris. He replaces Ken Sema on 46 minute.
  • 51' Netherlands international Rav van den Berg has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 55' The whistle greets Mileta Rajovic as he departs to be replaced by Matheus Martins.
  • 60' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 65' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 66' Daniel Barlaser is replacing Jonny Howson for the Middlesbrough FC side.
  • 71' The home supporters are growing impatient. Middlesbrough FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 72' Sam Greenwood has so much to prove this time. He replaces Alex Gilbert on 72 minute.
  • 73' Assisted by Yaser Asprilla with the perfectly-timed delivery and Wesley Hoedt makes no mistake. 1-1!
  • 78' The deadlock is broken! Alex Bangura gets on the scoresheet on 78 minutes.
  • 79' The crowd applauds Matthew Pollock as he leaves the pitch. Jack Grieves steps in for Watford FC.
  • 84' What a moment for Isaiah Jones! That strike on 84 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 89' Watford FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 90' Luke Ayling makes way for James Wilson at the 90 minute mark. A tactical switch from Middlesbrough FC.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 3-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.19 Middlesbrough FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.13 Watford FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 63% + Middlesbrough FC to win 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Middlesbrough FC60% Draw22% Watford FC18%
Actual: Middlesbrough FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 3.32
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 63%
37%
± 3.5 42%
58%
± 4.5 24%
76%

Double Chance

Middlesbrough FC or Draw
82%
Draw or Watford FC
40%
Middlesbrough FC or Watford FC
78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Middlesbrough FC44% Draw40% Watford FC16%
Actual: Middlesbrough FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.8%
2 – 1
9.5%
2 – 0
8.7%
1 – 0
7.4%
3 – 1
Actual
3 – 0
6.2%
2 – 2
5.3%
0 – 0
5.1%
1 – 2
4.9%
3 – 2
3.9%
4 – 1
3.8%
0 – 1
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Middlesbrough FC

Handicap Middlesbrough FC covers Push Watford FC covers
-2.5 20% — 80%
-2 20% 18% 62%
-1.5 38% — 62%
-1 38% 22% 40%
-0.5 60% — 40%
+0.5 82% — 18%
+1 82% 11% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet
33% ✓
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
12% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.