Middlesbrough FC vs Watford FC, Championship 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Middlesbrough FC vs Watford FC — Championship at Riverside.
- Middlesbrough FC 46 games · 80 pts (2026/27)
- Watford FC 46 games · 57 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee James Bell
- Referee Keith Stroud
- Assistant 1 Ian Cooper
- Assistant 2 Rob Hyde (England)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry City FC | 46 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich Town FC | 46 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall FC | 46 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton FC | 46 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough FC | 46 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull City AFC | 46 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham AFC | 46 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby County FC | 46 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich City FC | 46 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 46 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea City AFC | 46 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City FC | 46 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield United FC | 46 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston North End FC | 46 | 60 |
| 15 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 46 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford FC | 46 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke City FC | 46 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth FC | 46 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 46 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 46 | 52 |
| 21 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 46 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford United FC | 46 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester City FC | 46 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 46 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May | Watford FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 27 Apr | Cardiff City FC | A | 4–1 | W |
| 22 Apr | Leeds United FC | H | 3–4 | L |
| 13 Apr | Ipswich Town FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 10 Apr | Hull City AFC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 06 Apr | Swansea City AFC | H | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May | Middlesbrough FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 27 Apr | Sunderland AFC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Apr | Hull City AFC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 13 Apr | Southampton FC | A | 2–3 | L |
| 10 Apr | Ipswich Town FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 06 Apr | Preston North End FC | H | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| Middlesbrough FC | Watford FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #16 |
| 80 | Points | 57 |
| 46 | Played | 46 |
| 22 / 14 / 10 | W / D / L | 14 / 15 / 17 |
| 72 | Scored | 53 |
| 47 | Conceded | 65 |
| +25 | GD | -12 |
| 1.74 | PPG | 1.24 |
| 48% | Win % | 30% |
Key Stats
60%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Middlesbrough FC are 5th (80 pts). Watford FC are 16th (57 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' Three points are at stake. Middlesbrough FC host Watford FC — let the battle begin!
- 5' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 10' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 15' Isaiah Jones is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Middlesbrough FC tonight.
- 20' A meaty challenge results in booking for Matthew Pollock on 20.
- 25' The travelling Watford FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 28' Brilliant from the ! Emmanuel Latte Lath makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 28.
- 33' The referee has no hesitation. Finn Azaz is booked for Middlesbrough FC — card on 33.
- 38' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 43' Edo Kayembe is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Watford FC so far.
- 46' A change in the Watford FC ranks — Ken Sema exits the field as James Morris enters on 46.
- 51' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Watford FC that had 358 games and scored 391 goals.
- 55' Watford FC make a change. Mileta Rajovic trudges off to be replaced by Matheus Martins on 55 minutes.
- 60' Mileta Rajovic needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 65' Watford FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 66' The supporters are chanting for Daniel Barlaser. He replaces Jonny Howson on 66 minute.
- 71' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 72' Middlesbrough FC make a change. Alex Gilbert trudges off to be replaced by Sam Greenwood on 72 minutes.
- 73' What composure from Wesley Hoedt! The Netherlands international strokes it home. 1-1.
- 78' Brilliant from the ! Alex Bangura makes it 2-1 with a superb finish on 78.
- 79' Jack Grieves gets the nod from Watford FC. He replaces Matthew Pollock and will look to change the dynamic.
- 84' What a strike from Isaiah Jones! The score is 3-1.
- 89' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 90' James Wilson gets the nod from Middlesbrough FC. He replaces Luke Ayling and will look to change the dynamic.
- Another three points for Middlesbrough FC.
Lineups
Middlesbrough FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 5
-
12
Luke Ayling ↓ James Wilson 90'
- 1
- 9
- 11
-
33
Luke Thomas ↓ Alex Bangura 66'
- 20
- 3
-
14
Alex Gilbert ↓ Sam Greenwood 72'
-
16
Jonny Howson ↓ Daniel Barlaser 66'
-
49
Law McCabe ↓ Lewis O'Brien 72'
Bench
-
28
Lewis O'Brien ↑ 72'
- 15
-
4
Daniel Barlaser ↑ 66'
-
24
Alex Bangura ↑ 66'
-
29
Sam Greenwood ↑ 72'
- 19
- 18
- 51
-
56
James Wilson ↑ 90'
Coach
Michael Carrick
Watford FC Lineups
3-4-3Starting XI
-
12
Ken Sema ↓ James Morris 46'
- 4
- 3
- 1
- 39
- 19
-
15
Matthew Pollock ↓ Jack Grieves 79'
- 11
- 18
-
45
Ryan Andrews ↓ Albert Eames 90'
- 9
Bench
- 26
- 8
-
37
Matheus Martins ↑ 55'
-
42
James Morris ↑ 46'
-
59
Jack Grieves ↑ 79'
- –
-
–
Albert Eames ↑ 90'
-
58
Zavier Massiah-Edwards ↑ 90'
- –
Coach
Tom Cleverley
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Ismaila Sarr | 3 |
| Vakoun Issouf Bayo | 2 |
| Riley McGree | 2 |
| Morgan Whittaker | 2 |
| Tommy Conway | 2 |
| Wesley Hoedt | 2 |
| Rodrigo Muniz | 1 |
| Edo Kayembe | 1 |
Head to Head
Middlesbrough FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.18
Middlesbrough FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.13
Watford FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 63% + Middlesbrough FC to win 60%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Middlesbrough FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.31
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 2.5 | 63% |
|
37% |
| ± 3.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
| ± 4.5 | 24% |
|
76% |
Double Chance
Middlesbrough FC or Draw
82%
Draw or Watford FC
40%
Middlesbrough FC or Watford FC
78%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Middlesbrough FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.8%
2 – 1
9.5%
2 – 0
8.7%
1 – 0
7.5%
3 – 1
Actual
3 – 0
6.1%
2 – 2
5.3%
0 – 0
5.1%
1 – 2
4.9%
3 – 2
3.9%
4 – 1
3.8%
0 – 1
3.5%
Asian Handicap — Middlesbrough FC
| Handicap | Middlesbrough FC covers | Push | Watford FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -2 | 20% | 18% | 62% |
| -1.5 | 38% | — | 62% |
| -1 | 38% | 22% | 40% |
| -0.5 | 60% | — | 40% |
| +0.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
| +1 | 82% | 11% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet
33%
✓
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
12%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.