Middlesbrough FC vs Watford FC, Championship 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Middlesbrough FC vs Watford FC — Championship at Riverside.
- Middlesbrough FC 8 games · 15 pts (2026/27)
- Watford FC 8 games · 8 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee James Bell
- Referee Keith Stroud
- Assistant 1 Ian Cooper
- Assistant 2 Rob Hyde (England)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea City AFC | 8 | 17 |
| 2 | West Ham United FC | 8 | 15 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough FC | 8 | 15 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 7 | 14 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 8 | 14 |
| 6 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 8 | 13 |
| 7 | Stoke City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 8 | Bristol City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 9 | Charlton Athletic FC | 8 | 12 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 11 | Millwall FC | 8 | 11 |
| 12 | Lincoln City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 13 | Southampton FC | 8 | 10 |
| 14 | Wrexham AFC | 8 | 10 |
| 15 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 8 | 10 |
| 16 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 8 | 9 |
| 17 | Norwich City FC | 8 | 9 |
| 18 | Sheffield United FC | 8 | 9 |
| 19 | Portsmouth FC | 7 | 8 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 8 | 8 |
| 21 | Cardiff City FC | 8 | 7 |
| 22 | Derby County FC | 8 | 5 |
| 23 | Preston North End FC | 8 | 4 |
| 24 | Burnley FC | 8 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May | Watford FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 27 Apr | Cardiff City FC | A | 4–1 | W |
| 22 Apr | Leeds United FC | H | 3–4 | L |
| 13 Apr | Ipswich Town FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 10 Apr | Hull City AFC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 06 Apr | Swansea City AFC | H | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May | Middlesbrough FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 27 Apr | Sunderland AFC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Apr | Hull City AFC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 13 Apr | Southampton FC | A | 2–3 | L |
| 10 Apr | Ipswich Town FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 06 Apr | Preston North End FC | H | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| Middlesbrough FC | Watford FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #20 |
| 15 | Points | 8 |
| 8 | Played | 8 |
| 4 / 3 / 1 | W / D / L | 2 / 2 / 4 |
| 16 | Scored | 7 |
| 12 | Conceded | 10 |
| +4 | GD | -3 |
| 1.88 | PPG | 1.00 |
| 50% | Win % | 25% |
Key Stats
60%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
13%
Clean Sheets
Middlesbrough FC this season
Middlesbrough FC this season
0%
Clean Sheets
Watford FC this season
Watford FC this season
Middlesbrough FC are 3rd (15 pts). Watford FC are 20th (8 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Middlesbrough FC
0-15
3/3
16-30
2/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
2/4
61-75
3/3
76+
4/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Watford FC
0-15
2/2
16-30
2/2
31-45
–/3
46-60
–/2
61-75
1/–
76+
2/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Middlesbrough FC
| William Lankshear | 6 G |
Watford FC
| Amin Nabizada | 3 G |
| Iker Bravo | 1 G |
| Luca Kjerrumgaard | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The ball is rolling at Riverside. Middlesbrough FC are looking to make home advantage count against Watford FC.
- 5' Law McCabe has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 10' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 15' Jonny Howson has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 20' Watford FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 20.
- 25' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Middlesbrough FC and Watford FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 28' Magnificent from Emmanuel Latte Lath! That is 35 goals in 527 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 33' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Finn Azaz.
- 38' It looks surprising Watford FC does not make any changes. Yaser Asprilla has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 43' Jack Grieves needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 46' The supporters are chanting for James Morris. He replaces Ken Sema on 46 minute.
- 51' Netherlands international Rav van den Berg has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 55' The whistle greets Mileta Rajovic as he departs to be replaced by Matheus Martins.
- 60' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 65' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 66' Daniel Barlaser is replacing Jonny Howson for the Middlesbrough FC side.
- 71' The home supporters are growing impatient. Middlesbrough FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 72' Sam Greenwood has so much to prove this time. He replaces Alex Gilbert on 72 minute.
- 73' Assisted by Yaser Asprilla with the perfectly-timed delivery and Wesley Hoedt makes no mistake. 1-1!
- 78' The deadlock is broken! Alex Bangura gets on the scoresheet on 78 minutes.
- 79' The crowd applauds Matthew Pollock as he leaves the pitch. Jack Grieves steps in for Watford FC.
- 84' What a moment for Isaiah Jones! That strike on 84 puts his side firmly in control.
- 89' Watford FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 90' Luke Ayling makes way for James Wilson at the 90 minute mark. A tactical switch from Middlesbrough FC.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 3-1.
Lineups
Middlesbrough FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 5
-
12
Luke Ayling ↓ James Wilson 90'
- 1
- 9
- 11
-
33
Luke Thomas ↓ Alex Bangura 66'
- 20
- 3
-
14
Alex Gilbert ↓ Sam Greenwood 72'
-
16
Jonny Howson ↓ Daniel Barlaser 66'
-
49
Law McCabe ↓ Lewis O'Brien 72'
Bench
-
28
Lewis O'Brien ↑ 72'
- 15
-
4
Daniel Barlaser ↑ 66'
-
24
Alex Bangura ↑ 66'
-
29
Sam Greenwood ↑ 72'
- 19
- 18
- 51
-
56
James Wilson ↑ 90'
Coach
Michael Carrick
Watford FC Lineups
3-4-3Starting XI
-
12
Ken Sema ↓ James Morris 46'
- 4
- 3
- 1
- 39
- 19
-
15
Matthew Pollock ↓ Jack Grieves 79'
- 11
- 18
-
45
Ryan Andrews ↓ Albert Eames 90'
- 9
Bench
- 26
- 8
-
37
Matheus Martins ↑ 55'
-
42
James Morris ↑ 46'
-
59
Jack Grieves ↑ 79'
- –
-
–
Albert Eames ↑ 90'
-
58
Zavier Massiah-Edwards ↑ 90'
- –
Coach
Tom Cleverley
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Ismaila Sarr | 3 |
| Vakoun Issouf Bayo | 2 |
| Riley McGree | 2 |
| Morgan Whittaker | 2 |
| Tommy Conway | 2 |
| Wesley Hoedt | 2 |
| George Edmundson | 1 |
| Rodrigo Muniz | 1 |
Head to Head
Middlesbrough FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.19
Middlesbrough FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.13
Watford FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 63% + Middlesbrough FC to win 60%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Middlesbrough FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.32
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 2.5 | 63% |
|
37% |
| ± 3.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
| ± 4.5 | 24% |
|
76% |
Double Chance
Middlesbrough FC or Draw
82%
Draw or Watford FC
40%
Middlesbrough FC or Watford FC
78%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Middlesbrough FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.8%
2 – 1
9.5%
2 – 0
8.7%
1 – 0
7.4%
3 – 1
Actual
3 – 0
6.2%
2 – 2
5.3%
0 – 0
5.1%
1 – 2
4.9%
3 – 2
3.9%
4 – 1
3.8%
0 – 1
3.4%
Asian Handicap — Middlesbrough FC
| Handicap | Middlesbrough FC covers | Push | Watford FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -2 | 20% | 18% | 62% |
| -1.5 | 38% | — | 62% |
| -1 | 38% | 22% | 40% |
| -0.5 | 60% | — | 40% |
| +0.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
| +1 | 82% | 11% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet
33%
✓
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
12%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

