RB Leipzig vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
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Overview
Match Preview
RB Leipzig vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga .
- RB Leipzig 34 games · 65 pts (2025/26)
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 34 games · 40 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Daniel Schlager
20 games this season 🟨 1.3/game ⚽ 8.3 goals/game 🟥 1 totalStandings
# Team P Pts 1 FC Bayern München 34 89 2 Borussia Dortmund 34 73 3 RB Leipzig 34 65 4 VfB Stuttgart 34 62 5 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 34 61 6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 34 59 7 SC Freiburg 34 47 8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34 44 9 FC Augsburg 34 43 10 1. FSV Mainz 05 34 40 11 1. FC Union Berlin 34 39 12 Borussia Monchengladbach 34 38 13 Hamburger SV 34 38 14 1. FC Koln 34 32 15 SV Werder Bremen 34 32 16 VfL Wolfsburg 34 29 17 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 34 26 18 FC St. Pauli 1910 34 26 Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Date Opponent H/A Score Result 31 Jan 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 1–2 L 27 Jan FC St. Pauli 1910 A 1–1 D 24 Jan 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 3–0 W 17 Jan FC Bayern München H 1–5 L 14 Jan SC Freiburg H 2–0 W 20 Dec Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 1–3 L Date Opponent H/A Score Result 31 Jan RB Leipzig A 2–1 W 24 Jan VfL Wolfsburg H 3–1 W 17 Jan 1. FC Koln A 1–2 L 13 Jan 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 2–1 W 10 Jan 1. FC Union Berlin A 2–2 D 21 Dec FC St. Pauli 1910 H 0–0 D Season Stats
RB Leipzig 1. FSV Mainz 05 #3 Position #10 65 Points 40 34 Played 34 20 / 5 / 9 W / D / L 10 / 10 / 14 66 Scored 44 47 Conceded 53 +19 GD -9 1.91 PPG 1.18 59% Win % 29% Key Stats
55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history32% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season12% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this seasonRB Leipzig are 3rd (65 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 10th (40 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
RB Leipzig0-151/–16-303/331-452/246-602/161-752/176+3/5■ Scored ■ Conceded1. FSV Mainz 050-154/116-301/131-453/146-601/261-75–/176+2/5■ Scored ■ Conceded -
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: 1. FSV Mainz 05 gets underway.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for 1. FSV Mainz 05 players.
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Lineups
RB Leipzig Lineups
1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups
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H2H
H2H Top Scorers
Player Goals Timo Werner 9 Yussuf Poulsen 5 Moussa Niakhate 4 Christopher Nkunku 3 Marcus Ingvartsen 3 Marcel Halstenberg 2 Marcel Sabitzer 2 Karim Onisiwo 2 Head to Head
RB Leipzig Form
1. FSV Mainz 05 Form
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Predictions
Prediction accuracy3 / 41.72 RB Leipzig xGExpected GoalsDixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo1.36 1. FSV Mainz 05 xGI would bet for: RB Leipzig or 1. FSV Mainz 05 73% + Both teams to score 61%Match Result
✗ WrongActual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 winBoth Teams to Score
✓ CorrectAvg goals/match: 3.08Actual: Yes — both scoredOver / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5Line Over Under ± 0.5 94% 6% ± 1.5 81% 19% ± 2.5 58% 42% ± 3.5 37% 63% ± 4.5 20% 80% Double Chance
RB Leipzig or Draw 69%Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05 58%RB Leipzig or 1. FSV Mainz 05 73%Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HTCorrect Score
✓ In top 121 – 1 11.7%2 – 1 8.9%1 – 0 7.2%1 – 2 Actual2 – 0 6.8%0 – 0 6.3%2 – 2 6%0 – 1 5.4%3 – 1 5.1%0 – 2 4.2%3 – 0 3.8%3 – 2 3.5%Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig
Handicap RB Leipzig covers Push 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers -2.5 11% — 89% -2 11% 14% 76% -1.5 24% — 76% -1 24% 20% 55% -0.5 45% — 55% +0.5 71% — 29% +1 71% 16% 13% +1.5 87% — 13% +2 87% 9% 5% +2.5 95% — 5% Clean Sheet
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet 26% ✓1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet 19% ✓Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.