RB Leipzig vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Bundesliga · 2025-26

RB Leipzig

1 – 2

Full Time

1. FSV Mainz 05

Sat 31 Jan 2026 · 14:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

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RB Leipzig vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga .

RB Leipzig 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
1. FSV Mainz 05 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Daniel Schlager

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	VfL Wolfsburg	34	29
2	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	34	26
3	FC St. Pauli 1910	34	26
4	FC Schalke 04	0	0
5	SC Paderborn 07	0	0
6	SV 07 Elversberg	0	0
7	FC Bayern München	0	0
8	Borussia Dortmund	0	0
9	RB Leipzig	0	0
10	VfB Stuttgart	0	0
11	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	0	0
12	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	0	0
13	SC Freiburg	0	0
14	Eintracht Frankfurt	0	0
15	FC Augsburg	0	0
16	1. FSV Mainz 05	0	0
17	1. FC Union Berlin	0	0
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	0	0
19	Hamburger SV	0	0
20	1. FC Köln	0	0
21	SV Werder Bremen	0	0

Head-to-Head

RB Leipzig 20 games · Avg 3.3 goals 1. FSV Mainz 05

Last 5 meetings

2026-01-31 RB Leipzig 1–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 2025-09-13 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–1 RB Leipzig 2025-03-01 RB Leipzig 1–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 2024-10-19 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–2 RB Leipzig 2024-03-30 RB Leipzig 0–0 1. FSV Mainz 05

Recent Form

RB Leipzig

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
31 Jan	1. FSV Mainz 05	H	1–2	L
27 Jan	FC St. Pauli 1910	A	1–1	D
24 Jan	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	A	3–0	W
17 Jan	FC Bayern München	H	1–5	L
14 Jan	SC Freiburg	H	2–0	W
20 Dec	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	H	1–3	L

1. FSV Mainz 05

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
31 Jan	RB Leipzig	A	2–1	W
24 Jan	VfL Wolfsburg	H	3–1	W
17 Jan	1. FC Köln	A	1–2	L
13 Jan	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	H	2–1	W
10 Jan	1. FC Union Berlin	A	2–2	D
21 Dec	FC St. Pauli 1910	H	0–0	D

Season Stats

RB Leipzig		1. FSV Mainz 05
#9	Position	#16
0	Points	0
0	Played	0
0 / 0 / 0	W / D / L	0 / 0 / 0
0	Scored	0
0	Conceded	0
+0	GD	+0
–	PPG	–
–	Win %	–

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)

60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

RB Leipzig are 9th (0 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 16th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — RB Leipzig and 1. FSV Mainz 05 get this one started.
The points are shared — RB Leipzig 1-2 1. FSV Mainz 05. Honours even.

Lineups

RB Leipzig Lineups

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Timo Werner	9
Yussuf Poulsen	5
Moussa Niakhate	4
Christopher Nkunku	3
Marcus Ingvartsen	3
Leandro Barreiro Martins	2
Jean-Philippe Mateta	2
Andre Silva	2

Head to Head

RB Leipzig Form

2026-01-31 RB Leipzig 1–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2026-01-27 FC St. Pauli 1910 1–1 RB Leipzig D 2026-01-24 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 0–3 RB Leipzig W 2026-01-17 RB Leipzig 1–5 FC Bayern München L 2026-01-14 RB Leipzig 2–0 SC Freiburg W 2025-12-20 RB Leipzig 1–3 Bayer 04 Leverkusen L

1. FSV Mainz 05 Form

2026-01-31 RB Leipzig 1–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2026-01-24 1. FSV Mainz 05 3–1 VfL Wolfsburg W 2026-01-17 1. FC Köln 2–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2026-01-13 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–1 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 W 2026-01-10 1. FC Union Berlin 2–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 D 2025-12-21 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–0 FC St. Pauli 1910 D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

1 / 4

0.64 RB Leipzig xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.83 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG

I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 81% + 1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw 73%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

RB Leipzig27% Draw38% 1. FSV Mainz 0535%

Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes29% 0% No71%

Avg goals/match: 1.47

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	74%	26%
± 1.5	44%	56%
± 2.5	19%	81%
± 3.5	7%	93%
± 4.5	2%	98%

Double Chance

RB Leipzig or Draw

65%

Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05

73%

RB Leipzig or 1. FSV Mainz 05

62%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

RB Leipzig15% Draw63% 1. FSV Mainz 0522%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

0 – 0

25.7%

0 – 1

17.4%

1 – 1

13.2%

1 – 0

13.1%

0 – 2

7.3%

1 – 2

Actual

2 – 0

4.3%

2 – 1

3.9%

0 – 3

2 – 2

1.8%

1 – 3

1.5%

3 – 0

0.9%

Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig

Handicap	RB Leipzig covers	Push	1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5	1%	—	99%
-2	1%	5%	93%
-1.5	7%	—	93%
-1	7%	18%	76%
-0.5	24%	—	76%
+0.5	65%	—	35%
+1	65%	23%	12%
+1.5	88%	—	12%
+2	88%	9%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet

44% ✓

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet

53% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.