Sunday , 16 August 2026

FC Alverca vs Moreirense FC, Primeira Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Primeira Liga · 2025-26
Sat 17 Jan 2026 · 18:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FC Alverca vs Moreirense FCPrimeira Liga .

Match Details

  • Referee Luis Godinho
4 games this season 🟨 1.3/game 4.3 goals/game

Head-to-Head

1
1
FC Alverca 2 games · Avg 3.0 goals Moreirense FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Jan Moreirense FC H 2–1 W
04 Jan FC Famalicão H 1–0 W
27 Dec GD Estoril Praia A 1–4 L
22 Dec FC Porto H 0–3 L
14 Dec FC Arouca A 0–1 L
07 Dec CD Nacional H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Jan FC Alverca A 1–2 L
11 Jan CD Tondela H 1–0 W
03 Jan AVS A 2–0 W
20 Dec CF Estrela da Amadora A 0–0 D
14 Dec Sport Lisboa e Benfica H 0–4 L
07 Dec GD Estoril Praia A 3–3 D

Season Stats

FC Alverca Moreirense FC
#15 Position #10
1 Points 1
2 Played 1
0 / 1 / 1 W / D / L 0 / 1 / 0
2 Scored 2
4 Conceded 2
-2 GD +0
0.50 PPG 1.00
0% Win % 0%

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
FC Alverca this season
0% Clean Sheets
Moreirense FC this season

FC Alverca are 15th (1 pts). Moreirense FC are 10th (1 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Alverca
0-15
/1
16-30
/
31-45
/1
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/1
76+
/
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Moreirense FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
/
31-45
/
46-60
/
61-75
/1
76+
1/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

FC Alverca Lineups

Moreirense FC Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.59 FC Alverca xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.21 Moreirense FC xG
I would bet for: FC Alverca or Moreirense FC 77% + Over 2.5 goals 72%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
FC Alverca34% Draw23% Moreirense FC43%
Actual: FC Alverca win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes70% 0% No30%
Avg goals/match: 3.8
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 89%
11%
± 2.5 72%
28%
± 3.5 52%
48%
± 4.5 33%
67%

Double Chance

FC Alverca or Draw
57%
Draw or Moreirense FC
66%
FC Alverca or Moreirense FC
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FC Alverca23% Draw38% Moreirense FC39%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
8.7%
1 – 2
8.4%
2 – 2
6.6%
1 – 3
6.1%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 2
5.5%
2 – 3
4.9%
0 – 1
4.5%
0 – 3
4%
3 – 2
3.5%
0 – 0
3.4%
1 – 4
3.4%

Asian Handicap — FC Alverca

Handicap FC Alverca covers Push Moreirense FC covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 8% 87%
-1.5 13% 87%
-1 13% 14% 73%
-0.5 27% 73%
+0.5 49% 51%
+1 49% 20% 31%
+1.5 69% 31%
+2 69% 15% 16%
+2.5 84% 16%

Clean Sheet

FC Alverca keeps clean sheet
12%
Moreirense FC keeps clean sheet
21%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.