Thursday , 1 October 2026

FC Alverca vs Moreirense FC, Primeira Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Primeira Liga · 2025-26
FC Alverca
2 – 1
Full Time
Moreirense FC
Sat 17 Jan 2026 · 18:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FC Alverca vs Moreirense FC — Primeira Liga .

Match Details

  • Referee Luis Godinho
4 games this season 🟨 5.3/game ⚽ 10.8 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 FC Porto 7 21
2 Sport Lisboa e Benfica 7 16
3 Sporting Clube de Portugal 7 15
4 CD Santa Clara 7 15
5 FC Arouca 7 11
6 Sporting Clube de Braga 6 11
7 Academico de Viseu FC 7 11
8 CF Estrela da Amadora 7 10
9 Moreirense FC 7 8
10 Gil Vicente FC 6 8
11 CS Maritimo 7 8
12 FC Alverca 7 8
13 FC Famalicao 7 7
14 Vitória SC 7 5
15 CD Nacional 7 4
16 Rio Ave FC 7 4
17 Casa Pia AC 7 4
18 GD Estoril Praia 7 2

Head-to-Head

1
1
FC Alverca 2 games · Avg 3.0 goals Moreirense FC
Last 5 meetings
2026-01-17 FC Alverca 2–1 Moreirense FC 2025-08-10 Moreirense FC 2–1 FC Alverca

Recent Form

FC Alverca
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Jan Moreirense FC H 2–1 W
04 Jan FC Famalicao H 1–0 W
27 Dec GD Estoril Praia A 1–4 L
22 Dec FC Porto H 0–3 L
14 Dec FC Arouca A 0–1 L
07 Dec CD Nacional H 1–0 W
Moreirense FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Jan FC Alverca A 1–2 L
11 Jan CD Tondela H 1–0 W
03 Jan AVS A 2–0 W
20 Dec CF Estrela da Amadora A 0–0 D
14 Dec Sport Lisboa e Benfica H 0–4 L
07 Dec GD Estoril Praia A 3–3 D

Season Stats

FC Alverca Moreirense FC
#12 Position #9
8 Points 8
7 Played 7
2 / 2 / 3 W / D / L 2 / 2 / 3
9 Scored 8
11 Conceded 14
-2 GD -6
1.14 PPG 1.14
29% Win % 29%

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
FC Alverca this season
14% Clean Sheets
Moreirense FC this season

FC Alverca are 12th (8 pts). Moreirense FC are 9th (8 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Alverca
0-15
1/2
16-30
1/–
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/4
61-75
2/1
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Moreirense FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
4/1
31-45
–/3
46-60
1/3
61-75
–/2
76+
2/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Alverca
Dawda Camara 3 G
Vivaldo Semedo 2 G
Lucas Figueiredo 1 G
Ian Luccas 1 G
Moreirense FC
Joao Veloso 1 G 2 A
Nile John 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

FC Alverca Lineups

Moreirense FC Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.75 FC Alverca xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.3 Moreirense FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 60% + Over 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Alverca48% Draw25% Moreirense FC27%
Actual: FC Alverca win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 3.05
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 58%
42%
± 3.5 36%
64%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

FC Alverca or Draw
73%
Draw or Moreirense FC
52%
FC Alverca or Moreirense FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FC Alverca34% Draw44% Moreirense FC22%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.6%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
7.5%
2 – 0
7.1%
1 – 2
6.8%
0 – 0
6.4%
2 – 2
5.9%
0 – 1
5.3%
3 – 1
5.3%
3 – 0
4.1%
0 – 2
4%
3 – 2
3.5%

Asian Handicap — FC Alverca

Handicap FC Alverca covers Push Moreirense FC covers
-2.5 11% — 89%
-2 11% 14% 74%
-1.5 26% — 74%
-1 26% 21% 53%
-0.5 47% — 53%
+0.5 72% — 28%
+1 72% 15% 12%
+1.5 88% — 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

FC Alverca keeps clean sheet
28% ✓
Moreirense FC keeps clean sheet
18% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.