Saturday , 14 November 2026

Chelsea FC vs Liverpool FC, Premier League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2025-26
Sat 4 Oct 2025 · 16:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Chelsea FC vs Liverpool FC — Premier League .

Match Details

  • Referee Anthony Taylor
9 games this season 🟨 4.8/game ⚽ 11.0 goals/game 🟥 4 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Oct Liverpool FC H 2–1 W
30 Sep Sport Lisboa e Benfica H 1–0 W
27 Sep Brighton & Hove Albion FC H 1–3 L
20 Sep Manchester United FC A 1–2 L
17 Sep FC Bayern München A 1–3 L
13 Sep Brentford FC A 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Oct Chelsea FC A 1–2 L
30 Sep Galatasaray SK A 0–1 L
27 Sep Crystal Palace FC A 1–2 L
20 Sep Everton FC H 2–1 W
17 Sep Club Atlético de Madrid H 3–2 W
14 Sep Burnley FC A 1–0 W

Season Stats

Chelsea FC Liverpool FC
#5 Position #4
16 Points 18
10 Played 10
5 / 1 / 4 W / D / L 5 / 3 / 2
19 Scored 14
16 Conceded 10
+3 GD +4
1.60 PPG 1.80
50% Win % 50%

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Chelsea FC this season
40% Clean Sheets
Liverpool FC this season

Chelsea FC are 5th (16 pts). Liverpool FC are 4th (18 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Chelsea FC
0-15
7/–
16-30
–/3
31-45
2/3
46-60
4/3
61-75
5/1
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Liverpool FC
0-15
2/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
1/1
46-60
4/1
61-75
2/3
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Chelsea FC
Joao Pedro 5 G 3 A
Morgan Rogers 5 G 1 A
Cole Palmer 3 G 3 A
Pedro Neto 3 G 1 A
Jordan Henderson 2 G 1 A
Liverpool FC
Alexander Isak 7 G
Victor Munoz 2 G
Cody Gakpo 1 G 3 A
Dominik Szoboszlai 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Chelsea FC Lineups

Liverpool FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.57 Chelsea FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.46 Liverpool FC xG
I would bet for: Chelsea FC or Liverpool FC 74% + Both teams to score 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Chelsea FC42% Draw26% Liverpool FC32%
Actual: Chelsea FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.03
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 57%
43%
± 3.5 36%
64%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

Chelsea FC or Draw
68%
Draw or Liverpool FC
58%
Chelsea FC or Liverpool FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Chelsea FC29% Draw44% Liverpool FC27%
Actual: Chelsea FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
7.8%
1 – 0
6.7%
0 – 0
6.6%
0 – 1
6.2%
2 – 2
6.1%
2 – 0
5.9%
0 – 2
5.1%
3 – 1
4.4%
1 – 3
3.8%
3 – 2
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Chelsea FC

Handicap Chelsea FC covers Push Liverpool FC covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 12% 80%
-1.5 20% — 80%
-1 20% 19% 61%
-0.5 39% — 61%
+0.5 66% — 34%
+1 66% 18% 17%
+1.5 83% — 17%
+2 83% 10% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

Chelsea FC keeps clean sheet
24% ✓
Liverpool FC keeps clean sheet
22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.