Sunday , 16 August 2026

V-Varen Nagasaki vs Shimizu S-Pulse, J. League 2026 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2026
Sun 5 Apr 2026 · 04:00 UTC Peace Stadium connected by SoftBank 19,706 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 1' Se-hun Oh
0–2 4' Yudai Shimamoto
0–3 45+3' Se-hun Oh pen

Overview

Match Preview

V-Varen Nagasaki vs Shimizu S-PulseJ. League at Peace Stadium connected by SoftBank.

Match Details

  • Referee Yuzo Sutani
  • Assistant 1
  • Assistant 2 Ryo Nakazawa

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Apr Shimizu S-Pulse H 0–3 L
21 Mar Fagiano Okayama FC A 1–0 W
18 Mar Kyoto Sanga FC H 1–2 L
15 Mar Avispa Fukuoka H 1–0 W
08 Mar Gamba Osaka A 2–3 L
28 Feb Cerezo Osaka FC H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Apr V-Varen Nagasaki A 3–0 W
01 Apr Vissel Kobe A 0–2 L
22 Mar Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 3–1 W
18 Mar Avispa Fukuoka A 6–5 W
14 Mar Fagiano Okayama FC H 2–3 L
07 Mar Cerezo Osaka FC A 0–0 D

Season Stats

V-Varen Nagasaki Shimizu S-Pulse
#9 Position #7
21 Points 24
18 Played 18
7 / 0 / 11 W / D / L 8 / 0 / 10
25 Scored 40
33 Conceded 42
-8 GD -2
1.17 PPG 1.33
39% Win % 44%

Key Stats

42% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
V-Varen Nagasaki this season
0% Clean Sheets
Shimizu S-Pulse this season

V-Varen Nagasaki are 9th (21 pts). Shimizu S-Pulse are 7th (24 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.47 V-Varen Nagasaki xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.8 Shimizu S-Pulse xG
I would bet for: V-Varen Nagasaki or Shimizu S-Pulse 74% + Both teams to score 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct
V-Varen Nagasaki33% Draw26% Shimizu S-Pulse41%
Actual: Shimizu S-Pulse win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes64% 0% No36%
Avg goals/match: 3.27
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 62%
38%
± 3.5 41%
59%
± 4.5 23%
77%

Double Chance

V-Varen Nagasaki or Draw
59%
Draw or Shimizu S-Pulse
67%
V-Varen Nagasaki or Shimizu S-Pulse
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
V-Varen Nagasaki24% Draw42% Shimizu S-Pulse34%
Actual: Shimizu S-Pulse win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11%
1 – 2
8.7%
2 – 1
7.1%
2 – 2
6.4%
0 – 1
6.2%
0 – 2
6.2%
0 – 0
5.4%
1 – 3
5.2%
1 – 0
4.9%
2 – 0
4.1%
2 – 3
3.9%
0 – 3
Actual

Asian Handicap — V-Varen Nagasaki

Handicap V-Varen Nagasaki covers Push Shimizu S-Pulse covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 9% 85%
-1.5 15% 85%
-1 15% 16% 69%
-0.5 31% 69%
+0.5 56% 44%
+1 56% 20% 25%
+1.5 75% 25%
+2 75% 14% 11%
+2.5 89% 11%

Clean Sheet

V-Varen Nagasaki keeps clean sheet
17%
Shimizu S-Pulse keeps clean sheet
24%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.