Athletic Club vs Real Madrid CF, La Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Primera Division · 2025-26

Athletic Club

0 – 3

Full Time

Real Madrid CF

Wed 3 Dec 2025 · 18:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Athletic Club vs Real Madrid CF — La Liga .

Athletic Club 6 games · 8 pts (2026/27)
Real Madrid CF 7 games · 15 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Jesus Gil Manzano (Spain)

5 games this season 🟨 5.6/game ⚽ 13.8 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Barcelona	7	21
2	Club Atlético de Madrid	7	16
3	Real Betis Balompié	7	16
4	Real Madrid CF	7	15
5	Sevilla FC	7	13
6	Deportivo Alavés	7	11
7	RC Deportivo La Coruña	7	10
8	Real Sociedad de Fútbol	7	10
9	CA Osasuna	7	8
10	Rayo Vallecano de Madrid	7	8
11	Villarreal CF	7	8
12	Athletic Club	6	8
13	Getafe CF	7	8
14	RC Celta de Vigo	7	7
15	RCD Espanyol de Barcelona	7	7
16	Real Racing Club de Santander	7	7
17	Levante UD	6	5
18	Elche CF	7	5
19	Valencia CF	7	4
20	Málaga CF	7	3

Head-to-Head

Athletic Club 16 games · Avg 2.3 goals Real Madrid CF

Last 5 meetings

2025-12-03 Athletic Club 0–3 Real Madrid CF 2025-04-20 Real Madrid CF 1–0 Athletic Club 2024-12-04 Athletic Club 2–1 Real Madrid CF 2024-03-31 Real Madrid CF 2–0 Athletic Club 2023-08-12 Athletic Club 0–2 Real Madrid CF

Recent Form

Athletic Club

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
03 Dec	Real Madrid CF	H	0–3	L
29 Nov	Levante UD	A	2–0	W
25 Nov	SK Slavia Praha	A	0–0	D
22 Nov	FC Barcelona	A	0–4	L
09 Nov	Real Oviedo	H	1–0	W
05 Nov	Newcastle United FC	A	0–2	L

Real Madrid CF

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
03 Dec	Athletic Club	A	3–0	W
30 Nov	Girona FC	A	1–1	D
26 Nov	PAE Olympiakos SFP	A	4–3	W
23 Nov	Elche CF	A	2–2	D
09 Nov	Rayo Vallecano de Madrid	A	0–0	D
04 Nov	Liverpool FC	A	0–1	L

Season Stats

Athletic Club		Real Madrid CF
#12	Position	#4
8	Points	15
6	Played	7
2 / 2 / 2	W / D / L	5 / 0 / 2
7	Scored	18
6	Conceded	8
+1	GD	+10
1.33	PPG	2.14
33%	Win %	71%

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

50% Clean Sheets
Athletic Club this season

14% Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season

Athletic Club are 12th (8 pts). Real Madrid CF are 4th (15 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Athletic Club

0-15

–/1

16-30

2/–

31-45

–/1

46-60

2/3

61-75

1/–

76+

2/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Real Madrid CF

0-15

2/–

16-30

3/1

31-45

3/1

46-60

1/3

61-75

1/1

76+

6/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Athletic Club

Roberto Navarro	2 G
Aitor Paredes Casamichana	1 G

Real Madrid CF

Kylian Mbappe	7 G	2 A
Jude Bellingham	3 G	2 A
Carlos Espi	2 G
Vinicius Junior	1 G	3 A

Events

Match Events

0' The ball is rolling at . Athletic Club are looking to make home advantage count against Real Madrid CF.
Another three points for Real Madrid CF.

Lineups

Athletic Club Lineups

Real Madrid CF Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Karim Benzema	10
Rodrygo	3
Jude Bellingham	3
Toni Kroos	2
Nacho	2
Oihan Sancet	2
Gorka Guruzeta	2
Urko Izeta	1

Head to Head

Athletic Club Form

2025-12-03 Athletic Club 0–3 Real Madrid CF L 2025-11-29 Levante UD 0–2 Athletic Club W 2025-11-25 SK Slavia Praha 0–0 Athletic Club D 2025-11-22 FC Barcelona 4–0 Athletic Club L 2025-11-09 Athletic Club 1–0 Real Oviedo W 2025-11-05 Newcastle United FC 2–0 Athletic Club L

Real Madrid CF Form

2025-12-03 Athletic Club 0–3 Real Madrid CF W 2025-11-30 Girona FC 1–1 Real Madrid CF D 2025-11-26 PAE Olympiakos SFP 3–4 Real Madrid CF W 2025-11-23 Elche CF 2–2 Real Madrid CF D 2025-11-09 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0–0 Real Madrid CF D 2025-11-04 Liverpool FC 1–0 Real Madrid CF L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

0.82 Athletic Club xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.79 Real Madrid CF xG

I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct

Athletic Club20% Draw26% Real Madrid CF54%

Actual: Real Madrid CF win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes47% 0% No53%

Avg goals/match: 2.61

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	91%	9%
± 1.5	73%	27%
± 2.5	48%	52%
± 3.5	27%	73%
± 4.5	13%	87%

Double Chance

Athletic Club or Draw

46%

Draw or Real Madrid CF

80%

Athletic Club or Real Madrid CF

74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Athletic Club13% Draw46% Real Madrid CF41%

Actual: Real Madrid CF win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

0 – 1

12.4%

1 – 1

11.6%

0 – 2

11.5%

1 – 2

9.3%

0 – 0

9.3%

0 – 3

Actual

1 – 3

5.6%

1 – 0

5.1%

2 – 1

4.3%

2 – 2

3.9%

0 – 4

1 – 4

2.6%

Asian Handicap — Athletic Club

Handicap	Athletic Club covers	Push	Real Madrid CF covers
-2.5	1%	—	99%
-2	1%	4%	95%
-1.5	5%	—	95%
-1	5%	11%	84%
-0.5	16%	—	84%
+0.5	41%	—	59%
+1	41%	24%	34%
+1.5	66%	—	34%
+2	66%	18%	16%
+2.5	84%	—	16%

Clean Sheet

Athletic Club keeps clean sheet

18% ✓

Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet

44% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.