Wednesday , 21 October 2026

Watford FC vs Stoke City FC, Championship 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2023-24
Watford FC
1 – 1
Full Time
Stoke City FC
Fri 29 Dec 2023 · 19:45 UTC Vicarage Road HT 45' · FT 45'
Jake Livermore 15' 1–0
1–1 34' Ryan Mmaee
Y 14' Junior Tchamadeu
Ismael Kone 42' Y
Jake Livermore 45' Y
Vakoun Issouf Bayo 52' R
Giorgi Chakvetadze 72' Y
James Morris 80' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Watford FC vs Stoke City FC — Championship at Vicarage Road.

Match Details

  • Referee Scott Oldham
  • Assistant 1 Matthew Jones
  • Assistant 2 Bhupinder Gill
5 games this season 🟨 2.0/game ⚽ 5.8 goals/game

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Swansea City AFC 11 23
2 West Ham United FC 11 22
3 Middlesbrough FC 11 22
4 Birmingham City FC 11 20
5 West Bromwich Albion FC 11 20
6 Stoke City FC 11 19
7 Wolverhampton Wanderers FC 11 18
8 Southampton FC 11 17
9 Queens Park Rangers FC 11 17
10 Blackburn Rovers FC 11 15
11 Sheffield United FC 11 15
12 Millwall FC 11 15
13 Portsmouth FC 11 15
14 Wrexham AFC 11 14
15 Bolton Wanderers FC 11 14
16 Bristol City FC 11 14
17 Charlton Athletic FC 11 14
18 Lincoln City FC 11 12
19 Cardiff City FC 11 11
20 Watford FC 11 11
21 Norwich City FC 11 9
22 Burnley FC 11 8
23 Derby County FC 11 6
24 Preston North End FC 11 4

Head-to-Head

6
2
3
Watford FC 11 games · Avg 2.5 goals Stoke City FC
Last 5 meetings
2023-12-29 Watford FC 1–1 Stoke City FC 2023-08-19 Stoke City FC 1–0 Watford FC 2023-05-08 Watford FC 2–0 Stoke City FC 2022-10-02 Stoke City FC 0–4 Watford FC 2021-01-22 Stoke City FC 1–2 Watford FC

Recent Form

Watford FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Dec Stoke City FC H 1–1 D
26 Dec Bristol City FC H 1–4 L
23 Dec Blackburn Rovers FC A 2–1 W
16 Dec Preston North End FC A 5–1 W
12 Dec Ipswich Town FC H 1–2 L
09 Dec Southampton FC H 1–1 D
Stoke City FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Dec Watford FC A 1–1 D
26 Dec Birmingham City FC A 3–1 W
23 Dec Millwall FC H 0–0 D
17 Dec West Bromwich Albion FC A 1–1 D
12 Dec Swansea City AFC H 1–1 D
09 Dec Sheffield Wednesday FC H 0–1 L

Season Stats

Watford FC Stoke City FC
#20 Position #6
11 Points 19
11 Played 11
3 / 2 / 6 W / D / L 6 / 1 / 4
10 Scored 18
19 Conceded 16
-9 GD +2
1.00 PPG 1.73
27% Win % 55%

Key Stats

45% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
55% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
9% Clean Sheets
Watford FC this season
27% Clean Sheets
Stoke City FC this season

Watford FC are 20th (11 pts). Stoke City FC are 6th (19 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Watford FC
0-15
2/4
16-30
2/4
31-45
–/5
46-60
1/2
61-75
1/–
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Stoke City FC
0-15
4/1
16-30
4/3
31-45
3/–
46-60
2/3
61-75
1/3
76+
3/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Watford FC
Amin Nabizada 3 G
Iker Bravo 1 G
Luca Kjerrumgaard 1 G
Stoke City FC
Ethan Galbraith 4 G 2 A
Eric Bocat 2 G 2 A
Sam Gallagher 2 G 1 A
Justin Devenny 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at Vicarage Road. Watford FC are looking to make home advantage count against Stoke City FC.
  • 5' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 10' Sead Haksabanovic has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 14' Controversy at the stadium! Junior Tchamadeu argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
  • 15' Junior Tchamadeu catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 15.
  • 15' The England Jake Livermore breaks the deadlock on 15 minutes. 1-0!
  • 20' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 25' Michael Rose, a Scotland , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 30' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 34' Magnificent from Ryan Mmaee! That is 3 goals in 379 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 39' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Jordan Thompson made 391 appearances and scored 10 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 42' Poor challenge from Ismael Kone. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 45' A moment of madness from Jake Livermore on 45 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Watford FC will be frustrated.
  • 50' Wesley is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Stoke City FC so far.
  • 52' Vakoun Issouf Bayo was booked on 52.
  • 57' Watford FC ring the changes. Matheus Martins has done his job and it is now time for Mileta Rajovic to step up.
  • 58' Another substitution for Watford FC to replace Ismael Kone by Edo Kayembe on 58 minute.
  • 63' Stoke City FC is showing some good football. However, Stoke City FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 67' The Stoke City FC bench stirs into life. Wouter Burger is withdrawn and Lewis Baker gets his opportunity.
  • 72' Giorgi Chakvetadze is having his name booked by the referee on 72.
  • 72' Time for substitution for Stoke City FC. Ben Pearson is replaced by Daniel Johnson.
  • 73' Watford FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ryan Andrews is hanging Yaser Asprilla on the field on 73 minute.
  • 78' Matthew Pollock is ready to make an impact after coming on for Giorgi Chakvetadze at the 78 minute mark.
  • 79' Another change for Watford FC made on 79 minute. Jake Livermore leaves to be changed by Francisco Sierralta.
  • 80' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for James Morris.
  • 85' Lewis Baker needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 90' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-1 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

Watford FC Lineups

4-1-4-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Valerien Ismael

Stoke City FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Paul Gallagher

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Keinan Davis 4
Ismaila Sarr 3
Edo Kayembe 2
Imran Louza 2
Steven Fletcher 2
Tom Cleverley 1
Ryan Andrews 1
Joao Pedro 1

Head to Head

2023-12-29 Watford FC 1–1 Stoke City FC 2023-08-19 Stoke City FC 1–0 Watford FC 2023-05-08 Watford FC 2–0 Stoke City FC 2022-10-02 Stoke City FC 0–4 Watford FC 2021-01-22 Stoke City FC 1–2 Watford FC

Watford FC Form

2023-12-29 Watford FC 1–1 Stoke City FC D 2023-12-26 Watford FC 1–4 Bristol City FC L 2023-12-23 Blackburn Rovers FC 1–2 Watford FC W 2023-12-16 Preston North End FC 1–5 Watford FC W 2023-12-12 Watford FC 1–2 Ipswich Town FC L 2023-12-09 Watford FC 1–1 Southampton FC D

Stoke City FC Form

2023-12-29 Watford FC 1–1 Stoke City FC D 2023-12-26 Birmingham City FC 1–3 Stoke City FC W 2023-12-23 Stoke City FC 0–0 Millwall FC D 2023-12-17 West Bromwich Albion FC 1–1 Stoke City FC D 2023-12-12 Stoke City FC 1–1 Swansea City AFC D 2023-12-09 Stoke City FC 0–1 Sheffield Wednesday FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.21 Watford FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.67 Stoke City FC xG
I would bet for: Watford FC or Stoke City FC 74% + Both teams to score 57%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Watford FC33% Draw26% Stoke City FC41%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 2.88
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 54%
46%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

Watford FC or Draw
60%
Draw or Stoke City FC
67%
Watford FC or Stoke City FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Watford FC21% Draw45% Stoke City FC34%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
9.1%
0 – 1
8.5%
0 – 2
7.7%
0 – 0
7.5%
2 – 1
6.6%
1 – 0
5.9%
2 – 2
5.5%
1 – 3
5.1%
0 – 3
4.2%
2 – 0
4.1%
2 – 3
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Watford FC

Handicap Watford FC covers Push Stoke City FC covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 8% 89%
-1.5 11% — 89%
-1 11% 15% 73%
-0.5 27% — 73%
+0.5 53% — 47%
+1 53% 21% 25%
+1.5 75% — 25%
+2 75% 14% 11%
+2.5 89% — 11%

Clean Sheet

Watford FC keeps clean sheet
20% ✓
Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
31% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.