Thursday , 2 July 2026

Watford FC vs Stoke City FC, Championship 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2023-24
Watford FC
1 – 1
Full Time
Stoke City FC
Fri 29 Dec 2023 · 19:45 UTC Vicarage Road HT 45' · FT 45'
Jake Livermore 15' 1–0
1–1 34' Ryan Mmaee
Y 14' Junior Tchamadeu
Ismael Kone 42' Y
Jake Livermore 45' Y
Vakoun Issouf Bayo 52' R
Giorgi Chakvetadze 72' Y
James Morris 80' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Watford FC vs Stoke City FC — Championship at Vicarage Road.

Match Details

  • Referee Scott Oldham
  • Assistant 1 Matthew Jones
  • Assistant 2 Bhupinder Gill

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Coventry City FC 46 95
2 Ipswich Town FC 46 84
3 Millwall FC 46 83
4 Southampton FC 46 80
5 Middlesbrough FC 46 80
6 Hull City AFC 46 73
7 Wrexham AFC 46 71
8 Derby County FC 46 69
9 Norwich City FC 46 65
10 Birmingham City FC 46 64
11 Swansea City AFC 46 64
12 Bristol City FC 46 62
13 Sheffield United FC 46 60
14 Preston North End FC 46 60
15 Queens Park Rangers FC 46 58
16 Watford FC 46 57
17 Stoke City FC 46 55
18 Portsmouth FC 46 55
19 Charlton Athletic FC 46 53
20 Blackburn Rovers FC 46 52
21 West Bromwich Albion FC 46 51
22 Oxford United FC 46 47
23 Leicester City FC 46 46
24 Sheffield Wednesday FC 46 0

Head-to-Head

6
2
2
Watford FC 10 games · Avg 2.5 goals Stoke City FC
Last 5 meetings
2023-12-29 Watford FC 1–1 Stoke City FC 2023-08-19 Stoke City FC 1–0 Watford FC 2023-05-08 Watford FC 2–0 Stoke City FC 2022-10-02 Stoke City FC 0–4 Watford FC 2021-01-22 Stoke City FC 1–2 Watford FC

Recent Form

Watford FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Dec Stoke City FC H 1–1 D
26 Dec Bristol City FC H 1–4 L
23 Dec Blackburn Rovers FC A 2–1 W
16 Dec Preston North End FC A 5–1 W
12 Dec Ipswich Town FC H 1–2 L
09 Dec Southampton FC H 1–1 D
Stoke City FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Dec Watford FC A 1–1 D
26 Dec Birmingham City FC A 3–1 W
23 Dec Millwall FC H 0–0 D
17 Dec West Bromwich Albion FC A 1–1 D
12 Dec Swansea City AFC H 1–1 D
09 Dec Sheffield Wednesday FC H 0–1 L

Season Stats

Watford FC Stoke City FC
#16 Position #17
57 Points 55
46 Played 46
14 / 15 / 17 W / D / L 15 / 10 / 21
53 Scored 51
65 Conceded 56
-12 GD -5
1.24 PPG 1.20
30% Win % 33%

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Watford FC are 16th (57 pts). Stoke City FC are 17th (55 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! Watford FC vs Stoke City FC — let the football do the talking.
  • 5' It looks like no one’s ball. Stoke City FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 10' Watford FC are deployed in a 4-1-4-1 today, looking to exploit space against Stoke City FC's 4-2-3-1 shape.
  • 14' The referee shows Stoke City FC player a Yellow card on 14.
  • 15' A meaty challenge results in booking for Junior Tchamadeu on 15.
  • 15' GOAL! Jake Livermore fires home to make it 1-0!
  • 20' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 25' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 30' Supporters expect more eagerness from Jack Bonham, as he is very good at scoring at Vicarage Road with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 34' Brilliant from the ! Ryan Mmaee makes it 1-1 with a superb finish on 34.
  • 39' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Luke McNally made 2 appearances and scored 11 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 42' Ismael Kone is having his name booked by the referee on 42.
  • 45' The referee has no hesitation. Jake Livermore is booked for Watford FC — Yellow card on 45.
  • 50' Jordan Thompson needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 52' Vakoun Issouf Bayo has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Red card on 52.
  • 57' The whistle greets Matheus Martins as he departs to be replaced by Mileta Rajovic.
  • 58' Watford FC ring the changes. Ismael Kone has done his job and it is now time for Edo Kayembe to step up.
  • 63' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 67' Lewis Baker has so much to prove this time. He replaces Wouter Burger on 67 minute.
  • 72' The referee shows Watford FC player a Yellow card on 72.
  • 72' The Stoke City FC manager makes a substitution. Ben Pearson departs to be replaced by Daniel Johnson.
  • 73' Ryan Andrews gets the nod from Watford FC. He replaces Yaser Asprilla and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 78' Fresh legs for Watford FC! Matthew Pollock comes on to replace Giorgi Chakvetadze.
  • 79' Time for substitution for Watford FC. Jake Livermore is replaced by Francisco Sierralta.
  • 80' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for James Morris.
  • 85' Wesley Hoedt has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 5 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 90' The home supporters are growing impatient. Watford FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Watford FC 1-1 Stoke City FC.

Lineups

Watford FC Lineups

4-1-4-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Valerien Ismael

Stoke City FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Paul Gallagher

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Keinan Davis 4
Ismaila Sarr 3
Edo Kayembe 2
Imran Louza 2
Steven Fletcher 2
Ryan Andrews 1
Joao Pedro 1
Troy Deeney 1

Head to Head

2023-12-29 Watford FC 1–1 Stoke City FC 2023-08-19 Stoke City FC 1–0 Watford FC 2023-05-08 Watford FC 2–0 Stoke City FC 2022-10-02 Stoke City FC 0–4 Watford FC 2021-01-22 Stoke City FC 1–2 Watford FC

Watford FC Form

2023-12-29 Watford FC 1–1 Stoke City FC D 2023-12-26 Watford FC 1–4 Bristol City FC L 2023-12-23 Blackburn Rovers FC 1–2 Watford FC W 2023-12-16 Preston North End FC 1–5 Watford FC W 2023-12-12 Watford FC 1–2 Ipswich Town FC L 2023-12-09 Watford FC 1–1 Southampton FC D

Stoke City FC Form

2023-12-29 Watford FC 1–1 Stoke City FC D 2023-12-26 Birmingham City FC 1–3 Stoke City FC W 2023-12-23 Stoke City FC 0–0 Millwall FC D 2023-12-17 West Bromwich Albion FC 1–1 Stoke City FC D 2023-12-12 Stoke City FC 1–1 Swansea City AFC D 2023-12-09 Stoke City FC 0–1 Sheffield Wednesday FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.3 Watford FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.3 Stoke City FC xG
I would bet for: Watford FC or Stoke City FC 72%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Watford FC40% Draw28% Stoke City FC32%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.6
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 48%
52%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Watford FC or Draw
67%
Draw or Stoke City FC
60%
Watford FC or Stoke City FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Watford FC26% Draw48% Stoke City FC26%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
9.5%
0 – 1
8.6%
1 – 0
8.6%
1 – 2
7.9%
2 – 1
7.8%
0 – 2
6.1%
2 – 0
6.1%
2 – 2
5.2%
1 – 3
3.4%
3 – 1
3.4%
0 – 3
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Watford FC

Handicap Watford FC covers Push Stoke City FC covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 10% 84%
-1.5 16% — 84%
-1 16% 19% 65%
-0.5 35% — 65%
+0.5 65% — 35%
+1 65% 19% 16%
+1.5 84% — 16%
+2 84% 10% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

Watford FC keeps clean sheet
28% ✓
Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
28% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.