Sunday , 16 August 2026

Watford FC vs Stoke City FC, Championship 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2023-24
Fri 29 Dec 2023 · 19:45 UTC Vicarage Road HT 45' · FT 45'
Jake Livermore 15' 1–0
1–1 34' Ryan Mmaee

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Dec Stoke City FC H 1–1 D
26 Dec Bristol City FC H 1–4 L
23 Dec Blackburn Rovers FC A 2–1 W
16 Dec Preston North End FC A 5–1 W
12 Dec Ipswich Town FC H 1–2 L
09 Dec Southampton FC H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Dec Watford FC A 1–1 D
26 Dec Birmingham City FC A 3–1 W
23 Dec Millwall FC H 0–0 D
17 Dec West Bromwich Albion FC A 1–1 D
12 Dec Swansea City AFC H 1–1 D
09 Dec Sheffield Wednesday FC H 0–1 L

Season Stats

Watford FC Stoke City FC
#12 Position #26
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Watford FC this season
0% Clean Sheets
Stoke City FC this season

Watford FC are 12th (0 pts). Stoke City FC are 26th (0 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Watford FC
0-15
1/
16-30
1/
31-45
/
46-60
/1
61-75
/
76+
/
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Stoke City FC
0-15
1/
16-30
/1
31-45
/
46-60
/
61-75
/1
76+
/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Watford FC and Stoke City FC get this one started.
  • 5' Yaser Asprilla, a Colombia , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 10' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Michael Rose made 1 appearances and scored 10 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 14' Controversy at the stadium! Junior Tchamadeu argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
  • 15' Junior Tchamadeu was booked on 15.
  • 15' Jake Livermore does the damage! The net is bulging and Watford FC surge ahead!
  • 20' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Valerien Ismael will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 25' It is a cagey affair so far. Watford FC in their 4-1-4-1 trying to find a way past Stoke City FC's compact 4-2-3-1.
  • 30' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 34' Ryan Mmaee doubles the advantage! 1-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 39' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 42' Controversy at the stadium! Ismael Kone argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
  • 45' A moment of madness from Jake Livermore on 45 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Watford FC will be frustrated.
  • 50' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Watford FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 52' That looks like a foul for a Red card for Vakoun Issouf Bayo.
  • 57' Another change for Watford FC made on 57 minute. Matheus Martins leaves to be changed by Mileta Rajovic.
  • 58' Another change for Watford FC made on 58 minute. Ismael Kone leaves to be changed by Edo Kayembe.
  • 63' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 67' The supporters are chanting for Lewis Baker. He replaces Wouter Burger on 67 minute.
  • 72' Giorgi Chakvetadze picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 72' Fresh legs for Stoke City FC! Daniel Johnson comes on to replace Ben Pearson.
  • 73' The Watford FC manager makes a substitution. Yaser Asprilla departs to be replaced by Ryan Andrews.
  • 78' Matthew Pollock is replacing Giorgi Chakvetadze for the Watford FC side.
  • 79' Jake Livermore makes way for Francisco Sierralta at the 79 minute mark. A tactical switch from Watford FC.
  • 80' The referee has no hesitation. James Morris is booked for Watford FC — Yellow card on 80.
  • 85' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Watford FC and Stoke City FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 90' Watford FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Stoke City FC backline.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.68 Watford FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.72 Stoke City FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 83% + Under — clean sheet likely 73%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Watford FC34% Draw37% Stoke City FC29%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes27% 0% No73%
Avg goals/match: 1.4
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 73%
27%
± 1.5 42%
58%
± 2.5 17%
83%
± 3.5 6%
94%
± 4.5 2%
98%

Double Chance

Watford FC or Draw
71%
Draw or Stoke City FC
66%
Watford FC or Stoke City FC
63%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Watford FC17% Draw64% Stoke City FC19%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
27.3%
0 – 1
16.1%
1 – 0
15%
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 2
5.9%
2 – 0
5.2%
1 – 2
4.5%
2 – 1
4.2%
2 – 2
1.7%
0 – 3
1.4%
3 – 0
1.2%
1 – 3
1.1%

Asian Handicap — Watford FC

Handicap Watford FC covers Push Stoke City FC covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 6% 92%
-1.5 8% 92%
-1 8% 20% 72%
-0.5 28% 72%
+0.5 70% 30%
+1 70% 21% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 7% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Watford FC keeps clean sheet
49%
Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
51%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.