Stoke City FC vs Watford FC, Championship 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Stoke City FC vs Watford FC — Championship at Bet365 Stadium.
- Stoke City FC 15 games · 29 pts (2026/27)
- Watford FC 15 games · 15 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee James Bell
- Assistant 1 Ian Cooper
- Assistant 2 George Byrne
5 games this season
🟨 4.0/game
⚽ 8.2 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Birmingham City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough FC | 15 | 29 |
| 3 | Stoke City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 15 | 28 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 15 | 28 |
| 6 | Swansea City AFC | 15 | 26 |
| 7 | Southampton FC | 15 | 24 |
| 8 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 15 | 24 |
| 9 | West Ham United FC | 15 | 23 |
| 10 | Sheffield United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 11 | Portsmouth FC | 15 | 22 |
| 12 | Norwich City FC | 15 | 21 |
| 13 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 15 | 21 |
| 14 | Cardiff City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 15 | Wrexham AFC | 15 | 18 |
| 16 | Millwall FC | 15 | 18 |
| 17 | Bristol City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 18 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 15 | 17 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 15 | 17 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 15 | 15 |
| 21 | Lincoln City FC | 15 | 15 |
| 22 | Burnley FC | 15 | 10 |
| 23 | Derby County FC | 15 | 10 |
| 24 | Preston North End FC | 15 | 8 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug | Watford FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Aug | Ipswich Town FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 05 Aug | Rotherham United FC | H | 4–1 | W |
| 08 May | Watford FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 29 Apr | Queens Park Rangers FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 22 Apr | Cardiff City FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug | Stoke City FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Aug | Plymouth Argyle FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 05 Aug | Queens Park Rangers FC | H | 4–0 | W |
| 08 May | Stoke City FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 29 Apr | Sunderland AFC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 22 Apr | Hull City AFC | A | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| Stoke City FC | Watford FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #20 |
| 29 | Points | 15 |
| 15 | Played | 15 |
| 9 / 2 / 4 | W / D / L | 4 / 3 / 8 |
| 24 | Scored | 13 |
| 18 | Conceded | 23 |
| +6 | GD | -10 |
| 1.93 | PPG | 1.00 |
| 60% | Win % | 27% |
Key Stats
45%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
H2H (11 games)
55%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
33%
Clean Sheets
Stoke City FC this season
Stoke City FC this season
20%
Clean Sheets
Watford FC this season
Watford FC this season
Stoke City FC are 3rd (29 pts). Watford FC are 20th (15 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Stoke City FC
0-15
4/2
16-30
5/3
31-45
4/–
46-60
4/3
61-75
1/3
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Watford FC
0-15
3/4
16-30
3/4
31-45
–/6
46-60
2/3
61-75
1/2
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Stoke City FC
| Jack McGlynn | 5 G | 2 A |
| Ethan Galbraith | 4 G | 4 A |
| Eric Bocat | 2 G | 2 A |
| Sam Gallagher | 2 G | 1 A |
| Justin Devenny | 2 G |
Watford FC
| Amin Nabizada | 3 G |
| Iker Bravo | 1 G |
| Luca Kjerrumgaard | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Stoke City FC have kicked off against Watford FC. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
- 5' It looks like no one’s ball. Stoke City FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 10' Jordan Thompson has been relatively quiet despite scoring 11 goals in his last 397 appearances.
- 15' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Stoke City FC that had 395 games and scored 422 goals.
- 20' Stoke City FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
- 25' With 0 assists to his name this season, Giorgi Chakvetadze is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Stoke City FC.
- 29' Luke McNally is having his name booked by the referee on 29.
- 34' Watford FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 39' Tom Ince has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 15 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 44' Watford FC make a change. James Morris trudges off to be replaced by Yaser Asprilla on 44 minutes.
- 46' Time for substitution for Watford FC. Tom Dele-Bashiru is replaced by Ismael Kone.
- 51' Mark Travers is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Stoke City FC so far.
- 52' The referee shows Stoke City FC player a card on 52.
- 53' Andre Vidigal puts Stoke City FC on the lead.
- 58' Stoke City FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 60' A moment of madness from Ismael Kone on 60 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Watford FC will be frustrated.
- 61' Watford FC ring the changes. Jake Livermore has done his job and it is now time for Edo Kayembe to step up.
- 66' Watford FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 66.
- 69' Stoke City FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Josh Tymon is hanging Michael Rose on the field on 69 minute.
- 70' Stoke City FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Josh Tymon is hanging Michael Rose on the field on 70 minute.
- 72' Time for substitution for Watford FC. Matheus Martins is replaced by Tom Ince.
- 77' The referee calls foul for Jordan Thompson. He receives a card.
- 80' Chiquinho is ready to make an impact after coming on for Andre Vidigal at the 80 minute mark.
- 83' Poor challenge from Daniel Johnson. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 88' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 88 minutes.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-0.
Lineups
Stoke City FC Lineups
3-5-2Starting XI
- 16
- 1
- 12
- 3
- 15
-
7
Andre Vidigal ↓ Chiquinho 80'
- 17
-
5
Michael Rose ↓ Josh Tymon 70'
- 23
- 28
- 18
Bench
- 11
- 4
- 13
-
14
Josh Tymon ↑ 70'
- 19
-
20
Chiquinho ↑ 80'
- 32
- 35
- 30
Coach
Alex Neil
Watford FC Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 12
-
8
Jake Livermore ↓ Edo Kayembe 61'
- 4
- 1
- 5
- 19
- 10
-
24
Tom Dele-Bashiru ↓ Ismael Kone 46'
-
37
Matheus Martins ↓ Tom Ince 72'
-
42
James Morris ↓ Yaser Asprilla 44'
- 45
Bench
- 14
- 26
-
7
Tom Ince ↑ 72'
-
39
Edo Kayembe ↑ 61'
-
16
Giorgi Chakvetadze ↑ 61'
- 15
-
11
Ismael Kone ↑ 46'
-
18
Yaser Asprilla ↑ 44'
- 53
Coach
Valerien Ismael
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Keinan Davis | 4 |
| Ismaila Sarr | 3 |
| Edo Kayembe | 2 |
| Imran Louza | 2 |
| Steven Fletcher | 2 |
| Nick Powell | 1 |
| Jake Livermore | 1 |
| Tom Cleverley | 1 |
Head to Head
Stoke City FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.6
Stoke City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.95
Watford FC xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Stoke City FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.55
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 2.5 | 46% |
|
54% |
| ± 3.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
Stoke City FC or Draw
76%
Draw or Watford FC
52%
Stoke City FC or Watford FC
72%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.8%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
9.8%
2 – 0
9.7%
2 – 1
9.1%
0 – 1
6.4%
1 – 2
5.4%
3 – 0
5.1%
3 – 1
4.9%
2 – 2
4.4%
0 – 2
3.5%
3 – 2
2.5%
Asian Handicap — Stoke City FC
| Handicap | Stoke City FC covers | Push | Watford FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -2 | 12% | 16% | 73% |
| -1.5 | 27% | — | 73% |
| -1 | 27% | 24% | 49% |
| -0.5 | 51% | — | 49% |
| +0.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +1 | 79% | 14% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
39%
✗
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

