Stoke City FC vs Watford FC, Championship 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Stoke City FC vs Watford FC — Championship at Bet365 Stadium.
- Stoke City FC 46 games · 55 pts (2026/27)
- Watford FC 46 games · 57 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee James Bell
- Assistant 1 Ian Cooper
- Assistant 2 George Byrne
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry City FC | 46 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich Town FC | 46 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall FC | 46 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton FC | 46 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough FC | 46 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull City AFC | 46 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham AFC | 46 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby County FC | 46 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich City FC | 46 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 46 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea City AFC | 46 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City FC | 46 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield United FC | 46 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston North End FC | 46 | 60 |
| 15 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 46 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford FC | 46 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke City FC | 46 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth FC | 46 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 46 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 46 | 52 |
| 21 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 46 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford United FC | 46 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester City FC | 46 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 46 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug | Watford FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Aug | Ipswich Town FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 05 Aug | Rotherham United FC | H | 4–1 | W |
| 08 May | Watford FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 29 Apr | Queens Park Rangers FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 22 Apr | Cardiff City FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug | Stoke City FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Aug | Plymouth Argyle FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 05 Aug | Queens Park Rangers FC | H | 4–0 | W |
| 08 May | Stoke City FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 29 Apr | Sunderland AFC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 22 Apr | Hull City AFC | A | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| Stoke City FC | Watford FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #17 | Position | #16 |
| 55 | Points | 57 |
| 46 | Played | 46 |
| 15 / 10 / 21 | W / D / L | 14 / 15 / 17 |
| 51 | Scored | 53 |
| 56 | Conceded | 65 |
| -5 | GD | -12 |
| 1.20 | PPG | 1.24 |
| 33% | Win % | 30% |
Key Stats
40%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Stoke City FC are 17th (55 pts). Watford FC are 16th (57 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' Temperatures are rising at Bet365 Stadium as Stoke City FC face off against Watford FC in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
- 5' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Stoke City FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 10' Both keepers have barely been tested. Stoke City FC and Watford FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 15' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Alex Neil will be considering his options from the bench.
- 20' Watford FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 20.
- 25' Tom Dele-Bashiru is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Stoke City FC tonight.
- 29' Poor challenge from Luke McNally. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
- 34' Ryan Andrews is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Stoke City FC so far.
- 39' Giorgi Chakvetadze has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 44' Yaser Asprilla has so much to prove this time. He replaces James Morris on 44 minute.
- 46' Another change for Watford FC made on 46 minute. Tom Dele-Bashiru leaves to be changed by Ismael Kone.
- 51' Watford FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 52' Wesley picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 53' Andre Vidigal is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
- 58' A quiet spell here at Bet365 Stadium. Watford FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 60' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Ismael Kone.
- 61' Edo Kayembe is replacing Jake Livermore for the Watford FC side.
- 66' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Watford FC that had 358 games and scored 391 goals.
- 69' Fresh legs for Stoke City FC! Josh Tymon comes on to replace Michael Rose.
- 70' The crowd applauds Michael Rose as he leaves the pitch. Josh Tymon steps in for Stoke City FC.
- 72' Watford FC make a change. Matheus Martins trudges off to be replaced by Tom Ince on 72 minutes.
- 77' It’s gonna be a card for Jordan Thompson.
- 80' The Stoke City FC manager makes a substitution. Andre Vidigal departs to be replaced by Chiquinho.
- 83' Daniel Johnson has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 83.
- 88' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 88 minutes.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. Stoke City FC take all three points.
Lineups
Stoke City FC Lineups
3-5-2Starting XI
- 16
- 1
- 12
- 3
- 15
-
7
Andre Vidigal ↓ Chiquinho 80'
- 17
-
5
Michael Rose ↓ Josh Tymon 70'
- 23
- 28
- 18
Bench
- 11
- 4
- 13
-
14
Josh Tymon ↑ 70'
- 19
-
20
Chiquinho ↑ 80'
- 32
- 35
- 30
Coach
Alex Neil
Watford FC Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 12
-
8
Jake Livermore ↓ Edo Kayembe 61'
- 4
- 1
- 5
- 19
- 10
-
24
Tom Dele-Bashiru ↓ Ismael Kone 46'
-
37
Matheus Martins ↓ Tom Ince 72'
-
42
James Morris ↓ Yaser Asprilla 44'
- 45
Bench
- 14
- 26
-
7
Tom Ince ↑ 72'
-
39
Edo Kayembe ↑ 61'
-
16
Giorgi Chakvetadze ↑ 61'
- 15
-
11
Ismael Kone ↑ 46'
-
18
Yaser Asprilla ↑ 44'
- 53
Coach
Valerien Ismael
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Keinan Davis | 4 |
| Ismaila Sarr | 3 |
| Edo Kayembe | 2 |
| Imran Louza | 2 |
| Steven Fletcher | 2 |
| Ryan Mmaee | 1 |
| Nick Powell | 1 |
| Jake Livermore | 1 |
Head to Head
Stoke City FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.33
Stoke City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.13
Watford FC xG
I would bet for:
Stoke City FC or Watford FC 71% + Under 2.5 goals 56%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Stoke City FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.46
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 71% |
|
29% |
| ± 2.5 | 44% |
|
56% |
| ± 3.5 | 24% |
|
76% |
| ± 4.5 | 11% |
|
89% |
Double Chance
Stoke City FC or Draw
70%
Draw or Watford FC
59%
Stoke City FC or Watford FC
71%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.8%
0 – 0
10.6%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
8.5%
2 – 1
8.2%
2 – 0
7.3%
1 – 2
7%
0 – 2
5.3%
2 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
3.7%
3 – 0
3.2%
1 – 3
2.7%
Asian Handicap — Stoke City FC
| Handicap | Stoke City FC covers | Push | Watford FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 12% | 81% |
| -1.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -1 | 19% | 21% | 60% |
| -0.5 | 40% | — | 60% |
| +0.5 | 70% | — | 30% |
| +1 | 70% | 18% | 13% |
| +1.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
| +2 | 87% | 9% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
33%
✗
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
27%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

