Thursday , 2 July 2026

Stoke City FC vs Watford FC, Championship 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2023-24
Sat 19 Aug 2023 · 14:00 UTC Bet365 Stadium 21,183 HT 45' · FT 45'
Andre Vidigal 53' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Stoke City FC vs Watford FCChampionship at Bet365 Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee James Bell
  • Assistant 1 Ian Cooper
  • Assistant 2 George Byrne

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Aug Watford FC H 1–0 W
12 Aug Ipswich Town FC A 0–2 L
05 Aug Rotherham United FC H 4–1 W
08 May Watford FC A 0–2 L
29 Apr Queens Park Rangers FC H 0–1 L
22 Apr Cardiff City FC A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Aug Stoke City FC A 0–1 L
12 Aug Plymouth Argyle FC H 0–0 D
05 Aug Queens Park Rangers FC H 4–0 W
08 May Stoke City FC H 2–0 W
29 Apr Sunderland AFC A 2–2 D
22 Apr Hull City AFC A 0–1 L

Season Stats

Stoke City FC Watford FC
#17 Position #16
55 Points 57
46 Played 46
15 / 10 / 21 W / D / L 14 / 15 / 17
51 Scored 53
56 Conceded 65
-5 GD -12
1.20 PPG 1.24
33% Win % 30%

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Stoke City FC are 17th (55 pts). Watford FC are 16th (57 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Temperatures are rising at Bet365 Stadium as Stoke City FC face off against Watford FC in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
  • 5' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Stoke City FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 10' Both keepers have barely been tested. Stoke City FC and Watford FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 15' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Alex Neil will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 20' Watford FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 20.
  • 25' Tom Dele-Bashiru is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Stoke City FC tonight.
  • 29' Poor challenge from Luke McNally. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 34' Ryan Andrews is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Stoke City FC so far.
  • 39' Giorgi Chakvetadze has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 44' Yaser Asprilla has so much to prove this time. He replaces James Morris on 44 minute.
  • 46' Another change for Watford FC made on 46 minute. Tom Dele-Bashiru leaves to be changed by Ismael Kone.
  • 51' Watford FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 52' Wesley picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 53' Andre Vidigal is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 58' A quiet spell here at Bet365 Stadium. Watford FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 60' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Ismael Kone.
  • 61' Edo Kayembe is replacing Jake Livermore for the Watford FC side.
  • 66' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Watford FC that had 358 games and scored 391 goals.
  • 69' Fresh legs for Stoke City FC! Josh Tymon comes on to replace Michael Rose.
  • 70' The crowd applauds Michael Rose as he leaves the pitch. Josh Tymon steps in for Stoke City FC.
  • 72' Watford FC make a change. Matheus Martins trudges off to be replaced by Tom Ince on 72 minutes.
  • 77' It’s gonna be a card for Jordan Thompson.
  • 80' The Stoke City FC manager makes a substitution. Andre Vidigal departs to be replaced by Chiquinho.
  • 83' Daniel Johnson has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 83.
  • 88' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 88 minutes.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. Stoke City FC take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.33 Stoke City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.13 Watford FC xG
I would bet for: Stoke City FC or Watford FC 71% + Under 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Stoke City FC41% Draw29% Watford FC30%
Actual: Stoke City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.46
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 44%
56%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Stoke City FC or Draw
70%
Draw or Watford FC
59%
Stoke City FC or Watford FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Stoke City FC28% Draw49% Watford FC23%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.8%
0 – 0
10.6%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
8.5%
2 – 1
8.2%
2 – 0
7.3%
1 – 2
7%
0 – 2
5.3%
2 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
3.7%
3 – 0
3.2%
1 – 3
2.7%

Asian Handicap — Stoke City FC

Handicap Stoke City FC covers Push Watford FC covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 12% 81%
-1.5 19% 81%
-1 19% 21% 60%
-0.5 40% 60%
+0.5 70% 30%
+1 70% 18% 13%
+1.5 87% 13%
+2 87% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
33%
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
27%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.