Stoke City FC vs Watford FC, Championship 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Stoke City FC vs Watford FC — Championship at Bet365 Stadium.
- Stoke City FC 8 games · 13 pts (2026/27)
- Watford FC 8 games · 8 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee James Bell
- Assistant 1 Ian Cooper
- Assistant 2 George Byrne
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea City AFC | 8 | 17 |
| 2 | West Ham United FC | 8 | 15 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough FC | 8 | 15 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 7 | 14 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 8 | 14 |
| 6 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 8 | 13 |
| 7 | Stoke City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 8 | Bristol City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 9 | Charlton Athletic FC | 8 | 12 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 11 | Millwall FC | 8 | 11 |
| 12 | Lincoln City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 13 | Southampton FC | 8 | 10 |
| 14 | Wrexham AFC | 8 | 10 |
| 15 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 8 | 10 |
| 16 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 8 | 9 |
| 17 | Norwich City FC | 8 | 9 |
| 18 | Sheffield United FC | 8 | 9 |
| 19 | Portsmouth FC | 7 | 8 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 8 | 8 |
| 21 | Cardiff City FC | 8 | 7 |
| 22 | Derby County FC | 8 | 5 |
| 23 | Preston North End FC | 8 | 4 |
| 24 | Burnley FC | 8 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug | Watford FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Aug | Ipswich Town FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 05 Aug | Rotherham United FC | H | 4–1 | W |
| 08 May | Watford FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 29 Apr | Queens Park Rangers FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 22 Apr | Cardiff City FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug | Stoke City FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Aug | Plymouth Argyle FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 05 Aug | Queens Park Rangers FC | H | 4–0 | W |
| 08 May | Stoke City FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 29 Apr | Sunderland AFC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 22 Apr | Hull City AFC | A | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| Stoke City FC | Watford FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #7 | Position | #20 |
| 13 | Points | 8 |
| 8 | Played | 8 |
| 4 / 1 / 3 | W / D / L | 2 / 2 / 4 |
| 13 | Scored | 7 |
| 12 | Conceded | 10 |
| +1 | GD | -3 |
| 1.63 | PPG | 1.00 |
| 50% | Win % | 25% |
Key Stats
45%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
H2H (11 games)
55%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
25%
Clean Sheets
Stoke City FC this season
Stoke City FC this season
0%
Clean Sheets
Watford FC this season
Watford FC this season
Stoke City FC are 7th (13 pts). Watford FC are 20th (8 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Stoke City FC
0-15
4/1
16-30
4/3
31-45
2/–
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/2
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Watford FC
0-15
2/2
16-30
2/2
31-45
–/3
46-60
–/2
61-75
1/–
76+
2/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Stoke City FC
| Ethan Galbraith | 4 G | 1 A |
| Eric Bocat | 2 G | 2 A |
| Sam Gallagher | 2 G | 1 A |
| Justin Devenny | 2 G |
Watford FC
| Amin Nabizada | 3 G |
| Iker Bravo | 1 G |
| Luca Kjerrumgaard | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Bet365 Stadium!
- 5' Stoke City FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 10' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 15' The energy levels are beginning to show. Alex Neil might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 20' Wesley is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Stoke City FC so far.
- 25' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Valerien Ismael will be considering his options from the bench.
- 29' It’s a booking for Stoke City FC player. Luke McNally gets a Yellow card.
- 34' Watford FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 39' It looks like no one’s ball. Stoke City FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 44' Yaser Asprilla is replacing James Morris for the Watford FC side.
- 46' Watford FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ismael Kone is hanging Tom Dele-Bashiru on the field on 46 minute.
- 51' Stoke City FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Watford FC backline.
- 52' That is a card for Stoke City FC. Wesley will be fuming at that decision.
- 53' Andre Vidigal has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 53 minutes.
- 58' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Jordan Thompson suffering a number of foals already.
- 60' A moment of madness from Ismael Kone on 60 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Watford FC will be frustrated.
- 61' The crowd applauds Jake Livermore as he leaves the pitch. Edo Kayembe steps in for Watford FC.
- 66' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Stoke City FC that had 384 games and scored 404 goals.
- 69' Josh Tymon gets the nod from Stoke City FC. He replaces Michael Rose and will look to change the dynamic.
- 70' Josh Tymon gets the nod from Stoke City FC. He replaces Michael Rose and will look to change the dynamic.
- 72' Another change for Watford FC made on 72 minute. Matheus Martins leaves to be changed by Tom Ince.
- 77' The referee has no hesitation. Jordan Thompson is booked for Stoke City FC — card on 77.
- 80' Time for substitution for Stoke City FC. Andre Vidigal is replaced by Chiquinho.
- 83' That looks like a foul for a card for Daniel Johnson.
- 88' It looks surprising Stoke City FC does not make any changes. Ken Sema has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-0 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
Stoke City FC Lineups
3-5-2Starting XI
- 16
- 1
- 12
- 3
- 15
-
7
Andre Vidigal ↓ Chiquinho 80'
- 17
-
5
Michael Rose ↓ Josh Tymon 70'
- 23
- 28
- 18
Bench
- 11
- 4
- 13
-
14
Josh Tymon ↑ 70'
- 19
-
20
Chiquinho ↑ 80'
- 32
- 35
- 30
Coach
Alex Neil
Watford FC Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 12
-
8
Jake Livermore ↓ Edo Kayembe 61'
- 4
- 1
- 5
- 19
- 10
-
24
Tom Dele-Bashiru ↓ Ismael Kone 46'
-
37
Matheus Martins ↓ Tom Ince 72'
-
42
James Morris ↓ Yaser Asprilla 44'
- 45
Bench
- 14
- 26
-
7
Tom Ince ↑ 72'
-
39
Edo Kayembe ↑ 61'
-
16
Giorgi Chakvetadze ↑ 61'
- 15
-
11
Ismael Kone ↑ 46'
-
18
Yaser Asprilla ↑ 44'
- 53
Coach
Valerien Ismael
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Keinan Davis | 4 |
| Ismaila Sarr | 3 |
| Imran Louza | 2 |
| Steven Fletcher | 2 |
| Edo Kayembe | 2 |
| Andre Vidigal | 1 |
| Ryan Mmaee | 1 |
| Nick Powell | 1 |
Head to Head
Stoke City FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.44
Stoke City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.05
Watford FC xG
I would bet for:
Stoke City FC or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 55%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Stoke City FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.49
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 71% |
|
29% |
| ± 2.5 | 45% |
|
55% |
| ± 3.5 | 24% |
|
76% |
| ± 4.5 | 11% |
|
89% |
Double Chance
Stoke City FC or Draw
73%
Draw or Watford FC
56%
Stoke City FC or Watford FC
71%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.4%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
10.4%
2 – 1
8.7%
2 – 0
8.4%
0 – 1
7.6%
1 – 2
6.3%
2 – 2
4.6%
0 – 2
4.4%
3 – 1
4.2%
3 – 0
4%
3 – 2
2.3%
Asian Handicap — Stoke City FC
| Handicap | Stoke City FC covers | Push | Watford FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 14% | 78% |
| -1.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| -1 | 22% | 22% | 55% |
| -0.5 | 45% | — | 55% |
| +0.5 | 74% | — | 26% |
| +1 | 74% | 16% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
36%
✗
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

