Sunday , 16 August 2026

Watford FC vs Sunderland AFC, Championship 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2023-24
Sat 27 Apr 2024 · 14:00 UTC Vicarage Road HT 45' · FT 45'
Ryan Andrews 64' 1–0
Edo Kayembe 10' Y
Y 58' Luke O'Nien
Jamal Lewis 86' Y

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Apr Sunderland AFC H 1–0 W
20 Apr Hull City AFC H 0–0 D
13 Apr Southampton FC A 2–3 L
10 Apr Ipswich Town FC A 0–0 D
06 Apr Preston North End FC H 0–0 D
01 Apr West Bromwich Albion FC A 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Apr Watford FC A 0–1 L
20 Apr Millwall FC H 0–1 L
13 Apr West Bromwich Albion FC A 1–0 W
09 Apr Leeds United FC A 0–0 D
06 Apr Bristol City FC H 0–0 D
01 Apr Blackburn Rovers FC H 1–5 L

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Vicarage Road!
  • 5' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Anthony Patterson suffering a number of foals already.
  • 10' Watford FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 15' Watford FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 20' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 25' It is a cagey affair so far. Watford FC in their 3-4-2-1 trying to find a way past Sunderland AFC's compact 3-4-2-1.
  • 30' Watford FC have won 391 goals from 358 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 35' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Jake Livermore made 377 appearances and scored 12 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 40' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 45' It looks surprising Watford FC does not make any changes. Ken Sema has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 46' Ryan Andrews is ready to make an impact after coming on for Jack Grieves at the 46 minute mark.
  • 51' Daniel Ballard has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 56' Yaser Asprilla has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 58' Luke O'Nien is having his name booked by the referee on 58.
  • 63' The 22-year-old Luis Semedo has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 64' What composure from Ryan Andrews! The England international strokes it home. 1-0.
  • 65' The supporters are chanting for Abdoullah Ba. He replaces Adil Aouchiche on 65 minute.
  • 69' A change in the Watford FC ranks — Ken Sema exits the field as Jamal Lewis enters on 69.
  • 74' With 0 assists to his name this season, Emmanuel Dennis is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Sunderland AFC.
  • 78' Luis Semedo gets the nod from Sunderland AFC. He replaces Aji Alese and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 80' Vakoun Issouf Bayo makes way for Mileta Rajovic at the 80 minute mark. A tactical switch from Watford FC.
  • 85' The home supporters are growing impatient. Watford FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 86' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Jamal Lewis.
  • 90' Jake Livermore is replacing Yaser Asprilla for the Watford FC side.
  • Watford FC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.03 Watford FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.88 Sunderland AFC xG
I would bet for: Watford FC or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 70%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Watford FC42% Draw31% Sunderland AFC27%
Actual: Watford FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes39% 0% No61%
Avg goals/match: 1.91
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 83%
17%
± 1.5 57%
43%
± 2.5 30%
70%
± 3.5 13%
87%
± 4.5 5%
95%

Double Chance

Watford FC or Draw
73%
Draw or Sunderland AFC
58%
Watford FC or Sunderland AFC
69%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Watford FC24% Draw56% Sunderland AFC20%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
17.3%
1 – 1
14.4%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
11.6%
2 – 0
7.5%
2 – 1
6.8%
1 – 2
5.7%
0 – 2
5.4%
2 – 2
3.1%
3 – 0
2.5%
3 – 1
2.4%
1 – 3
1.7%

Asian Handicap — Watford FC

Handicap Watford FC covers Push Sunderland AFC covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 10% 85%
-1.5 15% 85%
-1 15% 22% 64%
-0.5 36% 64%
+0.5 72% 28%
+1 72% 18% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Watford FC keeps clean sheet
42%
Sunderland AFC keeps clean sheet
36%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.