Southampton FC vs Stoke City FC, Championship 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Southampton FC vs Stoke City FC — Championship at Saint Mary's.
- Southampton FC 46 games · 80 pts (2026/27)
- Stoke City FC 46 games · 55 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee David Webb
- Assistant 1
- Assistant 2 Carl Fitch-Jackson
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry City FC | 46 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich Town FC | 46 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall FC | 46 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton FC | 46 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough FC | 46 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull City AFC | 46 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham AFC | 46 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby County FC | 46 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich City FC | 46 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 46 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea City AFC | 46 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City FC | 46 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield United FC | 46 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston North End FC | 46 | 60 |
| 15 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 46 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford FC | 46 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke City FC | 46 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth FC | 46 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 46 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 46 | 52 |
| 21 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 46 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford United FC | 46 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester City FC | 46 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 46 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr | Stoke City FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 23 Apr | Leicester City FC | A | 0–5 | L |
| 20 Apr | Cardiff City FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 16 Apr | Preston North End FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 13 Apr | Watford FC | H | 3–2 | W |
| 09 Apr | Coventry City FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr | Southampton FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Apr | Plymouth Argyle FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 13 Apr | Sheffield Wednesday FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 10 Apr | Swansea City AFC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 06 Apr | West Bromwich Albion FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 01 Apr | Huddersfield Town AFC | H | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| Southampton FC | Stoke City FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #17 |
| 80 | Points | 55 |
| 46 | Played | 46 |
| 22 / 14 / 10 | W / D / L | 15 / 10 / 21 |
| 82 | Scored | 51 |
| 56 | Conceded | 56 |
| +26 | GD | -5 |
| 1.74 | PPG | 1.20 |
| 48% | Win % | 33% |
Key Stats
25%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Southampton FC are 4th (80 pts). Stoke City FC are 17th (55 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Southampton FC is hosting Stoke City FC for another epic battle.
- 5' Luke Cundle has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 3 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 10' A quiet spell here at Saint Mary's. Southampton FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 15' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 15 minutes.
- 20' The 28-year-old Daniel Iversen has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 25' Sekou Mara, a France , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 30' England international Lewis Baker has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 35' Southampton FC is showing some good football. However, Southampton FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 36' Tyrese Campbell doubles the advantage! 0-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 38' Luke Cundle picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 42' Jack Stephens is having his name booked by the referee on 42.
- 44' The referee calls foul for David Brooks. He receives a card.
- 46' Another change for Southampton FC made on 46 minute. Taylor Harwood-Bellis leaves to be changed by Jan Bednarek.
- 51' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Shea Charles made 436 appearances and scored 4 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 56' Supporters expect more eagerness from James Bree, as he is very good at scoring at Saint Mary's with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 61' Southampton FC have won 417 goals from 348 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 63' Che Adams gets the nod from Southampton FC. He replaces Sekou Mara and will look to change the dynamic.
- 68' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 69' A tactical swap from Stoke City FC — Niall Ennis on, Tyrese Campbell off on 69 minutes.
- 73' The crowd applauds Enda Stevens as he leaves the pitch. Wouter Burger steps in for Stoke City FC.
- 78' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Ki-Jana Hoever suffering a number of foals already.
- 79' Adam Armstrong has so much to prove this time. He replaces Samuel Edozie on 79 minute.
- 84' It is a substitution in Stoke City FC team. Luke Cundle is replaced by Lewis Baker on 84 minute.
- 89' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- Full Time. Stoke City FC beats Southampton FC
Lineups
Southampton FC Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
-
36
David Brooks ↓ Flynn Downes 63'
- 26
- 1
- 5
- 2
- 14
- 21
- 16
-
18
Sekou Mara ↓ Che Adams 63'
-
23
Samuel Edozie ↓ Adam Armstrong 79'
-
24
Shea Charles ↓ Joe Aribo 46'
Bench
-
35
Jan Bednarek ↑ 46'
-
4
Flynn Downes ↑ 63'
-
10
Che Adams ↑ 63'
- 13
-
7
Joe Aribo ↑ 46'
-
9
Adam Armstrong ↑ 79'
- 19
- 3
- 20
Coach
Russell Martin
Stoke City FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 16
-
10
Tyrese Campbell ↓ Niall Ennis 69'
-
3
Enda Stevens ↓ Wouter Burger 73'
- 15
- 1
- 17
-
25
Luke Cundle ↓ Lewis Baker 84'
- 23
- 42
- 28
-
22
Joon-ho Bae ↓ Andre Vidigal 84'
Bench
-
8
Lewis Baker ↑ 84'
- 13
-
6
Wouter Burger ↑ 73'
-
7
Andre Vidigal ↑ 84'
-
14
Niall Ennis ↑ 69'
- 5
-
24
Junior Tchamadeu ↑ 84'
- 35
- 30
Coach
Paul Gallagher
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Stuart Armstrong | 1 |
| Tyrese Campbell | 1 |
Head to Head
Southampton FC Form
Stoke City FC Form
2024-04-27
Southampton FC
0–1
Stoke City FC
W
2024-04-20
Stoke City FC
3–0
Plymouth Argyle FC
W
2024-04-13
Sheffield Wednesday FC
1–1
Stoke City FC
D
2024-04-10
Swansea City AFC
3–0
Stoke City FC
L
2024-04-06
Stoke City FC
2–2
West Bromwich Albion FC
D
2024-04-01
Stoke City FC
1–1
Huddersfield Town AFC
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.51
Southampton FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.87
Stoke City FC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 58%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Stoke City FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.38
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 69% |
|
31% |
| ± 2.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
| ± 3.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
| ± 4.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
Double Chance
Southampton FC or Draw
76%
Draw or Stoke City FC
53%
Southampton FC or Stoke City FC
71%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Stoke City FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13%
1 – 0
13%
0 – 0
11.4%
2 – 0
10.2%
2 – 1
8.9%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
5.1%
3 – 0
5.1%
3 – 1
4.5%
2 – 2
3.9%
0 – 2
3.4%
3 – 2
2.1%
Asian Handicap — Southampton FC
| Handicap | Southampton FC covers | Push | Stoke City FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 16% | 74% |
| -1.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| -1 | 26% | 24% | 49% |
| -0.5 | 51% | — | 49% |
| +0.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +1 | 80% | 13% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
42%
✓
Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
23%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.