Southampton FC vs Watford FC, Championship 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Southampton FC vs Watford FC — Championship at Saint Mary's.
- Southampton FC 15 games · 24 pts (2026/27)
- Watford FC 15 games · 15 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Josh Smith (England)
- Assistant 1 Matthew Jones
- Assistant 2 Sam Lewis (England)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Birmingham City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough FC | 15 | 29 |
| 3 | Stoke City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 15 | 28 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 15 | 28 |
| 6 | Swansea City AFC | 15 | 26 |
| 7 | Southampton FC | 15 | 24 |
| 8 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 15 | 24 |
| 9 | West Ham United FC | 15 | 23 |
| 10 | Sheffield United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 11 | Portsmouth FC | 15 | 22 |
| 12 | Norwich City FC | 15 | 21 |
| 13 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 15 | 21 |
| 14 | Cardiff City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 15 | Wrexham AFC | 15 | 18 |
| 16 | Millwall FC | 15 | 18 |
| 17 | Bristol City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 18 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 15 | 17 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 15 | 17 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 15 | 15 |
| 21 | Lincoln City FC | 15 | 15 |
| 22 | Burnley FC | 15 | 10 |
| 23 | Derby County FC | 15 | 10 |
| 24 | Preston North End FC | 15 | 8 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr | Watford FC | H | 3–2 | W |
| 09 Apr | Coventry City FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 06 Apr | Blackburn Rovers FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 01 Apr | Ipswich Town FC | A | 2–3 | L |
| 29 Mar | Middlesbrough FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 09 Mar | Sunderland AFC | H | 4–2 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr | Southampton FC | A | 2–3 | L |
| 10 Apr | Ipswich Town FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 06 Apr | Preston North End FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 01 Apr | West Bromwich Albion FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 29 Mar | Leeds United FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 16 Mar | Birmingham City FC | A | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Southampton FC | Watford FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #7 | Position | #20 |
| 24 | Points | 15 |
| 15 | Played | 15 |
| 8 / 4 / 3 | W / D / L | 4 / 3 / 8 |
| 29 | Scored | 13 |
| 15 | Conceded | 23 |
| +14 | GD | -10 |
| 1.60 | PPG | 1.00 |
| 53% | Win % | 27% |
Key Stats
77%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
H2H (13 games)
54%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
20%
Clean Sheets
Southampton FC this season
Southampton FC this season
20%
Clean Sheets
Watford FC this season
Watford FC this season
Southampton FC are 7th (24 pts). Watford FC are 20th (15 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Southampton FC
0-15
5/2
16-30
2/4
31-45
6/2
46-60
6/2
61-75
3/2
76+
7/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Watford FC
0-15
3/4
16-30
3/4
31-45
–/6
46-60
2/3
61-75
1/2
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Southampton FC
| Cyle Larin | 7 G | |
| Kuryu Matsuki | 4 G | 1 A |
| Finn Azaz | 3 G | 5 A |
| Leo Scienza | 2 G | 2 A |
Watford FC
| Amin Nabizada | 3 G |
| Iker Bravo | 1 G |
| Luca Kjerrumgaard | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Southampton FC and Watford FC get this one started.
- 1' What a moment for William Smallbone! That strike on 1 puts his side firmly in control.
- 6' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 11' It is a cagey affair so far. Southampton FC in their 4-3-3 trying to find a way past Watford FC's compact 4-2-3-1.
- 16' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 20' Magnificent from Che Adams! That is 87 goals in 398 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 25' Both keepers have barely been tested. Southampton FC and Watford FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 30' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 34' Ryan Porteous has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 34 minutes.
- 39' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 40' That looks like a foul for a card for Wesley Hoedt.
- 45' With 0 assists to his name this season, Tom Dele-Bashiru is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Watford FC.
- 46' Ismael Kone gets the nod from Watford FC. He replaces Tom Dele-Bashiru and will look to change the dynamic.
- 51' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Southampton FC and Watford FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 55' Ryan Porteous is having his name booked by the referee on 55.
- 56' Ryan Fraser has so much to prove this time. He replaces David Brooks on 56 minute.
- 61' The Watford FC bench stirs into life. Jamal Lewis is withdrawn and James Morris gets his opportunity.
- 62' Ryan Andrews is ready to make an impact after coming on for Matthew Pollock at the 62 minute mark.
- 67' A quiet spell here at Saint Mary's. Watford FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 70' That is a card for Watford FC. Edo Kayembe will be fuming at that decision.
- 71' Southampton FC make a change. James Bree trudges off to be replaced by Ryan Manning on 71 minutes.
- 75' The referee calls foul for Ryan Fraser. He receives a card.
- 78' Watford FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Mileta Rajovic is hanging Vakoun Issouf Bayo on the field on 78 minute.
- 79' It is a substitution in Southampton FC team. Che Adams is replaced by Sekou Mara on 79 minute.
- 80' The crowd applauds William Smallbone as he leaves the pitch. Jan Bednarek steps in for Southampton FC.
- 85' A stunning finish from Ismael Kone — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 90' Southampton FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- Southampton FC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
Southampton FC Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
-
36
David Brooks ↓ Ryan Fraser 56'
- 5
- 2
- 4
-
10
Che Adams ↓ Sekou Mara 79'
-
14
James Bree ↓ Ryan Manning 71'
-
7
Joe Aribo ↓ Stuart Armstrong 56'
- 9
- 31
- 21
- 16
Bench
-
26
Ryan Fraser ↑ 56'
-
35
Jan Bednarek ↑ 80'
-
17
Stuart Armstrong ↑ 56'
- 13
- 19
-
3
Ryan Manning ↑ 71'
- 20
-
18
Sekou Mara ↑ 79'
- 23
Coach
Russell Martin
Watford FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 25
- 4
-
6
Jamal Lewis ↓ James Morris 61'
- 1
- 5
- 39
- 16
- 19
-
15
Matthew Pollock ↓ Ryan Andrews 62'
-
24
Tom Dele-Bashiru ↓ Ismael Kone 46'
- 18
Bench
- 26
- 8
- 7
- 3
-
37
Matheus Martins ↑ 62'
-
11
Ismael Kone ↑ 46'
-
42
James Morris ↑ 61'
-
45
Ryan Andrews ↑ 62'
-
9
Mileta Rajovic ↑ 78'
Coach
Tom Cleverley
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Che Adams | 5 |
| Danny Ings | 3 |
| James Ward-Prowse | 2 |
| Sekou Mara | 2 |
| Juan Hernandez | 2 |
| Ismaila Sarr | 1 |
| William Smallbone | 1 |
| Matheus Martins | 1 |
Head to Head
Southampton FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.14
Southampton FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.97
Watford FC xG
I would bet for:
Southampton FC to win 61% + Over 2.5 goals 59%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Southampton FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.11
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 2.5 | 59% |
|
41% |
| ± 3.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
| ± 4.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
Double Chance
Southampton FC or Draw
83%
Draw or Watford FC
39%
Southampton FC or Watford FC
78%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Southampton FC win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 3–2 not predicted3 – 2Actual
2 – 0
10.2%
1 – 1
10%
2 – 1
9.5%
1 – 0
9%
3 – 0
7.1%
3 – 1
6.8%
0 – 0
6%
2 – 2
4.6%
1 – 2
4.3%
4 – 0
3.8%
4 – 1
3.7%
0 – 1
3.6%
Asian Handicap — Southampton FC
| Handicap | Southampton FC covers | Push | Watford FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| -2 | 21% | 19% | 60% |
| -1.5 | 40% | — | 60% |
| -1 | 40% | 23% | 37% |
| -0.5 | 63% | — | 37% |
| +0.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +1 | 85% | 10% | 5% |
| +1.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
| +2 | 95% | 4% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
39%
✓
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
13%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

