Southampton FC vs Watford FC, Championship 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Southampton FC vs Watford FC — Championship at Saint Mary's.
- Southampton FC 46 games · 80 pts (2026/27)
- Watford FC 46 games · 57 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Josh Smith (England)
- Assistant 1 Matthew Jones
- Assistant 2 Sam Lewis (England)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry City FC | 46 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich Town FC | 46 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall FC | 46 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton FC | 46 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough FC | 46 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull City AFC | 46 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham AFC | 46 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby County FC | 46 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich City FC | 46 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 46 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea City AFC | 46 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City FC | 46 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield United FC | 46 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston North End FC | 46 | 60 |
| 15 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 46 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford FC | 46 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke City FC | 46 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth FC | 46 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 46 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 46 | 52 |
| 21 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 46 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford United FC | 46 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester City FC | 46 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 46 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr | Watford FC | H | 3–2 | W |
| 09 Apr | Coventry City FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 06 Apr | Blackburn Rovers FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 01 Apr | Ipswich Town FC | A | 2–3 | L |
| 29 Mar | Middlesbrough FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 09 Mar | Sunderland AFC | H | 4–2 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr | Southampton FC | A | 2–3 | L |
| 10 Apr | Ipswich Town FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 06 Apr | Preston North End FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 01 Apr | West Bromwich Albion FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 29 Mar | Leeds United FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 16 Mar | Birmingham City FC | A | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Southampton FC | Watford FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #16 |
| 80 | Points | 57 |
| 46 | Played | 46 |
| 22 / 14 / 10 | W / D / L | 14 / 15 / 17 |
| 82 | Scored | 53 |
| 56 | Conceded | 65 |
| +26 | GD | -12 |
| 1.74 | PPG | 1.24 |
| 48% | Win % | 30% |
Key Stats
75%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
H2H (12 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Southampton FC are 4th (80 pts). Watford FC are 16th (57 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Saint Mary's!
- 1' William Smallbone has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 1 minutes.
- 6' Southampton FC have won 417 goals from 348 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 11' Southampton FC are deployed in a 4-3-3 today, looking to exploit space against Watford FC's 4-2-3-1 shape.
- 16' Vakoun Issouf Bayo is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Watford FC so far.
- 20' Che Adams has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 20 minutes.
- 25' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 30' Watford FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 34' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Ryan Porteous makes it 2-1.
- 39' It looks like no one’s ball. Watford FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 40' A moment of madness from Wesley Hoedt on 40 minutes earns him a card. Watford FC will be frustrated.
- 45' Southampton FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 46' Watford FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ismael Kone is hanging Tom Dele-Bashiru on the field on 46 minute.
- 51' named a 4-3-3 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 55' A meaty challenge results in booking for Ryan Porteous on 55.
- 56' Another change for Southampton FC made on 56 minute. David Brooks leaves to be changed by Ryan Fraser.
- 61' James Morris has so much to prove this time. He replaces Jamal Lewis on 61 minute.
- 62' Another substitution for Watford FC to replace Matthew Pollock by Ryan Andrews on 62 minute.
- 67' The travelling Watford FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 70' It’s a booking for Watford FC player. Edo Kayembe gets a card.
- 71' It is a substitution in Southampton FC team. James Bree is replaced by Ryan Manning on 71 minute.
- 75' A meaty challenge results in booking for Ryan Fraser on 75.
- 78' The whistle greets Vakoun Issouf Bayo as he departs to be replaced by Mileta Rajovic.
- 79' The Southampton FC bench stirs into life. Che Adams is withdrawn and Sekou Mara gets his opportunity.
- 80' The Southampton FC manager makes a substitution. William Smallbone departs to be replaced by Jan Bednarek.
- 85' The Canada Ismael Kone breaks the deadlock on 85 minutes. 2-2!
- 90' Southampton FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Southampton FC players.
Lineups
Southampton FC Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
-
36
David Brooks ↓ Ryan Fraser 56'
- 5
- 2
- 4
-
10
Che Adams ↓ Sekou Mara 79'
-
14
James Bree ↓ Ryan Manning 71'
-
7
Joe Aribo ↓ Stuart Armstrong 56'
- 9
- 31
- 21
- 16
Bench
-
26
Ryan Fraser ↑ 56'
-
35
Jan Bednarek ↑ 80'
-
17
Stuart Armstrong ↑ 56'
- 13
- 19
-
3
Ryan Manning ↑ 71'
- 20
-
18
Sekou Mara ↑ 79'
- 23
Coach
Russell Martin
Watford FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 25
- 4
-
6
Jamal Lewis ↓ James Morris 61'
- 1
- 5
- 39
- 16
- 19
-
15
Matthew Pollock ↓ Ryan Andrews 62'
-
24
Tom Dele-Bashiru ↓ Ismael Kone 46'
- 18
Bench
- 26
- 8
- 7
- 3
-
37
Matheus Martins ↑ 62'
-
11
Ismael Kone ↑ 46'
-
42
James Morris ↑ 61'
-
45
Ryan Andrews ↑ 62'
-
9
Mileta Rajovic ↑ 78'
Coach
Tom Cleverley
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Che Adams | 5 |
| Danny Ings | 3 |
| Juan Hernandez | 2 |
| James Ward-Prowse | 2 |
| Sekou Mara | 2 |
| Mohamed Elyounoussi | 1 |
| Jose Holebas | 1 |
| Rhys Healey | 1 |
Head to Head
Southampton FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.1
Southampton FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.2
Watford FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 63% + Both teams to score 61%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Southampton FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.3
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 2.5 | 63% |
|
37% |
| ± 3.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
| ± 4.5 | 24% |
|
76% |
Double Chance
Southampton FC or Draw
79%
Draw or Watford FC
44%
Southampton FC or Watford FC
77%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Southampton FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.1%
2 – 1
9.4%
2 – 0
8.1%
1 – 0
7.2%
3 – 1
6.6%
2 – 2
5.6%
3 – 0
5.5%
1 – 2
5.4%
0 – 0
5.2%
3 – 2
Actual
0 – 1
3.8%
4 – 1
3.5%
Asian Handicap — Southampton FC
| Handicap | Southampton FC covers | Push | Watford FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -2 | 18% | 17% | 65% |
| -1.5 | 35% | — | 65% |
| -1 | 35% | 22% | 43% |
| -0.5 | 57% | — | 43% |
| +0.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +1 | 80% | 12% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 6% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
31%
✓
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
13%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

