Thursday , 2 July 2026

Southampton FC vs Watford FC, Championship 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2023-24
Sat 13 Apr 2024 · 14:00 UTC Saint Mary's HT 45' · FT 45'
Che Adams 20' 2–0
2–1 34' Ryan Porteous
2–2 85' Ismael Kone
Flynn Downes 90+10' 3–2

Overview

Match Preview

Southampton FC vs Watford FCChampionship at Saint Mary's.

Match Details

  • Referee Josh Smith (England)
  • Assistant 1 Matthew Jones
  • Assistant 2 Sam Lewis (England)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Apr Watford FC H 3–2 W
09 Apr Coventry City FC H 2–1 W
06 Apr Blackburn Rovers FC A 0–0 D
01 Apr Ipswich Town FC A 2–3 L
29 Mar Middlesbrough FC H 1–1 D
09 Mar Sunderland AFC H 4–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Apr Southampton FC A 2–3 L
10 Apr Ipswich Town FC A 0–0 D
06 Apr Preston North End FC H 0–0 D
01 Apr West Bromwich Albion FC A 2–2 D
29 Mar Leeds United FC H 2–2 D
16 Mar Birmingham City FC A 1–0 W

Season Stats

Southampton FC Watford FC
#4 Position #16
80 Points 57
46 Played 46
22 / 14 / 10 W / D / L 14 / 15 / 17
82 Scored 53
56 Conceded 65
+26 GD -12
1.74 PPG 1.24
48% Win % 30%

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Southampton FC are 4th (80 pts). Watford FC are 16th (57 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Saint Mary's!
  • 1' William Smallbone has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 1 minutes.
  • 6' Southampton FC have won 417 goals from 348 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 11' Southampton FC are deployed in a 4-3-3 today, looking to exploit space against Watford FC's 4-2-3-1 shape.
  • 16' Vakoun Issouf Bayo is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Watford FC so far.
  • 20' Che Adams has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 20 minutes.
  • 25' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 30' Watford FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 34' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Ryan Porteous makes it 2-1.
  • 39' It looks like no one’s ball. Watford FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 40' A moment of madness from Wesley Hoedt on 40 minutes earns him a card. Watford FC will be frustrated.
  • 45' Southampton FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 46' Watford FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ismael Kone is hanging Tom Dele-Bashiru on the field on 46 minute.
  • 51' named a 4-3-3 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 55' A meaty challenge results in booking for Ryan Porteous on 55.
  • 56' Another change for Southampton FC made on 56 minute. David Brooks leaves to be changed by Ryan Fraser.
  • 61' James Morris has so much to prove this time. He replaces Jamal Lewis on 61 minute.
  • 62' Another substitution for Watford FC to replace Matthew Pollock by Ryan Andrews on 62 minute.
  • 67' The travelling Watford FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 70' It’s a booking for Watford FC player. Edo Kayembe gets a card.
  • 71' It is a substitution in Southampton FC team. James Bree is replaced by Ryan Manning on 71 minute.
  • 75' A meaty challenge results in booking for Ryan Fraser on 75.
  • 78' The whistle greets Vakoun Issouf Bayo as he departs to be replaced by Mileta Rajovic.
  • 79' The Southampton FC bench stirs into life. Che Adams is withdrawn and Sekou Mara gets his opportunity.
  • 80' The Southampton FC manager makes a substitution. William Smallbone departs to be replaced by Jan Bednarek.
  • 85' The Canada Ismael Kone breaks the deadlock on 85 minutes. 2-2!
  • 90' Southampton FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Southampton FC players.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.1 Southampton FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.2 Watford FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 63% + Both teams to score 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Southampton FC56% Draw23% Watford FC21%
Actual: Southampton FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.3
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 63%
37%
± 3.5 42%
58%
± 4.5 24%
76%

Double Chance

Southampton FC or Draw
79%
Draw or Watford FC
44%
Southampton FC or Watford FC
77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Southampton FC42% Draw41% Watford FC17%
Actual: Southampton FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.1%
2 – 1
9.4%
2 – 0
8.1%
1 – 0
7.2%
3 – 1
6.6%
2 – 2
5.6%
3 – 0
5.5%
1 – 2
5.4%
0 – 0
5.2%
3 – 2
Actual
0 – 1
3.8%
4 – 1
3.5%

Asian Handicap — Southampton FC

Handicap Southampton FC covers Push Watford FC covers
-2.5 18% 82%
-2 18% 17% 65%
-1.5 35% 65%
-1 35% 22% 43%
-0.5 57% 43%
+0.5 80% 20%
+1 80% 12% 8%
+1.5 92% 8%
+2 92% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
31%
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
13%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.