Middlesbrough FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Championship · 2025-26

Middlesbrough FC

2 – 1

Full Time

Derby County FC

Sat 29 Nov 2025 · 15:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Middlesbrough FC vs Derby County FC — Championship .

Middlesbrough FC 8 games · 15 pts (2026/27)
Derby County FC 8 games · 5 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee James Linington

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Swansea City AFC	8	17
2	West Ham United FC	8	15
3	Middlesbrough FC	8	15
4	Wolverhampton Wanderers FC	7	14
5	West Bromwich Albion FC	8	14
6	Queens Park Rangers FC	8	13
7	Stoke City FC	8	13
8	Bristol City FC	8	13
9	Charlton Athletic FC	8	12
10	Birmingham City FC	8	11
11	Millwall FC	8	11
12	Lincoln City FC	8	11
13	Southampton FC	8	10
14	Wrexham AFC	8	10
15	Bolton Wanderers FC	8	10
16	Blackburn Rovers FC	8	9
17	Norwich City FC	8	9
18	Sheffield United FC	8	9
19	Portsmouth FC	7	8
20	Watford FC	8	8
21	Cardiff City FC	8	7
22	Derby County FC	8	5
23	Preston North End FC	8	4
24	Burnley FC	8	4

Head-to-Head

Middlesbrough FC 12 games · Avg 2.3 goals Derby County FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-11-29 Middlesbrough FC 2–1 Derby County FC 2025-03-01 Middlesbrough FC 1–0 Derby County FC 2024-08-17 Derby County FC 1–0 Middlesbrough FC 2022-02-12 Middlesbrough FC 4–1 Derby County FC 2021-08-21 Derby County FC 0–0 Middlesbrough FC

Recent Form

Middlesbrough FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
29 Nov	Derby County FC	H	2–1	W
25 Nov	Coventry City FC	H	2–4	L
22 Nov	Oxford United FC	A	1–1	D
08 Nov	Birmingham City FC	H	2–1	W
04 Nov	Leicester City FC	A	1–1	D
01 Nov	Watford FC	A	0–3	L

Derby County FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
29 Nov	Middlesbrough FC	A	1–2	L
25 Nov	Swansea City AFC	A	2–1	W
22 Nov	Watford FC	H	2–3	L
08 Nov	Blackburn Rovers FC	A	2–1	W
04 Nov	Hull City AFC	H	2–1	W
01 Nov	Sheffield United FC	A	3–1	W

Season Stats

Middlesbrough FC		Derby County FC
#3	Position	#22
15	Points	5
8	Played	8
4 / 3 / 1	W / D / L	1 / 2 / 5
16	Scored	7
12	Conceded	14
+4	GD	-7
1.88	PPG	0.63
50%	Win %	13%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)

42% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

13% Clean Sheets
Middlesbrough FC this season

13% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

Middlesbrough FC are 3rd (15 pts). Derby County FC are 22nd (5 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Middlesbrough FC

0-15

3/3

16-30

2/–

31-45

2/1

46-60

2/4

61-75

3/3

76+

4/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Derby County FC

0-15

–/2

16-30

3/2

31-45

1/4

46-60

1/–

61-75

1/2

76+

1/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Middlesbrough FC

William Lankshear

6 G

Derby County FC

Bobby Clark	2 G	2 A
Samuel Szmodics	2 G	1 A
Carlton Morris	1 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' The wait is over. Derby County FC get us underway at .
The points are shared — Middlesbrough FC 2-1 Derby County FC. Honours even.

Lineups

Middlesbrough FC Lineups

Derby County FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Tom Lawrence	2
Lee Buchanan	1
Matt Clarke	1
Kayden Jackson	1
Marvin Johnson	1
Finn Azaz	1
Jayden Bogle	1
Britt Assombalonga	1

Head to Head

Middlesbrough FC Form

2025-11-29 Middlesbrough FC 2–1 Derby County FC W 2025-11-25 Middlesbrough FC 2–4 Coventry City FC L 2025-11-22 Oxford United FC 1–1 Middlesbrough FC D 2025-11-08 Middlesbrough FC 2–1 Birmingham City FC W 2025-11-04 Leicester City FC 1–1 Middlesbrough FC D 2025-11-01 Watford FC 3–0 Middlesbrough FC L

Derby County FC Form

2025-11-29 Middlesbrough FC 2–1 Derby County FC L 2025-11-25 Swansea City AFC 1–2 Derby County FC W 2025-11-22 Derby County FC 2–3 Watford FC L 2025-11-08 Blackburn Rovers FC 1–2 Derby County FC W 2025-11-04 Derby County FC 2–1 Hull City AFC W 2025-11-01 Sheffield United FC 1–3 Derby County FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

2.2 Middlesbrough FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.17 Derby County FC xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 64% + Both teams to score 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Middlesbrough FC57% Draw22% Derby County FC21%

Actual: Middlesbrough FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes61% 0% No39%

Avg goals/match: 3.37

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	95%	5%
± 1.5	85%	15%
± 2.5	64%	36%
± 3.5	43%	57%
± 4.5	25%	75%

Double Chance

Middlesbrough FC or Draw

80%

Draw or Derby County FC

43%

Middlesbrough FC or Derby County FC

78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Middlesbrough FC43% Draw40% Derby County FC17%

Actual: Derby County FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

9.7%

2 – 1

Actual

2 – 0

8.3%

1 – 0

7.1%

3 – 1

6.8%

3 – 0

5.9%

2 – 2

5.5%

1 – 2

0 – 0

4.9%

3 – 2

4 – 1

3.8%

0 – 1

3.4%

Asian Handicap — Middlesbrough FC

Handicap	Middlesbrough FC covers	Push	Derby County FC covers
-2.5	20%	—	80%
-2	20%	18%	62%
-1.5	38%	—	62%
-1	38%	22%	41%
-0.5	59%	—	41%
+0.5	81%	—	19%
+1	81%	11%	7%
+1.5	93%	—	7%
+2	93%	5%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet

32% ✓

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet

12% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.