Watford FC vs Stoke City FC, Championship 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Watford FC vs Stoke City FC — Championship at Vicarage Road Stadium.
- Watford FC 8 games · 8 pts (2026/27)
- Stoke City FC 8 games · 13 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea City AFC | 8 | 17 |
| 2 | West Ham United FC | 8 | 15 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough FC | 8 | 15 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 7 | 14 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 8 | 14 |
| 6 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 8 | 13 |
| 7 | Stoke City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 8 | Bristol City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 9 | Charlton Athletic FC | 8 | 12 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 11 | Millwall FC | 8 | 11 |
| 12 | Lincoln City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 13 | Southampton FC | 8 | 10 |
| 14 | Wrexham AFC | 8 | 10 |
| 15 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 8 | 10 |
| 16 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 8 | 9 |
| 17 | Norwich City FC | 8 | 9 |
| 18 | Sheffield United FC | 8 | 9 |
| 19 | Portsmouth FC | 7 | 8 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 8 | 8 |
| 21 | Cardiff City FC | 8 | 7 |
| 22 | Derby County FC | 8 | 5 |
| 23 | Preston North End FC | 8 | 4 |
| 24 | Burnley FC | 8 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May | Stoke City FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 29 Apr | Sunderland AFC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 22 Apr | Hull City AFC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 19 Apr | Cardiff City FC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 15 Apr | Bristol City FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 10 Apr | Coventry City FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May | Watford FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 29 Apr | Queens Park Rangers FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 22 Apr | Cardiff City FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 18 Apr | Wigan Athletic FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 15 Apr | West Bromwich Albion FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 10 Apr | Birmingham City FC | A | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| Watford FC | Stoke City FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #20 | Position | #7 |
| 8 | Points | 13 |
| 8 | Played | 8 |
| 2 / 2 / 4 | W / D / L | 4 / 1 / 3 |
| 7 | Scored | 13 |
| 10 | Conceded | 12 |
| -3 | GD | +1 |
| 1.00 | PPG | 1.63 |
| 25% | Win % | 50% |
Key Stats
45%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
H2H (11 games)
55%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Watford FC this season
Watford FC this season
25%
Clean Sheets
Stoke City FC this season
Stoke City FC this season
Watford FC are 20th (8 pts). Stoke City FC are 7th (13 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Watford FC
0-15
2/2
16-30
2/2
31-45
–/3
46-60
–/2
61-75
1/–
76+
2/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Stoke City FC
0-15
4/1
16-30
4/3
31-45
2/–
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/2
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Watford FC
| Amin Nabizada | 3 G |
| Iker Bravo | 1 G |
| Luca Kjerrumgaard | 1 G |
Stoke City FC
| Ethan Galbraith | 4 G | 1 A |
| Eric Bocat | 2 G | 2 A |
| Sam Gallagher | 2 G | 1 A |
| Justin Devenny | 2 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. Watford FC kicks off things out of here…
- 5' Watford FC is showing some good football. However, Watford FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 10' The home supporters are growing impatient. Watford FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 15' Matija Sarkic needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 20' Stoke City FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 25' Ismael Kone is a natural midfielder and has been asked to do a very specific job for Watford FC tonight.
- 30' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 35' Tyrese Campbell, a England , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 40' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 45' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 50' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 52' Stoke City FC player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
- 57' Stoke City FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 62' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Josh Tymon made 384 appearances and scored 5 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 66' Fresh legs for Watford FC! Henrique Araujo comes on to replace Ismael Kone.
- 67' James Morris gets the nod from Watford FC. He replaces Christian Kabasele and will look to change the dynamic.
- 70' A goal from the Morocco international Imran Louza! He fires home on 70 to make it 1-0!
- 71' Magnificent from Imran Louza! That is 21 goals in 430 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 74' A stunning finish from Keinan Davis — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 75' Keinan Davis adds to his 0 season tally! Watford FC lead 4-0 — and this changes everything.
- 76' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Josh Tymon on 76 minutes.
- 78' Lewis Baker gets the nod from Stoke City FC. He replaces Jordan Thompson and will look to change the dynamic.
- 83' Watford FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 85' The whistle greets Ismaila Sarr as he departs to be replaced by Adrian Blake.
- 86' The Watford FC manager makes a substitution. Ken Sema departs to be replaced by Jack Grieves.
- 89' Stoke City FC make a change. Tyrese Campbell trudges off to be replaced by Connor Taylor on 89 minutes.
- 90' Fresh legs for Watford FC! Leandro Bacuna comes on to replace Keinan Davis.
- Watford FC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
Watford FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 4
-
12
Ken Sema ↓ Jack Grieves 86'
- 27
- 44
-
7
Keinan Davis ↓ Leandro Bacuna 90'
-
23
Ismaila Sarr ↓ Adrian Blake 85'
- 1
- 22
- 6
-
11
Ismael Kone ↓ Henrique Araujo 66'
- 57
Bench
-
25
Leandro Bacuna ↑ 90'
- 26
- 2
-
42
James Morris ↑ 67'
-
21
Henrique Araujo ↑ 66'
-
50
Adrian Blake ↑ 85'
-
53
Jack Grieves ↑ 86'
Coach
Chris Wilder
Stoke City FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 6
-
10
Tyrese Campbell ↓ Connor Taylor 89'
- 22
- 3
- 1
-
15
Jordan Thompson ↓ Lewis Baker 78'
-
25
Nick Powell ↓ Dwight Gayle 89'
- 28
- 20
- 14
- 18
Bench
- 34
-
11
Dwight Gayle ↑ 89'
-
8
Lewis Baker ↑ 78'
- 49
-
32
Connor Taylor ↑ 89'
- 52
Coach
Alex Neil
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Keinan Davis | 4 |
| Ismaila Sarr | 3 |
| Edo Kayembe | 2 |
| Imran Louza | 2 |
| Steven Fletcher | 2 |
| Tom Cleverley | 1 |
| Ryan Andrews | 1 |
| Joao Pedro | 1 |
Head to Head
Watford FC Form
Stoke City FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.54
Watford FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.01
Stoke City FC xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Watford FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.55
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 2.5 | 46% |
|
54% |
| ± 3.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
Watford FC or Draw
79%
Draw or Stoke City FC
47%
Watford FC or Stoke City FC
74%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13%
1 – 0
11%
0 – 0
9.8%
2 – 1
9%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
6.8%
1 – 2
5.9%
3 – 1
4.7%
2 – 2
4.6%
3 – 0
4.5%
0 – 2
3.9%
3 – 2
2.5%
Asian Handicap — Watford FC
| Handicap | Watford FC covers | Push | Stoke City FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 15% | 75% |
| -1.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| -1 | 25% | 23% | 52% |
| -0.5 | 48% | — | 52% |
| +0.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +1 | 76% | 15% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 6% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
37%
✗
Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.