Watford FC vs Stoke City FC, Championship 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Watford FC vs Stoke City FC — Championship at Vicarage Road Stadium.
- Watford FC 46 games · 57 pts (2026/27)
- Stoke City FC 46 games · 55 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry City FC | 46 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich Town FC | 46 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall FC | 46 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton FC | 46 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough FC | 46 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull City AFC | 46 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham AFC | 46 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby County FC | 46 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich City FC | 46 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 46 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea City AFC | 46 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City FC | 46 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield United FC | 46 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston North End FC | 46 | 60 |
| 15 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 46 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford FC | 46 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke City FC | 46 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth FC | 46 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 46 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 46 | 52 |
| 21 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 46 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford United FC | 46 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester City FC | 46 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 46 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May | Stoke City FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 29 Apr | Sunderland AFC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 22 Apr | Hull City AFC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 19 Apr | Cardiff City FC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 15 Apr | Bristol City FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 10 Apr | Coventry City FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May | Watford FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 29 Apr | Queens Park Rangers FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 22 Apr | Cardiff City FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 18 Apr | Wigan Athletic FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 15 Apr | West Bromwich Albion FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 10 Apr | Birmingham City FC | A | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| Watford FC | Stoke City FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #16 | Position | #17 |
| 57 | Points | 55 |
| 46 | Played | 46 |
| 14 / 15 / 17 | W / D / L | 15 / 10 / 21 |
| 53 | Scored | 51 |
| 65 | Conceded | 56 |
| -12 | GD | -5 |
| 1.24 | PPG | 1.20 |
| 30% | Win % | 33% |
Key Stats
40%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Watford FC are 16th (57 pts). Stoke City FC are 17th (55 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Watford FC and Stoke City FC has kicked off!
- 5' It looks surprising Stoke City FC does not make any changes. Joshua Laurent has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 10' Morgan Fox is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Stoke City FC tonight.
- 15' Supporters expect more eagerness from Lewis Baker, as he is very good at scoring at Vicarage Road Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 20' Stoke City FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 25' Stoke City FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 30' Christian Kabasele has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 13 cards already picked up this season.
- 35' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 35 minutes.
- 40' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 45' Northern Ireland international Jordan Thompson has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 50' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 52' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Ben Pearson.
- 57' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 62' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 66' A tactical swap from Watford FC — Henrique Araujo on, Ismael Kone off on 66 minutes.
- 67' The whistle greets Christian Kabasele as he departs to be replaced by James Morris.
- 70' GOAL! Imran Louza fires home to make it 1-0!
- 71' What a strike from Imran Louza! The score is 2-0.
- 74' Keinan Davis has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 74 minutes.
- 75' GOAL! Keinan Davis scores on 75.
- 76' Poor challenge from Josh Tymon. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
- 78' A tactical swap from Stoke City FC — Lewis Baker on, Jordan Thompson off on 78 minutes.
- 83' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 85' The whistle greets Ismaila Sarr as he departs to be replaced by Adrian Blake.
- 86' The Watford FC bench stirs into life. Ken Sema is withdrawn and Jack Grieves gets his opportunity.
- 89' Connor Taylor has so much to prove this time. He replaces Tyrese Campbell on 89 minute.
- 90' The Watford FC manager makes a substitution. Keinan Davis departs to be replaced by Leandro Bacuna.
- It finishes all square. Watford FC and Stoke City FC share the spoils 2-0.
Lineups
Watford FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 4
-
12
Ken Sema ↓ Jack Grieves 86'
- 27
- 44
-
7
Keinan Davis ↓ Leandro Bacuna 90'
-
23
Ismaila Sarr ↓ Adrian Blake 85'
- 1
- 22
- 6
-
11
Ismael Kone ↓ Henrique Araujo 66'
- 57
Bench
-
25
Leandro Bacuna ↑ 90'
- 26
- 2
-
42
James Morris ↑ 67'
-
21
Henrique Araujo ↑ 66'
-
50
Adrian Blake ↑ 85'
-
53
Jack Grieves ↑ 86'
Coach
Chris Wilder
Stoke City FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 6
-
10
Tyrese Campbell ↓ Connor Taylor 89'
- 22
- 3
- 1
-
15
Jordan Thompson ↓ Lewis Baker 78'
-
25
Nick Powell ↓ Dwight Gayle 89'
- 28
- 20
- 14
- 18
Bench
- 34
-
11
Dwight Gayle ↑ 89'
-
8
Lewis Baker ↑ 78'
- 49
-
32
Connor Taylor ↑ 89'
- 52
Coach
Alex Neil
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Keinan Davis | 4 |
| Ismaila Sarr | 3 |
| Steven Fletcher | 2 |
| Edo Kayembe | 2 |
| Imran Louza | 2 |
| Andre Vidigal | 1 |
| Ryan Mmaee | 1 |
| Nick Powell | 1 |
Head to Head
Watford FC Form
Stoke City FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.64
Watford FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.92
Stoke City FC xG
I would bet for:
Watford FC to win 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Watford FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.56
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 2.5 | 47% |
|
53% |
| ± 3.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
Watford FC or Draw
82%
Draw or Stoke City FC
43%
Watford FC or Stoke City FC
75%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.5%
1 – 0
11.7%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
9.7%
2 – 1
9.2%
0 – 1
6.1%
3 – 0
5.4%
1 – 2
5.1%
3 – 1
5.1%
2 – 2
4.3%
0 – 2
3.2%
3 – 2
2.4%
Asian Handicap — Watford FC
| Handicap | Watford FC covers | Push | Stoke City FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -2 | 13% | 16% | 71% |
| -1.5 | 29% | — | 71% |
| -1 | 29% | 24% | 47% |
| -0.5 | 53% | — | 47% |
| +0.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +1 | 80% | 13% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
40%
✗
Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.