St. Mirren FC vs Heart of Midlothian FC, Premier League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
St. Mirren FC vs Heart of Midlothian FC — Premier League .
- St. Mirren FC 7 games · 10 pts (2026/27)
- Heart of Midlothian FC 7 games · 13 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Steven McLean
3 games this season
🟨 3.0/game
⚽ 10.7 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic FC | 7 | 18 |
| 2 | Rangers FC | 7 | 16 |
| 3 | Heart of Midlothian FC | 7 | 13 |
| 4 | Dundee FC | 7 | 10 |
| 5 | St. Mirren FC | 7 | 10 |
| 6 | St. Johnstone FC | 7 | 8 |
| 7 | Aberdeen FC | 7 | 8 |
| 8 | Motherwell FC | 7 | 8 |
| 9 | Dundee United FC | 7 | 8 |
| 10 | Hibernian FC | 7 | 7 |
| 11 | Falkirk FC | 7 | 6 |
| 12 | Kilmarnock FC | 7 | 5 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb | Heart of Midlothian FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 31 Jan | Dundee FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Jan | Livingston FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 14 Jan | Heart of Midlothian FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 10 Jan | Falkirk FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 03 Jan | Motherwell FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb | St. Mirren FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 31 Jan | Dundee United FC | A | 3–0 | W |
| 25 Jan | Celtic FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 14 Jan | St. Mirren FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 11 Jan | Dundee FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 03 Jan | Livingston FC | H | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| St. Mirren FC | Heart of Midlothian FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #3 |
| 10 | Points | 13 |
| 7 | Played | 7 |
| 3 / 1 / 3 | W / D / L | 4 / 1 / 2 |
| 8 | Scored | 14 |
| 9 | Conceded | 8 |
| -1 | GD | +6 |
| 1.43 | PPG | 1.86 |
| 43% | Win % | 57% |
Key Stats
48%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (23 games)
H2H (23 games)
43%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
43%
Clean Sheets
St. Mirren FC this season
St. Mirren FC this season
14%
Clean Sheets
Heart of Midlothian FC this season
Heart of Midlothian FC this season
St. Mirren FC are 5th (10 pts). Heart of Midlothian FC are 3rd (13 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
St. Mirren FC
0-15
2/3
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
–/1
61-75
1/1
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Heart of Midlothian FC
0-15
4/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/–
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/1
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
St. Mirren FC
| Killian Phillips | 3 G | |
| Samu Ramos | 1 G | 2 A |
| Declan John | 1 G | |
| Fraser Taylor | 1 G | |
| Paul Nsio | 1 G |
Heart of Midlothian FC
| James Wilson | 3 G | |
| Claudio Braga | 2 G | 2 A |
| Joshua McPake | 1 G | 1 A |
| Calvin Miller | 1 G | |
| Tom Renaud | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' And we are off! St. Mirren FC vs Heart of Midlothian FC — let the football do the talking.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for St. Mirren FC players.
Lineups
St. Mirren FC Lineups
Heart of Midlothian FC Lineups
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Lawrence Shankland | 4 |
| Steven Naismith | 4 |
| Steven Naismith | 3 |
| Ryan Strain | 3 |
| Joe Shaughnessy | 2 |
| James Wilson | 2 |
| Adam Hammill | 2 |
| Kenneth Vargas | 2 |
Head to Head
St. Mirren FC Form
Heart of Midlothian FC Form
2026-02-03
St. Mirren FC
1–0
Heart of Midlothian FC
L
2026-01-31
Dundee United FC
0–3
Heart of Midlothian FC
W
2026-01-25
Heart of Midlothian FC
2–2
Celtic FC
D
2026-01-14
Heart of Midlothian FC
2–0
St. Mirren FC
W
2026-01-11
Dundee FC
0–1
Heart of Midlothian FC
W
2026-01-03
Heart of Midlothian FC
1–0
Livingston FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.88
St. Mirren FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.69
Heart of Midlothian FC xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: St. Mirren FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.57
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 2.5 | 47% |
|
53% |
| ± 3.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
| ± 4.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
Double Chance
St. Mirren FC or Draw
52%
Draw or Heart of Midlothian FC
75%
St. Mirren FC or Heart of Midlothian FC
73%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.2%
0 – 1
12%
0 – 2
10.6%
0 – 0
9.6%
1 – 2
9.3%
0 – 3
5.9%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 3
5.3%
2 – 1
4.8%
2 – 2
4.1%
2 – 0
2.9%
0 – 4
2.5%
Asian Handicap — St. Mirren FC
| Handicap | St. Mirren FC covers | Push | Heart of Midlothian FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 5% | 94% |
| -1.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -1 | 6% | 12% | 82% |
| -0.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| +0.5 | 45% | — | 55% |
| +1 | 45% | 24% | 31% |
| +1.5 | 69% | — | 31% |
| +2 | 69% | 17% | 14% |
| +2.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
Clean Sheet
St. Mirren FC keeps clean sheet
19%
✗
Heart of Midlothian FC keeps clean sheet
42%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

