Millwall FC vs Watford FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Millwall FC vs Watford FC — Championship at The Den.
- Millwall FC 8 games · 11 pts (2026/27)
- Watford FC 8 games · 8 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee John Busby
- Assistant 1 Alex James (England)
- Assistant 2 Bhupinder Gill
4 games this season
🟨 2.3/game
⚽ 8.3 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea City AFC | 8 | 17 |
| 2 | West Ham United FC | 8 | 15 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough FC | 8 | 15 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 7 | 14 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 8 | 14 |
| 6 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 8 | 13 |
| 7 | Stoke City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 8 | Bristol City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 9 | Charlton Athletic FC | 8 | 12 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 11 | Millwall FC | 8 | 11 |
| 12 | Lincoln City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 13 | Southampton FC | 8 | 10 |
| 14 | Wrexham AFC | 8 | 10 |
| 15 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 8 | 10 |
| 16 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 8 | 9 |
| 17 | Norwich City FC | 8 | 9 |
| 18 | Sheffield United FC | 8 | 9 |
| 19 | Portsmouth FC | 7 | 8 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 8 | 8 |
| 21 | Cardiff City FC | 8 | 7 |
| 22 | Derby County FC | 8 | 5 |
| 23 | Preston North End FC | 8 | 4 |
| 24 | Burnley FC | 8 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug | Watford FC | H | 2–3 | L |
| 04 May | Swansea City AFC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 27 Apr | Plymouth Argyle FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Apr | Sunderland AFC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 13 Apr | Cardiff City FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 09 Apr | Leicester City FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug | Millwall FC | A | 3–2 | W |
| 04 May | Middlesbrough FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 27 Apr | Sunderland AFC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Apr | Hull City AFC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 13 Apr | Southampton FC | A | 2–3 | L |
| 10 Apr | Ipswich Town FC | A | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| Millwall FC | Watford FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #11 | Position | #20 |
| 11 | Points | 8 |
| 8 | Played | 8 |
| 3 / 2 / 3 | W / D / L | 2 / 2 / 4 |
| 15 | Scored | 7 |
| 15 | Conceded | 10 |
| +0 | GD | -3 |
| 1.38 | PPG | 1.00 |
| 38% | Win % | 25% |
Key Stats
30%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
38%
Clean Sheets
Millwall FC this season
Millwall FC this season
0%
Clean Sheets
Watford FC this season
Watford FC this season
Millwall FC are 11th (11 pts). Watford FC are 20th (8 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Millwall FC
0-15
2/–
16-30
2/1
31-45
4/2
46-60
3/4
61-75
–/4
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Watford FC
0-15
2/2
16-30
2/2
31-45
–/3
46-60
–/2
61-75
1/–
76+
2/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Millwall FC
| Lyndon Dykes | 4 G | 1 A |
| Tairyk Arconte | 3 G | |
| Josh Coburn | 2 G | |
| Luke Cundle | 1 G |
Watford FC
| Amin Nabizada | 3 G |
| Iker Bravo | 1 G |
| Luca Kjerrumgaard | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Millwall FC and Watford FC has kicked off!
- 5' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 7' The referee has no hesitation. Francisco Sierralta is booked for Watford FC — card on 7.
- 12' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 17' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Neil Harris will be considering his options from the bench.
- 22' The deadlock is broken! Edo Kayembe gets on the scoresheet on 22 minutes.
- 27' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Millwall FC and Watford FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 32' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 37' Joe Bryan has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 5 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 42' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 42 minutes.
- 47' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Millwall FC that had 386 games and scored 408 goals.
- 52' A quiet spell here at The Den. Millwall FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 55' What composure from Giorgi Chakvetadze! The Georgia international strokes it home. 0-2.
- 55' Ryan Leonard catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 55.
- 60' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 62' The whistle greets George Honeyman as he departs to be replaced by Macaulay Langstaff.
- 67' The energy levels are beginning to show. Tom Cleverley might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 72' Ryan Andrews has been relatively quiet despite scoring 7 goals in his last 362 appearances.
- 74' Duncan Watmore adds to his 0 season tally! Millwall FC lead 1-2 — and this changes everything.
- 75' Watford FC make a change. Vakoun Issouf Bayo trudges off to be replaced by Mileta Rajovic on 75 minutes.
- 80' Watford FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 80.
- 84' The crowd applauds Ryan Leonard as he leaves the pitch. Dan McNamara steps in for Millwall FC.
- 86' That is a card for Watford FC. Edo Kayembe will be fuming at that decision.
- 87' The referee shows Millwall FC player a card on 87.
- 88' Duncan Watmore adds to his 0 season tally! Millwall FC lead 2-2 — and this changes everything.
- 90' Mileta Rajovic has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 90 minutes.
- 90' It’s gonna be a card for Mileta Rajovic.
- 90' Another change for Watford FC made on 90 minute. Giorgi Chakvetadze leaves to be changed by Tom Ince.
- The points are shared — Millwall FC 2-3 Watford FC. Honours even.
Lineups
Millwall FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
18
Ryan Leonard ↓ Dan McNamara 84'
-
9
Tom Bradshaw ↓ Kevin Nisbet 84'
- 4
- 5
- 39
- 19
- 15
- 23
- 24
- 1
-
25
Romain Esse ↓ Aidomo Emakhu 62'
Bench
-
17
Macaulay Langstaff ↑ 62'
- 45
- 13
-
2
Dan McNamara ↑ 84'
-
7
Kevin Nisbet ↑ 84'
-
22
Aidomo Emakhu ↑ 62'
- 37
- 29
- 44
Coach
Neil Harris
Watford FC Lineups
3-4-3Starting XI
- 17
- 3
- 1
- 5
- 39
-
8
Giorgi Chakvetadze ↓ Tom Ince 90'
- 19
- 6
- 24
-
2
Jeremy Ngakia ↓ Ken Sema 75'
- 45
Bench
-
12
Ken Sema ↑ 75'
- 23
-
7
Tom Ince ↑ 90'
- 10
- 34
- 37
- 22
- 11
-
9
Mileta Rajovic ↑ 75'
Coach
Tom Cleverley
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Tom Bradshaw | 4 |
| Zian Flemming | 3 |
| Mileta Rajovic | 2 |
| Duncan Watmore | 2 |
| Casper De Norre | 1 |
| Ismaila Sarr | 1 |
| Josh Coburn | 1 |
| Matthew Pollock | 1 |
Head to Head
Millwall FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.95
Millwall FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.22
Watford FC xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 61% + Over 2.5 goals 60%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Watford FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.17
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 2.5 | 60% |
|
40% |
| ± 3.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
| ± 4.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
Double Chance
Millwall FC or Draw
76%
Draw or Watford FC
48%
Millwall FC or Watford FC
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Watford FC win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 2–3 not predicted2 – 3Actual
1 – 1
10.8%
2 – 1
9.4%
2 – 0
7.9%
1 – 0
7.5%
3 – 1
6.1%
1 – 2
5.9%
0 – 0
5.8%
2 – 2
5.7%
3 – 0
5%
0 – 1
4.4%
3 – 2
3.8%
0 – 2
3.1%
Asian Handicap — Millwall FC
| Handicap | Millwall FC covers | Push | Watford FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -2 | 15% | 16% | 69% |
| -1.5 | 31% | — | 69% |
| -1 | 31% | 22% | 47% |
| -0.5 | 53% | — | 47% |
| +0.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +1 | 77% | 13% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 6% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
30%
✓
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
15%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

