Millwall FC vs Watford FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Millwall FC vs Watford FC — Championship at The Den.
- Millwall FC 15 games · 18 pts (2026/27)
- Watford FC 15 games · 15 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee John Busby
- Assistant 1 Alex James (England)
- Assistant 2 Bhupinder Gill
6 games this season
🟨 3.3/game
⚽ 10.8 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Birmingham City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough FC | 15 | 29 |
| 3 | Stoke City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 15 | 28 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 15 | 28 |
| 6 | Swansea City AFC | 15 | 26 |
| 7 | Southampton FC | 15 | 24 |
| 8 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 15 | 24 |
| 9 | West Ham United FC | 15 | 23 |
| 10 | Sheffield United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 11 | Portsmouth FC | 15 | 22 |
| 12 | Norwich City FC | 15 | 21 |
| 13 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 15 | 21 |
| 14 | Cardiff City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 15 | Wrexham AFC | 15 | 18 |
| 16 | Millwall FC | 15 | 18 |
| 17 | Bristol City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 18 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 15 | 17 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 15 | 17 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 15 | 15 |
| 21 | Lincoln City FC | 15 | 15 |
| 22 | Burnley FC | 15 | 10 |
| 23 | Derby County FC | 15 | 10 |
| 24 | Preston North End FC | 15 | 8 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug | Watford FC | H | 2–3 | L |
| 04 May | Swansea City AFC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 27 Apr | Plymouth Argyle FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Apr | Sunderland AFC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 13 Apr | Cardiff City FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 09 Apr | Leicester City FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug | Millwall FC | A | 3–2 | W |
| 04 May | Middlesbrough FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 27 Apr | Sunderland AFC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Apr | Hull City AFC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 13 Apr | Southampton FC | A | 2–3 | L |
| 10 Apr | Ipswich Town FC | A | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| Millwall FC | Watford FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #16 | Position | #20 |
| 18 | Points | 15 |
| 15 | Played | 15 |
| 5 / 3 / 7 | W / D / L | 4 / 3 / 8 |
| 23 | Scored | 13 |
| 27 | Conceded | 23 |
| -4 | GD | -10 |
| 1.20 | PPG | 1.00 |
| 33% | Win % | 27% |
Key Stats
30%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
27%
Clean Sheets
Millwall FC this season
Millwall FC this season
20%
Clean Sheets
Watford FC this season
Watford FC this season
Millwall FC are 16th (18 pts). Watford FC are 20th (15 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Millwall FC
0-15
5/2
16-30
3/4
31-45
4/3
46-60
3/5
61-75
1/4
76+
7/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Watford FC
0-15
3/4
16-30
3/4
31-45
–/6
46-60
2/3
61-75
1/2
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Millwall FC
| Lyndon Dykes | 5 G | 2 A |
| Camiel Neghli | 3 G | 3 A |
| Tairyk Arconte | 3 G | |
| Josh Coburn | 2 G | |
| Luke Cundle | 1 G |
Watford FC
| Amin Nabizada | 3 G |
| Iker Bravo | 1 G |
| Luca Kjerrumgaard | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Millwall FC and Watford FC is underway.
- 5' George Saville has been relatively quiet despite scoring 20 goals in his last 398 appearances.
- 7' A moment of madness from Francisco Sierralta on 7 minutes earns him a card. Watford FC will be frustrated.
- 12' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 17' Millwall FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 22' Against the run of play, Edo Kayembe has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 27' Millwall FC is showing some good football. However, Millwall FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 32' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 37' Watford FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 42' It looks like no one’s ball. Watford FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 47' Ryan Porteous has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 12 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
- 52' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Millwall FC and Watford FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 55' GOAL! Giorgi Chakvetadze scores on 55.
- 55' The referee calls foul for Ryan Leonard. He receives a card.
- 60' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 60 minutes.
- 62' Macaulay Langstaff is replacing George Honeyman for the Millwall FC side.
- 67' Joe Bryan has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 72' Lukas Jensen is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Millwall FC tonight.
- 74' Duncan Watmore has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 74 minutes.
- 75' Mileta Rajovic is replacing Vakoun Issouf Bayo for the Watford FC side.
- 80' Tom Dele-Bashiru is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Millwall FC so far.
- 84' The Millwall FC bench stirs into life. Ryan Leonard is withdrawn and Dan McNamara gets his opportunity.
- 86' A meaty challenge results in booking for Edo Kayembe on 86.
- 87' It’s gonna be a card for Joe Bryan.
- 88' Magnificent from Duncan Watmore! That is 37 goals in 377 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 90' Mileta Rajovic has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 90 minutes.
- 90' That is a card for Watford FC. Mileta Rajovic will be fuming at that decision.
- 90' The whistle greets Giorgi Chakvetadze as he departs to be replaced by Tom Ince.
- With this win, Watford FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
Millwall FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
18
Ryan Leonard ↓ Dan McNamara 84'
-
9
Tom Bradshaw ↓ Kevin Nisbet 84'
- 4
- 5
- 39
- 19
- 15
- 23
- 24
- 1
-
25
Romain Esse ↓ Aidomo Emakhu 62'
Bench
-
17
Macaulay Langstaff ↑ 62'
- 45
- 13
-
2
Dan McNamara ↑ 84'
-
7
Kevin Nisbet ↑ 84'
-
22
Aidomo Emakhu ↑ 62'
- 37
- 29
- 44
Coach
Neil Harris
Watford FC Lineups
3-4-3Starting XI
- 17
- 3
- 1
- 5
- 39
-
8
Giorgi Chakvetadze ↓ Tom Ince 90'
- 19
- 6
- 24
-
2
Jeremy Ngakia ↓ Ken Sema 75'
- 45
Bench
-
12
Ken Sema ↑ 75'
- 23
-
7
Tom Ince ↑ 90'
- 10
- 34
- 37
- 22
- 11
-
9
Mileta Rajovic ↑ 75'
Coach
Tom Cleverley
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Tom Bradshaw | 4 |
| Zian Flemming | 3 |
| Duncan Watmore | 2 |
| Mileta Rajovic | 2 |
| Edo Kayembe | 1 |
| Giorgi Chakvetadze | 1 |
| Casper De Norre | 1 |
| Ismaila Sarr | 1 |
Head to Head
Millwall FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.94
Millwall FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.19
Watford FC xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 60% + Over 2.5 goals 60%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Watford FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.13
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 2.5 | 60% |
|
40% |
| ± 3.5 | 38% |
|
62% |
| ± 4.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
Double Chance
Millwall FC or Draw
77%
Draw or Watford FC
48%
Millwall FC or Watford FC
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Watford FC win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 2–3 not predicted2 – 3Actual
1 – 1
10.9%
2 – 1
9.4%
2 – 0
8.2%
1 – 0
7.8%
3 – 1
6.1%
0 – 0
6%
1 – 2
5.8%
2 – 2
5.6%
3 – 0
5.2%
0 – 1
4.4%
3 – 2
3.7%
0 – 2
3.1%
Asian Handicap — Millwall FC
| Handicap | Millwall FC covers | Push | Watford FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -2 | 15% | 16% | 68% |
| -1.5 | 32% | — | 68% |
| -1 | 32% | 22% | 46% |
| -0.5 | 54% | — | 46% |
| +0.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +1 | 78% | 13% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 6% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
31%
✓
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
15%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

