Millwall FC vs Watford FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Millwall FC vs Watford FC — Championship at The Den.
- Millwall FC 46 games · 83 pts (2026/27)
- Watford FC 46 games · 57 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee John Busby
- Assistant 1 Alex James (England)
- Assistant 2 Bhupinder Gill
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry City FC | 46 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich Town FC | 46 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall FC | 46 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton FC | 46 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough FC | 46 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull City AFC | 46 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham AFC | 46 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby County FC | 46 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich City FC | 46 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 46 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea City AFC | 46 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City FC | 46 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield United FC | 46 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston North End FC | 46 | 60 |
| 15 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 46 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford FC | 46 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke City FC | 46 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth FC | 46 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 46 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 46 | 52 |
| 21 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 46 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford United FC | 46 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester City FC | 46 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 46 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug | Watford FC | H | 2–3 | L |
| 04 May | Swansea City AFC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 27 Apr | Plymouth Argyle FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Apr | Sunderland AFC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 13 Apr | Cardiff City FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 09 Apr | Leicester City FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug | Millwall FC | A | 3–2 | W |
| 04 May | Middlesbrough FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 27 Apr | Sunderland AFC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Apr | Hull City AFC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 13 Apr | Southampton FC | A | 2–3 | L |
| 10 Apr | Ipswich Town FC | A | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| Millwall FC | Watford FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #16 |
| 83 | Points | 57 |
| 46 | Played | 46 |
| 24 / 11 / 11 | W / D / L | 14 / 15 / 17 |
| 64 | Scored | 53 |
| 49 | Conceded | 65 |
| +15 | GD | -12 |
| 1.80 | PPG | 1.24 |
| 52% | Win % | 30% |
Key Stats
30%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Millwall FC are 3rd (83 pts). Watford FC are 16th (57 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' That's the starting whistle at The Den. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Millwall FC and Watford FC.
- 5' Millwall FC have won 401 goals from 382 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 7' A moment of madness from Francisco Sierralta on 7 minutes earns him a card. Watford FC will be frustrated.
- 12' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 17' Millwall FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 22' GOAL! Edo Kayembe fires home to make it 0-1!
- 27' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 32' It looks like no one’s ball. Watford FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 37' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Daniel Bachmann made 260 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 42' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 47' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Watford FC that had 358 games and scored 391 goals.
- 52' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Millwall FC and Watford FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 55' What a strike from Giorgi Chakvetadze! The score is 0-2.
- 55' That is a card for Millwall FC. Ryan Leonard will be fuming at that decision.
- 60' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 3-4-3 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 62' The whistle greets George Honeyman as he departs to be replaced by Macaulay Langstaff.
- 67' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 72' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 74' Goal! Duncan Watmore scores his 37 goal in 363 matches.
- 75' Time for substitution for Watford FC. Vakoun Issouf Bayo is replaced by Mileta Rajovic.
- 80' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 84' Dan McNamara has so much to prove this time. He replaces Ryan Leonard on 84 minute.
- 86' The referee shows Watford FC player a card on 86.
- 87' A moment of madness from Joe Bryan on 87 minutes earns him a card. Millwall FC will be frustrated.
- 88' Duncan Watmore doubles the advantage! 2-2 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 90' Mileta Rajovic is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
- 90' A moment of madness from Mileta Rajovic on 90 minutes earns him a card. Watford FC will be frustrated.
- 90' The supporters are chanting for Tom Ince. He replaces Giorgi Chakvetadze on 90 minute.
- What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Millwall FC 2-3 Watford FC.
Lineups
Millwall FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
18
Ryan Leonard ↓ Dan McNamara 84'
-
9
Tom Bradshaw ↓ Kevin Nisbet 84'
- 4
- 5
- 39
- 19
- 15
- 23
- 24
- 1
-
25
Romain Esse ↓ Aidomo Emakhu 62'
Bench
-
17
Macaulay Langstaff ↑ 62'
- 45
- 13
-
2
Dan McNamara ↑ 84'
-
7
Kevin Nisbet ↑ 84'
-
22
Aidomo Emakhu ↑ 62'
- 37
- 29
- 44
Coach
Neil Harris
Watford FC Lineups
3-4-3Starting XI
- 17
- 3
- 1
- 5
- 39
-
8
Giorgi Chakvetadze ↓ Tom Ince 90'
- 19
- 6
- 24
-
2
Jeremy Ngakia ↓ Ken Sema 75'
- 45
Bench
-
12
Ken Sema ↑ 75'
- 23
-
7
Tom Ince ↑ 90'
- 10
- 34
- 37
- 22
- 11
-
9
Mileta Rajovic ↑ 75'
Coach
Tom Cleverley
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Tom Bradshaw | 4 |
| Zian Flemming | 3 |
| Duncan Watmore | 2 |
| Mileta Rajovic | 2 |
| Edo Kayembe | 1 |
| Giorgi Chakvetadze | 1 |
| Casper De Norre | 1 |
| Ismaila Sarr | 1 |
Head to Head
Millwall FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.9
Millwall FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.13
Watford FC xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 58% + Over 2.5 goals 57%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Watford FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.03
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 80% |
|
20% |
| ± 2.5 | 57% |
|
43% |
| ± 3.5 | 36% |
|
64% |
| ± 4.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
Double Chance
Millwall FC or Draw
77%
Draw or Watford FC
48%
Millwall FC or Watford FC
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Watford FC win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 2–3 not predicted2 – 3Actual
1 – 1
11.2%
2 – 1
9.5%
2 – 0
8.6%
1 – 0
8.5%
0 – 0
6.5%
3 – 1
6%
1 – 2
5.7%
2 – 2
5.4%
3 – 0
5.3%
0 – 1
4.7%
3 – 2
3.5%
0 – 2
3.1%
Asian Handicap — Millwall FC
| Handicap | Millwall FC covers | Push | Watford FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -2 | 15% | 17% | 68% |
| -1.5 | 32% | — | 68% |
| -1 | 32% | 22% | 46% |
| -0.5 | 54% | — | 46% |
| +0.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +1 | 79% | 13% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 6% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
33%
✓
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

