RB Leipzig vs Real Madrid CF, Champions League 2023-24 LAST 16
Overview
Match Preview
RB Leipzig vs Real Madrid CF — Champions League at Red Bull Arena.
- RB Leipzig 0 games · 0 pts (2025/26)
- Real Madrid CF 8 games · 15 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Irfan Peljto
- Assistant 1
- Assistant 2 Davor Beljo
6 games this season
🟨 1.3/game
⚽ 9.8 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal FC | 8 | 24 |
| 2 | FC Bayern München | 8 | 21 |
| 3 | Liverpool FC | 8 | 18 |
| 4 | Tottenham Hotspur FC | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | FC Barcelona | 8 | 16 |
| 6 | Chelsea FC | 8 | 16 |
| 7 | Sporting Clube de Portugal | 8 | 16 |
| 8 | Manchester City FC | 8 | 16 |
| 9 | Real Madrid CF | 8 | 15 |
| 10 | FC Internazionale Milano | 8 | 15 |
| 11 | Paris Saint-Germain FC | 8 | 14 |
| 12 | Newcastle United FC | 8 | 14 |
| 13 | Juventus FC | 8 | 13 |
| 14 | Club Atletico de Madrid | 8 | 13 |
| 15 | Atalanta BC | 8 | 13 |
| 16 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 8 | 12 |
| 17 | Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 11 |
| 18 | PAE Olympiakos SFP | 8 | 11 |
| 19 | Club Brugge KV | 8 | 10 |
| 20 | Galatasaray SK | 8 | 10 |
| 21 | AS Monaco FC | 8 | 10 |
| 22 | Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 8 | 10 |
| 23 | FK Bodo/Glimt | 8 | 9 |
| 24 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 8 | 9 |
| 25 | Olympique de Marseille | 8 | 9 |
| 26 | Paphos FC | 8 | 9 |
| 27 | Royale Union Saint-Gilloise | 8 | 9 |
| 28 | PSV | 8 | 8 |
| 29 | Athletic Club | 8 | 8 |
| 30 | SSC Napoli | 8 | 8 |
| 31 | FC Kobenhavn | 8 | 8 |
| 32 | AFC Ajax | 8 | 6 |
| 33 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 4 |
| 34 | SK Slavia Praha | 8 | 3 |
| 35 | Villarreal CF | 8 | 1 |
| 36 | FK Kairat | 8 | 1 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb | Real Madrid CF | H | 0–1 | L |
| 10 Feb | FC Augsburg | A | 2–2 | D |
| 04 Feb | 1. FC Union Berlin | H | 2–0 | W |
| 27 Jan | VfB Stuttgart | A | 2–5 | L |
| 20 Jan | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | H | 2–3 | L |
| 13 Jan | Eintracht Frankfurt | H | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb | RB Leipzig | A | 1–0 | W |
| 10 Feb | Girona FC | H | 4–0 | W |
| 04 Feb | Club Atletico de Madrid | H | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Feb | Getafe CF | A | 2–0 | W |
| 27 Jan | UD Las Palmas | A | 2–1 | W |
| 21 Jan | UD Almería | H | 3–2 | W |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
29%
Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season
Real Madrid CF this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Real Madrid CF
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
1/2
46-60
–/1
61-75
1/–
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Real Madrid CF
| Kylian Mbappe | 15 G | 1 A |
| Vinicius Junior | 5 G | 6 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The ball is rolling at Red Bull Arena. RB Leipzig are looking to make home advantage count against Real Madrid CF.
- 5' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His RB Leipzig side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 10' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both RB Leipzig and Real Madrid CF are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 15' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Joselu suffering a number of foals already.
- 20' Supporters expect more eagerness from Rodrygo, as he is very good at scoring at Red Bull Arena with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 25' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 30' RB Leipzig currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 35' The energy levels are beginning to show. Carlo Ancelotti might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 40' RB Leipzig seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 45' A meaty challenge results in booking for Marco Rose on 45.
- 49' Brahim Diaz is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
- 53' Mohamed Simakan is having his name booked by the referee on 53.
- 58' It looks like no one’s ball. Real Madrid CF is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 63' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Carlo Ancelotti will be considering his options from the bench.
- 66' Dani Carvajal picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 71' With 0 assists to his name this season, Nacho is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Real Madrid CF.
- 75' RB Leipzig manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Yussuf Poulsen is hanging Lois Openda on the field on 75 minute.
- 77' RB Leipzig receives a card for a hard tackle on 77.
- 82' RB Leipzig are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Real Madrid CF backline.
- 84' The whistle greets Brahim Diaz as he departs to be replaced by Lucas Vazquez.
- 85' It’s gonna be a card for Vinicius Junior.
- 86' It’s gonna be a card for Benjamin Sesko.
- 90' Fresh legs for RB Leipzig! Kevin Kampl comes on to replace Xaver Schlager.
- RB Leipzig will have plenty to reflect on. Real Madrid CF were simply the better side today.
Lineups
RB Leipzig Lineups
4-2-2-2Starting XI
-
17
Lois Openda ↓ Yussuf Poulsen 75'
- 39
- 1
- 16
- 4
- 22
-
7
Dani Olmo ↓ Eljif Elmas 75'
-
24
Xaver Schlager ↓ Kevin Kampl 90'
- 2
- 20
- 30
Bench
-
6
Eljif Elmas ↑ 75'
- 21
- 14
-
9
Yussuf Poulsen ↑ 75'
-
44
Kevin Kampl ↑ 90'
- 3
- 25
-
8
Amadou Haidara ↑ 75'
- 13
- 23
- 5
- 38
Coach
Marco Rose
Real Madrid CF Lineups
4-3-1-2Starting XI
-
21
Brahim Diaz ↓ Lucas Vazquez 84'
- 23
- 18
- 13
- 8
- 6
- 15
- 7
- 2
- 11
- 12
Bench
- 25
-
14
Joselu ↑ 84'
- 10
-
17
Lucas Vazquez ↑ 84'
- 19
- 24
- 28
- 20
- 30
- 32
- 34
- 41
Coach
Carlo Ancelotti
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Vinicius Junior | 2 |
| Brahim Diaz | 1 |
| Willi Orban | 1 |
| Marco Asensio | 1 |
| Federico Valverde | 1 |
| Rodrygo | 1 |
| Christopher Nkunku | 1 |
| Timo Werner | 1 |
Head to Head
RB Leipzig Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.04
RB Leipzig xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.29
Real Madrid CF xG
I would bet for:
Real Madrid CF or Draw 71% + Under 2.5 goals 59%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Real Madrid CF win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.33
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 68% |
|
32% |
| ± 2.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
| ± 3.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
| ± 4.5 | 9% |
|
91% |
Double Chance
RB Leipzig or Draw
58%
Draw or Real Madrid CF
71%
RB Leipzig or Real Madrid CF
70%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14%
0 – 0
12%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
8.9%
1 – 2
8.1%
0 – 2
7.8%
2 – 1
6.5%
2 – 0
5.1%
2 – 2
4.3%
1 – 3
3.5%
0 – 3
3.3%
3 – 1
2.3%
Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig
| Handicap | RB Leipzig covers | Push | Real Madrid CF covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 8% | 89% |
| -1.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -1 | 11% | 17% | 72% |
| -0.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| +0.5 | 59% | — | 41% |
| +1 | 59% | 22% | 19% |
| +1.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +2 | 81% | 12% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
28%
✓
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
36%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.