Thursday , 2 July 2026

Real Madrid CF vs RB Leipzig, Champions League 2022-23 GROUP STAGE

Wed 14 Sep 2022 · 19:00 UTC Estadio Santiago Bernabeu HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Real Madrid CF vs RB LeipzigChampions League at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu.

Match Details

  • Referee Alberto Tegoni
  • Referee Maurizio Mariani
  • Referee Marco Guida
  • Referee Massimiliano Irrati
  • Referee Rosario Abisso
  • Referee Daniele Bindoni

Head-to-Head

2
1
1
Real Madrid CF 4 games · Avg 2.5 goals RB Leipzig

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Sep RB Leipzig H 2–0 W
11 Sep RCD Mallorca H 4–1 W
06 Sep Celtic FC A 3–0 W
03 Sep Real Betis Balompie H 2–1 W
28 Aug RCD Espanyol de Barcelona A 3–1 W
20 Aug RC Celta de Vigo A 4–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Sep Real Madrid CF A 0–2 L
10 Sep Borussia Dortmund H 3–0 W
06 Sep FK Shakhtar Donetsk H 1–4 L
03 Sep Eintracht Frankfurt A 0–4 L
30 Aug FC Teutonia Ottensen A 8–0 W
27 Aug VfL Wolfsburg H 2–0 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
29% Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Real Madrid CF
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/
31-45
1/2
46-60
/1
61-75
1/
76+
/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. Real Madrid CF host RB Leipzig — let the battle begin!
  • 5' Vinicius Junior needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 2 Red cards this season.
  • 10' Real Madrid CF are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against RB Leipzig's shape.
  • 15' With 0 assists to his name this season, Nacho is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Real Madrid CF.
  • 20' The energy levels are beginning to show. Carlo Ancelotti might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 25' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 30' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 30 minutes.
  • 35' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Timo Werner suffering a number of foals already.
  • 40' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 45' Real Madrid CF is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 50' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 55' RB Leipzig have won 719 goals from 513 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 60' It is a cagey affair so far. Real Madrid CF in their trying to find a way past RB Leipzig's compact .
  • 64' The Real Madrid CF bench stirs into life. Eduardo Camavinga is withdrawn and Marco Asensio gets his opportunity.
  • 69' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 73' The referee calls foul for Amadou Haidara. He receives a Yellow card.
  • 75' Another substitution for RB Leipzig to replace Mohamed Simakan by Benjamin Henrichs on 75 minute.
  • 80' GOAL! Federico Valverde scores on 80. Assisted by Vinicius Junior
  • 81' The whistle greets Timo Werner as he departs to be replaced by Andre Silva.
  • 82' RB Leipzig ring the changes. Timo Werner has done his job and it is now time for Andre Silva to step up.
  • 82' Christopher Nkunku picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 83' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Christopher Nkunku.
  • 84' Controversy at the stadium! Dani Carvajal argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
  • 85' Fresh legs for Real Madrid CF! Dani Ceballos comes on to replace Vinicius Junior.
  • 90' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Xaver Schlager on 90 minutes.
  • Real Madrid CF celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.81 Real Madrid CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.95 RB Leipzig xG
I would bet for: Real Madrid CF to win 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Real Madrid CF58% Draw24% RB Leipzig18%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.76
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Real Madrid CF or Draw
82%
Draw or RB Leipzig
42%
Real Madrid CF or RB Leipzig
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Real Madrid CF40% Draw45% RB Leipzig15%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.7%
1 – 0
10.7%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
9.5%
0 – 0
8.2%
3 – 0
6%
3 – 1
5.8%
0 – 1
5.1%
1 – 2
4.9%
2 – 2
4.5%
3 – 2
2.8%
0 – 2
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Real Madrid CF

Handicap Real Madrid CF covers Push RB Leipzig covers
-2.5 15% 85%
-2 15% 18% 67%
-1.5 33% 67%
-1 33% 24% 44%
-0.5 56% 44%
+0.5 82% 18%
+1 82% 12% 6%
+1.5 94% 6%
+2 94% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
39%
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
17%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.